
Companies Issuing RTO Mandates 'Lose Their Best Talent': Study (arstechnica.com) 96
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: Return-to-office (RTO) mandates have caused companies to lose some of their best workers, a study tracking over 3 million workers at 54 "high-tech and financial" firms at the S&P 500 index has found. These companies also have greater challenges finding new talent, the report concluded. The paper, Return-to-Office Mandates and Brain Drain [PDF], comes from researchers from the University of Pittsburgh, as well as Baylor University, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business. The study, which was published in November, spotted this month by human resources (HR) publication HR Dive, and cites Ars Technica reporting, was conducted by collecting information on RTO announcements and sourcing data from LinkedIn.
The researchers said they only examined companies with data available for at least two quarters before and after they issued RTO mandates. The researchers explained: "To collect employee turnover data, we follow prior literature ... and obtain the employment history information of over 3 million employees of the 54 RTO firms from Revelio Labs, a leading data provider that extracts information from employee LinkedIn profiles. We manually identify employees who left a firm during each period, then calculate the firm's turnover rate by dividing the number of departing employees by the total employee headcount at the beginning of the period. We also obtain information about employees' gender, seniority, and the number of skills listed on their individual LinkedIn profiles, which serves as a proxy for employees' skill level."
There are limits to the study, however. The researchers noted that the study "cannot draw causal inferences based on our setting." Further, smaller firms and firms outside of the high-tech and financial industries may show different results. Although not mentioned in the report, relying on data from a social media platform could also yield inaccuracies, and the number of skills listed on a LinkedIn profile may not accurately depict a worker's skill level. [...] The researchers concluded that the average turnover rates for firms increased by 14 percent after issuing return-to-office policies. "We expect the effect of RTO mandates on employee turnover to be even higher for other firms" the paper says.
The researchers said they only examined companies with data available for at least two quarters before and after they issued RTO mandates. The researchers explained: "To collect employee turnover data, we follow prior literature ... and obtain the employment history information of over 3 million employees of the 54 RTO firms from Revelio Labs, a leading data provider that extracts information from employee LinkedIn profiles. We manually identify employees who left a firm during each period, then calculate the firm's turnover rate by dividing the number of departing employees by the total employee headcount at the beginning of the period. We also obtain information about employees' gender, seniority, and the number of skills listed on their individual LinkedIn profiles, which serves as a proxy for employees' skill level."
There are limits to the study, however. The researchers noted that the study "cannot draw causal inferences based on our setting." Further, smaller firms and firms outside of the high-tech and financial industries may show different results. Although not mentioned in the report, relying on data from a social media platform could also yield inaccuracies, and the number of skills listed on a LinkedIn profile may not accurately depict a worker's skill level. [...] The researchers concluded that the average turnover rates for firms increased by 14 percent after issuing return-to-office policies. "We expect the effect of RTO mandates on employee turnover to be even higher for other firms" the paper says.
The hype cycle is a flat circle (Score:5, Insightful)
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Probably. You will still only get young and inexperienced people. The rest will remember. Unless your product is crappy and you compete on price (or you have a monopoly), this is not a sustainable strategy. To be fair, lots of enterprises have crappy products.
When you force someone to come to work... (Score:5, Insightful)
...the only people who will come to work are the impostor syndrome ones.
The knowledgeable ones, those who share, those who work, those you can count on, those who DO instead of WATCH... they're applying elsewhere.
Go for it, Musk, Bezos, Trump, and other obscenely rich idiots. MAKE US COME BACK TO THE OFFICE and watch what losers you end up with.
In school we're judged based on our exam grades.
In work we're judged based on our work product.
It takes a REALLY STUPID IDIOT to suggest that we must be in the same office to accomplish any of that.
Yes, synergies do exist, and they don't exist 40 hours a week.
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Re: When you force someone to come to work... (Score:5, Funny)
Perhaps he read the study
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On the otherside if DOGE does push for and get cutting of slots they are going to be the first to leave.
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Their best are working on classified systems and it is unlikely they have been working from home
Some take a pile of classified material home then and leave the folders lying around where anyone can see them. Having said that I don't think they'd qualify as "the best".
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Slow Clap
well played!
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"Government" really depends on what, specifically, you are actually talking about.
Do you mean government employees, or contractors? Do you mean with, or without a security clearance? All of these things substantially affect what you get paid, and how onerous the terms of employment are. And in the larger picture of "government" employees, do you mean federal, state, county, or local positions? I think it's clear we're talking about federal here, but I just wanted to throw some more complexity which exists i
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"Most actual government employees are not paid very well. "
Meanwhile, average Federal Salary: $106,462 a year...
Uh huh. Not paid very well are they. Of course, they don't have health insurance or pensions or anything like that either...
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average Federal Salary: $106,462 a year...
What's the median? IDGAF about averages. I also see this claim made all over the place and the usually uncredited source seems to be ZipRecruiter [ziprecruiter.com], and:
1) they are basing this on job postings and don't show their math.
2) On the same page where that claim is made, there is a section "What are Top 5 Best Paying Related Federal Employee Jobs in the U.S." and the annual salary for the top one they list is $70,123. The text says "Analyzing similar jobs related to the Federal Employee job category, we found five t
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As of December 2024, the median salary for a federal employee in the United States is $79,386. - ChatGPT
$80K isn't too bad for a median.
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So, what is your reply now? 80K a year median, since you DGAF about averages?
How is that for you?
Has this new fact changed your position? If so why not?
Re: When you force someone to come to work... (Score:2)
Nope. 80k is not a lot of money any more, and qualified technical employees are regularly paid more than that by competent organizations which want to keep them.
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Since you're all about "medians" the median income in the US is about $37K.
So I don't know how you think $80K isn't a lot today.
You are obviously out of touch.
Re: When you force someone to come to work... (Score:2)
The median salary is less than 80 grand, and given a lot of those jobs are in DC neither the average nor median are particularly impressive. You could make tens of thousands more elsewhere with a third less cost of living.
Nobody goes into government work for the money. The hours maybe, but never the money.
Re: When you force someone to come to work... (Score:1)
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https://slashdot.org/story/24/... [slashdot.org]
Re: When you force someone to come to work... (Score:1)
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One study doesn't itself prove anything. But it's also the conventional wisdom. Also, there are lots of reasons why an employee might consider moving on, but unless they are a low performer you definitely want to dissuade them from doing it for any reason really since you inevitably lose institutional knowledge that way. Only when you have the most interchangeable cogs do you not care if you have turnover.
Linked in plus buzzwords == "best talent" (Score:5, Insightful)
Perhaps he read the study
No. If he had read the study he would have known that "best talent" means some one who has a linked in profile and creates a long list of skills, ie everything they ever touched however briefly and shallowly. That latter is for recent grads desperate to differentiate from other recent grads. Hoping their elective class choices better fit the job than the other candidates.
Actual highly skilled workers severely prune that list, listing as only things they'd consider using again. Dropping crap they never want to touch again. Using their focused skill list to deter places they would not be happy at from considering them.
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If that's true, what's he doing on Slashdot???
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I suspect billionaires have less motivation to learn anything or think clearly.
Most of us live too close to the edge to go slack.
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The correct term is "japettos".
What do chicken tortilla wraps with jalapeno have to do with it?
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This RTO
Re:When you force someone to come to work... (Score:5, Interesting)
This has played out time and time again. Funnily enough, I thought it was a thing of the past but obviously "lessons will be learned" is trumped by "history doesn't repeat but it rhymes"
During the 2007/8 financial crisis, entire departments were closed en mass. There was little planning to this, if you were in a department that got axed you were out, if you were in one that was kept, you stayed. This does make sense from an employment law perspective, if you shut an entire department then it's hard(er) for people to argue that there was discrimination.
I was working for one of the rare companies that were hiring during this period and there were some fantastic people looking for jobs because they just happened to be in the wrong department at the wrong time. (There was also a lot of dross - there were still people around who were hired during the dotcom bubble because they could spell their name)
Companies privately, if not publicly, acknowledged this mistake of letting some very good people go and it was noticeable that in the later downturns, there was a certain amount of "restructuring" before closing departments. The one or two top people in a department would move into a different department and then six months later the axe would come down on the rest of the department. This time pretty much the only rare gems amongst the CVs of the "been laid off" were the ones where the entire company had failed.
This time around it's (presumably) different in that people aren't being forced out, they're being "encouraged to decide to quit" - which is, in the short term, much cheaper for the company. I don't do enough interviewing now to have a statistically significant sample but my gut feeling is that the average quality of people looking to move jobs is higher than it was 12-18 months ago.
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Or rather, the only people who will come to the office are those who want to and those who could not find another, remote-only job.
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...the only people who will come to work are the impostor syndrome ones.
The knowledgeable ones, those who share, those who work, those you can count on, those who DO instead of WATCH... they're applying elsewhere.
Go for it, Musk, Bezos, Trump, and other obscenely rich idiots. MAKE US COME BACK TO THE OFFICE and watch what losers you end up with.
In school we're judged based on our exam grades.
In work we're judged based on our work product.
It takes a REALLY STUPID IDIOT to suggest that we must be in the same office to accomplish any of that.
Yes, synergies do exist, and they don't exist 40 hours a week.
I agree with what you're saying but that isn't impostor syndrome. Impostor syndrome is when you doubt your own abilities or accomplishments, you don't feel good enough to be where you are, like you don't deserve it. Its a problem with self doubt, not actual ability.
The people rushing back to the office, supporting RTOs are as you describe, people who aren't particularly good but know enough to be able to hide amongst those who are.
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Indeed. But look at companies with crappy products, like Microsoft, Boeing, Intel, Crowdstrike, Tesla, most "security" software and appliance vendors, etc. etc.
You can still make a lot of money with basically incompetent employees. Obviously, at some point, your enterprise will die deservedly. But until then ...
Re:If RTO causes losses (Score:5, Interesting)
How "into their job" they are doesn't matter.
What matters is how much you need their skills, and how much money you can make off their skills.
These high-talent people who are leaving due to RTO mandates are still working....for other companies. The money that can be made off their skills is still being made, just not by the companies with the mandates.
So, RTO mandate means missing out on high profit potential from high talent individuals. The businesses that stick with this mentality will flounder, while the business that allow work-from-home where appropriate will snap up all the best talent, and succeed.
Re:If RTO causes losses (Score:4, Interesting)
These high-talent people who are leaving due to RTO mandates are still working....for other companies
Exactly. What's more, if their new job is flexible enough or offers better work/life balance, most people are willing to take a pay cut, so these other companies win even more by acquiring that same talent at a cheaper rate.
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These high-talent people ...
They are not necessarily high talent, they are people with linked in profiles and a long buzzword bingo list of skills. Personally I think such skill lists are a sign of insecurity. That actual high talent people trim such a list to only their go to tools, what they want to use going forward, not everything they may have used. Perhaps with further customized trimming of go to tools based on the employer's products/services and posted requirements and nice to haves.
Re:If RTO causes losses (Score:5, Informative)
Most people aren't that into their job, even the good ones. Not into the specific job at the specific company, that is. Sure programmers love to program but they don't necessarily love your company. People take a job for the combination of remuneration, working conditions and interest.
If you basically make things crappy, the best people will on average leave because they are the ones who can.
Re:If RTO causes losses (Score:4, Interesting)
I found a company where I believed in the business, I was all in. About a decade later I started figuring out that the only part of it that mattered was that people who believed that were more compliant and harder working... and still utterly disposable to management.
So I left, probably to be replaced by the next enthusiastic young guy who hadn't figured out it wasn't a two-way relationship yet.
Now I work at a company that knows I believe in MY work, and I do the job right because that's the right thing to do, but I'm happy to walk the moment they seem to be screwing me over because I don't care about the company itself beyond my compensation package. You probably have to be older to get away with being honest about that, though. I can't imaging someone in their 20s talking like that and getting hired.
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If people ARE that into their job, they're pouring themselves into something that will be yanked away without a second thought. Even if you work for a small company owned by good people, eventually, they're going to want to sell, and the new owners will care about only one thing.
There are better things to pour one's life into, than corporate profits.
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I understood the first half of your post, not the second half.
Hiring national + remote -> you subsidize people getting certifications and leaving
Hiring local + 2 days in the office -> I expected you would argue these people are too desperate to leave, or you don't have to provide them certifications.
I also don't get the question of the difference in shipping parts. If you have to ship laptops and screens to remote workers, why wouldn't you also give them out to local workers who WFH 3 days a week? Or
Re:The real problem (Score:4, Insightful)
You've missed a critical point that severely undermines your argument: you're competing nationally anyway, because nothing stops one of your local pool from taking a remote job with someone else.
If you only hire local, you're hiring from a smaller pool, and you may be missing out on people willing to take a bit less in compensation because they aren't paying to live in an urban center.
It is, however, true that there are jobs where you have to physically interact with hardware and if it's more than a once-in-a-blue-moon thing, you're not going to want to deal with the courier cost and delay of a remote worker for that.
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You might reach a point where you exhaust your local talent pool.
Then you either pay well enough for people to want to move in, or you hire remote.
Most of these corporations ran out of local talent years ago.
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And if we do, they'll leave when they get more certifications on our dime.
What if we train people and they leave?
-->
What if we don't train them and they stay?
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Anyone good locally will also get certs on your dime and leave to work globally. I live in a very small town and work remotely for a multi-national company. The problem even if local is still money. I could make a great living for this area working at any of the small consulting groups or manufacturing companies that need technology professionals locally. Even with their great for the area pay, they can't afford me. I would need them to raise their top offer 3X to even think about it.
I've been remote for al
Like we told them. (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Complete Nonesense (Score:5, Funny)
>As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org
As Vice-President of the Solar System, I laugh at your pathetic fake credentials.
BURN! (Score:2)
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>As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org
As Vice-President of the Solar System, I laugh at your pathetic fake credentials.
JENKINS! Quit reading Slashdot and get back to work!
- 93 Escort Wagon, President of the Solar System
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We have assumed control
We have assumed control
We have assumed control
Re: Complete Nonesense (Score:2)
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As an unimportant reader of slashdot, I promise you I will never darken your desk with my resume, nor will I ever refer anyone to you. Nobody gives a damn about your company.
Re: Complete Nonesense (Score:1)
Im sure you're proud of your hires. Though, its kind of crazy how many "engineers" were overpromoted during lockdown. Warm butts in seats and all. Thanks for dredging the cesspool.
Re:Complete Nonesense (Score:5, Insightful)
As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org, I call bull.
As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org, you likely don't know jack shit about who's a desirable talent and who's not. You know what your underlings tell you. Chances are they don't know either, and their underlings don't know either. If you're more than two hierarchy levels removed from your worker bees, there's a very good chance your image is skewed as fuck.
"I see we lost 1K people this quarter"
"Yes, sir, they were all of no significance, zero desirable talent among them".
How can you prove the validity of that statement?
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As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org, I call bull.
As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org, you likely don't know jack shit about who's a desirable talent and who's not. You know what your underlings tell you. Chances are they don't know either, and their underlings don't know either. If you're more than two hierarchy levels removed from your worker bees, there's a very good chance your image is skewed as fuck.
"I see we lost 1K people this quarter"
"Yes, sir, they were all of no significance, zero desirable talent among them".
How can you prove the validity of that statement?
That would more likely be phrased as "we've managed to eliminate some of our largest payroll liabilities, increasing this quarters profits".
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How can you prove the validity of that statement?
Guys like that would just look at the "metrics." You know, the people who left weren't the ones with the highest number of completed Jira tickets. That's how those big company execs think, as if productivity can be measured by number of Jira tickets completed.
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How does it feel to be on the wrong side of history?
I'm also a Principal at a Fortune 50 company btw.
Re: Complete Nonesense (Score:2)
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As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org, I call bull.
What the hell are you doing wasting time here? Get back to work, slacker. You need to raise that stock price for me.
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That statement seems to say a lot about you and nothing about what is going on.
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As a high level principal at a fortune 50 org...
What fortune 50 org do you work for? I'm curious because I want to add it to my "never apply here" list.
Linked in may not be best source of info (Score:2)
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It was kind of a weird revelation. I’d been using Linkedin more as a historical “resume” listing a ton of jobs from way way back in time. After getting the nth job description with ‘Windows required’, I basically converted my Linkedin profile to be an actual resume. I have a ‘Technical Resume’ that lists all the jobs, skills, training, and tools I’ve used since I started way way back.
It hasn’t really changed the emails I get with the stupidest job descri
Losing Best Talent = Losing Largest Salaries (Score:5, Interesting)
And we all know that losing the largest salaries is the bast way to show the investors that you're focusing on the near-term profits. This is what is known in modern business as a win. There can be no negative consequences for a win. Who cares if you've damaged the company for the future. The future doesn't exist on the spreadsheets that show next quarter's profits. WOO HOO! CAPITALISM!
For the best talent though? It really is a win. They get to move on to a company that will value them today. Sure, that new place will cease to value them in a few years when they're looking to cut costs for near-term profits, but the talent can move on again. Let short-term focused companies flounder as they will. They deserve what's coming to them.
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A law requiring Directors to always maximize shareholder value over all other concerns is not a function of capitalism, that's socialism.
Shareholder lawsuits should be abolished. Selling the shares or ballot questions should be your only recourse short of fraud.
That's what you're looking for and it's much less government control of the economy.
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I fail to see how maximizing shareholder value in any way shape or form has anything to do with the workers owning or controlling the means of production.
Sounds like you're using the "Government doing anything I dislike" definition of socialism, which is fucking stupid given socialism didn't exist until the mid-19th Century..
It's all the more dumb because you're literally using it to describe capitalism - the means of production being in service only to serve the owner class, which is what shareholders are.
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Err no not at all. In fact some of the largest talent may be the people who have been at your company the longest and know it the best. These are usually cheaper than any potential replacement due to market rates outpacing pay rises in virtually all industries. The most expensive talent is that which jumps between companies. That may or may not be the "best" talent.
They don't care (Score:3)
My kid ran into this in their field. 80% of the market is owned by 1 company and the remaining 20% are tiny businesses that pay even worse, so there's no way to get ahead.
Meanwhile RTO keeps property values for commercial real estate up, which is what really matters.
This is a "House Always Wins" situation.
RTO mandates are stealth layoffs (Score:5, Insightful)
When the executives do an RTO, they’re betting that enough poor-performers will leave to offset the loss in productive ones. Very few employees are actually mission-critical, and those will be quietly approached by management and offered a retention bonus, or maybe just permission to keep workong from home, if that’s what it takes to keep them. There’s no law stating that company policy must be uniformly-enforced.
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My lifelong experience has been - (Score:2)
Employers are less interested in top talent than in brown-nosers. If RTO makes top talent quit, the employers will be even happier.
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Probably. As long as they survive.
The RTO policy definitely hurts (Score:2)
No Substance - Ars Technica Clickbait (Score:2)
The "study" seems to be mostly data mining within a very limited universe. Its dressed up to provide some interesting conclusions, but I wouldn't make much of them. If I were a manager considering RTO I wouldn't pay much attention to it. Managers know exactly who they are losing, they don't need a study to tell them. And they probably have a pretty good idea of the value of those people to the company compared to a replacement, however they choose to assess that value.
I think often the motive for getting
Bullshit (Score:2)
"The Best Talent" have never been bound by the rules that the rest live by. No one told "the best talent" that they had to return to the office and work in an open floorplan hot-desk environment with the plebs. Truly talented people are given whatever it takes to keep them happy and productive. You do not kill the golden goose.
These companies may have lost access to a wide variety of moderately talented employees who were willing to prioritize comfort over career advancement -but that is not the same thi
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You do not kill the golden goose.
You sure do... if you are stupid and shortsighted, which is what RTO policies are being argued to be.
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In stories featuring a goose that lays golden eggs, 100% of the time the goose is killed. The purpose of the story is to try to convince idiots not to, but idiots then and now think they know better.
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That is the actual moral: Idiots very often think they are actually smarter than everybody else. The modern version of the story is the Dunning-Kruger effect.
Lame methodology (Score:4, Insightful)
I was very much ready to raise my hand and say, "See, I told you so. " But this is not the study for that. I mean this part, give me a break.
"...employees' gender, seniority, and the number of skills listed on their individual LinkedIn profiles, which serves as a proxy for employees' skill level."
There are so many issues with that being a 'proxy for skill level'. Not even worth a RTFA mention.
It would be nicer if the academic community spent more time, on more thorough research, versus the churning out of mediocre work. And more time on validating others research results. Big believer in academic pursuits, but as we all know the incentives are now so messed up, the results are often of little value.
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I haven't looked at my LinkedIn page for several years... but, last time I did, it appeared other people had declared that I possess quite a few skills that aren't really part of my job or anything I'd done in the past.
Do companies have true blanket RTO mandates? (Score:2)
Pre-pandemic, there were already RTO mandates, or rather traditional come to the office expectations. However, the more important and hard to replace workers could always negotiate exceptions. That has always been the case. My guess is the current blanket RTO mandates only apply to not so important and not so hard to replace workers. And this is exactly the same it has always been. For the important workers, they will always gets the same exceptions that they always received.
Re:Do companies have true blanket RTO mandates? (Score:4, Interesting)
Pre-pandemic, there were already RTO mandates, or rather traditional come to the office expectations.
And the pandemic showed that a lot of jobs can actually be done remotely so there's no real need for those employees to come to the office, live close to the office (and likely pay more for rent) or spend time driving to/from the office.
Pre-pandemic if you asked to be be allowed to work remotely, the answer would likely be "no" with the reason being "this is how it's done", "you can't really work from home" or something else that would sound plausible. But now the counter-argument is "but we have worked remotely for x months and you ragged that the company has made more profit in that time than before".
Duh (Score:3)
Seriously. And even if you exclude the best people from the RTO, many of them (most?) will still leave.
Quiet Quitting | Quiet Layoff (Score:1)
Doesn't matter (Score:2)
Well? Do they really need their best? (Score:2)
This is going to sound like I'm trolling. I'm not, or at least I'm going to troll as little as possible. The vast majority of dev jobs are CRUD ones. Sometimes the data model is astonishingly complicated... but ultimately that's an exposure problem. Mid tier folks can do it. Most companies can absorb the loss of their very best because they aren't actually asking them to contribute at the level they're capable of. If you lose a great talent who was doing mundane tasks, you didn't lose anything.
If you are im