Trump's Board of Peace, aka the Ministry of Peace or Minipax. It has a great slogan.

Yes, you are correct, and my statement is incorrect.

I think I missed that SOG analysis because in Figure 1, the SOG (solar off grid) costs are so low. I had expected them to be much higher. In the study, the household car is associated with a 2.5 kWp system with an associated 6 kWh battery. That means that the SOG can provide an average range of somewhere around 30 miles per day.

The costs in Africa are also far cheaper than in the US. A 5kW solar PV system with 5kW of stationary battery storage is quoted at USD $3,234 – $5,390, which is far below the US cost, which is likely around 5x the cost.

"Still, Wednesday’s report also shows that not nearly as many jobs were added in 2025 as thought and last year will go down as the worst year for hiring since 2020, or since 2003 outside of a recession."

Furthermore, most of the jobs added last month were in health care and social assistance which are generally regarded as less susceptible to economic cycles.

The question is whether this is simply reflective of the trough of an economic cycle or more fundamental, lasting shifts due to tariffs, geopolitics, or technology/business shifts (like AI).

I don't think the US invasion talks are serious. If you think TACO is a real thing, saber rattling about Greenland is orders of magnitude beyond TACO. Trump likes to talk without thinking things through, and his yes-men have no choice but to amplify his non-thought out thoughts.

The previous slight saber rattling about Greenland already led to visible opposition, even from Republicans. The Republicans are already facing the real possibility of losing the House. If real moves toward a Greenland invasion actually happened, the Democrats would send a love letter to Trump, as that would essentially hand the House to the Democrats. There has been relative quiet about Greenland lately to calm Republican restlessness. If Trump revived the focus on Greenland again, moderate Republicans would have no choice but to speak out against the idea because to do otherwise would be political suicide for the midterm elections.

I remember visiting Google with a friend in the mid-2000's. The food in the cafeteria was great, even better than it is now. My friend and I would sit in the outdoor cafeteria area of the Googleplex and enjoy our lunch. However, I was stunned that almost every Google employee would spend about 30 minutes enjoying their high-end food and then return immediately to work. By 1pm, the eating area was almost empty. This was an example of Google culture, and it happened entirely without AI. From the article's descriptions, it sounds more like a small company culture thing and not an AI thing.

The previous cry under the Biden administration was that vaccinations were being forced on people who didn't want them. Although there's certainly a public interest motivation to that push for vaccination, there is at least some moral and legal logic to allowing people the choice to be vaccinated or not. However, now that the anti-vaxxers are in power, the viewpoint is completely reversed. Instead of allowing choice, the policy now is to remove choice by preempting the availability of at least some vaccines. Unfortunately this flip-flopping of fundamental principles is not an aberration.

The study has huge caveats:

It is assumed that BEV costs are essentially equivalent to ICE costs. Part of this comes from an assumption that all cars of any type are only leased. However, even with that assumption, this equivalence assumption is certainly not true now and remains to be seen whether it will be true in the future.

It is assumed that the solar-battery home installation is completely free. This is a huge cost that is completely absent from the analysis.

The solar-battery home installation necessarily assumes that the car owner has a home where the car can be parked and where the solar-battery equipment can be located, which restricts car owners to fairly rich people.

While it's true that particulate exhaust from gas engines has decreased so much that tire and brake particles are much more numerous, the asterisk is that NO2 and CO are still produced, even though they don't count as particulate matter.

The other consideration is that although total tire wear particles are heavier by weight, the health concern is mostly in ground and water contamination and not air pollution. Brake particles are a much more significant air pollution health risk because the particles are smaller and tend to be electrically charged and thus stay in the air longer. The metallic brake particles are also arguably more dangerous.

EVs emit significantly fewer brake particles than gas cars, so from an air pollution contributing to health issues perspective, EVs are better.

The New York Fed's Survey of Market Expectations and Bloomberg consensus are surveys filled out 1-2 weeks before the rate announcement. It's not a surprise for a daily Kalshi guess to be more accurate the day before the announcement. It would be more impressive if the Kalshi market were as accurate 1-2 weeks before the rate announcement, as that would be a more apples-to-apples comparison.

The salary consideration is a very important one. Which has a higher correlation of worker termination, age or salary? Older workers tend to have higher salaries, but it would be interesting to test the tails of age and salary distributions. Is this phenomenon motivated by productivity decline or cheaper workers?

"founders believe longer hours buy them a competitive edge"

Of course, overworking and burning out employees gives founders a huge advantage in upping the probability of a life-changing payout. Now, if we're talking about the employees themselves, that's a completely different story. Only desperate or delusional people sign up for being overworked for essentially zero chance of a life-changing payout. There are those that do indeed enjoy some aspects of the work experience, but they're different because they acknowledge that there's no chance of a life-changing payout.

There's a reason that founders try to cast the moral light on overworking the masses so that they can reap billions. Appealing to morality, religion, nationalism, and anything other than economic benefit for the workers is the only way to fool these workers into slaving away for the founder's benefit. This type of economic system bears similarities to a plantation.

The mechanics of blockchains and cryptocurrencies are straightforward to understand. The fluctuations of crypto valuations and why people buy and sell cryptocurrencies are not.

Not only that, but read all about the death of reading, which you can't since reading is already dead.

And yet, that is exactly what this research suggests. The results are still observational, so not something that is proven. We've always known that exercise is a good thing. That question (that still remains) is how much is needed. It's likely that more is better up to some point. But what is that point of almost no further return? And is the relationship between health benefits and exercise duration linear? This research suggests that the relationship may be somewhat logarithmic, where most of the benefit is in the earlier minutes, with positive but diminishing returns with more minutes. That's not surprising but the point where most of the benefit is gained may be new.

This is good but could also have minimal correlation to death risk, which is what the current discussion is about. Also, remember that death risk likely not the same as quality of life.

"Do Super Bowl Ads For AI Signal a Bubble About to Burst?"

Betteridge's Law aside, is this question calling the 1984 Apple Mac ad a signal that a bubble is about to burst? Some Super Bowls ads are bubble busts, some are great successes, and most are in between.