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Comment Re:Only most? (Score 1) 29

Indeed. And people are likely to vastly overvalue that one hit and ignore the 1000s of fails. It is like "Somebody won the lottery! I will too!" Dumb beyond belief as soon as some a bit larger numbers are involved. Essentially people that never left the mental frame of a tribe.

Comment Re:Only most? (Score 1) 29

Yep. I also like the descriptions of the "cold reading" experiments by the Randi Foundation. Especially the one where the actress doing it had to assure people afterwards that no, she most certainly had no "powers". And they did not believe her. Most people are really easy to fool and then insist they have not been fooled when confronted with evidence.

Another nice (if only quasi-religious) example is the MAGA movement and their total disconnect from reality.

Comment Re:Typical religion (Score 1) 29

Indeed. Also note that "reverence for faith" comes from the incredibly evil things basically all faiths have done at one time or another to suppress some other faith, including quasi-faiths like persona-cults and the like.

My stance is that if people want to have some belief, they are allowed unless they harm others as a consequence. But a belief itself does not deserve any respect, just because some people have it.

Scientific standards are and will remain what separates "likely truth" from made-up hallucinations. Note that some people try to use fake science or empty claims of scientific validity to justify unfounded beliefs. As most people (>80%, apparently) cannot really fact-check, that strategy works.

Comment Re:Typical religion (Score 1) 29

Bunk prophesies is a hallmark of all religion.

Indeed. It is all they have. So they create these (after the fact, but their marks cannot fact-check end hence usually do not find out) whenever they think they can get away with it. There are, at this time, zero actually reliable prophecies by religion. There are some that are in the noise floor (if you claim 1000s of things, you may get the occasional hit), but that is it.

Comment Re:Smart people (Score 1) 26

Yes, that is basically how it works. The first steps still have some substance, but then hot air creates more hot air.

As to the analysts, they have clearly carefully looked and found a catastrophe in the making. And they did that some time ago and they convinced the ones deciding about the actual investments. Because what we are seeing here is public statements. And these public statements are typically made very late in the process and long after the decision making. They are made right about when the move out of the bubble-stock happens because at that time this move becomes public knowledge and people want explanations.

Comment Re:VR fails again (Score 1) 57

And it's not incredible to have tech that was unthinkable only a few years back.

You must be reeeeaaaly clueless if you think that. This tech was thinkable and actually available about 30 years ago. It just never got cheap enough or usable enough, and that includes content creation. But architects, for example, have been using VR walkthroughs as a means of evaluating buildings for decades.

Comment Re:Here is the thing (Score 1) 93

You cannot actually avoid alcohol. A lot of foods contain it naturally.

This is as dumb as claiming you can't avoid Arsenic; a lot of foods contain it naturally, so we shouldn't ban food companies from adding more.

That claim would be really dumb. That is why I did not made anything like it. You are pretty much functionally illiterate though of you read that in my statement.
What I actually said, which may have required the presence of two (!) working braincells to see is that a) the reference value is not zero and b) other things besides drinking alcohol have an influence.

Comment Re:AI shills (Score 1) 47

We are already plagued by too much artificial intelligence. What we need is the real thing, not something that will creatively cow back the mistakes of others, while adding a bit of its own fancy and marketing it as truth...

Indeed. But there does not seem to be a way to get more of it, education is not doing it. Now we could make sure all decision makers are actually high intelligence people with intact personal morals and no maliciousness. And we would probably just about have enough of these people. But since that would impact profits and some zealot agendas, it is not going to happen. Instead we put dumb and dumber, with no morals or integrity and high level of maliciousness in power, with predictable results.

Comment Re:Must be wrong (Score 1) 47

Indeed. I remember the ads about Linux being a "cancer" and these days MS has its own Linux distro and Azure is apparently running more Linux loads than Windows ones. And Win11 is looking more and more outdated in comparison. Since I generally do not pay any attention to MS statements, this is the only one I remember as it made the general news here.

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