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Japan Births Fall To Lowest in 125 Years 190

The number of babies born in Japan last year fell to the lowest level since records began 125 years ago as the country's demographic crisis deepens and government efforts to reverse the decline continue to fail. Financial Times [non-paywalled source]: Japan recorded 720,988 births in 2024, according to preliminary government figures published on Thursday. The number has declined for nine straight years and appears to be largely unaffected by financial and other government incentives for married couples to produce more children.
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Japan Births Fall To Lowest in 125 Years

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  • by Qbertino ( 265505 ) <moiraNO@SPAMmodparlor.com> on Thursday February 27, 2025 @12:56PM (#65198925)

    Curiously it's efficiency that has us have less children. Because we grow older and we have such an abundance, that we are easily distracted from fundamental animalistic instincts, such as horniness, reproduction, pair-bonding and duty towards family and kin.

    Children used to be cheap labor, now they are ultra-expensive pets. That's a recipe for population decline.

    There are ancient cultures of which we know that went the same way. They became so aloof that they didn't reproduce anymore and died out pretty quickly at their peak development.

    This is why these days people stuck in a primitive bronze age revelation cult that emphasizes booking women on the mother-role and having them push out babies in rapid succession is more superior in their survival strategy than western society. Hence the takeover of Europe by 1sl4m.

    • The old argument that cult membership is a viable survival strategy. You're (probably) not wrong. Natural selection could be picking breeders that are more easily influenced by cults. Really anyone is susceptible to them, but people who have learning disabilities, emotional trauma, or addiction can end up in a cult more often than people without these challenges.

      • Islam is more memetic selection, the women don't have a choice, even in the west getting out is actually dangerous (moreso Europe than the US).

        The breeder cults inside western civilization with more freedom to leave than Islam have the best natural selection for genetically instinctual breeders, precisely because people can bow out without fear of being hunted down by relatives. Mennonite, Amish, orthodox jews, all more naturally selected breeders than Muslims.

    • by skam240 ( 789197 )

      There are ancient cultures of which we know that went the same way. They became so aloof that they didn't reproduce anymore and died out pretty quickly at their peak development.

      I've never once heard of this. Which historic cultures are you specifical referring to?

      Hence the takeover of Europe by 1sl4m.

      Ohhhh, I get it. You live in far right fantasy land.

    • Which ancient cultures went the same way? Can you provide examples? Thanks
  • by MpVpRb ( 1423381 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:13PM (#65198967)

    Endless growth is impossible
    We need steady-state sustainability

    • This isn't about endless growth. This is population going *down.* Nor are we anywhere near the likely maximum population for humans https://www.science.org.au/curious/earth-environment/how-many-people-can-earth-actually-support [science.org.au] . It is also a mistake to think that population levels are strongly correlated with resource use or pollution levels. For example, France has a lower total Co2 output than many countries of a similar size, in part due to their large use of nuclear power Lower population also means f
      • Nor are we anywhere near the likely maximum population for humans https://www.science.org.au/curious/earth-environment/how-many-people-can-earth-actually-support [science.org.au] .

        I am curious as to how you came to this conclusion. The article you cited here, as an aside to the included graph/image, states "The majority of studies estimate that the Earth's capacity is at or beneath 8 billion people." The current population of the earth, from a quick Google search, is slightly in excess of 8 billion people.

        I can see maybe 10 billion supported by earth with some changes to lifestyles and resource management. I have read the "it's all about energy" arguments and there are some me

        • The majority of studies they cite do support a smaller population for Earth, but that's a very bare majority. Many of those studies were done in the 1970s and 1980s. Many of those are from a few decades ago, and thus underestimate some technologies which have since improved. Improvements in agriculture (including better crops and more low water irrigation system) are particularly notable. Some of the other studies with larger estimates also assume not just high standards of living, but really inefficient a
      • by gweihir ( 88907 )

        Yes, so? Populations that are too large have to go down to reach a steady state. That is really basic math.

        As to "maximum", that is not optimal in any way. That is _maximal_ and comes with a host of unnecessary problems. Some of them may even be deadly, like climate change.

        Seriously, where did you find this propaganda crap?

        • by tlhIngan ( 30335 )

          Why would you want more people?

          Less people means you get to keep a lifestyle without sacrificing much because fewer people means automatically less carbon emissions by definition.

          It also means lowered demand on housing aka, cheaper housing whether you rent or buy.

          It's also less people on the roads, so less time stuck in traffic jams.

          It's less people competing for jobs.

          Just think in just over a century the world population quadrupled from around 2 billion people at the turn of the 20th century to 8 billion t

          • Less people means you get to keep a lifestyle without sacrificing much because fewer people means automatically less carbon emissions by definition.

            No such definition at all. A large population can produce a lot of CO2 and a small population can produce a small amount. Structure matters more.

            It also means lowered demand on housing aka, cheaper housing whether you rent or buy.

            High housing costs are due to high regulatory burdens; things like stricter zoning and building codes, severe minimum area requirements, and massive amount of permitting. It is borderline horrific to let government overregulation of housing be seen as something that should be remedied by having fewer people.

            It's also less people on the roads, so less time stuck in traffic jams.

            Fewer people means more cost to those roads per a person a

        • Yes, so? Populations that are too large have to go down to reach a steady state. That is really basic math.

          The population isn't declining due to it being too large. Populations in these areas are declining because people are choosing not to have kids or delaying having kids until it is too late.

          As to "maximum", that is not optimal in any way.

          The goal here isn't push the human population to the max. The point is that if we're not near the max, then it is very hard to argue that there's too much population.

          Seriously, where did you find this propaganda crap?

          Maybe respond to the substantial points people make rather than just labeling things you disagree with as propaganda?

    • Japan's birthrate won't bring sustainability.

    • Obviously this is part of reaching that steady state. It may be an over correction, but the pendulum will swing back in the other direction eventually and Japan will likely see a miniature baby boom that corrects in the other direction. None of this will be without its own unique set of pains, but such is the human condition.
    • 100% this.

      I have heard the arguments (FUD ?) around population decline. Usually this boils down to something like..."Who is going to pay for my social security check and take care of me when I'm really old"

      Valid concerns, but are separate from the 'how many people can/should the planet sustain". My position is that we are already over-capacity as evidenced by the worsening climate, environment, and human condition. I don't have a researched answer for what the optimal population the earth can support, b

      • I have heard the arguments (FUD ?) around population decline. Usually this boils down to something like..."Who is going to pay for my social security check and take care of me when I'm really old"

        Fuck that, I want to persist. My thousand generations of fore-bearers didn't get this far so I could just roll over and watch netflix and be gone. Do I love my kids on a personal level? Obviously OBVIOUSLY! I want to see them live good lives, and then pass it on down. That's living.

        I know there will still

  • by bill_mcgonigle ( 4333 ) * on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:20PM (#65199001) Homepage Journal

    They have professionals to push more people into subway cars while you can get a fixer-upper home in the country with a decent amount of property with well and septic for $30K. Good electrical service and everything. One I looked at was a spitting image of the Totoro house.

    For some reason the culture drives their people to live in pods instead of living naturally. Why?

    It's not at all surprising that such living conditions lower the breeding rate - all mammals do the same.

    • Re:Cities (Score:4, Interesting)

      by alvinrod ( 889928 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @02:40PM (#65199235)
      Every culture throughout history has flocked to cities. The reasons today are more about economic opportunity than safety, but there are clear benefits to concentrated populations. Perhaps this will change over the next century or two if technology makes it unnecessary to live in a big city or place industries there, but I think they'll stick around one way or another.

      I am reminded of the rat utopia experiments though. At a certain point that rats which were effectively put into something akin to a dense urban area suffered a massive population collapse. The GTA (Greater Tokyo Area) is one of the largest and densest metro areas on the planet. Averaged across the entire metro area it's less than 400 m^2 per person and the reality is that many of the people are far more cramped for space than that. It's not surprising that people wouldn't want to add more people into such constricted conditions. Not that it matters when there are plenty of people from outside of the city desperate for whatever opportunity they think it may offer who will gladly move in faster than the current occupants will leave or die.
    • For some reason the culture drives their people to live in pods instead of living naturally. Why?

      A subsidized lifestyle [youtube.com] isn't "living naturally."

  • by sabbede ( 2678435 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:24PM (#65199021)
    Uhm, asking for a younger person. I sure wouldn't be worried about the production schedule for Bleach or One Punch Man. I'm a grown-up after all.
    • It means more outsourcing production to other countries. With South Korea experiencing similar problems, expect some offices in Singapore or wherever to be handling a lot of that work.

      Also the CN/Singapore axis has been taking over a lot of game and anime production which will lead to a shift away from Japan. Witness what happened to the studio that did the latest Mana game: they got fired after release, with the reason being that the publisher wanted to get away from Japan-specific properties:

      https://www [reddit.com]

    • I imagine generative AI is advancing much faster than the decline in quantity of artists. In a few years you could likely feed an action manga to such a system and have it output a full anime with the quality level of a Solo Leveling or a Ghibli movie. If not both, plus an old-style 1980s version, so you can watch whatever version you prefer.

  • by organgtool ( 966989 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:26PM (#65199029)
    This is a subject I've spent considerable time thinking about over the past several years. People love to point out how expensive it is to raise a child, but all efforts in many countries to reduce the cost have failed to produce any results. The situation is extremely complex but recently I think I've finally determined the primary factor in population decline: people no longer value children. From the moment someone does has a child, today all of the focus is directed entirely toward what career they will choose. We used to encourage children to think about parenting as well as their careers, but today it's all just career, career, career. I believe that many people do still want a family, but they spend all of their time focusing on preparing for their career that they just assume they'll have a family later in life. And then life starts to slip away and the opportunity passes them by. The statistics show that the number of childless people has been growing considerably but what they don't show is whether or not those people ever intended to have children. Personally, I know a lot of people that wanted children but didn't have or take the opportunity - I know that's anecdotal, but it makes me wonder just how common that really is. Add onto that the mess that is modern dating and the growing gender divide and you really start to wonder about the long-term future of humanity.
    • by Compaq Disk Rereader ( 10425332 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:59PM (#65199123) Journal

      This is exactly my experience. Felt like i wasn't dad material. Dated a single mom and she was a cunt but raising her kids felt surprisingly right and wasn't the horrid inconvenience that a lot of parents act like.
      Told myself I'll have kids when i find the right woman and we're secure enough to raise and launch them into the middle class and then when all that happened we were tired and in our 40s and the future we"d raise them into seemed uncertain.

      It just couldn't happen responsibly so it didn't happen. Probably could have but my own boomer parents were irresponsible and despite wealth, mostly left us to fend for ourselves.

  • Blame the adults (Score:5, Interesting)

    by RubberDogBone ( 851604 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:37PM (#65199059)

    This is all the fault of selfish young adults. The more women are educated and able to work and pay for their own lifestyles, the less they want to become moms, which is a very specific and limited role. Why do that when they can live how they like, travel, buy luxury goods if they want and generally live comfortably.

    Japanese men, on the other hand, don't particularly want to deal with women who don't exactly need men and don't want to get married any more than the women. Like single women, single working men are free to indulge their hobbies and games or whatever else they want to do. The have jobs sufficient to fund it.

    For both sides, getting married and having kids represents a loss of income, but even worse, they lose tremendous amounts of freedom as they are forced into extremely narrow roles for mothers and fathers. Moms will be expected to do all the childcare and keep house and home, while the dads are expected to work ridiculous hours and turn over almost all their income to the wife. She becomes a housewife mom robot. He becomes a work robot. And that's IT.

    These are smart people. They see how they were raised. They see what will be expected of them and want nothing to do with it. They are the generation that can say NO.

    The government talks big about meaningless changes that do nothing at all to address why young adults are not having kids. They don't want to make the real changes it would take to fix the problem. At this point, the only way to save the population would be to outlaw not having kids.

    • This post is highly accurate.

    • Yep. Having children needs to have less effect on your life, which means providing a better life to EVERYONE.

      Japan has the potential productivity to do that, they do not have the cultural will. Then again, nobody else seems to either, it's just Japan's among the worst at it.

      I bet if work meant 35 hour weeks and 4 weeks a year vacation, and children meant a year of paid family leave (for both parents) followed by free before & after care while the parents work, and free sports programs for older childr

    • Why is it âselfishâ(TM) to avoid throwing children into the grinder of what sounds like a fairly miserable arrangement? Is being unborn a horrible existence? Do those adults owe some abstraction like âsocietyâ(TM) or âcultureâ(TM) or âthe futureâ(TM) its tithe of flesh regardless of how unattractive the prospect is?
  • Wouldn't the birth rate have been lower during the war, when most of the men were away with the army and navy conquering China, and the Pacific.

    (Sure there would be offspring in those countries where the soldiers had raped chinese and Korean women etc, but they wouldn't have counted..)

  • by thsths ( 31372 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @01:47PM (#65199083)

    ... and we are all out of ideas.

    Creating enough childcare places? No, hasn't happened.

    Free healthcare for children? No.

    Mandatory parental leave? No.

    Help with insane housing cost? Not really. But you can get a few free diapers.

    Honest, it looks to me as if Japan does not want to solve the problem.

    • They want and need women in the workforce in order for their country to be competitive economically and for their upper class to be able to hang with the upper class of the rest of the world as far as yachts and private jets go.

      But the fact of the matter is women who work full time have fewer children. Especially in countries with ridiculous demands for working hours like Japan and America (fun fact Americans now work more hours than the Japanese).

      They basically spent the last 20 years trying to fig
    • Help with insane housing cost? Not really. But you can get a few free diapers.

      OK you have no clue what things are actually like in Japan. You should turn your mouth off, and turn your brain on.

  • As usual in this sort of thread, people start going on about the lack of babies. The demographic problem, the economy problem, the environment problems in the developed countries is the surplus of older people.

    Start offering retirement as a lump sum at age 50, followed by a "died peacefully in their sleep" on a random date before age 52 and there won't be a shortage of babies any more.

  • Most Asian guys fail on two of the three sixes.
  • by labnet ( 457441 ) on Thursday February 27, 2025 @09:40PM (#65200109)

    I was on holiday a couple of years ago with my family in Kyoto.
    We were up early on a Saturday morning and the city streets were deserted, until we came across this huge line up of 98% under 30's men.
    Hundreds and hundreds with a few guys in white uniforms and bullhorns organising them.
    We couldn't work out what the building was they were lining up to get into... but when we came back past an hour later we found out it was a huge gambling parlour.

    Japan's a strange place!

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