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Comment Anti-Vax attitudes will get people killed (Score 5, Insightful) 121

It is one thing to promote anti-vax attitudes among your own voter base. That still endangers people outside that base, since people who are elderly or immunocompromised become more likely to get sick if the overall vaccination rate is lower. I for example have some immune issues and cannot currently get an MMR booster for medical reasons, so I'm actively endangered by the reduction in measles vaccination and the spread of cases. But note that what the Trump administration is doing now is much worse than just promoting anti-vax attitudes among their base. They are using government power to actively prevent the development and use of vaccines by others. There's a sad irony to this in that one of the very few bright spots of the first Trump administration was Operation Warp Speed and some other things they did to help with early covid vaccine development.

Comment Re:Right?! How is zero growth bad? (Score 1) 286

It isn't one cause, but the vast majority is interrelated causes, stricter building codes, stricter zoning and more bureaucracy making it harder to build more. The fact that parts of the US which make it easier to build see housing prices go up slower is one of a variety of pieces evidence that this is the largest aspect. It may help to read the links I gave earlier.

Comment Re:Right?! How is zero growth bad? (Score 2, Insightful) 286

Absolutely not. Housing prices are up because regulation has made building more housing more expensive if not outright impossible. See e.g https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/zoning-land-use-planning-housing-affordability https://www.urban.org/urban-wire/how-communities-are-rethinking-zoning-improve-housing-affordability-and-access-opportunity https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/market-rate-housing-will-make-your. Inflation is not up because people are competing for products. In fact, inflation is due to a bunch of factors including Trump's tariffs, but more people means more economies of scale which keeps prices down. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economies_of_scale Pollution is not up due to too many people driving. In fact, most forms of pollution are declining in the long-term. US CO2 production has been trending down https://www.statista.com/statistics/183943/us-carbon-dioxide-emissions-from-1999/ . And doctors and nurse shortages are part of why medical costs have gone up, but that's because the US has a massive bureaucracy to handle insurance, an aging population https://www.pgpf.org/article/why-are-americans-paying-more-for-healthcare/ and because the US has not had the number of doctors and nurses increase with population. The US has a very low percentage of doctors to population compared to many other developed countries https://data.who.int/indicators/i/CCCEBB2/217795AThis occurred in part because in the 1980s people were worried about a doctor surplus and so we spent 30 years deliberately reducing how many new doctors there were https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/how-congress-created-the-doctor-shortage/. Now a critical way of getting more doctors in the US is immigrants. https://www.aamc.org/news/1-5-us-physicians-was-born-and-educated-abroad-who-are-they-and-what-do-they-contribute.

Comment Re:Sounds like a lie to me (Score 1) 170

Or just a habit of how to keep things that you want all in one place. I email myself reminders, and have only been gradually transitioning to being more disciplined about using things like Google's task list or putting even very rough drafts in Google docs or Overleaf. The Petraeus thing was interesting because by keeping it in a draft it deliberately evaded things, and also was interesting because of where Petraeus got it from; it was a technique used by Al-Quaeda.

Comment More violations than at a high school or unversity (Score 4, Informative) 51

ChatGPT has a version which is FERPA compliant, and high school and university teachers are told explicitly not put any student names or anything else sensitive into personal ChatGPT or other AI accounts. I don't use the teacher version of ChatGPT, in part because I've never had need of any interaction with an AI where having an AI would be useful and where a student's name or other identifying info would show up. I honestly struggle at seeing what the reasonable use cases are in that intersection. (Also, I'm slightly cynical/skeptical about their promises to not use anything from those accounts for new training data.) But the bottom line is that this sort of thing is something which would get stern rebukes up to being fired if it happened in a high school environment. And this is the nominal head of cyber security for the US government. So the question is how much of this is part of the Trump's administrations general tendency to not hire people who are competent, how much is the tendency for people (in any administration) who are powerful to just ignore the rules, and how much of this is that there are some people who are really into credulously using LLM AIs and are just idiots?

Comment Re:Two Questions (Score 1) 120

Lots of people like row houses. In places like New York and Boston, those sort of houses are in high demand. it turns out that lots of people want to live near other people and actually like the density. As for high population, we all benefit from the high population. More people mean more ideas, more comparative advantage, and more economies of scale, which translate into better standards of living in general. There's some point beyond which very high populations would cause standards of living to get worse, but we're not near that point, and given technological improvement, we're likely moving farther from that point.

Meanwhile, even if you put everyone into individual suburban homes, even with a lower population, you do tremendous environmental damage because suburbs spread out more, and because they require more roads, pipes and other infrastructure, they end up costing a tremendous amount of resources. Functionally, cities are often subsidizing the suburbs https://www.strongtowns.org/journal/2023-7-6-stop-subsidizing-suburban-development-charge-it-what-it-costs .

Comment Re:Two Questions (Score 1) 120

Not at all. That would require a multi-country, massive conspiracy over a hundred years. Instead the results are much more prosaic; the same basic economic incentives as well as the same basic desires (against change, neighborhood expansion, or new people who look or sound different) all come together badly. Never propose a nefarious conspiracy when simple incentives will do.

Comment Re:Summary doesn't match TFA (Score 1) 46

Huh? No you are missing multiple things here. Did you see the words "in practice" in the bit you quoted? That's the important; of the size of statements which humans care about, the vast majority of statements are decidable. (The reasons for this become more apparent if you unpack the details of the construction I linked to.) And the last sentence isn't really accurate, or at least it is missing context: Operating under any given axiomatic system, Godel's theorem limits humans as much as it does any machine.

Comment Re:Summary doesn't match TFA (Score 1) 46

Yes, you do misunderstand. There are two different theorems frequently referred to as Godel's theorems which are closely related, but in this case, the relevant one you are referring to is the statement that says roughly that any axiomatic system which is strong enough to model the natural numbers must have statements that cannot be proved or disproved within that system. This is a rough summary of a somewhat subtle result. Note that one needs to be really careful about what one means by axiomatic system otherwise one could just take as one's axiomatic system all true statements. Also, although the theorem is normally phrased as needing to model Peano Arithmetic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peano_axioms one really only needs to model the much weaker Robinson arithmetic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinson_arithmetic.

So, why isn't this relevant here? Well, the simplest reason is that empirically speaking, undecidable statements are in practice extremely rare. So the vast majority of the time, the existence of such statements being undecidable doesn't matter. We have good reason for thinking that as statements get very large, a positive fraction of all statements of a given length are going to be undecidable but this likely doesn't kick in until one is frequently looking at long, convoluted statements that humans don't normally think about https://mathoverflow.net/questions/4454/how-many-of-the-true-sentences-are-provable/7902#7902. So for math that we care about this doesn't really matter. But note that even when thinking about an undecidable statement, all the aspects of the problem are still in the problem itself, it just is that there may be no solution to the problem in the axiomatic system you care about. Closely connected to this last observation is the fact in so far as computers are limited by Godel's theorem, so are humans.

Does that help?

Comment Re:Let's be real here... (Score 1) 69

What utter nonsense. First, Israel is a tiny country in the Middle East. It isn't anywhere near Russia or China. So, blaming Israel for what superpowers are doing is pretty off the wall, and I'll let others here speculate on why one would even think that it is remotely reasonable.

And while it is true that the United States is no condition for sainthood, Russia and China have been highly aggressive for their own aims. Russia has a long history of cutting off parts of neighboring countries. They took part of Georgia, they took Transnistria from Moldova, and they took Crimea from Ukraine. The Ukraine invasion is simply their most blatant version of that, a war of aggression to capture territory, of the sort that was common before the end of the 2nd World War. Putin has decided for his own reasons which are essentially to increase the size of Russia and make Russia larger to engage in this war.

In fact, this war is so blatantly a war of aggression that Putin started it when after Zelenskyy was elected. Zelenskyy is a native Russian speaker, and when he was elected, he was seen as someone who would be willing to work with Russia. In fact, many in the West were concerned he would be too pro-Russia. And even given that Russia still invased.

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