The good would be if AI allows us to manage complexity, find tricky bugs, edge cases and other difficult problems. Also good would be making simple tasks simpler.
The bad would be managers who hire cheap, incompetent people to use AI to create crappy, buggy code that they don't understand.
I suspect that we will see a bit of both.
Prepare for a tsunami of bugs

...the worst tech companies on the planet, Nintendo and Apple are in a close race for gold

Smart kids who want to learn don't destroy their tools

Established businesses pay taxes
Governments offer tax breaks to attract new business
Established businesses come up with strategies to relocate or reinvent in order to get tax breaks
The end game is that no businesses pay tax
Seems unsustainable

The early AI chatbots were mostly useless crap generators
Now, they are starting to get useful, not nearly as useful as the hypemongers claim, but genuinely useful
The demos look very impressive, but there is a big difference between a carefully made demo and real deployment

My crystal balls say...
Some competent workers will use AI tools effectively to improve their productivity and quality
Some less competent workers will use AI tools to generate crap that may cause lots of problems
Other competent workers will continue doing their work as they have always done it because AI can't effectively help them

The hypemongers, pundits and futurists are always far ahead of reality. I admire their creativity, but also apply more than a bit of skeptical analysis

...increasingly useless as they push ads and suggested content
It's hard to imagine that AI slop will make it worse

..a future AI that can actually find tricky bugs and security problems
Unfortunately, today, scumballs gotta scumball
It will get a lot worse before it gets better

I use perplexity, claude and gemini
I ask questions and get answers
Some are surprisingly good, others are reasonable if incomplete
I see no hint of "juicing engagement"
It's important to recognize that these models are all "work in progress" and that various strategies are being tried and modified as development continues

...one aspect may be the abundance of poorly trained graduates.
The conventional wisdom is that everyone needs to go to college, talented or not.
The best of the best are not having problems.
The students who either have no talent or spent their time socializing, binge drinking and cheating on exams will have big problems.
College should be about training the mind, not slouching through with minimum effort to "tick off a box" in a list of requirements

...easily design a new, reliable system at a reasonable cost
But only if bureaucrats and profiteers didn't get involved
What happens instead is that bureaucrats waste a tremendous amount of time and money on paperwork before awarding the contract to a profiteer who sees the contract as a cash cow to be milked for every cent possible while hiring cheap, incompetent people to do the work

If I'm in the market for a product or service, I request pitches from all suppliers
Suppliers send me their pitches, precisely targeted to my request without unrelated spam
When I decide to buy or not buy, the pitches stop, really stop
This would be useful

Today's so-called "targeted" ads suck mightily
I get ads for stuff I already bought
I get ads for stuff I looked at once and had no interest in
I get random ads that don't fit me at all
I get the same ad, over and over

I'm a glassworker and for years glassworkers have used facebook to show and sell their work.
Then scammers appeared and copied all of the photos of famous artists' work and offered them for sale at very low prices. Of course, nothing was ever delivered.
When the legitimate artists, whose photos were copied, informed facebook, nothing was done. When lots of other artists also informed facebook, nothing was done.
It appears that facebook does not care at all about these scams

At best, it's a gamble, at worst a scam
Gambling is a tax on people who are bad at math
Borrowing money to gamble is stupid
The government can not, and should not try to pass laws against stupidity

I wonder if they indirectly cause more crashes because they drive so slug-slow and regular drivers need to execute risky maneuvers to get around them

...with Gemini
I asked it for a graph and it replied something like
"I can't display the graph but you can search for it using these terms"
WTF?
A google tool can't use google?