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Comment Re:To be clear (Score 1) 174

That's the problem. Beyond good and evil, the Russian system is cruel. If you are not on top, you are being abused. Ukrainians got the short end in Holodomor, and then took control of the government to make sure it wouldn't happen again. Kruschchev, Brezhnev, Gorbachev, even Andropov were all Ukrainian, at least partially. They didn't want to be abused. They couldn't let Beria win, he would abused them even more.

There are plenty of Ukrainian sympathizers in the Russian government, even today. If Ukraine shows they are stronger than Putin and make a serious push for control, then the government and people will support them.

Comment Re:To be clear (Score 1) 174

It may not be entirely provable, but I entirely blame Bush Jr for the entire debacle. If he had been willing to work with Saddam instead of trying to invade the country, then Putin wouldn't have gone into full militaristic mode. The ideal is that we can have a world where we solve disagreements without killing each other. Russians were largely on board with that until Bush went out of his way to prove it false.

Bush lied people died, and Putin concluded that the world is still one where they need to maintain full security of their surroundings (including Ukraine).

Comment Re:To be clear (Score 1) 174

Russia is currently in the process of losing its supply lines for the whole south of Ukraine. Leaving quite a large number of Russians completely exposed and virtually helpless.

That is their current dilemma. We will see if they can manage to find a solution or not.

If they can't, it will be rather hilarious, in a dark humor sort of way.

Comment Re:To be clear (Score 1) 174

What BS logic is this?

Russian is weak. Their weapons are trash. If Ukraine had been supported properly, the trenches wouldn't matter.

In Syria, Russian forces attacked 40 US marines with a force of 500 troops. The Russians lost half their troops. The Americans had a single soldier injured.

The Soviet army mainly oppressed its own people. That's why it's not good.

Comment Re:To be clear (Score 3, Interesting) 174

Nice comment. We now know that Biden didn't want to win the war, because he was afraid of nukes.

In modern war, the side with air superiority wins the war. The side with air superiority has weapons that can attack but can't be attacked back: that's too huge an advantage. The entire reason that Ukraine didn't fall in three months is because somehow Russia failed to establish air superiority. Ukraine managed to shoot airplanes out of the sky if they got too close. So it's a situation where neither side has superiority: a stalemate. Ukraine is building up their airforce. When they've built it up enough to establish air superiority, they will win the war. European industrial production is powerful.

Drones are a challenge for Russia. As you cleverly called them, Wunderwaffen have come up from time to time in the conflict, from HIMARS to Baryaktar. They've presented challenges to the Russian military, but so far the Russian military has found a solution every time. Russia has presented problems to Ukraine as well, such as motorcycles and glide bombs. Ukraine has found an answer for them as well.

Currently drones have halted or maybe reversed the Russian advance. Russia is working on a solution, and we will see if they overcome this challenge. If they can't it will be an embarrassing loss, much like Finland.

The real question will be if Russia can stop Ukraine's growing airforce. Currently Russia is losing anti-air systems faster than they can be replaced. Russia doesn't have the technology to match NATO air weapons, so the answer is no. But it might take until 2030.

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