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Comment Re:Good for those allies (Score 1) 71

Biden was unwilling to give sufficient weapons to Ukraine because he was afraid of nukes. Ukraine didn't trust America either.

Right now, neither side has sufficient drones defense. Over the next year or so, Ukraine will build up their own drone/missile defenses (I haven't heard of Russia working on this, but eventually they will). In the mean time, Ukraine is sharply focused on building air superiority. In two or three years when they achieve that, the war will end.

Comment Re:Not the real problem (Score 1) 115

It is stupid to plant almonds in California and if things get really bad we can cut those trees down. If we have to cut our alfalfa, cotton and sugarcane use, it will affect us but not wipe us out. Rice is an issue - we really need it despite the water costs so that might cause some problems.

Rice is grown in northern California, where water is less of an issue.

Comment Re:Put a price on water - tragedy of the commons (Score 1) 115

So California passed laws saying the farmers had to use their water or lose it. So farmers use it. If we instead allowed the farmers to sell the water then the most efficient users of water would buy it.

It's true that market inefficiencies are an issue here.

Sometimes you want to prioritize agriculture over an efficient market. If you mess it up, people die. Many other regulations are the same way: they alter the free market. It's illegal to efficiently sell your services as a hitman, no matter how profitably.

Comment Re:Good for those allies (Score 1) 71

Neither the Ukrainian army nor the Russian army can perform maneuver warfare. You don't need air superiority but you do need to be able to stand off the enemy air support.

Trenches would be a good solution in that case, except that Ukraine doesn't have sufficient troops to man them adequately.

No one has enough troops to man the trenches adequately. That is why the mobile army army will win: they attack where the enemy isn't. The mobile army will crash through the trenches like a blitzkreig through the Maginot Line.

Cheap drone defenses are here. If you don't have them, you will lose as quickly as Venezuela. Ultimately they're just a smart form of artillery.

Comment Re:Argument from ignorance (Score 1) 220

No, that's not how that works. If you make a claim, you have to back it up.

There is no law like that.

If you want to know something, the burden is on you to find out. You can try to assign it to someone else (which is what you have done), but if they don't rise to the occasion, it doesn't mean they are wrong, it means you don't know the answer.

If you say, "The burden of proof is on you!" and they roll their eyes and walk away, it doesn't mean you are right or they are right. It means the issue is undecided.

Comment Re:Argument from ignorance (Score 1) 220

in rhetoric/oratory, both sides (or just the speaker) are trying to convince the audience, so the situation is different. In that case, very practically, the burden of proof is on the person who wants to convince the audience (in a reductionist way, we could say the audience accepts the null hypothesis by default).

In most internet discussions, the situation is different. Telling someone "the burden of proof is on you" is just a lazy/casual way of saying, "I don't believe you."

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