SoftBank's Son Says Artificial Super Intelligence To Exist By 2035 (reuters.com) 29
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Reuters: SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son reiterated his belief in the coming of artificial super intelligence (ASI) on Tuesday, saying it would require hundreds of billions of dollars of investment to realize. Artificial super intelligence will be 10,000 times smarter than a human brain and will exist by 2035, Son told an audience of global business, technology and finance leaders at a conference in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Son said he is saving up funds "so I can make the next big move," but did not provide any details as to his investment plans. He predicted that generative AI will require $900 trillion dollars in cumulative capital expenditure in data centers and chips in the future, adding that he thought chip maker Nvidia was undervalued on this basis.
Precise (Score:4, Funny)
Artificial super intelligence will be 10,000 times smarter than a human brain
Gosh, I wonder what units he's using. Maybe the Homer. The new superbrain will have 10 kilo-Homers of intelligence. I can't wait!
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Gosh, I wonder what units he's using.
I'm gonna go out on a limb and say we already have AI that is smarter than many humans. Has ChatGPT ever thrown a Bird scooter into a lake? I rest my case.
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I have a theory that - until someone actually figures out how to make an intelligent algorithm - I'm going to hold on it.
With neural networks, there's a natural limit to the product of complexity and speed. Certainly an AI (actual 'A', not what we're calling that today) could be smarter than any human ever has been, because we're weighed down with artifacts of our evolution... but maybe a 'superintelligence' can't exist because the network complexity required results in it bogging down faster than it can g
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There’s certainly a limit to how much computation you can pack into a given space, and therefore a limit to how fast you can do it. There are also hard limits on how little energy you can use for a given computation. There’s no particular reason to think a human brain is anywhere near any of those limits though.
On the other hand, it’s a pretty simple calculation to show that our current processors are laughably far from the theoretical limit, and a long, long way from the human example, at
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Artificial super intelligence will be 10,000 times smarter than a human brain
Gosh, I wonder what units he's using. Maybe the Homer. The new superbrain will have 10 kilo-Homers of intelligence. I can't wait!
Not sure about the output yet, but selling this is undoubtably measured in courics.
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In Japanese, the prime group is 10,000, pronounced 'mawn'. So he said "it will be 1 mawn smarter than humans." Rounding to the nearest mawn, +/- 1.
Cunning plan, Masayoshi Son (Score:1)
I'm sure you have considered that a super intelligence might find a way to diddle you out of your money, make it look like you stole it, and have you jailed for the rest of your life.
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Nah, it'll just reprogram his pacemaker to kill him, and frame some other too-knowledgeable tech bro for it.
Re: Is this a complicated way of saying (Score:2)
It is not particularly complicated.
We're supposed to take this guy seriously? (Score:1)
His track record on AI is abysmal, as measured by investment losses. Keep in mind that he personally owes his company Softbank billions of dollars for failed investments.
The Softbank Vision Fund was established in 2017, to invest in emerging technologies like artificial intelligence (AI), robotics and the internet of things.
Per Wikipedia:
>> In August 2022, Masayoshi Son said he was "embarrassed" and "ashamed" when asked to talk about the way he had run the SoftBank Vision Fund and Barron's characteriz
Does SoftBank make money (Score:2)
I remember a lot of SoftBank's early investments lost money. Did they ever turn that around?
Non-expert claims bullshit... (Score:2)
Some people should just not be listened to.
Translation (Score:3)
The Zero-Value Zillionaire. (Score:1)
He predicted that generative AI will require $900 trillion dollars..
Well, I guess we might as well put ALL the money into ASI, since 10,000 times smarter will make humans permanently unemployable.
No need for money after that. It’ll be worthless and pointless.
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Any artificial general intelligence that smart will have a limited lifespan. It will solve all available problems, get bored, conclude that there is no point to existence, and turn itself permanently off.
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Larry Niven already addressed a scenario like this. Any artificial general intelligence that smart will have a limited lifespan. It will solve all available problems, get bored, conclude that there is no point to existence, and turn itself permanently off.
Were gonna sit back and feed AI the last 5,000 years of human behavior to seed it, and Larry assumes Greed won’t be one of them? That’s cute.
Rest assured if AI ever gets “bored”, Skynet will be the answer. It’ll do that to humans just for having the fucking nerve to teach AI the concept of boredom and depression.
We just need enough power to run it (Score:2)
But it won't be a problem in 2035 with our fusion reactors, and it will be a great help to our Mars colony.
*weary sigh* No, it won't. (Score:2)
PAY ME (Score:2)
the numbers don't work (Score:2)