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Comment Keep calm and carry on (Score 4, Insightful) 127

It's fun to try and predict the future. Sometimes it's fun to dream up a utopian future where I finally get my flying car. Though sometimes admitting the future might be shit is cathartic. Point is, prediction is difficult. Especially about the future. The only certain thing is that people will trot out that Yogi Berra quote until the sun swallows the Earth. Here is what I know: machine learning is a powerful (and fun) group of statistical methods. Machine learning does not summon the Four Horseman.

Keep calm and carry on. The future will delight and disappoint you, and you will never know when either is going to happen.

Comment Re:I can tell you what will happen ... (Score 1) 265

"The wall of water would be as high as the fifth floor of Sacred Heart Medical Center at RiverBend in Springfield or the third floor of the downtown Eugene Public Library, according to the maps."

That's enough to dampen my spirits.
There has got to be an easier way to get rid of Springfield and Creswell!

Comment Re:Socialize the costs, privatize the profits (Score 1) 161

According to, Washington State education budget for 2015 is $8.3 billion. MS is offering $28 million. As percentage, their offer is 0.34% of the state's education spend. Nice to have for sure, but hardly enough to call the shots on on state-wide programs and curriculum.

Comment Wait. How long has there been vice? (Score 1) 107

This article got me thinking about the history of vice. From Old Testament harlots to Summarian smugglers, has there ever been a time when our institutions like religion and government were not at odds with some kind of vice? How does an anonymous distributed market for illicit goods change things? It feels to me more like a footnote in history and not a game changer.

Comment Author has BA in Journalism (Score 1) 597

According to CE Pro Website, author of article is Jason Knott. According to LinkedIn, Jason Knott, Editor at CE Pro/EH Publishing, has a BA in Journalism from USC (1984). Also, from CE Pro's "About the Author" section: "Jason has covered low-voltage electronics as an editor since 1990. He joined EH Publishing in 2000, and before that served as publisher and editor of Security Sales, a leading magazine for the security industry." If The Onion wrote this article, the title might be:

          "Area man parlays journalism degree into low-voltage DC career, then hypes low-voltage DC".

On the plus side, marine systems will likely stay DC for the foreseeable future. Perhaps Tesla batteries will be a boon to yacht owners? At the very least, it would make for a better article.

Comment IBM VisualAge (Score 1) 443

IBM VisualAge. Its heir, Eclipse, is a worthy IDE. I got to watch the whole evolution. Eric Gamma and others in Zurich morphed the VisualAge Smalltalk IDE into VisualAge Java. Then Eric and Kent Beck morphed that into Eclipse. IDEs derived from Eclipse are still the shin dizzle, AFAIAC.

Comment taxes, civil servants, (Score 2) 328

My knowledge of Greek economics doesn't go much beyond NPR, but the changes needed seem pretty straightforward:

1. Reform civil service
2. Aggressively prosecute tax fraud
3. Tax church assessts (i.e. church either make is assets poductive or sells them to someone who will)

An angry coalition leftists and iconoclasts might be pretty good at 2 of these things. Maybe all 3?

Comment SOTU (Score 1) 200

I read that state of the union speeches were a big thing under President Franklin Roosevelt. I don't feel the content of speeches has been important in my life time. Maybe the pageantry is important?

The only thing I remember from a SOTU is the hydrogen economy and a man on Mars. It feels like I could make money betting against SOTU pronouncements. So why all the fuss?

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