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Comment Re:Lithography (Score 1) 28

"Not having access to ASML's lithography [wikipedia.org] puts any of these efforts at a pretty serious disadvantage."

From the summary: "The chip is designed for inference"

Inference is more constrained by memory latency and capacity than by compute. You don't need EUV tools for DRAM (yet) and CXMT and YMTC have capacity. You can get pretty far on a mature logic node if you can pile on the memory.

Comment Re:Good luck with that (Score 2) 47

"They're 3x higher than Starlink's satellites so you can expect (a minimum of) 3x latency."

Even without knowing the specific values, you can reason that 3x orbital radius would mean a *maximum* of 3x latency because both a) the baseline from each ground station to the point under the satellite contacted by the base station* and b) the delay through the processing circuitry are not zero.

*: any satellite to satellite latency would increase with a higher orbit.

Comment Re:Spot on... (Score 1) 70

" It feels outright insulting to asked to read LLM output in a context where it is *supposed* to be human feedback."

More insulting or less insulting than having your human feedback rejected because someone claims it is LLM output?

What's this criterion does is provide non-falsifiable cover for rejecting anything.

Comment Re:US senators ae shiteaters who swallow (Score 1) 131

"Supersonic flight is incredibly noisy"

A ban by Mach number permits noisy planes as long as they fly slow... which means that you are exposed to the noise for longer. (Which is why actual airport noise limits are time-weighted.)

The actual problem is the noise, so regulate the noise.

Comment Re:I feel like this signals something. (Score 1) 93

" is that a signal that we've about hit the peak of the memory demand / high-price cycle"

There's two ways the cycle peaks:
a) there's a bubble and it bursts. In this case this is just a money grab.
b) There's a secular trend and suppliers increase their growth rate to meet it. Growth in futures contracts becomes the justification for growth in capex.

The data supports the presence of a secular trend on top of the cycle, but memory suppliers keep getting burnt.

Comment Re:Because they can. (Score 4, Insightful) 125

They raised prices because they can. The shortage gave them cover.

What really made it blatant was that they also raised prices in their Certified Refurbished store. You know, the store for shit which RAM costs were already long-ago paid.

-1, economically illiterate

The increased prices for new items will increase demand for refurbished items. In the short term the supply of refurbished items is constant so the price goes up. In the long term, this creates an incentive to refurbish more marginal items that would require more parts and labor than they could have previously recovered.

Comment Let's play "Big Number or Small Number" (Score 1) 56

A day-over-day change of less than 5% in an index like the NASDAQ or S&P500 is not a big number. The median investor has no reason to be looking at day-over-day changes at all. If you can't stomach a single digit percentage drop, first stop looking at the day-over-day changes and second and then get out of stocks.

Comment Re:Honestly doesn't seem that bad? (Score 1) 58

"Canonical's announcement doesn't use the term 'AI' anywhere in it."

STTs are not LLMs, but they are AI that use CNNs and RNNs.

The models Canonical mentions by name are Whisper, Parakeet, Nemotron, and Qwen3-ASR (https://github.com/canonical/myna/blob/main/docs/architecture/Myna%20-%20System%20Architecture.png).

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