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Value of Bitcoin "Crashes" 709
souravzzz writes with an update on the state of Bitcoin. Quoting the Ars Technica article: "Bitcoin, the world's first peer-to-peer digital currency, fell below $3 on Monday. That represents a 90 percent fall since the currency hit its peak in early June."
That's still three times its value in April 2011.
Bitcoin (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Insightful)
You may have lost money on it, but somebody gained. Currency speculation has been around a long time. Most currencies aren't as volatile because there is a government making a monetary policy to control it. Bitcoin is a real opportunity for speculators.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Insightful)
Oh, that's nice. I can give my money to speculators! Let me get right on that.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Informative)
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Gives me a return and guarentees my money will be available?
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They don't actually guarantee that your money will be available. And neither does the FDIC. The FDIC sort of promises you can get some of your money back, eventually, but how long eventually is, and whether or not your money has any worth if they have to go on a printing spree ...
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They don't actually guarantee that your money will be available. And neither does the FDIC. The FDIC sort of promises you can get some of your money back, eventually, but how long eventually is, and whether or not your money has any worth if they have to go on a printing spree ...
The FDIC can't go on a printing spree. I'm not sure if you're not familiar with the FDIC, or if you simply didn't provide the subject for your "they". It should read:
"The FDIC guarantees your bank deposits, but does not guarantee that the Federal Government that the FDIC is not a part of won't print money"
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Come back when you know whats actually going on in the world.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Insightful)
In other news, there are no "sure things" in this world. If Vladimir Putin goes nuts and unleashes Russia's nukes, clean water and non-radioactive food is going to be a worth a whole lot more than dollars, bitcoins, or gold. In the meantime, comparing Bitcoin losing half it's value in 2 days to the chance that you won't get your federally insured deposit money back is absurd.
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So invest in the new Quantum money - QuantumCoin! (Score:3)
With QuantumCoin, your money can both be there and not be there at the same time. So, even if the balance says you're broke one day, just come back tomorrow ...
Unlike BitCoin, QuantumCoins have (at least) two sides. And if you DO lose a QuantumCoin, just check in the cracks in the couch - even if you lost it outside, because QuantumCoins can still re-appear in places other than where they were lost (they're the rev
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"What do you think your bank does with your money?"
Rolling around naked in it laughing like maniacs...
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Funny)
Rolling around naked in it laughing like maniacs...
And this is why I no longer use cash.
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That only applies for current / savings accounts, who's interest rates barely keep up with inflation. If your balance stays still, you're losing money.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Insightful)
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They can do what they want as long as I can get back what it says on my balance. Are you seriously this [redacted]ing stupid?
Hmmm, how to put this...let's say TechLA put 1000 BitCoin into the BitCoin bank on Friday. Then on Sunday he withdrew 1000 BitCoin from the BitCoin bank. In other words, the BitCoin bank payed out what it said on the balance. TechLA's complaint is that he could only buy about half the stuff with that 1000 BitCoins on Sunday as he could on Friday. A similar thing can happen with ot
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Informative)
So to answer your question, yes, it's directly comparable.
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Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Insightful)
You mean Bitcoin is directly comparable to the currency of an unstable currency like Zimbabwe's that I also would never dream of transferring any of my comparatively rock-stable $US to.
I do believe you are completely correct in that.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Funny)
Great marketing campaign. "Bitcoins: Hey, it's not as bad as Zimbabwe!"
So to answer your question, yes, it's directly comparable.
No, it isn't.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Insightful)
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Are you honestly comparing 2 days with 10 years of handpicked "highest recent inflations"?
Yes. It's a talent of mine. Why, in recent days I've compared Bush to Hitler, a mountain to a molehill, Tea Party Activists to Holocaust victims, apples to oranges, and Milla Jovovitch to Christina Hendricks.
~Loyal
Answer Key: greater, greater, greater, greater, lesser.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Interesting)
Too bad you never took any economics courses. You'd almost be spot-on if not for a few tiny oversights.
Too bad you never took any economics courses.
Speaking as part of the 1%, just FYI.
Sigh.
I am part of the 1%. I also did complete economics (Money, Banking and Financial Markets). I also know that because money is used a measure of value in barter, the market sets the value for any form of money. The bitcoinites seem to miss a very important point - there is no value in electricity already spent unless value has been added. The only value of a currency is to represent the value added by the next link in the chain of production.
Farmer grows sunflower crop (adds value by expending work to make something that the next person wants)
Vegetable oil refinery uses sunflower seeds to make vegetable oil (added value is something that people can cook with)
Supermarket makes oil available to shoppers (added value is to the shopper that purchases all groceries at the same place)
All that is value being added!
How about normal currency?
State takes worthless paper and, using electricity and effort and time, makes legal tender (the value added to the paper is the promise that all vendors within that jurisdiction will accept that paper as payment, and they can always redeem it for actual value with the state)
The secondary value added by dealing with the paper (or any other similar state-backed currency) is the secure knowledge that it can be used to measure value in any amount of arbitrary products - it's the base of reference for value.
Now, bitcoins?
Miner takes electricity and produces unique combination of numbers (No added value, as those numbers have no legal status as a measure of value in any nation)
Those numbers can be exchanged for items of value, but said items value is not measured in those numbers, it is measured in the currency described above
Those numbers are accepted by an insignificant minority of vendors, rendering them even more worthless.
At this point, bitcoins aren't a currency because a currency has to be universally recognised as a measure of wealth in that jurisdiction. Bitcoins are simply an item of value to barter with, much like swapping a pocket of potatoes for a crate of tomatoes. Unfortunately, the value bitcoins possess differs from person to person in the same jurisdiction (some value it close to nothing, others hoard it in anticipation of future payoff) so the bartering is unpredictable and thus it even fails as an item of barter. Even worse, the only way to measure it's value (from zero to infinite) is by using the existing ruler - namely the actual currency of that jurisdiction.
Bitcoins are a lovely idea, but the idea has no grounding in reality. Posts below mine explain all this very well for non-economics people; I'll just add that a real currency has a measure of worth that is independent of other currencies. For example, a single ZAR is backed by the South African Government. The country as a whole has value that is expressed by the GDP (irrespective of actual units of measure, the GDP is still a statement of value!). That single ZAR is a slice of that value. A bitcoin, OTOH, has no value that can be expressed as the product of a jurisdiction. This is because it does not represent any sort of value.
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You have heard of the FDIC, right?
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2: That only protects the first $250,000 per individual, per bank.
3: Insurance companies, even federal level ones, can also go bust.
Yes, the FDIC or equivalent helps, but it's very
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The real problem IMHO is that hackers have pissed in the punch by writing trojans to steal them and are using armies of botnets to mine them.
So now bitcoins are derisively aggregated with everything else nefarious that black hats are up to.
One may as well try to deal in booze during prohibition.
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Actually, that's how my family made its money when it moved here: bootlegging during prohibition. They did very well for themselves. But, bitcoin, that's just a tax on people who suck at macroeconomics.
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Assuming you understand macroeconomics...How so? I am honestly wondering. I don't know much about economics but many of the people who think bitcoin is a good idea actually seem to have a very good grasp of macroeconomics.
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There is.
Coca Cola in the USA on average costs $1.25US a can from a vending machine or singles from a store, my experience.
A superior Coca Cola made with sugar instead of corn syrup on average costs $0.75 a glass bottle from the stores I went to when I was in Mexico City for 2 months, one small store had them for 9 pesos instead of the common 10 peso price I was seeing. When I was there 10 pesos was about $0.75US
In china I have heard it's even cheaper but in the smaller cool cans.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Informative)
No, the real problem is that bitcoin is not backed by anything. Old currencies were backed by a precious metal. If you had one Pound Sterling, then the Bank of England would give you one pound of sterling silver. Modern fiat currencies are backed by a promise from the government that they will accept them in payment of taxes. Bitcoin was backed by some pointless computation.
If a bitcoin had been a promise to do some computation work in the future, then it may have had some value, because people need computational work done. For example, something like Amazon's compute cloud could potentially back a currency, because the service of running a VM for some number of CPU seconds is fungible and - importantly - people actually want it. No one wants the work that is done to generate a bitcoin, so the coin itself is worthless. Its value is based entirely on the premise that other people will want it in the future, but that's just a pyramid scheme.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Informative)
Let's be clear here -- no currency is backed by anything, ever. Sure, "old currencies" were backed by a precious metal. What was that backed by? The answer to "why do currencies have value" is that _nobody knows_. The different schools of economics all have different theories, but macroeconomics is not, despite what people say, a science.
The theory backing bitcoins is largely based on the (non-mainstream) ideas of Austrian economics; which claim that currencies have value almost entirely because they are scarce, fungible, and useless. That is, their value as an exchange medium far exceeds their value as physical objects. Incidentally, Austrian economics is pretty much the only school of economics to openly acknowledge that it is not a scientific theory.
Fiat money qualifies easily -- nobody is burning dollars for heat or using them for wallpaper, and the scarcity is guaranteed by the issuing government (although easily abused, and sometimes catastrophically, which is why Austrian's tend not to like fiat currencies).
Gold qualifies with caveats; it's clearly "money", but it suffers from portability and verifiability problems unless it's minted into a form that is hard to reproduce (the old-old-school approach) or vouchers are issued that can be redeemed for stored gold (the newer-old-school approach). The vouchers then become money in their own right, since their scarcity is tied to the scarcity of the underlying metal, and they're just as fungible and useless. But almost universally, governments (and unscrupulous banks, and sometimes even scrupulous banks) abuse the fact that the holder of a voucher can't see the gold to steal the gold; effectively disconnecting the scarcity of the two. Same goes for silver, though less dramatic.
It's surprisingly hard to come up with examples of things that are scarce, fungible, and useless that are have not been used as currencies. Even things that violate one of these things is often used as money in a barter sense or in the short term (i.e. cigarettes in prison, wampum among east-coast Native Americans, Facebook game fun-dollars, baseball cards, or the Iraqi Swiss Dinar).
So this is what Bitcoins are -- they are nothing but pure scarcity, fungibility, and uselessness. The portability is nice, except that transactions are tricky (since there's no real "receipt" mechanism -- verifying that a customer has paid his bill requires funky gymnastics), all use of it is dependent on the accessibility of the internet, and the scarcity is conditional on there being sufficient computing power applied to the problem. But aside from those, it really should work. And the fact that they are worth anything at all (that people are willing to buy them at any non-zero price) is a big deal.
In terms of price stability, this is a complicated phenomenon; Austrian's generally do not consider price increases to be the same as inflation (a purely semantic distinction). What causes price changes are complicated, and can not be reduced to a simple rule, because at any moment, technological progress and other myriad phenomenon are messing with prices that affect, to a small extent, everyone in the supply chain of every business in the world, and that effect get compounded over time. The most visible form of this is the supply chain of money itself, through the mechanisms of banking and credit.
So why is the Bitcoin value so volatile? (Now we're in the realm of pure speculation on my part) Because there's no supply chain to keep prices stable. No supply chain of any sort; a restaurant that accepts bitcoins can not buy silverware, or food, or paper cups, or cash register tape, or POS systems, or pay rent in Bitcoins. There are no mechanisms for loaning bitcoins; in either direction -- there are no banks that will pay you to lend them your bitcoins, and no banks that will assess your trustworthiness and income and lend you the money lent to them. So the price floats, while people try to figure out how to provide baseline services (like web hosting), s
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So why is the Bitcoin value so volatile? (Now we're in the realm of pure speculation on my part) Because there's no supply chain to keep prices stable. No supply chain of any sort; a restaurant that accepts bitcoins can not buy silverware, or food, or paper cups, or cash register tape, or POS systems, or pay rent in Bitcoins.
Also, there is no critically necessary good which can only be purchased by bitcoins. If it bought you protection from, say, hackers, in a way that no other currency could, it would have a standard amount of value.
Imagine in the ancient past, before currency was quite standardized, but feudal governments are willing to trade your loyalty for protection from wild animals, bandits, and the like. Part of "your loyalty", naturally, is taxes, which must be of standardized value. If you don't pay a given amount
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That's true of all money (including gold).
Re:Bitcoin (Score:4, Insightful)
I don't understand why people feel so strongly that a currency needs to be a commodity first.
Not the point which was made. Currency being a commodity is *one* way to back it. Bitcoin doesn't have that. Another way would be lots of people using it for trading goods, by having a significant power structure (like a country) standing for it etc. As far as I can tell Bitcoin doesn't have backing in the form of the named examples, or in any other form.
its value cannot be manipulated by a central group of people in the same way as fiat.
Unfortunately that's not correct, a small number of people who got in early own most bitcoins. That's not technical problem of currencies like Bitcoin - but it is one Bitcoin has, specifically.
Even worse - the Bitcoin supply itself is finite and very small (compared with economies of entire countries). So it has no chance to ever become stable, and even if it did it would suffer the same problem the gold standard had, i.e. being inherently deflationary.
Bitcoin is interesting because it makes you think about how currencies work, but unfortunately it's not set up to become a viable currency. Either because someone didn't think enough about how currencies work, or because becoming a viable currency wasn't actually the goal.
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Can anyone explain the purpose of "speculators"? When I ask "What do speculators produce?" the answer seems to always be, "Speculators produce liquidity in the market."
That sounds suspiciously like when my mom used to say "Because I said so."
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Informative)
Can anyone explain the purpose of "speculators"? When I ask "What do speculators produce?" the answer seems to always be, "Speculators produce liquidity in the market."
That sounds suspiciously like when my mom used to say "Because I said so."
When speculators are right, they even out price fluctuations by buying when they believe a commodity is unreasonably cheap, and selling when it's expensive. The act of buying makes the 'cheap' price more expensive by taking some of the commodity off the market, and conversely selling when expensive makes the commodity cheaper at that time. In non-price terms, speculators soak up surpluses when they exist, and add extra supply in times of shortage.
When speculators are wrong or generally stupid, all hell breaks loose. Careless/stupid speculators buy in a rising market, driving the price up faster, then all sell at the same time when they realise that prices can go down as well as up, causing and then bursting a classic bubble.
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It's not just stupid speculators that cause bubbles.
People trying to manipulate the market can do the same thing.
The difference is that they know damn well what they are doing.
Re:Bitcoin (Score:5, Interesting)
Speculators are a capacitor. Storing charge when the voltage is above the mean level, dumping charge when below.
Market manipulators are an external power supply, forcing the mean level up then down.
If speculators have more resources than the manipulators, the manipulation will fail, otherwise it succeeds.
-nB
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It's also skewed, because even if it is true that inflation promotes investment (debatable), it erodes the savings (irrefutable) that are necessary for a robust economy. So the relatively affluent (who have money to invest) benefit, the relatively poor (who are
it's only off 45% from its medial value. (Score:2)
How big a fall is depends on where you measure it.
It is volatile. THere's a difference between something that is volatile and something the either crashes or always goes up.
I'm pretty sure there are serious problems with bit coins model that lacks a central bank or reserve system (though as some have pointed out it' not impossible a country could adopt it as a currency and provide a reserve system. That would make no sense for a major country, but for a banana republic that did not trust it's own leadership
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I'm pretty sure there are serious problems with bit coins model that lacks a central bank or reserve system
How would you implement a centralized control system on top of a system specifically designed to be decentralized?
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the real problem is the level of adoption and liquidity. In the history of money, the crash of money ( and the rise ) is always based on the availability of liquidity. the more people that adopt the currency, the less likelihood that there will be a crash of the currency, because the currency will have a perceived value.
to you a historical example of liquidity : If you recall, in the temple where jesus flipped the tables, it was all money changers. another example was the Knights Templers usage of letters o
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Money IRL is backed by debt, a promise to honor the debt by a central bank. Currency has some stability because people have fairly reasonable expectations that a government will pay back its debt, but it's not 100% trustworthy (just look at Greece).
The problem with Bitcoin is that it's not tied to an index (e.g. 1 bitcoin = 1 US dollar) nor is it backed by anyone.
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No. Government bonds are backed by a promise to honor the debt. Money is just money, if you have a $5 note it will be worth $5 tomorrow and that's all you can say. it might buy half as much stuff tomorrow as today if you happen to be experiencing hyper inflation. The only promise involved is that the government will use its powers of force to make creditors accept that currency for debt payments and that the government itself will accept payments to it in that currency.
There's an expectation that the govern
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People keep saying that BitCoin will have it's value as long as people keep using it and that you're not supposed to get rich by mining. But that isn't even the problem. I transferred some cash to BitCoins and back on Friday and it was paid out to me on Sunday. By the time I got the transfer, it had lost almost half of its value. Now imagine if that would constantly happen with your real money.
Ummm, that does happen with your real money. Have you looked at the stock markets and the international exchange rates lately?!
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I transferred some cash to BitCoins and back on Friday and it was paid out to me on Sunday. By the time I got the transfer, it had lost almost half of its value. Now imagine if that would constantly happen with your real money.
That happens with real money too, you know. There's this wonderful thing called hyperinflation, which if left unchecked leads to money with preposterous values printed on it. An example would be Zimbabwe dollar, which had bills worth several million dollars. It became so bad a couple of years ago that the days the 100.000.000 dollar bill was first printed, the 200.000.000 dollar bill was announced. They abandoned their currency that year and currently trade in foreign currency if I'm not mistaken. I know Zi
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bitbubble? (Score:2)
Speculation (Score:3)
The majority of bitcoins is in the hands of a handful who cash in large quantities from time to time thus crashing the market.
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The majority of bitcoins is in the hands of a handful who cash in large quantities from time to time thus crashing the market.
This is very insightful, from someone who is obviously also in the BTC economy as I am. I'm getting disillusioned with BTC because we're creating a new set of 1%ers, these being the guys with server farms full of GPU cards. I love the idea of BTC, but I'm completely uninterested in making those guys billionaires.
The other inherent problem, is the protocol design tries pretty hard to make the rate of BTC production mostly constant over time. The problem is people are hoarding BTC "to eventually get rich"
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So you want your decentralised and anonymous system to vary the payout based on how many transactions are processed?
I think I found a flaw in the plan.
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Best one out there? Handwritten IOU notes and shiny sea shells are both more stable and more useful currencies for actual use.
Bitcoin objectively worse as a currency then any other in current use.
Re:Speculation (Score:5, Insightful)
Excellent point, and in fact Bitcoin may be one of the cleverest moneymaking scams in recent memory.
No one knows who Satoshi Nakamoto, the purported creator of the Bitcoin protocol, really is. Assuming Bitcoin ever achieved widespread adoption, he and a handful of early adopters would become the richest people on earth by default. When I pointed this out to a Bitcoin "true believer", his response was along the lines of "Well, he's a genius and deserves it." Yes, but if in fact "Mr. Nakamoto" is simply a syndicate of very clever scammers, then we would effectively be turning over a huge portion of the world's wealth to a criminal enterprise. No government is EVER going to allow that to happen.
No cryptographic currency is ever going to gain any traction if it makes early adopters obscenely wealthy just by default. Consequently, the only way anyone will ever make money from Bitcoin is via speculation. The people pushing Bitcoin are appealing to the same mentality (and lack of logic) you see with believers in gold currency. Given the long history of scams involving precious metals, there is clearly no lack of potential victims willing to throw away their money.
I assume the early Bitcoin adopters are cashing in before the entire house of cards collapses. If that was Satoshi Nakamoto's intent from the start, then my hat is off to him for committing what is essentially the perfect crime.
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To correct this, I think the next generation of digital currency should reward miners with only transaction fees. Or else have a much sharper dropoff in the reward.
It would be simple now to recompile bitcoin to give no payoff in transactions other than transaction fees, or to make the dropoff much sharper, and start a new block chain. I am betting that someone will attempt this at some point.
The initial problem that "mining" was attempting to solve was proliferation of currency: how do you get bitcoins in
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"Satoshi" ... owns not just half of the bitcoins there currently are, but half of all the bitcoins that can ever be created....
Please stop spreading lies. The limit on the maximum number of bitcoins is 21,000,000. There are currently 150,028 blocks in the chain, each of which awarded 50 new bitcoins to the miner which found it, meaning that there are at most 7,501,400 bitcoins in circulation, less however many have been lost permanently through data corruption, system crashes, deletion, etc.
Satoshi obviously can't hold "half of all the bitcoins that will ever be created" when only ~36% of them have even been mined. As for the fract
Winner: ATI (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Winner: ATI (Score:5, Insightful)
During a gold rush, sell shovels.
Bitcoin Crashes,,, (Score:4, Funny)
Bitcoin crashes after CmdrTaco leaves Slashdot.
I don't think that is just a coincidence.
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Bitcoin crashes after CmdrTaco leaves Slashdot.
I don't think that is just a coincidence.
Not a complete coincidence perhaps, but at the very least a bitcoincidence!
I'll be here all week!...Try the veal!
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Yeah, it's kinda like the stock market tanking after 9/11.
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Crash? More like correction. (Score:4, Insightful)
It seems more like a correction to me. The idea that a BTC was worth $20 or more seemed too good to be true, probably because it was.
I think BitCoin is a great concept, but it needs more of a real economy and less currency speculation. I suspect that will come once the hype dies down. Maybe now that the value has gone down, that'll happen soon.
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Sorry, but Bitcoin is only good for speculators.
A real currency needs to be widely used, and largely stable. High volatility is going to chase away anyone who intends to use them for actual currency.
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It occurs to me that if services existed that allowed us to trade faster, the current volatility wouldn't matter as much.
That is, a poster here complains that it took him 2 days to trade some BC for dollars, during which time they halved in dollar value. If he had been able to make the trade near-instantaneously, he would have suffered little, if any of that fall. So what's stopping that from happening?
Then it occurs to me, that if trading was faster, the bubbles and crashes would happen more quickly. I'm n
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The exchanges are currently operating free of charge? How do they pay for electricity?
Re:Crash? More like correction. (Score:5, Insightful)
I think BitCoin is a great concept
Except that decentralized digital cash is inherently flawed, since the tokens will always grow linearly in the number of transactions they are used for. In other digital cash systems, this problem is solved by having an issuing authority (bank, government, etc.) that accepts old tokens and issues fresh tokens. In the case of Bitcoin, no such authority exists, so the tokens are just going to keep getting bigger, and eventually they will be too large to be useful.
Not that the technical problems are going to be what kills Bitcoin. In terms of economics, Bitcoin has a shaky basis to begin with: people only accept Bitcoin because they believe that they can exchange their Bitcoin tokens for some other currency. Eventually people need to make that exchange, in order to pay their taxes, but there is no similar need to obtain Bitcoin tokens. The gap in demand is not really filled by Bitcoin's utility as a digital cash system, which is questionable to begin with because of the technical limitations on Bitcoin.
Even if somehow that did not become a problem, there is the fact that Bitcoin is an inherently deflationary currency. This creates problems with hoarding (which we are already seeing), and makes it harder to repay loans (loans are crucial to a functioning economy, despite what those "occupy" protesters tell you).
In short, the odds are against Bitcoin being successful. Really, more traditional cryptocurrency is needed, where a bank issues tokens but the tokens can still be transferred anonymously. Sadly, Bitcoin's failure will make it even harder to start a digital cash bank, since everyone will associate digital cash with Bitcoin and think that all digital cash systems suffer the same problems.
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I think BitCoin is a great concept
Except that decentralized digital cash is inherently flawed, since the tokens will always grow linearly in the number of transactions they are used for. In other digital cash systems, this problem is solved by having an issuing authority (bank, government, etc.) that accepts old tokens and issues fresh tokens. In the case of Bitcoin, no such authority exists, so the tokens are just going to keep getting bigger, and eventually they will be too large to be useful.
What? I think you may have misunderstood some aspects of Bitcoin. You can easily divide and combine bitcoins in any way you want. You can combine one thousand 0.001 bitcoins to a single bitcoin, or do the same in reverse and divide. The smallest possible unit is 0.00000001 BTC.
Bitcoin is not perfect, but this is NOT one of it's problems.
Time to invest in tulip bulbs... (Score:5, Funny)
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Daffodils are a better investment.
Unless you take the time to dig up your tulip bulbs each year- the number of tulips each consecutive year goes down.
Daffodils on the other hand increase the size of their investment- you plant 10 this year- you'll have 15 next year.
Muscari bulbs would be better yet. You plant one this year- you'll have 12 trillion of them next year... they're like the tribbles of the bulb-world.
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I think you have it backwards. The more rare things are, the more they're worth. So if you take the time to dig up your bulbs each year, and some other slob doesn't, your tulips will end up being worth more. Your muscari bulbs, on the other hand, won't be worth squat once the market is flooded with 12 trillion of them.
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Valuable lesson in currency... (Score:5, Insightful)
All currencies are fiat. No matter what they're backed by. Currencies have to exist inside of a strong ecosystem that encourages their trading rather than hoarding.
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Thats exactly correct. For a good description of the properties of money, check out the following link:
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10370.html [marketoracle.co.uk]
Re:Valuable lesson in currency... (Score:5, Insightful)
Gold was already valuable before it was actually useful. If a large fraction of the value of gold was based on it's technical uses, the gold price should be more stable IMHO. The gold price is more based on a circular logic: It's valuable because everyone thinks so.
Re:Valuable lesson in currency... (Score:4, Informative)
"The gold price is more based on a circular logic: It's valuable because everyone thinks so."
Incorrect. It's called intrinsic value and gold has it. It's hard to dig up and there's not much of it. It never deteriorates (silver does) and is easy to work/subdivide (platinum isn't). It is also highly portable and easily storable (vs oil, wheat, etc). Aristotle laid it out pretty well when he wrote that something used as money should have the following properties: Durable, Portable, Divisible, Intrinsic Value
Those are the reasons gold has retained it's status for thousands of years, and continues to do so today. See my sig for confirmation even from one of our modern economic 'masterminds'. I would suggest that somewhere around nothing has changed concerning the status of gold since he said that. The fact that it looks nice and can be worn is just a bonus that influences the weak minded.
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My understanding is that the opposite is actually true. Silver for example has a lot more industrial uses than gold but the market is much more volatile. Admittedly part of the reason is that the silver market is much smaller than the gold market, but another major part has to do with the business cycle.
Your data about the silver market has been corrupted by JPMorgan and HSBC, acting in league with the Federal Reserve. Backstory here [forbes.com] and many other places. Only recently, after their activities were exposed, is the silver market calming down and returning to the historical 15:1 price parity (arising from the metals' 15:1 geologic ratio) with gold.
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Missing the point of currency (Score:2)
The point of currency in general isn't as a store of value, but as a way to facilitate transactions. Currencies are traded as a proxy for trading "stock" in a particular country's economy. When Japan does well and the USA does poorly, the dollar gets weaker against the yen. Bitcoin doesn't represent any country, so trading it seems even stranger. But until and unless there are merchants who accept Bitcoin for purchases, it doesn't seem like the system itself has much value, since as I said, the reason f
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And it cannot do that if from day to day it is worth large amounts different.
Currency only works if people have faith in it and no one with any sense would have faith in a currency that has no solid value.
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And it cannot do that if from day to day it is worth large amounts different.
Wise this is.
...and nothing of value was lost (Score:2, Insightful)
What's that in flooz? (Score:2)
Ah man, I was really hoping to unload all my flooz and beenz bucks into this too. I've really got to stop investing in currency based on commercials.
Anyone know if e-gold accepts flooz? Come on man, Whoopi's good for it.
Probably "Occupy Wallstreet" (Score:4, Funny)
Well, duh. (Score:2)
Well, duh. (It surprises me that I'm unable to find anyone else posting this comment.)
Time to burn down some forests (Score:3)
Get the value back up, you know.
bitcoin is not money, its payment method (Score:3)
Classical properties of money are: medium of exchange, unit of account and store of value.
Very few, if any, goods in bitcoin economy are sold using bitcoins as unit of account. Paying with bitcoin may be option, but goods are priced in other currency. Bitcoin prices are periodically adjusted to match price in other currency. Bitcoin clearly is not way to store value. Most people use it to speculate. Apart from limited use in paying small amounts of drugs for personal use etc. in local settings, bitcoin is not preferred medium of exchange. Because bitcoin is not used like money, it is not money. Currently bitcoin is just way to make payments (similar to debit or credit card) and speculative hobby for some.
Even very shaky third world currencies have some stability because people constantly need to buy them to pay taxes and fees. Only way I can see bitcoins becoming viable currency if some network communities or services would only accept bitcoins as payment. That would tie the value of bitcoin into something that has tangible value.
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Though there is no reason for services to do that. Locking your livelihood to something that can lose 9/10ths of its value in a few months is a guaranteed way to go bankrupt.
And in the end you have to transfer your money from coins to legal tender to pay taxes.
Economic Experiment (Score:4, Insightful)
...And nothing of value was lost. (Score:5, Insightful)
Seriously, what did you expect?
A small Bitcoin success (Score:5, Interesting)
When we started Dragon's Tale, Bitcoins were worth 5 cents, and people played for 100's at a time. When Bitcoins were $30, people played for fractions of a coin. Now that Bitcoins are $2.00 or whatever, they may spend a Bitcoin or two on a play session.
The point is that the exchange rate to dollars is irrelevant - players play at the level they're comfortable with, and our revenue (viewed in dollars) has been increasing steadily.
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So in other words, you run an illegal online casino hidden under the guise of a game.
Interesting.
Ah, Slashdot (Score:4, Funny)
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The economic model is the gold standard.