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Bitcoin

Bitcoin Falls Below $16,000 (cnbc.com) 87

Following the collapse of popular crypto exchange FTX, Bitcoin fell 12% to just under $16,000, hitting a low not seen since November 2020. "It reached its all-time high of $68,982.20 one year ago Thursday," notes CNBC. From the report: Cryptocurrencies extended their slide for a second day Wednesday as the market absorbed the potential collapse of popular crypto exchange FTX. Prices were pressured to start the day and plunged by late afternoon as Binance, the largest global exchange by volume, abandoned plans to acquire Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX after a due diligence exam and recent reports of mishandled customer funds and alleged U.S. agency investigations of FTX.

The Bankman-Fried empire quickly unraveled after a report last week showed a large part of the balance sheet at Alameda Research, the trading company where Bankman-Fried was also CEO, had been concentrated in FTX Token (FTT), the native token of the FTX trading platform. After some light sparring on Twitter with Bankman-Fried, Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao announced his company was offloading the FTT on its books, leading to a run on the popular FTX exchange and a liquidity crisis. FTX counts some of the biggest names in finance -- including SoftBank, BlackRock, Tiger Global, Thoma Bravo, Sequoia and Paradigm -- among its investors.
"Given the public-facing nature of FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried and the size of FTX, we believe that the week's events could cause some loss of consumer confidence in the crypto industry, beyond that seen in the aftermath of the 3AC, Celsius, and Voyager events that took place earlier this year," especially if panic spreads and crypto prices keep dropping, KBW analysts said in a note Tuesday. "It may take time for customers to regain trust in the industry, broadly speaking (and we think regulation could help this)."
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Bitcoin Falls Below $16,000

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  • by Anonymous Coward

    "It may take time for customers to regain trust in the industry, broadly speaking (and we think regulation could help this)."

    They don't need any new regulations. Fraud is already illegal - they just need to start enforcing it.

  • by MachineShedFred ( 621896 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:40PM (#63039731) Journal

    Step 1: crash FTX's shit token by dumping it
    Step 2: offer to bail out FTX when there is a run on their shit token causing possible insolvency
    Step 3: look at books and realize FTX is a toxic shithole loaded up with nothing but leverage and collapsing assets used as collateral for that leverage
    Step 4: say "nah, we're good" and kill the bail out, causing FTX to totally collapse and drag down the entire crypto market with it.

    They rugpulled FTX, and took billions of value with it. How's that deregulated / decentralized market working for you now?

  • by OzPeter ( 195038 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:40PM (#63039733)

    Will Bitcoin break 100k before the end of 2022? [slashdot.org] Consensus: No!

    where do you think the price bottom is for bitcoin this cycle? [slashdot.org] Consensus: Below $15k

    Wow. So the polls are good for something!

    • by xwin ( 848234 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @08:43PM (#63039887)
      It is called wisdom-of-the-crowds. It works most of the time https://www.npr.org/sections/m... [npr.org] . Works well in financial system by pricing the companies (stocks and bonds). From the marketplace money bit, the experts usually do worse than average and that is true in financial system as well.
      • In this case what it is, is hindsight bias.

        Slashdot is always negative about everything. So if something does faceplant, the slashdot predictions will be right.

        And it's true that most things do faceplant and never become good or even persist. But the relatively few exceptions are how history is made.

        • In this case what it is, is hindsight bias.

          Slashdot is always negative about everything. So if something does faceplant, the slashdot predictions will be right.

          And it's true that most things do faceplant and never become good or even persist. But the relatively few exceptions are how history is made.

          It can be said that the pessimist is rarely disappointed.

      • The problem with wisdom-of-the-crowds, is that crowds are very easily manipulated.
  • Holy crap (Score:3, Interesting)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:40PM (#63039735)
    that's it for the miners. They were barely making it at $20k. It's $15,668 as I type this. We're talking death spiral numbers now.
    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      Difficulty scales with amount of miners. As some pull out, remaining get more for the same work.

      That's in fact one of the defining features of proof of work based cryptocurrencies that survive more than a few years. Dynamic scaling of rewards with amount of work done in the total pool.

      • by Fly Swatter ( 30498 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:51PM (#63039769) Homepage
        Down scaled until the last miner is running on an old forgotten server accidentally walled off in a closet. A fitting end.
        • I think we've had enough history of crypto now to see how they end. First, bid-ask spreads on exchanges become really wide and volume becomes really low. Then days go by with no exchanges, and ultimately you're left with a source code repository that will get deleted based on the host's inactivity policy. You're also left with a bunch of hard drives with a copy of the ledger on them, and of course all the repository downloads which could in theory revive it but I'm not aware of any such resurrections. B

          • Bitcoin would most likely be one of, if not the last, crypto to which this happens.

            When it happens, can we cryptographers have our word back?

      • Re:Holy crap (Score:5, Informative)

        by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:56PM (#63039773)

        Difficulty scales with amount of miners. As some pull out, remaining get more for the same work.

        That's in fact one of the defining features of proof of work based cryptocurrencies that survive more than a few years. Dynamic scaling of rewards with amount of work done in the total pool.

        Except capital expenditures are sunk costs. If you invested in a bunch of GPUs, servers, and floor space, then you might need some steady mining profit in order to not lose your shirt.

        • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

          Yes, that's how supply and demand works. Most indebted tend to be the first ones to fall off when demand for their work goes down.

          And if you bet everything down to your shirt on speculative asset like mining rigs for cryptocurrency, that's on you.

          • Yes, that's how supply and demand works. Most indebted tend to be the first ones to fall off when demand for their work goes down.

            No it's the exact opposite here. The most indebted have the highest motivation to keep mining providing there's any remaining profit margin at all. Those without debt are those who can just bail out and go do something else.

            • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

              You appear to assume that creditors will just keep looking at lack of payments and not begin debt recovery procedures. Why?

          • Yes, that's how supply and demand works. Most indebted tend to be the first ones to fall off when demand for their work goes down.

            And if you bet everything down to your shirt on speculative asset like mining rigs for cryptocurrency, that's on you.

            Well you seemed to imply that as the bitcoin price drops the mining effort drops in rough proportion and decent profits are still possible for many (most?) miners.

            Toe problem is there's three main numbers to consider, the per unit capital cost $X (and fixed operating costs), and the operating cost $Y, and the operating revenue $Z.

            To be profitable they need $Z > $X + $Y, that seems very unlikely with the price drop.

            But for as long as $Z > $Y they'll keep mining, so that actually prevents the work from

            • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

              I understand the desire to rule out the $X to make your argument, but I don't think it's doable as you are arguing. Capital costs have been going up rapidly for everyone, and if you're operating a speculative business, your capital costs were already likely pretty high as investors expect high returns.

              This is why debt collectors would be going in pretty fast and hard for this sort of business. You need to be able to grab whatever can be liquidated before it loses too much value due to continued reduction in

        • Also correct me if I'm wrong but as Bitcoin gets closer to minting the last coin it gets more difficult to mint new coins. Bitcoin isn't all that well designed which is hardly a surprise since it was the first attempt. The problem is it was a terrible idea in the first place so there's no good reason except money laundering and scamming people to iterate or improve.
        • You can just sell your gear, it seems like the market for used GPUs hasn't collapsed completely yet.

          • You can just sell your gear, it seems like the market for used GPUs hasn't collapsed completely yet.

            "... and it's gone."

        • Difficulty scales with amount of miners. As some pull out, remaining get more for the same work.

          That's in fact one of the defining features of proof of work based cryptocurrencies that survive more than a few years. Dynamic scaling of rewards with amount of work done in the total pool.

          Except capital expenditures are sunk costs. If you invested in a bunch of GPUs, servers, and floor space, then you might need some steady mining profit in order to not lose your shirt.

          Not sure if snarky Sunk Cost Fallacy joke or serious...

    • that's it for the miners. They were barely making it at $20k. It's $15,668 as I type this. We're talking death spiral numbers now.

      My question is if this will cause the common folk to dump and take whatever profits they might have left. If so, it could definitely end in a death spiral unless the early purchasers pony up thinking it's a buying opportunity.

    • All they do is hit the "off" switch until the price rises again.

      • Ah, yes. All the miners hit the off button. Stopping all BTC commerce.
        That will certainly make the value rise.

        You kill me, dude.
    • Re:Holy crap (Score:4, Insightful)

      by StormReaver ( 59959 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @09:25PM (#63039967)

      It's $15,668 as I type this.

      And that's still $16,000 more than it's worth.

  • BTC USD $10? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward

    When did that happen?

    Crypto--It's like buying the rights to the International Star Registry or an Amish Miracle Heater, isn't it?

  • So... (Score:4, Funny)

    by gosso920 ( 6330142 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @07:56PM (#63039775)
    Buy Dogecoin?
  • I can't wait for Bitcoin and other crypto to fully collapse. I'm just tired of hearing about this biggest of speculative markets every minute of every day.

    • by elcor ( 4519045 )
      Same. Things that bring zero value needs to be value accordingly.
    • Yeah, it's time to die. Consumes an absurd amount of electricity for what amounts to little more than an unregulated international gambling scheme. ETH may have redeemed itself with a transition to POS and if it works in the long term I think it will have a future because it actually does something beyond just allowing for value speculation and money laundering.

  • Ever wanted to buy bitcoin at $1 each? You might just get your chance!
    • I would wait for it to cost 1 cent, so you can buy 1,000 bitcoins! (for 10 bucks LOL).

      I know, I know, it would be a net loss compared with their real value, but what can I say? I'm a sentimental guy.
  • Because my ugly monkey picture links are blockchained to other crypto thingies and this is not good.

  • It's not a good way to move money and it's worse than cash if you want to be anonymous. It wastes extraordinary resources to keep the network going.
  • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @08:57PM (#63039905)

    "Buy the dip!

    Please! Buy the dip! I'm sitting on a pile of these worthless crapcoins!"

    Really? Nobody yet? Is every tulip gardener still unconscious from the shock?

  • Could FTX save itself by leveraging NFTs and the awesome decentralized power of Web 3.0?
  • by BrendaEM ( 871664 ) on Wednesday November 09, 2022 @11:04PM (#63040121) Homepage
    Bitcoin is an embarrassment to the human race.
  • My single favourite thing here is that it showed up on the front page abbreviated. Just the title, Bitcoin falls below $16000. No need for the summary, the title literally covers everything we care about, and even Slashdot's homepage has run out of fucks to give about bitcoin

    *I know that's not the reason for the abbreviated stories, but it's fun none the less.

  • So what happens if everyone tries to sell Bitcoin at the same time ? After initially getting paid, all cashouts would be blocked like other cryptos, because Bitcoin isn't backed 100% with real $$$. Then then hoax / scam would be evident to the deniers of it's not having any value.
  • In order to regain trust, anyone with half a brain cell would have to have had trust in the first place.

  • by celeb8 ( 682138 )
    (lol)
  • Comment removed based on user account deletion

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