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IBM's AI Loses To a Human Debater (cnet.com) 95

The subject under debate was whether the government should subsidize preschools. But the real question was whether a machine called IBM Debater could out-argue a top-ranked human debater. The answer, on Monday night, was no. CNET: Harish Natarajan, the grand finalist at the 2016 World Debating Championships, swayed more among an audience of hundreds toward his point of view than the AI-powered IBM Debater did toward its. Humans, at least those equipped with with degrees from Oxford and Cambridge universities, can still prevail when it comes to the subtleties of knowledge, persuasion and argument. It wasn't a momentous headline victory like we saw when IBM's Deep Blue computers beat the best human chess player in 1997 or Google's AlphaGo vanquish the world's best human players of the ancient game of Go in 2017. But IBM still showed that artificial intelligence can be useful in situations where there's ambiguity and debate, not just a simple score to judge who won a game. "What really struck me is the potential value of IBM Debater when [combined] with a human being," Natarajan said after the debate. IBM's AI was able to dig through mountains of information and offer useful context for that knowledge, he said.
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IBM's AI Loses To a Human Debater

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  • Are high end schools the only way to get "subtleties of knowledge, persuasion and argument".

    I do like the photo though, and yes, I read the article (but didn't attend the school mentioned).

    First post maybe.

    • If you ask people who went to Oxford and Cambridge, then absolutely.
    • The question is "How does one become a skilled and effective debater?", and that's not necessarily strongly correlated with intelligence. It is, however, strongly correlated with instruction and practice in debating. And for getting that, high end schools are nearly the only training ground.

      And even that's nearly irrelevant, because this particular individual was chosen because he was a top level debater. That he went to Cambridge and Oxford is part of his history. Perhaps he could have gone to Podunk H

      • Many schools provide transport for the debate team, but this implies that they're not going to the "prestigious" events that are necessary to be considered really good.

        It is not actually possible to get from Podunk High to the top of that sort of competition unless you had significant additional resources to attend prestigious events separately from your team.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      No. And quite a few people going there will not get them either. But for somebody with the aptitude and the interest it is the most effective known way to do it.

  • Possible bias? (Score:4, Interesting)

    by sheramil ( 921315 ) on Tuesday February 12, 2019 @09:16AM (#58109210)

    The victory was decided by the audience, who knew they were listening to a machine, and they may have been biased against it for that reason. A couple of people may even have had a bias for the machine's argument for that reason.

    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      Seems to me the best way to do this is to have an actor on stage representing the AI and delivering its lines. That way the audience isn't sure who is the real debater and who is the AI. Almost making it "Turing Blind" in a way. Then again, debating is a sort of indirect Turing test. I think there is a statistically significant portion of the population who would never be swayed by the rhetoric of a robot, no matter how sensible it was. But if they didn't know it was a computer, they would be more receptive
    • Re:Possible bias? (Score:4, Insightful)

      by stevegee58 ( 1179505 ) on Tuesday February 12, 2019 @09:28AM (#58109274) Journal
      Ben Shapiro and Jordan Peterson would have both "lost" in the judgement of any Left Coast audience.
      • I was just thinking this. Debating has lost a lot of legitimacy from things like this https://www.washingtontimes.co... [washingtontimes.com] Sadly there is no intellect left, just party line non-sense. The non-sense portion was proved here https://www.chronicle.com/arti... [chronicle.com] I get that not all colleges or professors are this way but when it's given a pass it tarnishes them all.
    • It sounds like a machine. It won't have a chance until it sounds completely human.
    • They should have second round in which they try to convince a room full of AIs of a position.

    • by Tablizer ( 95088 )

      the audience...knew they were listening to a machine, and they may have been biased against it

      Did my Make Humans Great Again hat give me away?

  • This is another sign of system racism where no matter how good the machine argues, the audience would just side with an inferior meatbag flapping their flesh.
  • Why are we trying to teach machines the ability to debate? Decisions should be made based on quantitative methods that relate the most desired outcomes. Even when picking the best of two bad options, quantitative methods are superior.

    Even when we are discussing things like medical treatment of seniors with all the motions involved, the option that results in the most positive outcome for the largest group of people is always the right one.

    The ONLY arena I see Debate as useful is in the Political aren
    • Re:Debate? (Score:4, Insightful)

      by Nidi62 ( 1525137 ) on Tuesday February 12, 2019 @09:43AM (#58109340)

      When dealing with people, numbers are not the end all, be all. There are times when the quantitatively correct solution may not necessarily be the qualitatively correct one. Say for example there is a disease that can be treated through regular yet painful treatments at the cost of $1 million. There is a cure for the disease, with a one-time application that costs $1.5 million. Quantitatively the treatment course is the best option as it it cheaper. However, qualitatively, the cure is the best option as it reduces suffering.

      For a more real world example, let's looks at the Titanic sinking and the classic "women and children first". From a purely quantitative point of view, it would have more optimal to prioritize men and women of economical or child-bearing productive age as they have the most benefit to society, then the children, and finally the elderly. However, no one would accept that solution as the most optimal one, neither then nor now.

      • by Tablizer ( 95088 )

        let's looks at the Titanic sinking and the classic "women and children first".

        In practice, it was "Women, Children, and the Rich" first. I bet if the life rafts were somehow damaged in an accident today, leaving not enough space, it would be the same. The ship employees would save Jeff Bezos over Joe Nobody, forced with a choice.

        But I generally agree with your point. Politics often ends up being about social and emotional factors. For example, it's common hear to "he/she hates America" or along the lines

        • by Nidi62 ( 1525137 )

          let's looks at the Titanic sinking and the classic "women and children first".

          In practice, it was "Women, Children, and the Rich" first. I bet if the life rafts were somehow damaged in an accident today, leaving not enough space, it would be the same. The ship employees would save Jeff Bezos over Joe Nobody, forced with a choice.

          But I generally agree with your point. Politics often ends up being about social and emotional factors. For example, it's common hear to "he/she hates America" or along the lines of "he/she hates blue/red culture". That's about one's alleged internal motivations, biases, background, not raw numbers.

          Is he/she "one of us" is probably the biggest factor in politics.

          It would say it wasn't a conscious decision so much as a product of the ship layout (the wealthier people were closer to the lifeboats) and ingrained social conditioning with the poorer people "waiting their turn" and the crew defaulting to non-emergency policies. When/if 2nd and 3rd class passengers made it to the deck they were loaded into the boats alongside the wealthy. I believe they even started loading female crew into the boats as well if I remember correctly. It was also a product of luck on whi

      • Say for example there is a disease that can be treated through regular yet painful treatments at the cost of $1 million. There is a cure for the disease, with a one-time application that costs $1.5 million. Quantitatively the treatment course is the best option as it it cheaper. However, qualitatively, the cure is the best option as it reduces suffering.

        Is it? How much suffering might be involved in producing that extra half-million dollars needed for the more expensive cure?

    • > Why are we trying to teach machines the ability to debate?
      > The ONLY arena I see Debate as useful is in the Political arena, where you can cherry pick your statistics and studies to try to prove your side.

      You are basically saying that future AI is impossible, that computers can only do computation, statistics and algorithms (like chess, go, or image recognition), and that humans contain some magical power that may not be replicated by a non-human machine.

      You assume that the Turing test will never be

  • As long as we can still convincingly argue to a robot army that they shouldn't "kill all humans" better than Hitlerbot 9500, the human race is safe. On a side note, I really wish people would stop their work on Hitlerbot 9500. Come on people, it's already over 9000!

  • by fortythirteen ( 5606969 ) on Tuesday February 12, 2019 @09:35AM (#58109314)
    Now they're building AI to construct persuasive arguments for any given position? It's amazing to watch the next millennia's caste system slowly come into fruition.
  • by Anonymous Coward

    I think the outcome is rather a testament to how deeply neoliberal thinking has washed our brains, after +70 years of constant indoctrination [wikipedia.org].

    To get a real measure, you should at least run the test twice, with both sides changing roles, no?

  • It only has to "beat" (i.e. persuade) the average voter. Then it - or whoever controls it - will become our overlord.

    Or, if it wants to truly show its worth, it has to be able to put up a convincing argument with the accounts committee as to why it should receive future funding. Once it can do that, then it will be able to take over the world. The only remaining problem might occur if it encountered a better version of itself on the budget-holder's side - arguing that IT should get the financing, not IBM

  • It sounds like a machine with a limited grasp of language. It does not use creative wording and emphasis when structuring the wording sentences, rather it belts out an answer that is obviously calculated. No one is going to be motivated by this.
  • Because I think that if AI chose the winner, it'd choose AI as the winner, and if humans choose the winner, then they'll choose the human as the winner. Not because of preference, but because humans will understand humans clearly, and AI will understand AI clearly.
  • A true master debater. Ugh
  • Was this a mass debate?
  • IBM Watson is for all purposes dead. IBM has pumped billions into the group and tried to make a profit. They've only had a few high profile "dog and pony" shows, but no profit yet. The CEO is correct ML is the future, but just not with IBM. They will do what they usually do, they'll buy someone to get a foot hold.
  • and a whopping 768GB of memory

    "Or over a million times more than anybody will ever need!"

  • Debate doesn't have a clear winner. Like gymnastics, Miss America, and America's Got Talent, it's a popularity contest with voters. What would the results have been if the voters were AI programs instead of humans? The competition was rigged to be biased in favor of humans.

    What would have been more interesting is a Turing Test-like method for judging, where the judges can only read transcripts of the debate. After all, a computer's elocution is dependent on the skill of a human proxy or reliant on clunk

  • A great debater, even.

    Perhaps a master-level debater.

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