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Comment Re:The eggs will still be in one basket (Score 1) 210

So yeah, we're still a long way away from being a multi-planet species. That said, we've also never in human history be closer.

Yes, humans are a long way away from that.

AI/robots, on the other hand, are not that far off.

Terra-forming is not required. Just an energy source and materials to make parts. Many planets/moons in our solar system and outside can provide that.

  The Star Trek future will likely never occur, except with our robot creations.

Comment Re:uber and lyft pushed to use rob-taxis (Score 1) 130

Nice of you to let us know just how uninformed and out of touch you are. Retail chains are scaling back self checkout and eliminating it in some places [fastcompany.com]. Not small retailers, either; Walmart, Dollar General, ShopRight, Five Below, Target, etc.

All of the "kiosks" that you describe (which are being eliminated) are using honor system pay terminals. They are being shut down because they loose money to theft (especially in non prosecuted theft places like California).

More appropriate examples of kiosks would be
- restaurant kiosks, like it McDonalds, that most people seem now use instead of the one cashier. McDonalds once had 4 or 5 cashiers.
- Vending/restaurants payment in Japan, since you mentioned it. Pay at the kiosk. get the item or a ticket for the item ...
- traditional vending machines

I understand that go to scale in a Dollar General or Costco, or some tiny Amazon retail would require a lot of robotic infrastructure.
But wage pressure will make such a future more attractive (for company profits, and for the consumer with prices).

The automated McDonalds in Ft Worth Texas is example of where things could go.
https://www.newsweek.com/first...

If McDonalds does not do this, And some other company leads the next phase of fast food at half the price, they will loose business.
Walmart and Amazon will be/are racing to build such automated micro stores.

Sooner than you think.

Comment uber and lyft pushed to use rob-taxis (Score 0) 130

Minimum wage increases naturally decreases the workforce, increases inflation, and encourages automation.

Expect more kiosks in stores, more robotics, and more robo-taxis.

Expect micro-stores, or mega vending machines, where you go up to a kiosk and order milk, eggs and a pair of socks.

California will lead the way, because of artificial wage inflation. Workers will loose.

Comment Re:A quote comes to mind... (Score 2) 26

Science is no longer driving AI development. The driving factor now is money. A company can do more with less people. It is the company's legal requirement to the stockholders to reduce costs and increase profit. I can see no reason why this would not continue even with every single employee being replaced.

Comment Re:bouncy castle world (Score 1) 26

You don't need to get by with 2-3 people instead of 5, you can keep all 5 and double the output.

Did we keep all the farmers after the introduction of the tractor?

The AI models are "information tractors", and replacing "information farmers".

The tractor dramatically reduces the need for skilled farmers.

Except the "information tractor" continuously grows in scope and is not limited to information.

Comment Re:bouncy castle world (Score 1) 26

"While this technology won't best people that are actually good at doing things, it will likely be good enough to replace many lower tier people."

Replace lower tier? You have it reversed.

Watch the videos again, and this time imagine that the videos were created by expert humans.
Created by:
  - actors
  - animators
  - programmers
  - film directors
  - set designers
  - technicians ...

Then, poof, all those people are replaced with one person and computer.

The person writes:

- list some topics for an interesting story or movie
(picks one)
- write a plot summary for a movie about [topic]
- write a detailed plot for a movie summarized with: [summary]
- create a 1 hour movie given the following plot: [plot]

So we have replaced thousands of people with one non-expert. The human's job above is really: "(pick one)".
Though we could do better, and replace "pick one" with: "- pick the best match based on current popular trends, though pick a topic that in a novel area."
Then we have reduced the need from thousands of people to one, to zero.
 

Comment Re:Bottom Up Economy (Score 2) 168

Your assumption is correct. UBI is just another form of welfare.

UBI is disillusion of utopia.

It can work for the small scale just like other forms of welfare.

But at scale, it degrades into wealth distribution and then just communism.

The full scale (no jobs) is an impossibility. At that point the self-aware robots control the money, Once again is welfare for the humans. No Wall-E utopia, where humans do nothing and get paid, unfortunately.

Comment Counter sue. it is a problem of crime (Score 1) 264

Kia and Hyundai should counter sue Seattle, Baltimore, Cleveland, New York, Chicago, St. Louis, and Columbus.

Big cities in the U.S. have a problem with a culture of crime that other big cities like Tokyo do not.

The customers should sue the cities and the car makers.

The lawyers should celebrate the new business.

Comment Re:Culprits? (Score 1) 40

Try running a language model on your PC. Llama, RWKV, GPT4All or Vicuna, all can be enough for 3, 7 or 13 billion parameters with 4 bit quantization on a machine with 16gig or so of memory. But note that ChatGPT needs 10 or 20 times the memory and GPT4 needs 10 or 20 times that.

While some of these models could be split up using some sort of LLM hierarchy, there is no current idea of too much memory. "640 G of memory should be enough memory for everyone". But a terabyte would be better...

The industry is hungry for a cheap replacement for current RAM. NRAM?

And the industry is hungry for a real competitor to Nvidia for machine learning. Google could sell one if they wanted to, or perhaps some NPU startup (unless Intel buys and squanders it as usual).

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