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Nearly 50% of People Are Considering Leaving Their Jobs In 2024 (cnbc.com) 54

An anonymous reader quotes a report from CNBC: In 2022, at the height of the "great resignation," a record 4.5 million workers each month -- about 3% of the U.S. workforce -- were quitting their jobs. While some economists have said this pandemic-era trend is over, new research from Microsoft and LinkedIn forecasts that even more people plan to leave their jobs in 2024. Nearly half (46%) of professionals say they're considering quitting in the year ahead -- higher than the 40% who said the same ahead of 2021s great resignation, according to new research from Microsoft and LinkedIn, which surveyed more than 30,000 people in 31 countries between February and March 2024.

In the U.S., LinkedIn has seen a 14% increase in job applications per opening since last fall, with 85% of workers saying they plan to look for a new role in 2024, a survey of 1,013 U.S. professionals conducted between November and December 2023 found. And Americans' confidence in their job-hunting prospects has reached its highest point in two years, a February 2024 ZipRecruiter survey of more than 2,000 jobseekers shows. This renewed sense of optimism is aided by the fact that the U.S. economy avoided the recession forecast for 2023, ZipRecruiter chief economist Julia Pollak tells CNBC Make It. [...]

It's not just better labor market conditions driving more U.S. workers to consider a career change in 2024. Inflation is still squeezing Americans' budgets; nearly half (45%) of workers planning to switch jobs this year say they need a higher income, according to Monster's 2024 Work Watch Report. Job switchers tend to increase their salaries more quickly than those who stay put, per data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Changing jobs is coming with greater pay gains: New data from ADP shows the median year-over-year pay increase for job switchers was 10% in March, up from 2.9% six months prior. With salaries finally keeping up with inflation, Pollak adds, the return on investment of switching jobs feels "much higher" than it did six months ago.

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Nearly 50% of People Are Considering Leaving Their Jobs In 2024

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  • by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Thursday May 09, 2024 @04:27PM (#64460727)
    50% are "thinking about it" and about 5-10% will actually pull the trigger and get another job. That's how the US economy works. It's meant to be dynamic and adaptive. Nothing wrong with those numbers.

    Now, if huge numbers of people were dropping out of the workforce entirely, that's a much more serious problem. But, with the state of US social support, doing that means you're slightly-above-poverty, so only small numbers of people are gonna go that route. You will work, or you will consume your savings at a ferocious rate, or society will maintain you in a barely-hand-to-mouth state. Your decision.
    • Nothing wrong with those numbers.

      Though it's an election year so I imagine someone or another will try to paint it as a problem -- or a symptom of another problem, etc...

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      It's a useful measure of dissatisfaction with work in the general population. Often a symptom of below inflation pay increases, back-to-office mandates, bubbles like AI that people want to get in on...

  • by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Thursday May 09, 2024 @04:34PM (#64460747)

    Microsoft owns LinkedIn... why pretend they are two separate entities?

  • Until interest rates drop. Companies will hold off on hiring until then because they want to appease the Federal reserve who has repeatedly said that they want layoffs, ostensibly to lower inflation though every single economist worth a damn will tell you that inflation right now is caused by price gouging. Greedflation is what they're calling it right now but honestly I think the price gouging is a fine term.

    Our banking system is too unstable and weak to go a protracted period of time with higher inter
    • by CAIMLAS ( 41445 ) on Thursday May 09, 2024 @05:08PM (#64460825)

      though every single economist worth a damn will tell you that inflation right now is caused by price gouging.

      Just... no. No, they will not.

      The price gouging is a responsive measure to the inflationary actions. It isn't the cause. The inflation started as soon as the government inflated the incurrency directly - by printing 80% of the total US dollars ever printed in the course of 2 years (link [techstartups.com])

      This is the real "trickle down economics". When there is an increase (or decrease) in supply in a market, the prices change to match. Increasing the supply of money decreased its value, and made it more available. You saw the results almost immediately in used car markets (in part due to supply side shortages in new cars, but also due to the surplus of cash that people had due to the handouts received around the same time). Corporations did the same.

      That doesn't change that it absolutely is "price gouging" across the board, but the price gouging wasn't the cause - it's just a symptom. It's no different than taking the initiative to provide a supply of a rare in-demand commodity during a disaster - water, food, guns - and charging a premium for your initiative. It's the same exact principle which regulates the ecology of our world: when there is an excess of something, something else will come along and eat it. It could be trees and bark beetles, seals and sharks or bears, or something else. That's just how the world is.

      Our banking system is too unstable and weak to go a protracted period of time with higher interest rates. So the Federal reserve is going to have to cut rates at some point. From what I can tell they're planning to do it shortly after the election.

      No disagreement there.

      • Really weird coincidence that countries printed all that money, the 1% virtually doubled their wealth over the same period and yet jars of instant coffee are now kept locked up in cabinets to stop poor people stealing them! Almost as though the system is completely rigged isn't it?
        • by CAIMLAS ( 41445 )

          It's that way by design, yes.

          The idea is to create artificial scarcity due to money supply induced market collapse, which will result in producers exiting the market. This, in turn, causes the economy to collapse.

    • Just remember the Federal Reserve is about as federal as Federal Express. It is a cabal of banks that use the IRS as their enforcement arm to extract money from US.

  • by Morpeth ( 577066 ) on Thursday May 09, 2024 @04:42PM (#64460767)

    I'd be curious to see a comparison of the general population(s) -- all jobs, all education, all working ages, all socio-economic levels, etc. versus only those who are on LinkedIn, as I imagine it is a fairly different dataset.

    Among the LinkedIn crowd the results might be true, but I wonder if saying "Nearly 50% of LinkedIn Users Are Considering Leaving Their Jobs In 2024" would be more accurate than "People", the article to me implies only a certain sub-set was surveyed.

    • I'd be curious to see a comparison of the general population(s) -- all jobs, all education, all working ages, all socio-economic levels, etc. versus only those who are on LinkedIn, as I imagine it is a fairly different dataset.

      Among the LinkedIn crowd the results might be true, but I wonder if saying "Nearly 50% of LinkedIn Users Are Considering Leaving Their Jobs In 2024" would be more accurate than "People", the article to me implies only a certain sub-set was surveyed.

      Yes ... but the relevance of the LinkedIn study is not the standalone meaning of the data but rather the progression of the statistics from 2021 to 2024. What does 50% mean? Is it good or bad? I don't know. However, it increased from 40% to 46%.

      The more interesting questions are (1) whether 40% to 46% is significant and (2) why 46% is "nearly 50%" while 40% is not.

  • Seriously, I need one.

    • by CAIMLAS ( 41445 )

      Too bad - not many available right now. What is available, is only available through a connection. Nobody is hiring "cold" applicants.

  • The more employees will slip through your fingers.
  • by Dread_ed ( 260158 ) on Thursday May 09, 2024 @06:21PM (#64460977) Homepage

    Wages are lagging behind inflation, and real inflation is drastically underreported.

    Corporations and employers are making out like bandits right now because labor costs have not gone up but sales prices for goods have.

    The people are feeling the pinch, and blaming everyone except their employers.

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by migos ( 10321981 )
      • The series comes from the 'Current Population Survey (Household Survey)'

        Thing is, I hate when people use household data for salary info... that's totally bunk, it should be per-earner with a SINGLE job for it to be valid. Household income is more of a measure of overall economic freedom of the population.

  • With the current inflations and instability due to the coming election, I can guarantee that the Boomers have no plans to actually retire. In fact, Congress might try to find a way to hire even more of them.
    • The ones that invested in the S&P 500 over the last 20-30 years are fine.

      The Boomers that have no savings and thought that social security provided some ... security. Well they're in serious doo-doo right now.

      • i am a boomer... and I will definitely be retiring in the next 3 years.... maybe 4, but 3 is my target. You are 100% right about investing in SPY's.
  • IBM, Dell, and many others are making sure that, even if you're not thinking about it, there's a good chance you'll be leaving your job.

  • Can't wait. Hope to never see another computer or user looking for help for the rest of my life. I like to think every person in I.T. support has a "Well" of empathy and desire to help others. The bottom of mine has been a dry, cracked, and dusty surface for about 10 years. It's long past time.

  • For the right company, and the right pay, I'd definitely move on. I never really stop looking for a job, it's just at some times I'm looking a lot harder than at other times.

Ocean: A body of water occupying about two-thirds of a world made for man -- who has no gills. -- Ambrose Bierce

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