Predator C Avenger Makes First Flights 304
stoolpigeon writes "General Atomics' new unmanned combat aerial vehicle, the Predator C Avenger, has been making test flights. This new Predator has a stealthy design, 20-hour endurance, is jet powered and has an internal weapons bay. A number of photos have just become available. 'The aircraft was designed so the wings can be folded for storage in hangars or aircraft carrier operations if a naval customer is found. Cassidy, a retired admiral, has talked about a possible Navy role for Predator C since 2002. The Navy was interested in the Predator B's capabilities, but didn't want to introduce any new propeller-driven aircraft onto carrier decks. The UAV also comes with a tailhook, suggesting that carrier-related trials are planned. The inner section of the cranked wing is deep, providing structural strength for carrier landings and generous fuel volume while maintaining a dry, folding outer wing. Right now, the US Air Force and Royal Air Force are considered the most likely users.'"
A new (Score:3, Funny)
C compiler?
what?
Re:A new (Score:5, Funny)
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Unfortunately ShieldW0lf is part of a growing of subculture here at SlashDot who advocate murder as a perfectly legitimate method of advancing their social grievances. I ran into a few the other day advocating the murder of all cops.
I guess it's all part of the new "hope and change" we are experiencing here in America.
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I think the propagandists, the money-changers and the war machine makers are guilty of crimes against humanity. I think they should be held accountable for those crimes, and punished appropriately.
Re:A new (Score:5, Funny)
C compiler?
what?
Nope. Disassembler.
F-22 (Score:4, Insightful)
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Yep, tactical and safety are far superiour with UAVs.
10 years, you won't need fighter pilots anymore.
To which I say, good.
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UAV's are awesome right up until your enemy decides that it is easier to just jam all available frequencies while launching their attacks. Frequency hopping will help but if you start losing even momentarily control your weapons start falling off target and aircraft can be dangerously uncontrollable.
personally I am betting china already has or is currently working on a method of disrupting GPS signals. Even forcing an error rate of a single percentage point is enough to render it weak for smart bombs.
pilo
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autonomous craft will take care of that problem. There are already autonomous robot guns deployed around the dmz in Korea. Eventually humans wont be able to keep up with the speed of the machines and they'll need to be able to act independently in order to survive.
Re:F-22 (Score:4, Funny)
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The companies name is General Atomics? And the Autonomous craft is called Predator C Avenger
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What do you think happens now if your enemy could 'start jamming all frequencys'?
The plane become useless.
Fortunatly, that's not a practical scenario.
These plane can fly themselves.
You are really thinking about UAV's 15-20 years ago.
All the problems you talk about have pretty much been solved.
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So your saying that a computer on board a UAV has the ability to choose a flight path, watch the ground, chose an indiscriminate target, determine that it is unfriendly with enough certainty to avoid the international backlash of killing innocent civilians or your own troops, determine the proper ammunition or armerments to use (*missiles or machine guns) and take action all without any contact from a human or a base or a command center or anything external to the UAV. And this has been around for a while n
Re:F-22 (Score:5, Insightful)
UAV's are awesome right up until your enemy decides that it is easier to just jam all available frequencies while launching their attacks. Frequency hopping will help but if you start losing even momentarily control your weapons start falling off target and aircraft can be dangerously uncontrollable.
The problem with jamming is it's really hard to hide a jammer (basically a broad-spectrum transmitter) from systems designed to locate transmitters. We already have aircraft designed to locate and take out radar systems http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EF-111A_Raven [wikipedia.org]. This shouldn't be too hard to adapt for jammers as well. Maybe those could still be flown by human pilots.
And as the AUVs become even more autonomous, the need for high bandwidth communication will diminish, making jamming even less of a problem.
But even if you do start losing AUVs fast, they're much easier to replace than planes with pilots.
Re:F-22 (Score:5, Informative)
The Ravens were retired a decade ago, and were not capable of taking out radars, but instead just blinding them. The Navy/Marine Corps EA-6B Prowler now provides most of those duties for the entire military. Unlike the Raven, the Prowler is capable of carrying anti-radiation missiles and actually striking radar sources. The Prowler is to be replaced by the EA-18 Growler (an off-shoot of the F/A-18F Super Hornet) beginning this year.
Re:F-22 (Score:5, Insightful)
I can't imagine why anybody would build another fighter jet after the F-22. I mean, yes, in terms of performance and stealth and all that it's every flyboy's wet dream. But the Battle of Britain was seventy years ago, and the days of heroic pilots taking each other on in exciting single combat are long gone. Planes now are just missile launch platforms, and the contest between them mostly a matter of getting the first radar lock and then letting rip; is it not therefore better to use cheap mass-produced drones for that task, rather than risking some technological masterwork and the colossal ego behind the stick over hostile territory?
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"Planes now are just missile launch platforms, and the contest between them mostly a matter of getting the first radar lock and then letting rip..."
Except that you generally want to see who you are shooting at. And when you have visual, cannons suddenly are very useful. One of the first retrofits to the F4 involved cannons for that very reason (and because the missiles sucked-I assume they are better now).
Now if you can get an UAV to do that....
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Except that you generally want to see who you are shooting at
If you wait until you can confirm using your eyeballs, you are dead.
Any situation where you are not dead could have easily been handled by an UAV.
The F4? are you seriously truting out the F4? I don't know about you, but the rest of us are talking about modern warfare. the F4 hasn't even been produced for over 25 years.
I hate to be the one to break it to you, but technology has change.
Maybe you should stop thinking of the day when you tied an onion
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The F4? are you seriously truting out the F4? I don't know about you, but the rest of us are talking about modern warfare. the F4 hasn't even been produced for over 25 years.
No, that was not his point. I also immediately thought of the F-4...strictly a missile platform, no guns. And every air to air combat pilot that flew them bitched about no guns until they got them.
Or maybe this will get his point across:
Those that ignore history, are doomed to repeat it.
Ask any fighter pilot that has combat experience(air to air) how they would feel about removing the guns from their fighters, leaving only missiles for air to air.
I hate to be the one to break it to you, but technology has change.
Well thank you Captain Obvious.
I've had the good fortune to h
Re:F-22 (Score:4, Informative)
But I doubt you'll find a modern military in the world that uses horses now.
Er.... how about the US Special Forces? - http://www.conunderground.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/specialforces-on-horse-300x230.jpg [conunderground.com]. Or do you not consider your own SF to be part of a modern military? A sensible force will use whatever is best for the task at hand - not ignore some option simply because it isn't high tech enough. Otherwise, knives and bayonets would have disappeared many years ago, but they haven't.
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Not so much in modern combat. By the time you got close enough to make a visual ID, you'd be dead already. IFF takes care of identifying friendlies and most non-hostiles, and if you're in a hostile area everything else is fair game.
As I said, I don't think cannon are terribly important in UAV's meant for air-to-air combat, but I think it's only a matter of time before they start fitting UAV's with cannons
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"Not so much in modern combat. By the time you got close enough to make a visual ID, you'd be dead already. IFF takes care of identifying friendlies and most non-hostiles, and if you're in a hostile area everything else is fair game."
Except when the powers that be dictate that you must get a visual confirmation that it's an enemy combatant (to avoid accidentally shooting down the wrong aircraft, etc). Politics and "delicate situations" can dictate 100% confirmation before weapons release, so BVR engagements
Direct links to gallery pictures (Score:5, Informative)
The site hosting TFA seems to be very aggressive when it comes to adverts and tracking their patrons, and like most intelligent people I object to this. It was a pain to find the right combination of allowed and untrusted domains in NoScript, whilst making sure any remaining crud was blocked by Adblock and actually getting the content. So here are the direct links to the pictures from their crappy gallery:
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/6/1/06e0624b-9398-40e1-91d1-7888e231a908.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/10/7/fa4dc8b7-1aa5-477e-a704-f382762640d5.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/13/14/fdd0ed47-fef0-4b46-8efb-b34ca575e10e.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/14/7/8e19f57b-2014-4d26-b750-4b4dd75658f3.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/6/10/662e6b77-27fd-47f4-8a46-52966d559815.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/6/2/f6e9c29d-bcec-4e91-a294-cc6aeaa95774.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/12/8/bc1c25b1-56c6-4a7a-98a2-81f852033db5.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/3/5/039b7c83-f88f-4bf2-a5e1-31be92d9e69c.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/15/10/4f1a1b4b-c92f-4aff-aaef-a797d63e0e6d.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/11/7/8bef05bc-b09a-458c-9741-e0d0803e8a41.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/1/6/f1b8a1ef-febc-4c85-b6fe-7c70f6055898.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/0/9/b09c4b87-cd0d-4171-89b0-55c2bd0e1690.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/9/11/499ec512-084a-425f-ab9a-2112fb724ce8.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/9/7/69f21636-ee3e-4524-a72c-e3833cc84f4f.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
http://sitelife.aviationweek.com/ver1.0/Content/images/store/3/5/039b7c83-f88f-4bf2-a5e1-31be92d9e69c.Large.jpg [aviationweek.com]
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And when we are up against bad guys capable of jamming the UAV's communication back home to the guy controlling the joystick?
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rather than risking some technological masterwork and the colossal ego behind the stick over hostile territory?
There's still a jerk behind the stick.
Re:F-22 (Score:5, Insightful)
But the Battle of Britain was seventy years ago, and the days of heroic pilots taking each other on in exciting single combat are long gone. Planes now are just missile launch platforms, and the contest between them mostly a matter of getting the first radar lock and then letting rip;
Actually, no. Aerial combat was important in Korea, in Israel's wars, in the first Gulf War, and in the recent Georgian debacle. If the other side has air, you had better have fighters. "American troops have not had to fight under a hostile sky since WWII. This did not happen by accident." as USAF types like to say.
It's worth bearing in mind that the two big US wins against a serious opponent in recent decades were both against Saddam Hussein, who was totally incompetent at running a major war. (He had three, two against the US and one against Iran. The one against Iran was a long inept bloodbath.) Someday the US may have to take on someone who 1) has a substantial military force, and 2) a clue about how to use it.
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Re:F-22 (Score:5, Insightful)
We as Chinese will feel unsafe until our technology is superior to yours. We cannot yet sleep safely at night.
As your economy, due to shocking mis-management and two unwise wars is already effectively depends on our savings we don't think that overtaking your military technology will be too tough in the next 50 years.
We believe that we must be ready for any contingency. With 4 times as many people and sustained 7 percent plus growth rates we will approach, catch and overtake you.
You may not be able to sleep safely in future.
Or we could work out ways to get along.
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"most importantly, you don't put the pilots life at risk."
Pilots are willing to accept risk, but their losses are visible and politically damaging.
UAV losses don't matter much, and unlike pilots, UAVs don't get tired. A fighter pilot would be dangerously exhausted flying loitering missions that are routine for UAVs.
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Pilots might be willing to take the risk, but the loss is not only visible and politically damaging, but expensive. Pilots are the cream of the crop and it takes a long time to train them.
Training UAV pilots takes much less time and is much less expensive. I've read about high school drop-outs that picked up their ged and are now top notch uav pilots for the army.
I think robots are going to change the world in many, many ways. I think UAVs will also start to be used more and more by polic
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Training UAV pilots takes much less time and is much less expensive. I've read about high school drop-outs that picked up their ged and are now top notch uav pilots for the army.
There's a whole generation that has been raised training to fly UAV's! I mean I'm kinda surprised that the USAF hasn't released an America's Army type game that's a thinly disguised UAV sim.
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Possibly part of the reason they want to cancel the F-22. Yes, I think UAV's will eventually be the planes of the future, but you still need manned aircraft for a while. With a UAV, you have no environmental system for a pilot, plane can out turn (G's) one with a pilot, and most importantly, you don't put the pilots life at risk.
That makes sense but if that was the real reason for the proposed cancellation of the F-22, you'd think the J-UCAS program [darpa.mil] would not have been canceled (for the most part). I honestly doubt those in Congress have any clue about what these systems do. I used to work in defense and it is true that there is a ton of waste but the main reason for that is that the military customer never gives a good set of requirements and they constantly change what they want over and over. Then the contractor gets the blame w
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That's what the F-35 is for (still needing manned aircraft for awhile). The F-22s the US has will keep giving it an edge against the countries who are sold F-35s (not to mention the export version will be somewhat stripped down, of course). There's really no need for more F-22s, UAVs or no.
Re:F-22 (Score:5, Insightful)
Not necessarily. The US isn't going to sell anybody any F-22s. But the European nations are selling Typhoons to every friendly nation that has the money. And history shows us that a friendly nation today can be distinctly hostile tomorrow: that's how come there are F-14s in the Iranian air force. Skip the F-22, and some day the US might find itself going up with F-15s against Typhoons, and that's a bloody dangerous thing to be doing. F-22 represents a clear advantage over any rival aircraft of any nation for the foreseeable future, and that's what the Pentagon pays the big money for.
I expect that the F-22 will be the last of the breed - the high water mark of the fighter jet family, rarely used, and sidelined in its own lifetime by cheaper robot drones. This century's Mallard train. But in the meantime it might just turn out to be worth having.
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Actually, the F-14's are in Iran's airforce because they used to be a US client state before the Islamic Revolution.
The reason they were a US client state before the revolution is because the US and Great Britain overthrew the democratically elected government of Mohammed Mosadeq in 1953 because he was getting too friendly with the Soviets. In his place, the Pahlevi Shah was installed, and he ruled with with a somewhat undemocratic fist (see SAVAK) till 1979, when the people of Iran had had enough and deci
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The F-35 is the "mainstay" aircraft of the new generation. The F-22 is the "Air superiority" fighter.
The equivalent comparison is between an economy car and a sports car.
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The reason we want to cancel the F-22 is that we can't get anyone in the world to fly against our F-15's. We just don't need the F-22, and can probably skip it entirely in favor of cheaper solutions like these UAV's. We need manned aircraft right now, and the F-15 is not only good enough, it's far far more than good enough.
The issue with the F22 is that it's trying to be everything at once. It's incredibly fast, incredible maneuverable, and it's stealth. A fighter really only needs 2/3 to be superior, the third has diminished returns for a HUGE investment. Honestly, the 160 we've bought already are plenty.
Of course, we have the F35 Joint Strike Fighter coming down the pipeline. This is a plane that's designed to be the new workhorse. Configurable, with versions meant for airfields, aircraft carriers, and V/STOL. The
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Another critical aspect is the distance/lag between the operater and the drone. THAT, in my unprofession and entirely biased opinion (IANARAWAO "I Am Not Anything Remotely Associated With Aerospace Operations") is that major key. When ms count, operators can be seconds away.
And then there's the whole "what happens when the enemy deploys jammers that interrupt all frequencies" thing..
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When ms count, operators can be seconds away.
As long as the operator is in the same hemisphere, the furthest distance the signal has to travel is to a geostationary satellite and back, about 72,000 km. The speed of light is 300,000 km/second. Even with the inefficiencies in the satellite and equipment, it is going to be less than a 1 second delay for the stimulus to be transmitted to the station, and the operator's response to be returned. Of course, this doesn't include the reaction time of the human,
General Atomics (Score:5, Interesting)
I just love that name for a defense contractor. Would fit right in the Fallout universe.
Friendly Fire. Callatoral Damage. (Score:3, Interesting)
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A man in the loop makes the kill shot decision. Did you watch the ending of Syriana? Yeah. Like that. These drones are not flying around doing their own thing.
Do you work on weapons systems? (Score:3, Interesting)
I'm curious because when I was initially ready for high tech employment, I made a conscious decision to not directly contribute to weapons related work. In the 80's, this took away a significant number of prospective employers. Now it is more than 20 years later and I am glad I made that choice.
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Re:Do you work on weapons systems? (Score:4, Informative)
I lose no sleep over it.
However I could not work for the auto industry, which is responsible for 102 deaths per day in the USA.(2008)
On average, automobiles have been responsible [wikipedia.org] for 44,000 deaths per year for the past 34 years for a total of 1,491,922 deaths since 1974 in the USA.
One and a half million.
That's more than twice the number of USA citizens killed than all of the wars/conflicts we have been in since joining into World War 1.
In one third the time[34 years], automobiles have killed twice as many USA citizens as 92** years of war.
If you think I'm just pulling numbers out of my ass, I did check. You can do your own research if you care, but here is the bulk of numbers(they are all US deaths for that conflict, not just soldiers, but includes civilians):
WW1= 117,465
WW2= 418,500
Korea= 35,516
Vietnam= 58,159
Gulf War= 279(half-134 were accidents)
Afghanistan= 636
Iraq War= 4,522(includes 249 contractors?)
Total= 635,437
(I did not bother with our little field trips to Panama and Grenada)
Skip the argument that cars were not deliberately designed as weapons platforms like the Predator C is. It does not change the facts that cars easily kill more Americans than wars do. The numbers don't lie: 34 years of cars= 1,491,922 dead Americans, versus 635,437 from 92 years of war.
**Today is the anniversary of US Congress' voting in Declaration of War- April 17, 1917
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"cryfreedomlove (929828)" LOL!
Nothing wrong with making weapons.
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Depends on the situation. Would you give weapons to Stalin? Before WW2? During? After?
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Easy. the better a weapon like this is, the fewer people get killed.
Better to hit and kill the target quickly and with as little collateral damage as possible?
Are you really good at at software? Maybe more people died then needed to becasue you decided not to help?
Weaponeers save lives.
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Isn't that somewhat naive? All a better weapon like this does is kill people more efficiently.
That says nothing about the quantity of those that die.
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Does your company count major defense contractors such as GE as a client? Do you work for a cell phone company that makes radiation-spewing devices that give people brain cancer? Do you work for a car manufacturer that makes cars that pollute and run people over? Do you work for a company that makes computers, which get people addicted and detract from human interaction?
You can play this moral-outrage game with anyone.
Re:Do you work on weapons systems? (Score:5, Insightful)
Nonsense. He's the type of person who had the ability to become a doctor, but would refuse to do so if it would come with the expectation that he would perform abortions, and so instead found a different line of work. That's a perfectly morally acceptable way to behave.
And he asks a worthwhile question too. It's similar to the question often asked of defence lawyers as to how they can defend people they know to be guilty. If you're a programmer of weapons systems, how does that sit with your conscience? Especially unmanned warplanes: while the current generation are remotely controlled by some guy with a joystick, future models are expected to be fully autonomous - which means that somebody, somewhere, right now, is working on the AI code to control them. AI code to make decisions as to whether to fire weapons. AI code to decide whether to kill somebody.
How can that person sleep at night? Since there's a realistic possibility that such a person is reading /., the question's well worth asking, and the answers could well be very interesting and illuminating.
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"Especially unmanned warplanes: while the current generation are remotely controlled by some guy with a joystick, future models are expected to be fully autonomous - which means that somebody, somewhere, right now, is working on the AI code to control them."
As the current generation of planes require software to fly, I assume the answer would be the same.
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Re:Do you work on weapons systems? (Score:5, Insightful)
Decision to fire a weapon, or to be more precise the ORDER to go 'weapons hot' will remain the same as it is today, from the chain of command. It will not be making 'decisions' to fire, but rather acting on orders, just like we have today with human pilots. While yes it may run variables to determine best target, time to fire etc, the 'decision' to allow weapon fire will always come from above. I understand what you are getting at but I felt the impression you were giving was too skynet-esque for my taste.
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How can that person sleep at night?
I'm not one of those people, but if I was, I would sleep better knowing that the software was written by someone competent.
Having a robot pull the trigger is not morally worse than having a human pull the trigger. Militarization of robots won't result in more humans being killed (aside from the robot apocalypse). Using robots against our enemies has many advantages over using people against our enemies.
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Not sure if you are being facetious, but I'll bite.
What's wrong with a doctor who refuses to perform abortions because of personal ethics? The Hippocratic oath is to "do no harm". I can easily see a doctor extending this oath to do no harm to an unborn child -- particularly for an abortion of convenience rather than for actual health concerns of the mother.
If you believe in "choice", then doctors should have to choice to decide for themselves when their actions fit within their personal ethical and moral
troll? (Score:2)
You could call that post a number of things: naive, stupid, insightful,.
Troll, however is not one of them. S/he's honest about it, however much or little you might agree.
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Predator C++ (Score:4, Funny)
I hear the Predator C++ has a whole new class structures that have all new functions.
Whats up? (Score:3, Interesting)
Why does the Predator get all the attention?
Pretty nifty drone Helo in the last image of the series, the MQ-8B Fire Scout.
I'm wondering why we don't deploy (Score:2, Interesting)
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I think something similar is already being done or in the works to help give ships more warning of incoming vessels that might be hostile.
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I'm not being trollish to you personally, but as a US citizen I'd like to see if someone, *anyone* will take up this role of protecting a shipping route on the exact opposite side of the Earth we're on, where we have very few shipping interests.
Europe, a lot of your goods go through the gulf of Aden... you're on deck. Let's have you dedicate some of that wonderful health care money to defending shipping interests so maybe our citizens can go to the doctor eve
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The problem off the coast of Somalia is political squabbling over responsibility and jurisdiction. Any major Navy/Marine force has the capability to end the problem. They just need to be given the marching orders and rules of engagement that allow them to do it.
Heck, the US Navy and USMC actually has done this before. Of course it was about 200 years ago, and Pres. Jefferson was making policy.
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Getting increasingly off-topic here, but why should the US Navy deploy, except to protect US interests (as they did when a US-flagged ship was taken)?
Personally, I think it is the responsibility of the nation of registration to protect shipping operating under their flag. I'd just love to see the Panamanian and Liberian navies take care of this problem. Not likely. Maybe shipping companies should reconsider those flags of convenience they operate under. Shipping companies want to avoid the higher safety sta
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I'd argue it's the price you pay for being the world's number one naval power. I'm British and you have to realise that back when Britain was the world's number one naval power for 400 odd years it was up to us too to patrol the seas dealing with both piracy and and even slave ships at the back end of our period of naval domination.
Part of it is self interest - do you want to stay the world's number one naval power? Part of it is the responsibility that comes with that power. You do it because you can help.
Meh (Score:2)
With a name like "General Atomic Predator C Avenger", I was expecting more.
Unamnned? Meh.
Looks lame? Meh.
Meh.
Nice (Score:5, Interesting)
One very interesting thing is that General Atomics (the manufacturer of the predator) doesn't ask the Pentagon what they want. It instead makes an aircraft that is a good price/performance ratio and doesn't suck, and then offers it "as is" to the Pentagon.
This has worked incredibly well. Design decisions aren't subject to group-think or politics, and GA doesn't have to load the aircraft down with overpriced or unreliable technology in order to add some useless feature.
I think the Predator C is the culmination of this. It took them 3 years to make a working stealth aircraft, and the article states that they could have it fighting in just 1 more. That's a massive accomplishment.
I think that real world performance will eventually put drones so far into the lead that the air force cancels the buy on the F-35. Stealth technology doesn't work at all if several phased array radars in different locations are coordinating their search patterns.
Furthermore, a drone doesn't have to win 1 on 1. Dollar for dollar, even this predator C is probably be about 3 to 5 times cheaper than a high end fighter aircraft. I wouldn't bet on a manned aircraft facing down 5 drones armed with good missiles.
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Watch this video about the F-35 EO DAS [youtube.com] and you may find yourself wondering as I did, why do they need a pilot? I especially like this line, "With DAS, maneuverability is irrelevant."
Following the money... (Score:5, Insightful)
The previous Predators cost 9 million for the aircraft itself, and another 20 to 30 million for the controlling systems, from what I could read. It can carry 14 hellfire missiles, which are $25,000 a piece. I think we're spending 3 billion per year just on the aircraft acquisition.
So, every day, we send out these 10 million dollar drones, which cost a few thousand per hour to operate, with $350,000 of ammunition. 25% of these aircraft have been lost in operations. Meanwhile, $75,000 would build a school, supply it, and provide money for staff for five years in Afghanistan.
So when you're trying to prevent a young muslim from becoming a radical, what's the better option - allowing him the chance to have an education, or blowing up his brother's wedding party and then air dropping him some pudding cups with little American flags on them?
The fact that people keep choosing the second option astonishes me.
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Is it either/or?
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No, but that's a great album. [wikipedia.org]
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And $200 in the hands of the Taliban would demolish it.
False dichotomy - the third option is blowing up the people who are trying to ra
False Dichotomy (Score:2)
Yes, I presented a false dichotomy. There are many choices in between.
Unfortunately, you are more likely to radicalize him with the accidental death of his relatives than you are to kill someone he believes to be a terrorist.
To him, anyone fighting an invader is a patriot
I often wonder if the same people who decry guerilla tactics and $200 IEDs would just roll over if China started flying jets over our airspace, and rolling tanks through our streets. It's a question that doesn't get asked because I don't th
Quit ignoring reality (Score:2)
Sorry, but the tact your taking is tired, old, and dishonest.
Yes, in a PERFECT world that school would be a better choice. However we are building schools there, trouble is the terrorists and even some non terrorist locals don't give a rats ass about our morals or our beliefs and as such in some case it only is allowed to be used to educate boys... if at all. Should some teacher accidentally say the wrong the thing the school can be closed and the teacher killed .
The real fact is, schools will not change
Re:Following the money... (Score:5, Informative)
Meanwhile, $75,000 would build a school, supply it, and provide money for staff for five years in Afghanistan.
Which nobody would be able to attend without armed protection because the Taliban shut down any non-religuous schools that they come across (only Madrassas that teach koran + jihad are allowed to continue operating) and kill people who send their daughters to any school. Nobody will attend school if they believe that they will be shot and killed for doing so.
So when you're trying to prevent a young muslim from becoming a radical, what's the better option - allowing him the chance to have an education, or blowing up his brother's wedding party and then air dropping him some pudding cups with little American flags on them?
Your'e being naive, its not that simple. As long as the Taliban and the tribesmen are running around the countryside blowing up schools, shooting people who cooperate with us, and then escaping back across the border into Pakistan (the border is a line drawn by long dead white men really, it has little or no meaning to the Pashtun tribesmen who inhabit the region) nothing much is going to change and progress will be extremely slow if it comes at all. The Taliban are not reasonable people; they will never negotiate in good faith with the United States or anyone else from the west (they even stab their fellow Pakistani muslims in the back when they think the tables have turned and peace no longer suits them) not now and not ever and it is a waste of time to try and negotiate with them.
So Long Tailhookers... (Score:3, Insightful)
There's going to be a whole lot of pissed off Navy pilots if they make a UAV that can land on a carrier deck at night in crap weather. Their main reason for superiority over all other pilots will be shot to hell.
When Navy pilots say "Flaring to land is like squatting to pee" then land based pilots will be able to come back with "Oh come on, landing on a carrier is so simple, even a computer can do it!" :)
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There's going to be a whole lot of pissed off Navy pilots if they make a UAV that can land on a carrier deck at night in crap weather. Their main reason for superiority over all other pilots will be shot to hell.
I'm the senior Landing Signal Officer for the US Navy's Atlantic Fleet, and we've actually had fully automated landing systems on carrier aircraft for a long while. The first test of any Automatic Carrier Landing System (ACLS) was in August 1957 [about.com], and after extensive development the system was regularly used in Vietnam. The current AN/SPN-46 [janes.com] is the latest iteration, but essentially it's just a glorified missile tracking radar that feeds into the airplane's autopilot via a simple UHF datalink. It's all ol
Man still in the "nuclear loop" just not flying it (Score:3, Interesting)
Had a chilling thought looking at the specifications of the vehicle. It could easily carry several B61 nuclear bombs without much strain, perhaps up to 3 or 4. Being unmanned means that it won't be risking crews to fly nuclear missions. This might be taken wrong by hostile countries and it might be put on center stage.
Re:No more parades? (Score:5, Insightful)
Works for me. You may like wars to be about heroism and patriotism and motherhood and apple pie and dulce et decorum est pro patria mori and all that bullshit, but I prefer them to be won, as quickly as possible, and with as few people getting hurt as possible. If that can be achieved by using robots instead of humans, that's just fine.
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Isn't the issue here the cavalier attitude that being able to fight wars with out cost will engender. The idea of the citizen soldier was born specifically because when a society had no personal investment in a conflict they became endemic.
See Also: The mercenary wars fought in late medieval Europe.
Re:No more parades? (Score:5, Insightful)
Depends what you want to do. You couldn't fight a war like the current campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan with drones alone - those are wars of occupation, with large numbers of infantry on the ground. The advantage comes with conflicts like those we saw from time to time in the 1990s: faction A (we like) are fighting faction B (we don't like), but we lack the will for a proper war, so we just bomb faction B's facilities and units and let faction A take advantage. That's the kind of situation where drones would be wonderful. Mind you, I don't think the risk to pilots is a major deterrent to our leaders in that case: it's more a matter of how the scenes of devastation on the ground will play with the voters, and those are the same whether it's a human or a drone that did it.
See Also: The mercenary wars fought in late medieval Europe.
According to Machiavelli, the problem with those wasn't so much that the availability of mercenaries let leaders go to war with less risk to their own people: it was that the mercenaries themselves were unreliable and disloyal. For a start they'd fight only for their pay, and so their stomach for a losing battle was considerably less; and if the mercenaries won their battle, then whatever lands had been conquered were held by the triumphant prince only so long as he kept the loyalty of the mercenaries. Whose price, of course, just went steeply upward. Better, he said, to triumph by your own arms. This, at least, is not a problem with machines, which will happily sacrifice themselves for you, more willingly than even the most jingoistic soldier.
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Great! I can't wait a day when Iran and North Korea develop their own Predator drones. Just imagine, Iran army won't have to lose a single life while bombing Israel and American cities!
The main problem with the Predator drones is that it makes wars easier and cheaper to fight. But only if your opponent is completely powerless (i.e. if you are slaughtering him without any fear of a retaliation).
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Drone or not, they aren't coming because they can't win. At least right now. What worries me is if somehow one of these nations figures out what comes "next" after the A-bomb (queue B-Bomb jokes).
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When few people get hurt during wars, wars will become ubiquitous. Remember what happened when tasers were supposed to fix all the problems that came with gun-equipped cops?
Wars are going to become a quick fix solution to a trigger-happy authority with an army of drones.
Re:No more parades? (Score:5, Insightful)
Gandhi threw the British out of India using active, aggressive, non-violent resistance.
I wonder how long Gandhi would have lasted using "active, aggressive, non-violent resistance" against Stalin or Mao.
Re:No more parades? (Score:5, Insightful)
This has been answered MANY times, Ghandi's approach only works when the oppressor in question is capable of shame.
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Thank you.
Re:No more parades? (Score:5, Insightful)
That strategy worked because the opponent was the British and Gandhi understood how to exploit the culture he was fighting. It would have been a foolish strategy if it had been, say, the Soviets.
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Gandhi was hypocritical bastard that history continues to white wash.
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Re:No more parades? (Score:4, Interesting)
How strange it is, then, that as we get better and better at killing, we seem to be more and more reluctant to do it.
You want to talk about horrible forms of warfare, go look at what cultures of times past used to do. Genghis Khan would be a good starting point.
The stanford prison experiment tested the reaction of a single individual being ordered around by an authority figure, in a controlled setting. It has no baring on large populations, especially within democratic societies.
Killing a guy who plans to kill you tends to work quite well. If there are other, more efficient ways of dealing with the problem, then great - you'll find that even most soldiers prefer a peaceful solution. We don't actually LIKE being shot at. But it has to be a real solution, not just a delaying tactic which puts off the problem for future generations to deal with.
Re:No more parades? (Score:4, Informative)
You're thinking of Stanley Milgrams experiment. The Stanford prison experiment was something entirely different (group setting, ran several days, etc.).
Milgram experiment [wikipedia.org]
Stanford prison experiment [wikipedia.org]
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These machines, and the engineers who work on them, are evil.
Punitive action feels good, but objectively it has lousy effectiveness and efficiency. We do it because we like it, not because it works. Even I, with a deep-seated loathing of killing, can feel the draw of these machines.
I think you can't admit that lethal force is often effective and necessary, because you can't stand the tension between that and your moral sense. Some of the other people whom you call evil can't stand the tension either, so they blunt their awareness of the moral issues. They're not entirely wrong though, even though there's an important truth in your point also.
I don't think you are likely to make much headway with your argument unless you can speak to that better.
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Lots of unmanned body bags, too.
rj
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