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Yahoo May Re-Consider Google Alliance, Rebuff Microsoft

Posted by Zonk on Sunday February 03, @10:33PM
from the now-the-rubberband-is-on-the-other-claw dept.
anastasd writes "Reuters is reporting that Yahoo might consider a business alliance with Google as a way to top a $44.6 billion takeover proposal by Microsoft. 'Yahoo management is considering revisiting talks it held with Google several months ago on an alliance as an alternative to Microsoft's bid, that source said. At $31 a share, Yahoo believes the bid undervalues the company, two sources said. A second source close to Yahoo said it had received a procession of preliminary contacts by media, technology, telephone and financial companies. But the source said they were unaware whether any alternative bid was in the offing.'"

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[+] Microsoft Bids $44.6 Billion For Yahoo 783 comments
The news is everywhere this morning about Microsoft's $44.6B offer to buy Yahoo. The offer represents $31 a share, a 62% premium over Thursday's closing price; and Yahoo's stock price has been rising in after-hours trading. Microsoft has been making overtures to Yahoo since 2006, according to the CNet article, including a buyout offer last February that was rebuffed. Mediapost.com has some perspective on the deal from the point of view of ads and eyeballs. Such an acquisition, which would be Microsoft's largest by far — it bought Aquantive last year for $6 billion — would need approval by US and EU authorities. A European Commission spokesman declined to comment.
[+] Yahoo Bid shows Microsoft on the Ropes 402 comments
Ponca City, We Love You writes "One day after the announcement of Microsoft's plan to buy Yahoo, there is an interesting piece from the NY Times analyzing the reasons behind Microsoft's bid and proposing that the bid is a tacit, and difficult, admission that Microsoft did not get its online business right and that online losses continue to mount while Google makes billions in profit. Microsoft "finds itself in a battle where improving its search algorithms and online ad software is not going to be enough," writes the Times. With the Yahoo bid Microsoft is trying to buy a big enough share of the market to be a credible alternative to Google with online advertisers. "This shows just how worried Microsoft is by Google," says David B. Yoffie. "Microsoft has faced competitive threats before, but none with the size, strength, profitability and momentum of Google.""
[+] Yahoo Deal Is Big, but Is It the Next Big Thing? 159 comments
mattsgotredhair brings us a NYTimes article discussing how Microsoft's bid for Yahoo contrasts against one of the core philosophies of Silicon Valley: looking forward. From the Times: "Microsoft may see Yahoo as its last best chance to catch up. But for all its size and ambition, the bid has not been greeted with enthusiasm. That may be because Silicon Valley favors bottom-up innovation instead of growth by acquisition. The region's investment money and brain power are tuned to start-ups that can anticipate the next big thing rather than chase the last one. 'This is the very nature of the Valley,' said Jim Breyer of the venture capital firm Accel Partners. 'After very strong growth, businesses by definition start to slow as competition increases and young creative start-ups begin to attack the incumbents.'"
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Yahoo May Re-Consider Google Alliance, Rebuff Microsoft 25 Comments More | Login | Reply /

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  • I'd be sad if Microhoo goes ahead (Score:5, Insightful)

    by _merlin (160982) on Sunday February 03, @10:37PM (#22287198) Homepage Journal
    Do I like Yahoo? Not really. But I don't really like Google or MS either. The less of these online service providers there are, the worse it will be for consumers. I hope Yahoo continues to exist in some form or another just so there are more players in the marketplace. That means more choice, more competition and a better experience for users.
        • Re:Their (lack of) privacy policy (Score:5, Interesting)

          by cheater512 (783349) <nick@nickstallman.net> on Sunday February 03, @11:42PM (#22287554) Homepage
          They handle so much data that to me it doesnt matter too much about their privacy policy.
          It is impossible for them to be reading my email or anything else I wouldnt like.

          Google Maps is made by Aussies you know. ;)
          Its far better than WhereIs for most things although it doesnt function as a phone book.
          I hate WhereIs's UI.
            • Re:Their (lack of) privacy policy (Score:5, Insightful)

              by slyn (1111419) <ozzietheowl@gmail.com> on Monday February 04, @12:58AM (#22287966)
              I've always wondered, what exactly does/would Google get out of doing that? I use Gmail. If Google data mined my mail, they would get nothing. I don't use email with my friends (i'm in the age bracket that doesn't use email according to that one semi-recent /. article) so all my mail is either from colleges or "click this link" forum activation mail. In theory, the real data worth mining would be either of my parent's as both of them run their own businesses. However, what can they do with the data? Mine it so they can show targeted ad's to them for Quickbooks or Lexus-Nexus or whatever? Oh wait, they already do. Seriously, unless your dating Larry/Sergey/Eric's Ex, why would they ever care to look through your mail?
  • What's in it for Google? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by EmbeddedJanitor (597831) on Sunday February 03, @10:40PM (#22287222)
    Google has 4 times the search hits of yahoo and is growing. Why spend 45bn on a sinking enemy? Just wait a year or two and yahoo will be no more anyway. MS + yahoo are individually sinking in the service space and together they'll just sink faster. Sure Google must make some anti-trust grumblings, but in reality they must love the sight of their worst competitors sinking eachother.

    Google can use the 45bn in far better ways by cutting into new markets & technologies (eg. Android).

    • Re:What's in it for Google? (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Amorymeltzer (1213818) on Sunday February 03, @10:55PM (#22287334)
      Yahoo is ANYTHING but sinking. Yahoo.com is still the number one most visited site on the web (check alexa [alexa.com]). Now, Google happens to be number two, followed by youtube. Who in their right mind wouldn't want the top three websites? I'D shell out $45B if I had it.

      Not that it would happen, but imagine if Google acquired Yahoo. They'd have vast resources of hardware and user accounts at their dispense - two things that Google especially wouldn't mind having. A merger between Yahoo and Google groups? News? Oh, and did I mention they're the number one site on the web?!

      A more likely option, avoiding the anti-trust nonsense, would be Google purchasing some stock in Yahoo, or the two coming to some sort of mutual agreement such that Yahoo can consolidate and focus funds and Google gets some new toy.

      By no means is it a dumb idea for either of them. The only person who loses is Microsoft, and I think everyone can agree that's an acceptable loss.
      • Check your stats (Score:5, Informative)

        by EmbeddedJanitor (597831) on Sunday February 03, @11:08PM (#22287406)
        http://www.alexa.com/data/details/traffic_details/yahoo.com [alexa.com]

        Google and yahoo are neck and neck (with google slightly ahead for the last while). That gives google 1 & 3, or 50% vs 30% if you combine youtube + google.

        Now look at http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=YHOO&t=2y&l=on&z=m&q=l&c=GOOG [yahoo.com]

        Yahoo on the way down and Google (relatively) up.

        Sure, Google could buy Yahoo for a quick rush, but in the longer term (1-2 years) yahoo will just fade by themselves unless they do something very interesting (which they have not done in a long time).

        • Re:Check your stats (Score:5, Interesting)

          by Amorymeltzer (1213818) on Sunday February 03, @11:41PM (#22287550)
          Ambiguous graph aside, alexa still ranks yahoo.com number one. Over the past three months, yahoo beats google by 0.5% of the internet population. Digging through the info pages on both, Yahoo has twice the page views for each individual user. Putting together equivalent users with twice the page views is probably why Yahoo is ranked number 1 and Google number 2 over the past three months (1 and 4 for a week and 42 and 53 for yesterday). As far as my math goes, it seems that an ad on Yahoo would get seen on average twice more than one on Google.

          Can't argue with stocks, but Yahoo's never been good with making money - Google and Microsoft are. Yahoo is good because it's got controlling stakes in instant messaging and an enormous amount of people backing them and their community. If you can get any sort of money earner on those pages, that finance page won't count for shit.

          (I'd also like to point out you had to link to yahoo for that page)
  • some other company (Score:5, Interesting)

    by FudRucker (866063) on Sunday February 03, @10:45PM (#22287262)
    too bad TimeWarner or CNN or some other big media company could not bail yahoo out, i rather see something like that than for microsoft getting their dirty paws on them...
    • Re:some other company (Score:5, Insightful)

      by OakLEE (91103) on Sunday February 03, @11:46PM (#22287570)
      Oh you mean like this [cnn.com]? Yah I think we've seen that one played out before and it didn't end well for the big media company. And just remember, AOL merged at its peak, Yahoo has clearly seen better days.
  • by olddoc (152678) on Sunday February 03, @10:47PM (#22287272)
    Yahoo is just acting like this in order to get a higher price from MS.
    Google + Yahoo! wouldn't fly with the antitrust regulators.
  • just jacking up the price (Score:5, Insightful)

    by wannasleep (668379) on Sunday February 03, @10:50PM (#22287304)
    They are just jacking up the price. The company will be sold. Once a company is in play, it is very hard to take it off the market.
    Once the directors receive an offer, it is their duty to figure out whether their shareholders are better off with Yahoo alone or not. If they figure out that it is better selling (I am sure they did already), it is their obligation under current Delaware law to auction the company. That's exactly what they are doing. There isn't a single transaction that closes at the starting price.
    If the directors decide that it is better going alone, it will end up with a Proxy fight and a lot of lawsuits (those will happen anyway)
    Right now, arbitrageurs are going long on Yahoo and short on MS.
    • Re:just jacking up the price (Score:5, Interesting)

      by cookedchicken01 (1232626) on Monday February 04, @12:15AM (#22287700)

      They are just jacking up the price. The company will be sold. Once a company is in play, it is very hard to take it off the market.

      Once the directors receive an offer, it is their duty to figure out whether their shareholders are better off with Yahoo alone or not. If they figure out that it is better selling (I am sure they did already), it is their obligation under current Delaware law to auction the company. That's exactly what they are doing. There isn't a single transaction that closes at the starting price.

      If the directors decide that it is better going alone, it will end up with a Proxy fight and a lot of lawsuits (those will happen anyway)

      Right now, arbitrageurs are going long on Yahoo and short on MS.
      I really doubt this. They are not doing this just to jack up the price, I really think they are trying to avoid the takeover and are taking steps to try and defend themselves. This is a classic hostile takeover defense strategy. I'm pretty sure Yahoo! doesn't want to be acquired or merged with Microsoft. This takeover attempt was obviously hostile. Yahoo! has rebuffed Microsoft according to reports for a year. Do you really think a Stanford guy like Yang wants to see his life's work swollowed up by "the borg." There only chance to avoid the takeover is to find a white-knight like Google who can bail them out:

      From: http://investment.suite101.com/article.cfm/posttakeover_defense_strategies [suite101.com]

      White Knight and White Squire Techniques

      Employing a white knight defense is often the best solution available
      to target companies. It involves finding a third party, a white
      knight, that a target company can partner with and which is considered
      a good strategic fit with the target. Finding such a white knight can
      result in justifying higher market capitalization of the target and
      making it more difficult/expensive for an acquirer to go through with
      the bid.

      Finally, a white squire defense involves finding a friendly and
      strategically suitable third party to buy a considerable minority
      holding in the target company that could be sufficient to block a
      hostile takeover without selling any of the crown jewels, selling of
      the entire company, or making any foolish counter bids.
  • by webword (82711) on Sunday February 03, @10:58PM (#22287348) Homepage
    From the article...

    "Few natural bidders exist beside Google
    that could engage in a bidding war, and
    Google would be unlikely to win approval
    from antitrust regulators, some Wall Street
    analysts said on Friday."

    So, um, it's not likely to happen.

    ** Yawn **

    It's safe to move along.
  • Yahoo is popular outside of the US (Score:5, Informative)

    by kylehase (982334) on Sunday February 03, @11:04PM (#22287382)
    Here in Japan Yahoo is huge. Yahoo is the default portal for many Japanese on their computer and mobile browsers, in fact all Softbank (formerly Vodafone in Japan) phones don't have an Internet button but instead a Y! button. Unlike Americans who favor simplistic websites with lots of space for easy readability, Japanese tend to like cluttered pages with noisy interfaces [yahoo.co.jp]. Perhaps it reminds them of the crowded streets and electronic billboards in Shibuya.

    Yahoo is also an ISP in Japan with a rather large penetration.

  • Google? No way. (Score:5, Interesting)

    by rudy_wayne (414635) on Sunday February 03, @11:06PM (#22287394)
    Over the past 3 months, Yahoo's stock has been dropping like a rock -- from $33 to $19. It jumped back up to $28 after the Microsoft takeover announcement, but that just means Microsoft will have to kick in another couple billion to get the deal through.

    And it also means that Google would have to pay *EVEN MORE* than that in order to make a better offer than Microsoft. Why would Google spend $46+ Billion just to buy a competitor who is sinking fast? Just doesn't make sense. Google has a lot of money, but I doubt they're willing to spend *THAT MUCH* just to piss off Microsoft.

  • Google Wants to Stop This Takeover (Score:5, Interesting)

    by cookedchicken01 (1232626) on Sunday February 03, @11:56PM (#22287602)
    Check out this blog post by Google's Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer, David Drummond on Google's Corporate Blog. Google clearly sees this deal as a direct threat to the future of the Internet. They are not going to let Microsoft walk all over them like Netscape. Microsoft's bid for Yahoo! was a declaration of war:

    Yahoo! and the future of the Internet

    2/03/2008 11:45:00 AM

    Posted by David Drummond, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development
    and Chief Legal Officer

    The openness of the Internet is what made Google -- and Yahoo! --possible. A good idea that users find useful spreads quickly. Businesses can be created around the idea. Users benefit from constant innovation. It's what makes the Internet such an exciting place.

    So Microsoft's hostile bid for Yahoo! raises troubling questions. This is about more than simply a financial transaction, one company taking over another. It's about preserving the underlying principles of the Internet: openness and innovation.

    Could Microsoft now attempt to exert the same sort of inappropriate and illegal influence over the Internet that it did with the PC? While the Internet rewards competitive innovation, Microsoft has frequently sought to establish proprietary monopolies -- and then leverage its dominance into new, adjacent markets.

    Could the acquisition of Yahoo! allow Microsoft -- despite its legacy of serious legal and regulatory offenses -- to extend unfair practices from browsers and operating systems to the Internet? In addition, Microsoft plus Yahoo! equals an overwhelming share of instant messaging and web email accounts. And between them, the two companies operate the two most heavily trafficked portals on the Internet. Could a combination of the two take advantage of a PC software monopoly to
    unfairly limit the ability of consumers to freely access competitors' email, IM, and web-based services? Policymakers around the world need to ask these questions -- and consumers deserve satisfying answers.

    This hostile bid was announced on Friday, so there is plenty of time for these questions to be thoroughly addressed. We take Internet openness, choice and innovation seriously. They are the core of our culture. We believe that the interests of Internet users come first --and should come first -- as the merits of this proposed acquisition are examined and alternatives explored.
  • by Christianfreak (100697) on Monday February 04, @12:09AM (#22287672) Homepage Journal
    MSN is the default on new computers so the only people that use it are the ones that don't know any better. On the other hand pretty much everyone who uses Yahoo does so because they chose to do so. Microsoft has too much hubris to keep Yahoo's technology, they're going to change it all to Windows and .NET and just like what happened with Hotmail it will suck in then end.

    Where are those users going to go? I'd wager the vast majority of them will go straight to Google.

    Google doesn't need to buy Yahoo, they're going to get the users anyway
    • Re:microyahoogle (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Penguinisto (415985) on Sunday February 03, @11:34PM (#22287520) Journal
      At first blush, your post is plausible... but I wouldn't be so certain ab't Yahoo's future prospects. This is the same company that managed to survive the dot-bust in spite of really not being supposed to.

      They're #3, but like Google, they came by that position honestly (MSN got to its slot by 'dint of default'). It may be anecdotal, but Yahoo has a lot of income that comes in from places that you and I may find unlikely. They also have a rather solid set of services that 1) doesn't require Windows or a Passport Account, and 2) is relatively uncluttered and straightforward when compared to MSN. When it comes to non-search functions, Yahoo is actually IMHO better than Google in a lot of areas, simply because those areas don't have that 'beta' feel to it that Google sometimes does, or that 'we require possession of your soul before installing this' feel that the MSN does (e.g. messenger services*).

      While I pretty much use Google for most of my stuff nowadays, There is still Yahoo Finance, among a bucket of little things that make it useful to me.

      This is just anecdotal, but I know I'm not alone, and Yahoo does have a large and loyal following. I could see them diminish over time perhaps, but not necessarily die off.

      /P

      * I use Pidgin everywhere now, but long ago, my Mac wound up with MSN and Yahoo Messenger on it due to social and work demands... and GAIM wasn't IMHO a viable option there.

    • Re:Timing of the bid (Score:5, Interesting)

      by cookedchicken01 (1232626) on Monday February 04, @12:04AM (#22287650)
      Did anyone else find it funny that the bid also came the day after the DOJ stopped its oversight over all but one area of Microsoft's business practices? Unfortunately, slashdot and others reported it like the DOJ actually extended some kind of meaningful oversight, but in truth, just the opposite. "The US Department of Justice has extended its anti-trust oversight of Microsoft by two years. This only applies to the requirement that Microsoft make protocol documentation available to competitors, though. All of the other requirements have expired, and Judge Colleen Kollar-Kotelly did not give the states complaining the full five years of oversight they requested."
    • Re:A dose of reality (Score:5, Insightful)

      by ZombieRoboNinja (905329) on Monday February 04, @12:13AM (#22287690)
      >>Best way to prevent this inevitable evil? Force the infrastructure to become a shared resource of multiple companies by making it economically less efficient for all of them not to inter-operate.

      Fortunately, part of Google's current "sexiness" comes from them embracing various standards and open-source projects that allow them to "interoperate", whereas Microsoft famously tries to hold on to its "infrastructural lock-in" with stuff like MS Office document formats and file-system formats.