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AI Will Impact GDP of Every Country By Double Digits, Says Mistral CEO (businessinsider.com) 31

Countries must develop their own artificial intelligence infrastructure or risk significant economic losses as the technology transforms global economies, Mistral CEO Arthur Mensch said last week.

"It will have an impact on GDP of every country in the double digits in the coming years," Mensch told the A16z podcast, warning that nations without domestic AI systems would see capital flow elsewhere. The French startup executive compared AI to electricity adoption a century ago. "If you weren't building electricity factories, you were preparing yourself to buy it from your neighbors, which creates dependencies," he said.

AI Will Impact GDP of Every Country By Double Digits, Says Mistral CEO

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  • Cars impact GDP by double digits.
    TV/Movies impacts GDP by double digits.
    Paper impacts GDP by double digits.
    Mining impacts GDP by double digits
    Agriculture impacts GDP by double digits.
    Pharmaceuticals, etc. etc.

    AI is new, the rest are old tech,

    • I guess I'm trying to figure out what offerings "AI" will give that will so significantly impact a country's GDP in a serious manner?

      I mean, are they thinking we'll hook AI into all systems in a Skynet type fashion, and it will be running the show and have that type impact....?

      Shy of that, I'm just having problems imagining this level of significant impact on each society on earth.

      And if that is the case....who in their right mind would turn over that much power over their civilization to "the machine"..

      • A large part of it is going to be scut work and personalization.

        That is, AI shows me TV shows it thinks I like, I ignore 9 of them, and watch 1, which increases their revenue by 1 show.

        I also watch one my friend suggested, and another I saw advertised.

        I watched 3 shows, 1 of them suggested by AI. By their math, AI increased the number of shows I watched by 50%, a double digit increase in tv shows.

      • >this level of significant impact on each society on earth.

        Anyone whose job it is to write or summarize reports where they don't have to be really precise, anyone whose job it is to make pictures, anyone who writes smaller basic programs, drives cars or trucks, monitors a video feed for, for example, the presence of humans, performs more basic translation functions, performs text to speech, reads handwriting and enter it into forms, or does any of several other tasks has had or will soon have most of th
      • I guess I'm trying to figure out what offerings "AI" will give that will so significantly impact a country's GDP in a serious manner?

        I mean, are they thinking we'll hook AI into all systems in a Skynet type fashion, and it will be running the show and have that type impact....?

        Shy of that, I'm just having problems imagining this level of significant impact on each society on earth.

        And if that is the case....who in their right mind would turn over that much power over their civilization to "the machine"...?

        The paywalled article can be read through archive.is but the primary source is quoted as a recent episode of podcast called A16z (which I won't be listening to so I can't help further than this).

    • by Anonymous Coward

      Yeah but they mean that AI will reduce it by double digits, where the rest contribute.

    • I'm also absolutely stunned that an AI company CEO would come out banging the drum for AI.

  • Seems misguided (Score:5, Interesting)

    by spacec0w ( 894586 ) on Monday March 24, 2025 @11:39AM (#65255651)
    Thinking of recent technology advances that have led to increased productivity, telephone, fax, e-mail, internet and later Google etc, it's hard to imagine how these advances haven't been nearly equally available and taken advantage of worldwide. What real difference does it make where they originate? AI seems increasingly becoming a commodity that has been replicated already many times. Why would the world not benefit from this (nearly) equally? Of course the US benefits more by having more money flow in and a richer tech sector, but the benefits of the Google search are by no means limited to America. Kind of the nature of tech jumps is that they're shared. Other than military, security stuff etc but he's not talking about that I assume.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday March 24, 2025 @11:42AM (#65255657)

    "This fantastic new technology to help the humankind will be gated to the rich and only used for further financial gain for the 1%.ers. The rest of humanity will still be working in the salt mines"

  • by Pollux ( 102520 ) <speter@tedata.ne t . eg> on Monday March 24, 2025 @11:43AM (#65255659) Journal

    Take these comments w/ a grain of salt. The CEO of any company that has something to sell will always make their product sound like the greatest thing since sliced bread. Not that AI is, not that it isn't, but let's hear about it from someone who's not in the position to profit royally before we judge these comments to be authentic and truthful.

    • On the other hand, it's important to understand that GDP itself is a stupid measure of anything these days and represents predominantly "paper value" and not real productivity because of the technical details of how it's calculated. With that in mind, it seems quite reasonable to assume something stupid and almost entirely existing only on paper like AI might shift and upset it.

    • "we from toilet-duck advice toilet-duck"

      A few decades ago, there was a TV ad from a company called toilet-duck, supposedly employing scientists that advised their own product. The above quote was their slogan.

      Since the appearance of that ad, the phrase is used to indicate biased information.

  • by derplord ( 7203610 ) on Monday March 24, 2025 @11:48AM (#65255671)

    Press (X) to doubt.

  • by rossdee ( 243626 ) on Monday March 24, 2025 @11:48AM (#65255675)

    "If you weren't building electricity factories, you were preparing yourself to buy it from your neighbors, which creates dependencies,""

    Was that translated by AI ?

  • ... establish what the ROI on AI is expected to be. If the returns are there, investment will follow. No need to shake down every country for its loose change.

    In fact, smart nations will work on attracting foreign direct investment. That new data center in Kenya isn't going to pick up and leave easily.

  • And hey, join my religion. It's the fastest growing religion in the world right now.

  • Take this with a grain of salt. Yeah AI will affect GDP, but AI as the industry itself won't. A country doesn't need to have its own home grown AI industry to have their GDP affected, they can use someone else's.

    Example: The advent of Google Search has dramatically changed the way people work over the entire world. It has driven massive efficiencies and been incorporated into countless products and as a result has had GDP implications for countless countries in the world. Yet it's still the product of a USA

  • There are studies coming out that question if AI technology is causing a fundamental negative change for people. In a society where people get used to asking some sort of AI assistant for answers, they lose their ability to research information themselves.

    The tech industry has been in a such a hurry to push this out the door as the "next great new thing", they didn't stop to ask if it would have unintended consequences like that. (I think most people were focused on the sci-fi doomsday stories of AI becomin

    • The obvious lesson from technology over the past 10 years is that things don't necessarily get better as technology advances. Capitalists are salivating over the way they can save money with AI, but that will likely have many negative impacts on society. Get ready for the day when it's impossible to speak to a customer service representative, or the day when you cannot hire someone capable of critical thought, or the day when "truth" is merely an AI hallucination.

      • THIS. With every advance in technology there has been a more granular way to charge people for those services. The more granular and complex these charges get, the more money corporations make and they are milked for everything they are worth.
  • "Mistral AI is the world's greenest and leading independent AI lab. Deeply engaged solutioning and value delivery. Hands-on assistance from the world's best AI engineers and scientists across deployment, solutioning, safety, and beyond. Delightful interfaces."

  • AI is has no positive benefit to people. It has failed to live up to any promise. AI has become a dangerous toy for indiscriminate use. It is now instrumental for pervasive data theft. AI will be the cornerstone of the coming depression. Lastly, as each country wields any great technology leap--it invariably leads to war on a massive scale.
  • You mean at least 10 entire GBP/USD/EUR?!!!!

  • The crash of the AI buble will be big, but nowhere that big.

  • All countries without a national stockpile of shovels risk total destruction! Stock up now while you still can!
  • by RUs1729 ( 10049396 ) on Monday March 24, 2025 @12:35PM (#65255807)

    He would say that, wouldn't he?

    This is a guy with a vested interested to prop up that kind business. What else is supposed to say? Why would anyone take seriously what he has to say about the subject? Because he knows the business? BS. Because he's trying to ramp up interest and get more money from VCs. Why are people still falling for such ridiculous nonsense?

  • To err is human; to really fuck things up takes a computer.
  • Countries must develop their own artificial intelligence infrastructure or risk significant economic losses as the technology transforms global economies

    Why must they develop their own AI infrastructure? If you've got computers and internet, you're done, right? No special equipment is needed.

    This is kind of like saying that countries must develop their own car manufacturing infrastructure, or risk economic losses. No, not every country in the world economy, must be a producer of all things.

  • When AI is used to replace workers, costs go down, profit goes up - while productivity stays the same. AI is a human replacement, where it is an augmentation, other humans are fired to compensate the cost. None of this increases GDP, it only increases profit. That's where we are seeing AI adoption.
  • How, exactly? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by TraumaFox ( 1667643 ) on Monday March 24, 2025 @02:44PM (#65256117)
    Nowhere in this does he actually say how that's going to happen. These tools have been around for several years now and have yet to do anything special except constantly hemorrhage billions of dollars, all while they beg consumers to find new use cases for their tools because they can't seem to come up with any themselves. The most these grifters can do is point to some nebulous promise of AGI just around the corner while being unable to define what AGI is and having no tangible roadmap for achieving it.

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