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Vista Sales Expectations Too High, Office Doing Well
Posted by
Zonk
on Fri Feb 16, 2007 12:43 PM
from the business-of-windowing dept.
from the business-of-windowing dept.
PetManimal writes "A comparison of first-week retail sales of Vista compared to first-week sales of XP back in 2001 found that Vista sales were 60% lower. Steve Ballmer has admitted that earlier sales forecasts were 'overly aggressive,' but at least there is some good news for Microsoft: early Office 2007 sales were very strong compared to the early sales of Office 2003, despite almost no advertising or marketing until the retail launch at the end of January."
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Software Missing From Vista's "Official Apps" 288 comments
PetManimal writes "Microsoft has just released a list of 800 applications it says are 'officially supported' on Windows Vista. What's special about this list, however, are the programs that are not included: 'Popular Windows software that is conspicuously missing from Microsoft's list includes Adobe Systems Inc.'s entire line of graphics and multimedia software, Symantec Corp.'s security products, as well as the Mozilla Foundation's open-source Firefox Web browser, Skype Ltd.'s free voice-over-IP software and the OpenOffice.org alternative to Microsoft Office.' Another area in which Vista has found to be lacking is gaming, as discussed earlier on Slashdot."
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Vista Sales Expectations Too High, Office Doing Well
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Queue up the chair jokes! (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Queue up the chair jokes! (Score:5, Funny)
You are coming to a sad realization. Deny, allow, or throw chair?
Are you sure you want to execute vista-jokes.exe? (Score:5, Funny)
You are trying to open a web browser, do you want to open it?
[ Continue ] [ Cancel ]
*continue*
This web browser was not signed by Microsoft, operation aborted.
[ Okay ]
*click* *Open IE*
You are trying to open a program made by Microsoft. Good choice!
[ Okay ]
*click* *slashdot.org*
You are opening a port to connect to an external website. Are you sure? It might be dangerous.
[ Continue ] [ Cancel ]
*continue*
You are connecting to Slashdot.org. Are you sure you want to go there? How about MSN instead?
[ Continue ] [ Go to MSN ] [ Cancel ]
*continue*
You appear to be posting to Slashdot. Any comment you write might be read by third parties. Are you sure you want to continue?
[ Continue ] [ Cancel ]
*continue*
You appear to be posting material that is disparaging to Microsoft. This is forbidden by section 66, paragraph 6 of your Windows Vista Super Mega Chair Monkey Team Hyper Force Go! ULTIMATE Edition EULA.
[ Report Yourself to Microsoft for Being Naughty ]
*BANG*
For sale: Like-new computer w/Vista. Slightly shotgunned.
Re:Queue up the chair jokes! (Score:4, Insightful)
It's also more of the same, but people haven't noticed yet because of the distraction of the Ribbon.
("Look over there - a shiny thing!" <runs away>)
Re:Queue up the chair jokes! (Score:5, Insightful)
Since XP actually does a decent job of retaining speed (a reformat still does wonders), no one needs to buy a new computer. If all they use it for is web browsing and e-mail, why do they need a new computer/OS that does neither any better than XP (unless you count more flashy as better)?
Thing is... (Score:5, Insightful)
(http://www.gcnaddict.com/)
Office, on the other hand, was praised as something which would make life much easier for people because of the new ribbon. There's even a home and student version for people who can't afford paying for standard edition.
Re:Thing is... (Score:5, Insightful)
I think you're being a bit unfair..... (Score:5, Funny)
I would really rip into you if it were not so busy following the Anna Nichole Smith scandal
Re:I think you're being a bit unfair..... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Thing is... (Score:5, Funny)
(http://slashdot.org/)
Damn! Even NASCAR vehicles are doping! WTF has this world come to?!?
Re:Thing is... (Score:5, Insightful)
(http://www.savagewar.co.uk/)
Re:Thing is... (Score:5, Insightful)
I know for a FACT that people who are clueless about computers already have the idea Vista sucks and do not want to buy it.
You know why? They ask US for advice and we tell them it sucks. I can personally think of 5+ accounts of average users asking about upgrading to Vista and a horde of geeks respond with a resounding NO! These are some of the things I've heard average users say about Vista...
1. "It's riddled with anti-piracy locks, why get Vista when my pirated copy of XP works fine"
2. "XP works great, why should I get Vista?"
3. "I heard it won't run on my computer"
4. "Unless your computer is brand new it will run like crap"
5. "It sucks for games. If you want to game man, stick with XP"
So don't say people have no idea about Vista, that is simply untrue.
Re:Thing is... (Score:5, Insightful)
When faced with a new product that works almost the same as the old product except that existing software doesn't work very well on it, I don't see why it's such a shock that uptake has been so slow.
Certainly the case with us.. (Score:4, Interesting)
(http://slashdot.org/ | Last Journal: Wednesday March 06 2002, @03:46PM)
MS's general legacy of good backwards compatibility is the only thing that's kept us with MS over the years. If they continue to break that, we're not going to stick with them on the desktop. It's that simple. MS needs to understand that the features they push us to use in 2002 don't just have to work until 2006. We have to have some confidence that the feature we use today will be available in 10 years (or longer) especially if there's no real reason to remove it.
Anyways... just needed to vent a bit there.
Re:Certainly the case with us.. (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Thing is... (Score:4, Insightful)
(Last Journal: Wednesday February 14 2007, @09:49AM)
I'm not surprised at all either. Vista offers nothing substantially new that justifies the price of an upgrade. Sure, it has a fancy new interface and supposedly better security, but at the end of the day it's just a little bit of more of the same. There's only so much you can squeeze out of a desktop system - after all, it's only the bones of the system. The meat is in the applications. If your OS is already quite good enough and does everything you need it to do, why shell out for an upgrade?
However, Office 2007 at least supposedly offers a revolutionary new way to use the application. It seems that this promise has enormous appeal for people. For instance, I'm having a harder time than ever debating the merits of OpenOffice. It seems Microsoft could have a winner there, loath as I am to admit it. Doesn't change the fact that I'm sticking with OO and Linux, but still ...
Re:Thing is... (Score:4, Interesting)
(http://free-usa.blogspot.com/)
Anyway, it was recent enough that MS offered a free upgrade to Vista when it was released. So now I have a free Vista upgrade that I'll hold onto until I run across an application what won't run on XP. So, that'll maybe be five years from now, when a lot of the bugs in Vista have been worked out and a lot of the opressive DRM has been disabled, I'll run across some app that wants Vista and I'll have it.
Or, if Linux developers can manage to keep up, I'll be able to do what I want in Linux without needing a PhD in Linuxology. I still use Linux for most of my work. Games and video editing are on Windows. That's just the way it is right now.
Re:Thing is... (Score:4, Interesting)
Is anyone surprised? (Score:2, Insightful)
Vista bugs me too much. I killed it.
Re:Is anyone surprised? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Is anyone surprised? (Score:4, Insightful)
Re the SP1 thing, IIRC from what I've read that's a combination of bringing Vista up to date with the by-then-released Longhorn Server and pacifying the "Don't upgrade till SP1!" crowd; but I could be wrong.
All I can say is: (Score:1)
"Wow."
...
And now I feel dirty...
But then again perhaps the lower sales reflect a consumer base more accustomed to the failures of Version 1.0, or, for those with more technical experience, are aware that much of Vista's development cycle seemed to consist of stripping out features, such as WinFS and whatever else it was.
It could also, of course, represent a level of success with the still-competent Win XP.
...I know this is /. so I'm hoping, at best, to modded funny for that last sentence, there's still no dumb-ass mod, right..?
Not Surprising (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Not Surprising (Score:4, Insightful)
(Last Journal: Thursday May 03 2007, @11:34AM)
OTOH, cost may only be half the issue. When XP came out, MS did not have a mature mainstream OS. Many were able to NT, but many other were still on 98, or, even worse, ME. Only a limited number of people were on 2000. When XP was released, the market was desperate for an OS that just worked, and, after a couple years, XP did mostly just work. Only the die hards stay with 2000.
If we go even deeper, we know that Vista should be an inferior product, if not a total failure. MS does come out with consecutive reliable OS. Perhaps Vista 3.11 will meet expectations, but not Vista 1.00.
Not surprising (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Not surprising (Score:4, Informative)
Also, folks using Word 2000 and later can use the new formats with a compatibilty pack [msdn.com]
Re:Not surprising (Score:4, Insightful)
The poster I replied to mentioned he had to install office to "send some documents". I'm pretty sure that "send some documents" does not mean that he wants to convert and send "hundreds of thousands" of documents. For this user I am quite sure that the "save as" function would have worked quite well, and he admits as much in a followup message.
Compatibility pack?! You're killing me. You have to install an extra in order to make MS Office compatible with MS Office?
Is it that unreasonable to have to update older versions of a product to consume newer versions of file formats? I mean if I grabbed a copy of mosaic from 1990 I don't think it would do a very good job of displaying PNG files, would it? Or CSS. Or modern HTML. (much like the IE of today, HAHA). It would require a *gasp* update.
Re:Not surprising (Score:4, Informative)
You're misinformed. All versions of office from 97-2k3 can open each others files with no need to do anything special when saving or loading.
Re:Not surprising (Score:5, Interesting)
(http://2130706433/ | Last Journal: Thursday July 19, @10:29AM)
My guess is that a lot of the Office 2007 sales are due to this -- Microsoft makes it hard for people to continue to use old versions, even though they work. So they give up and buy Office 2007 whether they need it or not.
Regards,
--
*Art
Not worth it, either (Score:2)
Reminds me of Lowered Expectations (Score:1)
(http://www.users.qwest.net/~waffleck-asch/ | Last Journal: Wednesday November 07, @04:46PM)
Most of the sales of Microsoft Office will probably be for people using MacOS - where Microsoft makes the highest return per unit sold - but here we'll only buy an Office upgrade if it runs on XP, as we have no interest in the video and speech aspects of WinVista - we're doing serious research, and the idea that someone can walk in to an office and have our computer do things by talking to it is just nuts.
Imagine if people actually had a choice! (Score:5, Insightful)
(Last Journal: Monday April 03 2006, @07:23PM)
And of those who did buy Vista, most didn't even want it!
I've helped four friends/family/FOAFs out so far who just bought a new PC and wanted to know how to get rid of Vista (the major OEMs no longer even give you a choice of XP).
They all, without exception, had the same set of complaints... They didn't know where to get at all the normal Windows tools, and despite having "upgraded" for a faster computer, their new machines, it felt significantly less responsive (I've translated a bit, and removed the streams of obscenities).
Short of piracy (or actually buying XP), I explained to them how to make Vista as XP-like as possible. Still not perfect, still a CPU and memory hog, still moved quite a bit around from the XP layout, but at least they could then use it.
Pathetic. If Microsoft wants to offer a new OS, fine. But they've gone out of their way to make it almost impossible to get a new, legal copy of XP, just so they can boost Vista's market penetration.
what OS they want?
The reasons are obvious (Score:3, Insightful)
(http://slashdot.org/)
People upgrade MS Office to ensure that when they are doing business with people, they will be able to open up the documents sent to them. MS Office is probably the ultimate achievement when it comes to viral marketing. (Or maybe I'm not using the term correctly?) But what I'm trying to say is that it has nothing to do with new features or new UIs and everything to do with supporting new file formats. And while end-users don't understand that it's a practice that is abusive to consumers and the marketplace in general, they understand that if they don't upgrade, they will run into problems such as not being able to open documents critical to their business activities.
Hardware? (Score:4, Interesting)
(Last Journal: Monday April 30 2007, @10:21PM)
People will wait until they need to purchase a new machine that it comes with Vista.
Things have to *work* first.... (Score:5, Interesting)
(Last Journal: Wednesday October 16 2002, @02:57PM)
I explained that she could buy the disc at a place like Office Depot, Best Buy, or wherever else she likes to get software (she's always just stuck with the OS on her machine from birth->death), but I also warned that she should make sure that the software she wants to run on her machine will run without problems before she bothers to do a big upgrade.
Quickbooks, some realtor software, and something her office uses have notes about compatibility problems with Vista. She stopped looking after that.
This is the first Windows release that I've used in which roughly half of the things I install have had some compatibility issues, noted in advance or discovered by me. It doesn't keep things from being usable in the general case, but it's more than just media FUD at this point.
They/we will fix it with OS/software updates over time.
No surprise (Score:4, Interesting)
I've been testing Vista at work and it's a good OS, but not ready for deployment yet. It's not Vista itself, it's apps and drivers. There's still plenty of hardware with drivers that aren't up to snuff, and a number of apps need to be updated to work on Vista. It's not the kind of thing I'd recommend most users walk in to yet. In another 3-6 months I'll probably look at deploying it to some of our labs.
Office, on the other hand, we are installing for anyone that orders a new copy. The volume keys are valid for either 2003 or 2007 so we are installing 2007 and will revert to 2003 if they don't like it. So far, nobody has asked to revert. There's just not really any technical issues. Yes there's a new interface and all, but all your documents open and that's the real concern.
This is not a foot race (Score:4, Insightful)
I will wait until I need to/want to upgrade, but I expect Vista will grow in usage even if I never adopt it. Whatever adoption rate regarding Vista is happening today, don't expect it to stay that way. Also don't expect MS to be crying that everyone isn't picking up a copy today.
Amazing! (Score:5, Funny)
Summary is misleading (Score:5, Informative)
(http://thejoshis.org/donutello)
The implication of that statement is:
- Ballmer/Microsoft issued a sales forecast in the past
- They were pressured on the accuracy of said forecast
- They admitted that their forecasts were overly aggressive.
However, that's not what happened here. The sales forecasts in question were made by external analysts. In this case, it's Ballmer and Microsoft disagreeing with the forecasts. The word "admit" implies that you are conceding something that you tried to conceal before.
Why does Slashdot need to spin every story to try and make it sound even more negative than it is?
still running 2000 (Score:1)
(http://misfit815.com/)
Why would anybody want Office-2007? (Score:2)
Why office 2007 sales are better? (Score:1)
Can't find XP on the low end anymore (Score:4, Informative)
They also have a laptop for $499 which they haven't had in quite a while. It's only available with Vista. Maybe M$ is giving it away (or almost giving it away) to Dell to infect the market?
A quick check of the HP site doesn't seem to have any XP options even on the high end.
Just wait a while... (Score:2)
I'm a Mac guy, and personally don't see anything compelling about Vista at the moment and am happy with dual booting into XP, but I think it's too early for people to claim that Vista is a failure.
What surprises me (Score:2)
This is surprizing (Score:1)
Testing Both (Score:1)
Sharepoint (Score:2)
office speak (Score:2)
(http://code.google.com/p/crylib/wiki/CryLib | Last Journal: Tuesday June 15 2004, @12:55PM)
Replace "Overly agressive" with "too hopeful" to get back to a normal person.
Needs network effect from preloads (Score:3, Insightful)
(http://www.biglumber.com/ | Last Journal: Tuesday September 18, @12:25PM)
Microsoft would be nothing without the preloads. But they have the preloads. Anyone who thinks Vista sales won't take off, must have forgotten this.
Just be patient. As brand new machines are sold with Vista on them, the number of Vista users will grow. Then people can start running apps that only work with Vista. Then those people will want to exchange information with people who aren't running Vista yet. And then people will start to "upgrade," even if they're not buying a new machine.
The reason Vista's numbers are down is... (Score:2)
I Knew it! (Score:2)
But 30% of those buying boxed Vista want Ultimate (Score:3, Informative)
First-week retail sales of boxed copies of Windows Vista were almost 60% below sales of boxed copies of Windows XP in the week after its 2001 release
Retail sales of PCs, virtually all of them sporting the new Vista OS, were up 67% over the same week in 2006. While that is hardly an apples-to-apples comparison -- many stores were clearing out their XP inventory in the weeks leading up to Vista's launch -- "it still reflects a fair bit of growth"
The good news for Microsoft: Consumers who are upgrading to Vista on their older machines are opting for pricier, higher-end versions of it. The average selling price of Vista was $207.13, up 66% from the average selling price of XP. That was due in part to the fact that more than 30% of the copies of Vista sold were the Ultimate version, which lists for $399. Early boxed retail sales of Vista down nearly 60% compared to XP [computerworld.com]
One might, of course, have expected boxed sales of Vista to be somewhat depressed by the distribution of free upgrade coupons distributed with PCs sold over the holidays.
marketing? (Score:2)
(http://slashdot.org/~nurb432/ | Last Journal: Friday August 27 2004, @03:24PM)
90% of the huge companies ( most of the MSO market ) are on those damned molp plans, so they automatically get the upgrades, even if they dont want them. ( and eventually they have to install them, again even if they dont want them )
Hell of a way to skew your numbers.
Liars.
Activate much? (Score:2)
I tried addressing this in the above article (Score:2)
(http://slashdot.org/ | Last Journal: Monday October 29, @07:20AM)
So - if this is how the deluded marketing minions of MS work, I guess we can expect them to blame US for not buying enough of THEIR software. Which BTW I'm fine with. A few weeks ago I commented here that I was happy to have finally sold my last batch of MS stock only to be laughed at by the PR flacks that it's the greatest stock on the planet. Well it took a HUGE hit today so the joke's on you PR interns.
Why Upgrade? (Score:2)
this goes to show... (Score:1)
Now if we could just redo Windows Vista and turn it into a UNIX-based OS with a nice windowing GUI...
My Upgrade Experience (Score:1)
I'd buy it... but... (Score:1)
(http://thecaretaker.blogplanet.ca/)
Why would people upgrade? (Score:1)
If you think about it, when Windows XP came out most people were running Windows ME or Windows 98 (which I kindly refer to as the random blue screen operating systems). Windows XP was a significant upgrade from 98 or ME.
Windows Vista doesn't offer much over Windows XP beyond eye candy. Just about anything you want to do with your computer can be done with Windows XP. On top of that, Windows XP is stable. There just doesn't seem to be much reason to upgrade to Vista if you are already running XP. And money is always a good reason not to upgrade.
What? No Outlook in Home & Student Version? (Score:1)
The huge Fortune 500 (Score:1)
Can't remember where I said this originally... (Score:2)
(http://aqpeag.blogspot.com/ | Last Journal: Saturday April 21 2007, @05:39AM)
You left out... (Score:1)
{ please, discuss among yourselves }
Re:Slashdot Readers (Score:2)
(http://scorch.quickfox.org/)
Why can't ms fan boys ever be specific? (Score:2)
In fact? Okay, what "in fact" is so amazing about Vista? What "amazing" thing can I do in Vista, that I can not do in XP?
Re:The long run (Score:2)
(http://www.jointhesolution.com/makepower)