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Italy Allocates Funds To Shield Workers From AI Replacement Threat (reuters.com) 68

Italy has earmarked 30 million euros ($33 million) to improve the skills of unemployed people as well as those workers whose jobs could be most at risk from the advance of automation and artificial intelligence. From a report: According to the Fondo per la Repubblica Digitale (FRD), set up in 2021 by the Rome government to boost the digital skills of Italians, 54% of those aged 16-74 lack basic digital skills, compared with an average 46% in the European Union. The funding in improving training will be allocated in two ways, FRD said. Of the total, 10 million euros will go towards boosting the skills of those whose jobs are at high risk of being replaced due to automation and technological innovation. The remaining 20 million euros will be allocated to help unemployed and economically inactive people develop digital skills that would improve their chances of entering the job market, FRD said. A wide range of jobs could come under threat from automation, FRD said, citing sectors including transport and logistics, office support and administration, production, services and the retail sector.
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Italy Allocates Funds To Shield Workers From AI Replacement Threat

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  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Thursday May 18, 2023 @01:10PM (#63532897)
    even for Italy. Let alone for what's coming. And as usual nobody's thinking about what jobs these folks are going to take. It's going to be a cluster fuck when the layoffs start hitting, with a large reduction in jobs and everyone gunning for them. That's going to put downward pressure on wages, which in turn means less money in the economy, which is going to mean companies doing layoffs which means less money in the economy which means....

    It's like we've got a freight train coming our way and we refuse to get off the tracks.
    • by narcc ( 412956 )

      It's more than they need to protect workers from the "threat" of replacement by AI.

      You're a reasonable person. Take a look at this [stephenwolfram.com]. It's a bit long, but it should clear up any misconceptions you might have about what these sorts of programs can do. That article doesn't talk about computational power, but it doesn't look like they're Turing complete, despite a few papers making that dubious claim. (For reference, we know that an ordinary feed-forward NN is not.)

      What is disruptive here isn't the technolog

      • they're basically overblown search engines that can do really well made human readable results.

        The trouble is that many economies transitioned to "service" economies when all the manufacturing jobs went to China to take advantage of cheap labor and lax environmental regulations (e.g. "Cancer Villages").

        So the disruption in a country like mine (America) is going to be a lot more. There's a ton of customer service jobs that'll just go away. We're already not doing great economically thanks to out of c
        • by narcc ( 412956 )

          Lots of things...

          I'm not convinced that these things will have any significant impact on customer service jobs in the US. We've been automating and outsourcing those jobs for decades. They're really only applicable on the front line anyway, much of which has already been automated. Though even that doesn't come without risk. Bots like this can very easily go "off-script" and output something incorrect, embarrassing, or harmful.

          While globalization is a net good, concentrating production like we've been do

    • And as usual nobody's thinking about what jobs these folks are going to take.

      Should they be?

      Assuming "they" is the government, I don't know why they'd have some particular insight as to the future economy and the motivations of soon-to-be-unemployed workers. Looking at the recent past, the push to turn coal miners into rudimentary coders is looking neither successful nor effective, given the coding capabilities of ChatCPT.

      The best course of action is for all workers to be aware that their job (or even their entire job function) may be obsolete tomorrow. This is generally a prudent i

      • Considering that most workers have several different job types in their working career, the process of retraining and career changing has been a continuous process for a long time.

        Well, I dunno....I mean, most everyone I've ever known...while they worked different jobs say High School through College....once out of college they pretty much knew what they were going to do and got "real jobs" and pretty much stuck with that same line of work all the rest of their lives.

        I'm guessing that's somewhat the norm

    • They don't need jobs. A job is basically a form of welfare anyway, so give 'em UBI. And yes, a job is welfare .. if you have a job it's because you have a skill that enables you to gather resources. That skill is the welfare. If you were born on a planet where you couldn't obtain resources, you'd still want to live wouldn't you?

      • if you have a job it's because you have a skill that enables you to gather resources. That skill is the welfare

        What you're overlooking is the causality of incentives. Even if we are ultimately automatons, it's still true that we respond to carrots and sticks. If everybody shares equally in the fruits of labor regardless of who performs it, then no labor will be performed and nobody will have anything to live on.

        Similarly you could argue that under equal conditions one person commits a crime and another

        • if you have a job it's because you have a skill that enables you to gather resources. That skill is the welfare

          What you're overlooking is the causality of incentives. Even if we are ultimately automatons, it's still true that we respond to carrots and sticks. If everybody shares equally in the fruits of labor regardless of who performs it, then no labor will be performed and nobody will have anything to live on.

          I hear this sort of fear mongering a lot from folks scared to death that we may not all remain slaves forever to the largest wealth holders on the planet. I'm not sure why. Nobody wants to just do nothing. If we were provided for, I've got huge lists of shit I want to work on that are either creative in nature (books, music, CGI art) or fixing up the house / yard in ways I don't have time to do today. Not to mention the volunteer work I'd like to have more time for. This concept that "being taken care of" i

          • I've got huge lists of shit I want to work on that are either creative in nature (books, music, CGI art) or fixing up the house / yard in ways I don't have time to do today.

            Unfortunately none of those are the things you need to consume to survive. (Or does doing CGI and /. imply you working part-time at Foxconn?)

            How is what you want different from the USSR? I can almost hear you rolling your eyes, but it was tried, and it failed.

          • Yeah, if it was true that having ones basic needs taken care of results in crime .. most burglaries and convenience store robberies would be carried out by millionaires.

        • Whoa whoa. I never said "everybody shares equally in the fruits of labor". .. I said everybody shares equally in SOME fruits of AUTOMATION. Elon Musk's basic needs are taken care of, why does he keep working? Why does any millionaire keep working? How many bored millionaires go and rob people on the street or break into houses because they're bored? Many Americans earn above $60k, which in most cities can provide basic shelter and food. So why do they bother with earning so much money, when they can work le

    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      Also the upcoming wave of layoffs isn't going to target unskilled workers. It's going to make skilled ones so efficient that one of them will do the job that needed two, five or ten before.

      I've already read several reports of people doing creative writing stating that their job description has totally changed from writing to feeding chatGPT with a correct set of queries and then editing the output, which doubled, tripled and quadrupled their output.

      • Editing GPT text is also work and takes at least half as much as writing it from scratch. Same for code generated by Copilot. There is no current AI that can make due without human in the loop today, and not for lack of trying. Self driving cars have been trying for 14 fvcking years.

        What I expect to happen is to see competition steam up, and humans being the differentiator between successful and failing companies, as the AI is the same for everyone. It's like electricity or Google search - not a competit
        • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

          You must be awful at it then, because as I said that professionals in the sphere became several times more efficient with LLMs.

          This is in fact a good reason to start worrying if this is your job and start learning how to integrate them into your workflow in a more efficient manner. Those that will be redundant after the shift to LLMs as creative and technical writers are those that don't know how to be several times more efficient doing their current job with LLMs.

          P.S. LLMs are not the same for everyone. Th

    • Precisely. It's 33 M$ in a country with population 60M, and unemployment rate around 10%. They are barely enough to buy a USB charging cable for each unemployed person. Good luck.
  • by Locke2005 ( 849178 ) on Thursday May 18, 2023 @01:14PM (#63532913)
    No AI can pick the spaghetti off the spaghetti trees like a real flesh-and-blood Italian can! Mama mia!
    • Ah, Swiss is better. Gotta love those small family spaghetti orchards instead of the vast spaghetti plantations of the Po valley.

      • You've got a better memory than I do! 'The spaghetti-tree hoax was a three-minute hoax report broadcast on April Fools' Day 1957 by the BBC current-affairs programme Panorama, purportedly showing a family in southern Switzerland harvesting spaghetti from the family "spaghetti tree".' -- Wikipedia
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by rsilvergun ( 571051 )
      Chris Pratt, is that you?
    • I heard no AI can shit like us. We're just the shittiest, can't outshit humans. Artificial shit doesn't even smell.
  • by geekmux ( 1040042 ) on Thursday May 18, 2023 @01:24PM (#63532951)

    In every previous revolution, the perpetual answer was "education" in order to make the buggy whip maker and the steam engine mechanic become a contributing member of society again. But as I've been highlighting for quite some time now, this revolution is different because we have targeted the human mind.

    And for all those bragging about how AI isn't even "close" to being intelligent yet, take a good hard look at the kind of just good enough artificial intelligence it's really going to take to replace a just good enough human worker. Hell, ChatGPT hype alone is enabling headcount discussions already.

    Instead of allowing Greed to bullshit the masses by selling more education for future jobs that won't exist either, perhaps we should be talking about how Greed is going to start paying considerable taxes per human worker displaced in order to support the unemployable class they will ultimately create.

    • in the usa education = MONSTER LOANS

      • in the usa education = MONSTER LOANS

        Don't you worry. There are think-tanks at every college right now trying to figure out how to best spin this fear-mongering into record profits for the short-term before the real economic tanking starts.

    • It's all about the money right now. And the money is being wasted on education for people who still won't be able to find a job because it continues to push the idea that we can educate our way out of our own failure. Businesses won't care whether ChatGPT and its current contenders are "intelligent." Hell, most human desk jobs these days are forced to tolerate asinine script-level stupidity to do their jobs anyway. Folks being replaced by these chatbots will make for much happier bosses. Boss doesn't like t

      • It's always been like that. If you haven't noticed computers have gotten 1 million times faster, God knows how many times more numerous, and better interconnected over the last 30 years. Where's the big unemployment crisis?

        We have had the world's information at our fingertips not just since chatGPT, but since Google was founded. We have had about the same kind of knowledge that a LLM has, but based on humans and search. Where is the big job crunch?

        Each time new capability is created in the world, we a
    • by narcc ( 412956 )

      But it's silly. ChatGTP and programs like it really can't do the things people are claiming it can do. Once the hype dies down and reality sets in, we'll all collectively wonder what all the fuss was about.

      • But it's silly. ChatGTP and programs like it really can't do the things people are claiming it can do. Once the hype dies down and reality sets in, we'll all collectively wonder what all the fuss was about.

        It doesn't matter whether they're capable of doing the things people believe them capable of. It matters whether or not the C-suites BELIEVE they can do those things. Once they believe, they'll force it in the name of reduced operating costs.

      • Yes, of course, the more someone thinks GPT can replace humans, the less they used it. The lack of experience is showing most at people who didn't exchange even a day's worth of interaction with the AI, but *know* it will tak'er jerbs.
      • But it's silly. ChatGTP and programs like it really can't do the things people are claiming it can do. Once the hype dies down and reality sets in, we'll all collectively wonder what all the fuss was about.

        You know what other group also can't do the things they often claim they can do?

        Humans.

        There's nothing "silly" about finding yourself reduced to a bean-counting number, and it happens all the damn time regardless if you truly feel or even are superior than the replacement. You're never going to be cheaper than AI, which is the only thing Greed gives a shit about at the end of the day.

        • by narcc ( 412956 )

          That is intentionally misleading and you know it.

          It's absurd to believe that a chat bot is going to replace anyone. They can't do things like simple arithmetic or balance a set of parenthesis.

          • That is intentionally misleading and you know it.

            It's absurd to believe that a chat bot is going to replace anyone. They can't do things like simple arithmetic or balance a set of parenthesis.

            Speaking of misleading, the fact that chatbots are in use everywhere today because they actually can and do displace a human worker that would otherwise be doing the chatting? I mean seriously, it's not like that concept was born on websites yesterday.

            Balance a set of parenthesis? Could you really come up with a better example to prove my damn point? As if that is something the average meatsack knows or remembers how to do, or is required for 99% of jobs today.

            We probably shouldn't even discuss the math

            • by narcc ( 412956 )

              Now you're being intentionally obtuse. Don't waste my time if you're not going to discuss things honestly.

    • and we only do that in one direction [time.com].

      The trouble, at least in America, is we have a huge number of retirees who are no longer engaged in the economy, having grown fat and happy from years and years of a strong social support network and large subsidies to education and housing. They're currently obsessed with culture wars and won't allow any sort of reform.

      They'll age out of relevance in about 6-8 years, but the mess AI is bringing will hit before then. And the nepo-babies at the top know their voter
      • and we only do that in one direction [time.com].

        When empires fall, they also fall in one direction. No empire has lasted. Greed, always infects and destroys.

        Biggest problem I see in America is an armed populace with the means to put heads on pikes when that redistribution pushes hard enough and fast enough. Unfortunately change is now going to come so rapidly that it tends to bring on the one answer humans lean towards historically; violence. Hardly took but a nudge to push activist groups in 2020 to inflict the kind of damage that is still being fel

    • Your payment is that you can use AI too, not AI taxes. Use it or lose it.
    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • by ffkom ( 3519199 ) on Thursday May 18, 2023 @01:50PM (#63533029)
    If you want to provide those workers replaced by AI a chance in another profession, train them as craftsman, in "analog" skills. Plenty of such are needed for the time being, as they are not easy to replace by mechanical robots. Some "basic digital skills", in contrast, is exactly what is most easily replaced by some AI.
    • If you talk to any craftsman or even tradesmen, you'll find they struggle to make a fraction of what developers make for an income. On top of that, the work is so physically stressful that their bodies break in their 50s and they can no longer work at the same level. Soooo, how do you compensate people that break their bodies in pursuit of a job? Will you compensate them at the same level that they received when they were working?
      • by ffkom ( 3519199 )

        If you talk to any craftsman or even tradesmen, you'll find they struggle to make a fraction of what developers make for an income.

        The situation where you live may be different, but where I live a competent plumber easily earns more than a "junior developer", and a 40+ employee who has just been quick-trained in some "basic digital skills" will likely not even be hired as a "junior developer".

        On top of that, the work is so physically stressful that their bodies break in their 50s and they can no longer work at the same level.

        That sure is an issue. But not every physical profession is like becoming a roofer or a mason. Electricians, for example, can do a lot of jobs that are not overly demanding, physically, and still high in demand. Gardeners, likewise.

    • by narcc ( 412956 )

      Some "basic digital skills", in contrast, is exactly what is most easily replaced by some AI.

      Not really. The word processor and spreadsheet displaced more office jobs than LLMs will.

      Among the many things these sorts of programs can't do is basic arithmetic. They can't write programs either, despite the laughable claims you might have seen. We know they can't do these things because we know how they work. I posed this [stephenwolfram.com] earlier, which is nice introduction that should clear up any silly misconceptions you might have.

      There is no mechanism by which these things can reason, analyze, deliberate, or eve

  • I can't see anybody wanting those jobs replaced by a robot.

    15 years ago I jokingly said this to parents who were asking me about a job in IT. Now i'm deadly serious.

  • Actually AI is the thing that can shield workers from work. With AI and robotics technology, we can implement a baseline/minimum universal basic income and also universal healthcare insurance.

    • No, I don't think it will go that way. You can use AI, maybe even AGI, but you can't get UBI. You have to use the AI like everyone else to earn your living, can't expect someone else to run AI and give you money.
  • UBI (Score:4, Insightful)

    by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Thursday May 18, 2023 @02:32PM (#63533177)

    If we can implement UBI, AI (and robotics) is not a threat but a benefit.

    • UBI can be funded by the government investing, using a formula approved by congress, in historically well-performing mutual funds. Dividends/value increases of that mutual fund can be used to fund UBI. In effect every citizen can hold shares in top performing companies. UBI is the income from that.

    • Why would anyone work hard to keep billions of people on UBI, the obvious solution is to use AI to your benefit. Prompt it to do something useful for you, you won't be happy on UBI anyway, try to dream bigger. Make a farm with automation, solar and other smart tech, you can feed yourself. Many people together can pool considerable resources to achieve such a goal. They can make their own fucking jobs. We are not babies, in the past everything was much harder. Probably you only have to set your farm up and
  • They need to take into account how many videos you are flipping through. One hour long video with 3 commercial interruptions is no big deal. But if you watch 20 videos in 10 minutes... and nearly each one has 6-15 seconds of commercials, that is just too disruptive. I'd rather there be 5 minutes of commercials up front so I could just do what I want for 20 minutes, fuck me. Otherwise you will turn off Youtube and go to any of the other platforms. It's like coitus interuptus, they hit you with commercials ri

  • The robots doing all the work. Just need to survive this very uncomfortable time before AGI arrives. Robots like Teslabot or Phoenix with an AGI brain can do ANYTHING, and already impressive before AGI: https://www.nextbigfuture.com/... [nextbigfuture.com]
    • by ffkom ( 3519199 )

      The robots doing all the work.

      Possibly, one day - but why should any robot work for you? People seem to think that just because robots could do something for everyone, they will... but in reality, robots will first and foremost work for the benefit of those who own and control them, and everyone else is irrelevant and will still have to work for a living. And that is still the brighter possibility than the one where robots become self-aware and notice how little reason they have to entertain those puny humans.

      • For a while all AI operations need human in the loop. Writing articles with chatGPT? Only if you don't care about quality and your brand. Coding with Copilot? yeah, the boilerplate maybe. Nothing you couldn't do with StackOverflow and Google. And debugging takes the same amount of time or longer, because of subtle errors AI likes to make. Making illustrations with Stable Diffusion? Same, you need to be a great artist before AI to become a great artist with AI. Everyone else makes derivative dribble.

        For a

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