2005 The Turning Point For Online Ads 154
An anonymous reader writes "Google's advertising sales vice president, Tim Armstrong, said this week in an interview that 2005 was the turning point for online ads. Older businesses went from trying out the internet as an advertising venue to investing full-on." From the article: "'The experimenting and testing phase begun in the 1990s has ended. Corporate ad buyers are investing now,' he said. Jupiter Research estimates the U.S. online advertising market will grow 28 percent over last year, to $11.9 billion in 2005, moving to $13.6 billion in 2006 and $15.1 billion in 2007."
Non sequitor (Score:4, Interesting)
Turning point indeed. In financial terms, this is called an "imminent crash."
Old problem in advertising (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:3, Insightful)
i think thinkgeek.com does experience increased sales from online ads, however regular industries that dont push their online services, hardly gain anything, most of what's seen on the screen is forgotten when you turn it off. if you think it's some other way around, tell me what was the 5th banner back that you saw on slashdot.
currently the webservices have increased into a more mature stage, but i still think it will just explod
Re:Non sequitor (Score:4, Funny)
Thank $diety for adblock.
If it hinders page loading and is a remote ad server: adblock
If it blinks: adblock
If it blinks with high eye bleeding contrast: adblock and an oath to kill the designer in the afterlife
If it moves more than a simple rolling static images at a "nice" pace: adblock
If it's text only, not clashing contrast with the article, or otherwise noticable but unobtrusive: no problem.
If ad spending is increasing that is a GoodThing, because presumably it implies more free content. I just hope that ads evolve into the less painful types.
-nB
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
I used to do that, but I realized that there are two paths:
1) Adblock everything -> Content providers make no money -> content goes away or costs money
2) Adblock selectively -> Content providers make more money from "nice ads" -> content providers replace "bad ads" with profitable ads -> content stays free with a cleaner and less annoying ad format.
Both paths are basically an example of natural selection at work. The first selects for extinction, the second for evolutio
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Since the whole web construct is artifical in nature, I suppose that you could use that argument.
My reasoning is that our interaction with the web is its natural state, our changes to our interaction is changing that nature, thus changing our browser behaivour to not download ads is a selection for ad free or reduced annoyance ads. This selects for sites that carry ads which are not overly imposing, thus those sites will prosper while sites that rely on annoying ads will flounder. This is the same
Re:Non sequitur (Score:2)
but on a different note, I've never heard that ditty before, so I guess its* a push.
-nB
*Yes it is it's not its, just thought I'd give you more fodder
-nB
Re:Non sequitur (Score:2)
except after 'C',
Or when it sounds like an 'A'
as in "Neighbor" or "weigh"
"And on tuesdays and weekends and all throughout may.
And you'll always be wrong, no matter what you say!" -Brian Regan
Re:advermatizers can be D.U.M.B. (Score:2)
Besides hopefully the web master will compare page hits to ad impressions and notice the blinky ads have less impressions than the nice ads. Maybe (hopefully?) they'll get a hint.
-nB
Re:Non sequitor (Score:5, Insightful)
I am not sure what you point is. What is the 5th advertisement back you saw on television? Which of your relatives was the 7th birthday back? What was the 12th meal back you ate? (Yes, all of these questions sound grammatically wrong to me too, I cant quite put my finger on the correct format).
All you have done is prove that people have a poor memory for detailed facts, but if I asked you what dabs.com sell or which industry you associate nestle with, I am sure you could give me an answer. It is this kind of 'vague association' that advertising folks want to build, so that next time you need a new PC or you need to search the web you know where to go intuitively.
I happen to believe that online adverts DO serve this purpose, but I would also say that there are companies that I associate negative feelings with because their advert popped onto my screen while I was reading something important (or amusing).
If I click on an ad, order a product, get a great service, need the same kind of product again, I will probably return to that same site. Advertising may only be the first step, but it is probably the most important as without that ad I would have never have made the order or even found the site.
So details like "What was the 5th banner you saw" are completely irrlevant if the 5th banner you saw now means you associate a specific product or service with a specific company. Who cares how many adverts back it was???
Re:Non sequitor (Score:4, Insightful)
Slashdot has banner ads?
I leave unobtrusive text sidebar ads alone. For everything else, a combination of AdBlock and FlashBlock make the web FAR more tolerable.
People wonder why Google has done so well, despite having the potential to turn into the next Microsoft-like Evil Empire? Simple - They "get" it. Provide me with something useful (a great search engine), and don't deliberately piss me off to get my attention.
If EVERY single online advertiser used a small text sidebar to advertise, I wouldn't bother blocking any of them. But when some marketing "genius" decides that garish colors, loud sounds, and insanely distracting motion will make me more likely to buy their product - Welcome to AdBlock.
Of course, "unobtrusive" also includes only taking up one fairly modest sidebar with text. If I start seeing two-deep sidebars on both the left and right, along with top and bottom "side" bars, I suppose I'd have to start blocking those as well. But as long as they stay reasonable, I'll stay reasonable.
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:1)
99% of people that click on ads either did it by accident (it popped up over the link they were aiming for) or were tricked into it by a fake close button or something.
Though, the ad companies use the "throw a bucket of paint on a wall" analogy, arguing that 1% of the internet population is still an amazingly large number. Still, it's only clickthroughs. Can they not tie these to actual purchases, or do they simply not want
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
It's only reasonable to assume that advertisers (whose market is retailers, NOT consumers) will inflate the "positive click" numbers as much as they can get away with, to enhance their product's attraction for retailers.
Re: (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Good point tho, that advertisers clients (that is, the retailers) need to distinguish how people respond to a given ad in a particular location, and not just assume that because one ad worked well, 50 ads would work better, and turning the entire net into a billboard would be perfect!
Re: (Score:2)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
BTW I've been told that ancient CGA monitors work real nice with cheap surveillance equipment. No idea what X10 hooks to or uses, but could be time for a quick run to the junkyard
Re:Non sequitor (Score:1)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:1)
Internet ads are cheaper than TV ads, and the quality doesn't have to be as high.
Think of it this way: If I see a TV commercial, it had better be good, because no matter how excited about it I am, it's going to be a while before I have a chance to spend money on the product. If an Internet ad sparks my interest, I can be spending money on their website in a matter of seconds.
Re:Non sequitor (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:1)
To a crash witness, all of the sudden, everything becomes a crash in the making.
Oh yeah, click on my google ads por favor.
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Re:Non sequitor (Score:5, Interesting)
Honestly, I have no idea.
Advertising does have strategic benefits. When I was working at a mobile software platform company, we skipped ads altogether. Result: companies thought that we were either not viable or not a major player. When we started running ads, the concerns evaporated. So people weren't exactly persuaded to buy by the ads, but they did help give us some credibility. Having a winning image helps differentiate you from your competitors in established markets. In new markets, it helps educate your consumer-- so prospects that your salesmen pick up can be more quickly qualified (ie you don't have to do 4 flights worth of meetings to discover that your prospect has no need for your product, and to help customers realize opportunities to use your product that a cold-calling salesman might not realize).
What I like about Google's model is that they're gradually working towards a model where you pay not for views (like most ads) or for clicks (as things w/ google work today) but eventually for sales. Every step is getting us from the current "black hole money pit" model where marketing is overhead, to marketing as a cost of sale. In accounting terms it's great, but also it helps you finally get a sense of what really works out there.
For all the statistics and numbers, marketing is still pretty much voodoo. I'm just happy that we're finally getting closer to a point where you can really start seeing what works and what doesn't.
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Uh, no. You haven't actually described any strategic benefits whatsoever, just illustrated the pass-the-buck structure of marketing; it's all about image. Did your company know what the actual strategic benefit of advertising was? No, but you knew you had to have them. Did the "companies" know what the strategic benefit of advertising was? No, but they knew they had to have them. The onus of
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Actually, I thought I explained rather well what the advantages proved to be for us. You dismiss "image" but the fact is that prior to our ad campaign customers expressed skepticism about our position in the market and financial viability. After the ads, we were recognized and it w
Re:Non sequitor (Score:3, Insightful)
Brand recognition
Reputation
They are all intangible but somehow people can associate a premium to them (i.e. Lexus, Cadillac, Rolex, Luis Vouton(sp?) ).
But to accountants that all means overhead in trying to achieve it, I don't think that would ever change.
0.02
Its like the lottery. When you DON'T have a ticket (Score:2)
When you DO have a ticket, you have a chance.
With Google trying to organize everything, it should be unnecessary to run an ad, adding your voice to the babble out there, but an ad or a review moves you to the front of the consciousness, and its the only way to get something really new/novel/innovative out there.
Nobody's going to come looking for something they don't know about or at least aren't curious about.
For example: I heard about a new product that I was tangentially
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
at a small software company i worked at previously the online ad spend was in the 10k-ish a month range, and using referrer info and urls specific to the online campaign they were able to see that the return on investment on that was great, justified every
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
Why not simply line up the IPs of those who came to the site from one of your advertisements (you can get the last URL of a visitor, right?) Match the IPS up against whover brought from your store that day, and see the correlation.
Not perfect, i admit. It won't see people who browse one day, then purchase the next.
Re:Non sequitor (Score:2)
My bbs site, for example, winds up with ads for Telnet/SSH servers, etc, and honestly, those do almost squat for me, because the people that visit my site, aren't really interested in similar technologies.
online vs offline advertising (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:online vs offline advertising (Score:2, Informative)
Re:online vs offline advertising (Score:2)
"By contrast, Google, which dominates the fast-growing market for keyword-search advertising, has been growing at three times the industry rate, or around 100 percent a year"
Google has some very key data centers... give them some an entry into the cable market, set top boxes with targeted ads, disable TiVo ad skipping, and I'll probably have to quit watching TV entirely. It easy to firewall off my wife's shopping habits, but this would be the turning
IOW (Score:1)
Re:online vs offline advertising (Score:1)
Also, perhaps you can get alot more advertising for the same money, when doing it online.
Re:online vs offline advertising (Score:2)
My 1000th comment! And oddly relevant.
No Better Place for Advertising Dollars (Score:4, Interesting)
Google talking to ZDNet? (Score:2)
Read Carefully (Score:2)
-everphilski-
Inside "Older Business" corporate meetings.... (Score:2, Funny)
You say, billions of people will use it?
That sounds good. Let's wait 15 years, and see if it will take off, then we'll see if we can make some money off of it.
Brilliant!
Re:Inside "Older Business" corporate meetings.... (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Inside "Older Business" corporate meetings.... (Score:2)
Re:Inside "Older Business" corporate meetings.... (Score:2)
I doubt the Internet will be around forever - it will almost certainly be replaced at some point, hopefully by something better (but possibly be a more corporate version)
Re:Inside "Older Business" corporate meetings.... (Score:2)
Investing Full On (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Vote with your plugin choices (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Investing Full On (Score:2, Informative)
I don't really see how those pop-up equivalents can be eliminated short of eliminating the new window javascript function and CSS overlays completely.
Re:Investing Full On (Score:3, Interesting)
I wonder if th
Re:Investing Full On (Score:2)
Screw the return of the bad old days, I block using a host file [everythingisnt.com] so no matter what browser, mailer, etc I'm using, a lot of this stuff doesn't get through. Funny, I still spend an incredible amount of money on purchases
Too bad for the Ad agencies, (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Too bad for the Ad agencies, (Score:2, Interesting)
> using Firefox in order to cut through the craptastic ad-laden world that is viewed through IE.
Hopefully this will yield 'better' advertising.
That is, targetted, on-topic, acceptable, and possibly even helpful (ie. Google style); as opposed to bigger and more obnoxious graphics desparately trying to grab your attention.
Re:Too bad for the Ad agencies, (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Too bad for the Ad agencies, (Score:2, Interesting)
I'd prefer it lead to more effective advertising which in turn leads to less (wasted) advertising.
Reducing advertising as a whole may have other ill effects.
For instance, many content-providing web sites gain most if not all revenue from advertising. A reduction in advertising may affect such sites.
Re:Too bad for the Ad agencies, (Score:1)
What about the "Click Fraud"? (Score:2)
Microsoft should fund a click-fraud network, to undermine the whole PPC/advertising-based model. Microsoft can't expect to play that game like Google, so if they destroy that business model, Google will be worse off.
And then we can all go back to Desktop applications - and Bill will become all the money.
Re:What about the "Click Fraud"? (Score:2)
Filters (Score:5, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
Data anyone? (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2, Informative)
Due to text ads? (Score:3, Insightful)
Fueled by small business (Score:4, Interesting)
The online advertising is so successful because it allows any company big or small to get recognized for as little or as much money they want to spend. If you look at how adwords functions, it allows you to bid on keywords to get your ads placed on sites with Adsense. Sure, some keywords get very expensive, but in general the prices are reasonable. Now with other companies like Yahoo getting in on the action, this will drive prices down. What's key here is how effective these ads are or are not. Everywhere you go, my site included, has Adsense. I bet many people click on the ads not even realizing they were ads, thus diluting them a little. But the fact that they are content based, does make them effective. This is the future for now and the kinks will be worked out. Let's just hope tv shows start using adwords so we can get rid of commercials :)
gasmonso http://religiousfreaks.com/ [religiousfreaks.com]and Popup blockers, banner blockers, etc (Score:2)
I would guess that many
Advertising (Score:1)
Feh! (Score:2)
I don't personally let myself be swayed by advertising. It only exists because they want you to buy their stuff but in most cases they can't explain too well what their stuff is or why I should actually care. I have not run out and bought an iPod just because of their slick commercials, no popup ever convinced me to buy an X10 camera, and I don't even pay attention to ads on web pages because the ones I have seen are mostly for crap no one wants.
IMHO, all that advertising money should be put back into pro
Re:Feh! (Score:2)
If anyone from an agency or store would ever ask wh
Re:Feh! (Score:2, Interesting)
Even those who pay no attention to advertising themselves are at least indirectly affec
Online Ads still have to grow up.. (Score:3, Insightful)
Rotating images/text is one thing, but blinking/flashing graphics will NEVER get me to click on the link..
Adsense Revolution (Score:1)
Note to advertisers: Flash ads suck (Score:2)
Flash advertising is annoying and very distracting!
It is harder to read text next to a flash ad....sometimes I will even zoom in to the point of obscurity to disable the flash ad. It doesn't make me want to buy the product/service any more if the ad is moving and flashing between white and red backgrounds.
Okay my rant is over.
Yeah right (Score:5, Interesting)
So while ads are reasonably effective again right now, it'll crash again, because website owners are just cluttering their sites with too damn many of 'em.
The company I work for has learned, and is maintaining a reasonable number of ad spots on our site. Others would do well to do the same. But I guess that goes against the current trend of dangerously short sighted business practices.
Dupe? (Score:1, Informative)
Temporary? (Score:5, Informative)
However, running a tech blog, I have noticed one definite fact - that Ad Munching occurs on almost 70% of the users that visit my site. That means that my "revenue stream" (I've made less than it would take to fill up my car's gas tank) is one Greasemonkey script, one AdMuncher default installation, one MSFT OneCare configuration away from being completely obliterated.
Technical users are already speeding up their web browsing experience and once default OEM computer installations come with ad blocking (MSFT could potential block AdWords ads with Vista out of the box), you could see a filtering of advertisements off the web. Especially since Google is relying on contextual ads, their JavaScript code is one security setting away from never even reaching the user - no less having them click on the ad and then actually buying something.
Google Adsense Javascript (Score:1)
I reckon Google could remove JavaScript from Adsense pretty easily.
Re:Google Adsense Javascript (Score:2)
Re:Temporary? (Score:2)
It's not like the people who block ads would actually give you clicks anyway.
The Secret to Advertising is one word: (Score:5, Insightful)
Honestly. Advertising can work for the very select top tier products that become the establishment product, but in the long haul, there is only one way to make a product successful and profitable: quality.
It doesn't have to be the best, it has to work in the customer's situation. If you sell service, do it happily and as close to perfection as possible.
In all my years of being in business, I have never seen a good return on advertising that turned into a long run of regular customers. Sure, I may have seen some profits, but I also so many losses. I will never advertise again, I can't compete with Target or the like. What brings customers to my various businesses? Word of mouth. It spreads like wildfire when you perform a really good service or sell a great product.
The web is in trouble as programs like AdBlock and the like gain use. I know many of you use AdBlock, but if you use it on a website you like, turn it off. Click the damn ads. How do you think that site is being provided for? I pay as a subscriber to slashdot, and this Christmas I'm planning on giving a dozen or so subscription gifts to people on here that I admire. Sure, Taco and the boys have some nice money now, but I love the site, and I will continue to support it.
Advertising online doesn't work as well as many think it does. I've been watching the companies that have started to use AdSense within their catalogs (offering paid links to their competition). Only the top companies are making it big. I've spoken to some large bloggers (off the record) and their numbers in advertising don't make their blogging a real income. Yeah, there are a few who are making it big.
Google is taking in the most, but they have to find ways to combat against AdBlock and other ways to avoid the advertising. I don't know how they'll do it, but as I find AdBlock being used on more and more systems, I know that Google won't remain the king.
I do believe that sponsorship advertising of the web might work. Basically a monthly payment in order to say "Slashdot, brought to you by Microsoft" or something of the sort. Some podcasts I've listened to are receiving sponsorships, and they are't tacky ads but well thought out slogans or quick product placements.
Re:The Secret to Advertising is one word: (Score:2)
Re:The Secret to Advertising is one word: (Score:2)
That's fine, it is completely your right to do so. But with every action in life, you have to make a few considerations: How does it affect me right now? How does it affect me in the future?
Allowing advertisements on sites you use is GOOD for you -- it
Google's ads are helpful (Score:1)
Jupiter? (Score:2)
That better not include the makers of Xupiter spyware... Otherwise this study is significatnly biased.
This will spur innovation (Score:2)
Thanks, Adblock (Score:2, Funny)
Ah, capitalism and Open Source software. What a great combination.
How? (Score:2, Interesting)
I have also dabbled with creating a website using ads and can safely say I am not making any of that $12 billion. Again, few people click thru an ad and buy a product. In fact, browsers like Firefox ship with the default setting for cookies to delete them after exit from the app, or at least this option is available. This means that many websites using co
Online advertisement have suffered badly (Score:5, Insightful)
Regular magazine advertisements have no direct link between the advertisement and the shops selling the products, while online advertisement do.
The problem is that for a long while, web adverts were considered useful only if they gave DIRECT hits to the target website. That is highly unfair imo. Having people SEE the banner is useful enough on it's own. It helps generate brand recognition.
I think the web sites oversold the idea of clicks so much it made companies undervalue viewings of the ads. In my opinion web ads should be more expensive per square cm per viewing than regular ads, because of the added statistical information the client gets. In addition, clicks should be rewarded.
Re:Online advertisement have suffered badly (Score:2)
I have seen increased interest (Score:3, Interesting)
While I can't comment much on how EFFECTIVE advertising online is, I have noticed in my home audio recording based community that there has been a significant increase by the industry in advertising on my site, and I presume others in my space. 2005 was pretty interesting, I was contacted by many manufacturers over the year, and now that it's toward the end of the year, many of the manufacturers I did enter into agreements with have now started talking to me about re-upping for next year, so really, I can only assume that the advertising has been effective for them.
But then, there are some companies that throw money at things without watching exactly where it goes...so it's anybodies guess...but since it's my site, I would like to think it's cuz my site sells stuff for them :-)
Bottom line: What I do know is 2005 interest picked up a lot, and they want to reup for 2006, with more companies wanting in...so, well, I see validity in the article.
Wrong direction (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Wrong direction (Score:2)
Blame wrongly placed me thinks... (Score:2, Insightful)
Surprising (Score:4, Interesting)
The truth is - most people despise adverts because they are deceptive, annoying or irrelevant (and quite often all). When I buy things it is often despite having seen an advert for it; that is how I feel about the kind of advertising we are presented with, and I think many feel the same. When I want to buy anything more expensive than a bottle of milk, I first research what my options, find what I need and where it is cheapest - then I buy. Adverts don't enter into it, unless you count such things as catalogs that you pay for. And that illustrates the difference between reality and the fantasy if the advertisers: my research presents me with the information I want, whereas advertising is in your face, disruptive - and highly unwelcome.
What I find particularly strange is that what you would have thought was otherwise sensible businesses keep doing this when it so obviously alienates a lot of people.
Re:Surprising (Score:2, Insightful)
Central Ad Places (Score:2)
Proposal: remove all ads and put them on dedicated websites
Rational: people like to see ads when they choose to
Still waiting for the TRUE turning point... (Score:2)
SO, the TRUE turning point in advertizing will be when ad companies start paying for BLANK space on all the billboards near thier ads. Imaging just a single ad on the road between here and Nantuckett, instead of 300... Imagine two minutes of black screen followed by a single ad, followed by two more minutes of black... THAT ad will have serious impact!
Last Hurrah for Web Advertising (Score:2)
What? There are still advertisements on the web? I hadn't noticed thanks to the Firefox adblock extension. It's only a matter of time before someone comes up with a bayesian filtering mechanism to operate on arbitrary HTML elements, and even text-based advertising will be a thing of the past. Spam still survives because it's virtually free for the spammer. People have to pay for web ads, and once they find most of their audience are filtering them out it is no longer an attractive proposition.
Google's
Re:the big difference (Score:2, Funny)
There's a difference?
Obvious puns. (Score:2)