Why would someone doing official government business using ChatGPT like a diary to document what they were doing? I don't understand. Aren't the context windows limited? Would it even "remember" everything you've told it? That just seems like an odd use for an LLM, and obviously OpenAI uses all that information for whatever they want.

Dude, I know a family where all 3 of their kids identify as LGTBQ+, and so do both of their cousins. Yes, it should be about 1 in 10 because we know historically that's the number, but if that were true then having all 3 of your kids identify would be a 1 in a 1000 chance. There was a survey that went around the schoolboard recently which said about a third of the kids from grade 7 through 12 identified as some kind of gender non-conforming. I support rights for everyone, and tolerance of everyone, but you can't ignore the social contagion effect. It's real. This whole generation is going to become young adults and will sit around laughing about how goofy they all were in high school comparing notes on their gender identity all day every day, and then it'll be considered cringe, and the next generation will be on to something else. It's already happening. That's kind of the reason so many young people are taking a conservative turn, which is weird for their age range. But that'll end too. And after all of that, the real 1 in 10 will still be there living their lives. As far as your complaints about the cost of living, I 100% agree. The only good news I have is that your kid graduated into a small demographic cohort, and that bodes well for their life-long employment prospects (as it did my generation born in the 70's). There will be lots of demand for services as the baby boomers continue retiring and start spending their money. All that capital in their 401k's and older family homes will slowly get converted into cash and spread out. And the stuff they're selling (stocks and homes) will be going on the market.

Isn't most of the S&P500 just speculative fiction anyway?

Alternative facts, eh? You can live in your post-modernist hell-hole where you can insist anything you want is true, but I'm quite happy living in the good old modern era, where people are expected to use logic and reason. If you want to explain what about those statistics are wrong, and what evidence you have that they're wrong, that would be reasonable. The fact that you simply don't like that information isn't a valid argument.

most jobs are getting either automated or offshored

This doesn't make any sense. There are more jobs in the US now than at any time in history and the unemployment rate is near historical all-time lows. But go ahead and live on vibes instead of data, and see how that works out for you.

The conservatives just figure it's people they don't want in America anyway, and the liberals are convinced we're still headed for a Malthusian resource shortage soon, so they want the population to decrease anyway, so nobody actually cares (except the economists and the geo-politics people, but who listens to them?)

Wow, that was... absolutely terrible.

None of them have built a competing product that gained meaningful traction against the U.S. incumbents

...and here I thought SAP was German.

There are estimated to be about 1000 ships in the shadow fleet, who are moving oil from sanctioned countries to other countries willing to buy it (think China and India, but also others). In order to operate, these all have insurance that's mostly backed by Russia, etc. Until recently nobody knew if the insurance would actually pay out. But over the last month we've seen Ukraine actually attack some tankers, and the US chased down a couple carrying Venezuelan oil (one even sailing under a Russian flag), and most recently India said they'd confiscated a shadow fleet tanker, and then deleted their announcement, but it's a big deal. With all this happening, the shadow fleet was already in danger of evaporating now that the threat of losing your ship is actually real, and the insurance payouts aren't really guaranteed. This news about the email server isn't going to move the needle that much, as it was already moving pretty fast in that direction.

Actually, I thought it was legal in the US to make your own firearm for personal use. You just can't sell it. So why would it be different if you 3D print it vs. fabricate it with some machine shop equipment?

The only truthful answer to that request from an LLM would be, "I'm sorry Dave, I'm afraid I can't do that."

Did you know all color photocopiers and printers sold have anti-counterfeiting technology? There are special patterns printed on bills that photocopiers and printers can detect and will refuse to print.

This is what leadership is supposed to look like. A cold hard look at the dirty laundry, and a commitment to make tough changes to make it better. No drama.

LLMs are specifically designed to generate text that looks like text it has seen before. Why would you expect it to generate something unique?

Try to think of this stuff from the point of view of a Silicon Valley CEO. You're responsible, above else, to make the share price goes up, and in particular to convince all your investors that the high price of the stock is justified because you're growing fast. You don't have a lot of income to justify this, but you used to be able to justify this with clicks, views, eyeballs, and the fact that you employ a lot of technical people.

The problem is that your company was growing based on borrowing money really cheaply, and it worked for decades. But the flow of low (or zero) interest capital you were funding your company with has dried up. Interest rates are higher, and the pool of investment capital that had flooded the markets for so long is moving to safer investments (because boomers are entering retirement) and because there's a lot of infrastructure spending eating up a lot of that investment, after the US slowed down outsourcing all manufacturing to China.

Now you have to stop spending so much. How do you cut spending but keep reassuring your investors and shareholders that you're still growing? Simple: Deus Ex Machina! Yes, we're laying off our tech people, but that's not because we're slowing down... it's because we're replacing them with AI. We're still producing as much output as we were before, but with fewer people. In fact, we're producing even more now!

Andrew Yang came from New York but he was definitely in the startup company scene. He hangs with these people. This is the kool-aid he's been drinking. But ask yourself... if it's all true and AI is so amazing, where are all the success stories? Where's the kid who created a competitor to Photoshop in his basement? Where's the actual vibe-coded AI-driven stock trading platform that some young finance guy created over a weekend? There are none and that's because it's all BS. If it were real, we'd be able to see the results.