Fewer Jobs, Less Pay In The IT Industry 577
dipfan writes "At last an explanation why you can't find a job: a report in the Washington Post says there were more than 500,000 tech jobs shed in the US during the last year, and (for the first time in several years) average IT workers pay is down by 11 percent - down from $71,000 to $63,000. There is some good news on the horizon - the survey of employers by the Information Technology Association of America says that more than a million IT jobs are going to be created in the coming year, taking employment back to pre-2001 levels."
To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:4, Insightful)
I'll believe it when I see it.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:3, Interesting)
I'd like to know what you based this comment on, exactly. While I'm in technology, obviously, my girlfriend is a resident at a major hospital. She's got a Ph.D. and an M.D., and she's in training to be a surgical specialist.
I don't know all doctors, of course, but most of my circle of friends is made of doctors, med students, medical scientists, and health-care pros; people my girlfriend works with. I don't know anybody who would agree with your assertion that doctors are (merely) factory workers.
Docs train for between seven and twelve years after college. They work ten times harder than you or I do, and their work matters. If I screw up, somebody in QA will catch my bugs and no harm will be done. If my girlfriend screws up, a five-year-old girl will go permanently deaf. And, of course, docs get compensated in proportion, although maybe not as much as you might think.
So, as you can tell, I'm just wondering where your comment came from.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:4, Insightful)
sPh
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:2)
Some, certainly. Most might be a stretch. A couple of the factories I have worked at would accept anyone with two arms and a leg. A brain was optional, since brains tend to grow tired of the routine.
It really depends on the caliber of work being done. The factories I cite above were small appliance assembly plants with hordes of laborers. Truly high-tech factories, such as specialized steel mills tend to have smaller workforces of more highly trained people. Which type of factory employs more people is something I really don't know.
For programmers, I doubt it (Score:2, Informative)
Having worked on many, many software projects, I don't think programmers are going to become fungable anytime soon. There is too much variation in talent.
I can't say about other parts of IT.
Re:For programmers, I doubt it (Score:2, Interesting)
a good one can get a no-experience kid up and running at full speed in 6 months.
i'd call that interchangeable.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:2, Interesting)
As they were in the past. The first (female!) programmers were actually looked upon as a sort of secretaries, and AFAIK, working with computers has gained the little sex-appeal it has only in the 80's and 90's. I'd say it's rather remarkable that it has the status that it has now, more than that it's remarkable that programming work will be seen as run-of-the-mill work in a couple of decades.
Enjoy while it lasts!
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:3, Insightful)
I think that is where a lot of the problem is coming from - there is a blur between programming and engineering now in IT, and that's allowing a lot of people who have no clue to sneak through bad interview processes and get jobs where they don't perform.
A poster above commented they should have gone to medical school. I'm thanking the gods I did an EE degree instead of a CS degree, it was brutal getting through, but my options are much more diverse than some of my friends who have CS or BA backgrounds working in IT. There's a big market right now for people who can work with embedded systems and do RTOS development, and I can't see that going away anytime soon. There's a barrier to entry though, as most embedded/FPGA jobs require a BSEE as a bare minimum.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:3, Interesting)
(not VERY embedded... kindof embedded... alright
there are CS people that could make legitimate Engineers. However, there is a general weakening of the strength of your average IT worker - most suck, due to the "make 70,000 with MSCE!" schools.
i dont know what the answer is, i think that we are seeing a much needed shake-out in this industry. There has been a lot of damage done to the
but, i still say - the average IT Programmers - should unionize. otherwise they will be used and abused until they're burnt out.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:2)
Absolutely. I saw a mediocre programmer become a mediocre project manager. As expected, the project floundered, was full of high-risk dependencies, and had a kindergarden-grade database schema.
My favorite quote at the first team meeting: "I want coding to begin next week [emphasis mine]." Looking back at this, I am amazed (and disappointed) that over million dollars was wasted due to this person.
Deja vu? (Score:2, Informative)
If the results were different (say a 10% market reduction) would the study be getting this much attention?
Re:Deja vu? (Score:3, Informative)
Reminds me of Star Trek Voyager when Janeway could see through most BS, except when an alien with a grudge built her a super-fast quantum slipstream starship that could bring her home in a few months, she believed that it was true *because she wanted to*. ITAA speaks more trash than that "Merrill Lynch analyst" that comes on Bloomberg everyday. I mean what the heck does he analyse? It's written on his face that all of his buddies have been fired, he hasn't just because he's on the TV.
Re:To vocalize what's on everyone's mind... (Score:2)
Please accept my appology for tossing out incorrect information.
sure sure... (Score:2)
You just keep telling yourself that, and eventually it will happen :)
Re:sure sure... (Score:2, Informative)
last year we had the smallest recesion ever. Companies and finacial institutions over reacted and threw away more people than needed, but Jobless rates do not a recession make.
unemployment is a symptom of a recession, but you can have high unemployment with out having a recession of the economy.
hell, economists would not call having 25% of the populus out of work a recession as long as the dollors were increasing.
Re:sure sure... (Score:2)
Funny, I thought the poster who said "I'll believe it when I see it" was talking about the salary cuts, not the recovery. I just got a nice bonus and another raise. (Of course, my company's profitable, which may have something to do with it. We're hiring judiciously, but having a hard time finding qualified folks because of the flood of dot-com refugees.)
The old adage is still true: A slowdown's when you hear about job losses. A recession's when you know someone who lost their job. A depression is when you lose your own job.
Whether you're in slowdown or recovery depends on who you ask, and where you're looking, and if you got hit, you certainly have my condolences. It's certainly sux0r3d to be in the dot-com and networking/telco world over the past couple of years, and it'll probably continue to sux0r for at least another year or two as the big telcos continue to implode beneath the crushing depths of their of their debt.
I'm experiencing this firsthand (Score:3, Informative)
Oh, and I am a decent coder with 18+ years of experience. I can imagine how hard it is going to be for the lackeys to find something...
Re:I'm experiencing this firsthand (Score:2, Informative)
I think it's easy for the younger workers to assume that everybody who can't find a job are not looking hard enough (and they're wrong), that's the way these downturns go... but I'm sure that with 18+ years experience, you know the value of saving up for times like these. After all, some recessions last for many years.
How odd (Score:2)
Wow. Just down in the road in Dayton, OH, those of us on the air force base can't find enough qualified IT people. Have you considered working in civil service for a while? The pay's pretty good at the IT level.
Re:How odd (Score:3, Informative)
Here in the Dulles Tech Corridore in VA, there are hundreds of out-of-work "IT" people, that barely graduated (or dropped out of) highschool, never got a certification, played all day on the 'net during the web boom, squandered opportunities to go to college, badmouthed everybody that bothered to go to school and get certified, know nothing about anything beyond being the admin of a few FreeBSD machines and are now on perpetual unemployment swearing that they know better than the folks that still have jobs at their old firms (if those firms exist at all).
For one, I am glad that I stayed in the Defense sector as a functional, rather than jumping the fence to the true tech side. My background is military and finance, two things that seem not to "fit" very well with the techies, but I still get to go gadget and application crazy at home.
Where I work, we need the techies for our proprietary apps and communications, but in our shop the functionals drive the system. Might have something to do with our being profitable too, since the focus is on the product (analysis and professional services) rather than on how many lines of code can be written in a month.
Techs routinly get hired here for $50,000 right from college and are not normally required to be EE or CS, but it is preferred. More Sr. people get hired too, but we do not have a massive turnover (any more) in the tech side, so they promote from within and give decent raises.
Now, we have a problem finding qualified functionals, but we do not have zads of people that watched a war movie or two claiming to be "military experts" out of work with an evaporating job market. Even an ex-private that was booted from the service knows not to apply here.
Might want to carry that analogy to the "IT professionals" that are not qualified to compete in the industry, if they will bother to listen to you between online games and dumpster diving.
Re:How odd (Score:3, Interesting)
Yes, and yes. :-) Depending on where you work, and for which agency and directorate, you may only need a background check, not a formal clearance. But a good starting assumption would be that you'd need a Secret clearance, which isn't too difficult to get as long as you're not an active terrorist.
Re:How odd (Score:2)
Hoopla and losers (Score:2, Insightful)
I dont think it has been that hard for those who belong in the positions, just for those who held positions they had no right, education, experience or mindset for.
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:5, Insightful)
And anyone with the right skills knows that they can get hired, because the managers who make hiring decisions are just utterly brilliant in their jobs, and know so much about IT that they can instantly tell who knows what they're doing. And if you can't find a job, that just means you're not as incredibly smart as the person who wrote the parent post.
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:5, Insightful)
I wouldn't want to be so insensitive as to refer to those who can't find a job as "underbrush", but really, can we expect the job market to be as good for IT people since the Internet bubble burst?
One of the vital processes in market economies that keeps them working is something called clearance. Inefficient methods of operating, like spending venture capital for operating funds for years waiting for a bad business plan to turn a profit, are cleared from the market eventually, leaving room for things that make sense.
This does lead to people being jobless. But, this also encourages everyone to keep their skills current and their pay expectations realistic.
Clearance is something we have to attempt to apply to large Government bureaucracies constantly as market forces don't apply here. The fact that there's not regular market clearance to Government bureaucracies is what helps lead to all the gross inefficiencies there, IMO.
It's business cycles. I don't think they've been abolished, contrary to what some were saying a few years ago. I liken it to winter. Winter does make it hard on a lot of life for awhile, but it sets the stage for Spring.
It does seem unfortunate that those on top in market economies (CEOs and Board Members) are the most insulated from business cycles, with their golden parachutes and other benefits. But, this is like how mankind is more insulated from winter when compared to most of the animal kingdom. It's good to be on top of any food chain, I guess.
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:2)
sPh
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:3, Interesting)
Guess what? The ITAA (the organization funded by IT employers) has been riding both sides of this bubble. On the way up they were talking about the massive need for workers, and spent millions getting H1B legislation passed. We had 200,000 H1-Bs come in in the last year, despite falling wages and people being laid off - this is technically impossible with the law, but it has enough loopholes and lax enforcement to allow this.
Now that we're on the downslope, the second strategy kicks in - employers cutting wages, unemployment rising and so forth. And the ITAA still issuing reports saying there will be 1,000,000 new jobs. Well hell, I guess we should raise the number of H1Bs from 200,000 this year to 1,000,000 in that case, the ITAA would never tell a lie!
You talk about why they're rich - they're rich because they have been united in fucking us over for years. And here we are with our wages cut, unemployment up and people are smiling and just accepting that this is the market and super-genius, hard workers like them will not be unemployed (although their salary will be cut and they'll go from working 60-hour weeks with 24/7 oncall to 65-hour weeks).
There's only one solution - team up like the employers team up in the ITAA. Most engineers I talk to don't want to collectively bargain like a union, so the solution is a professional association like doctors (AMA) and lawyers (ABA) have. The best organization like that is not IEEE who have sold out to the employers as well, but the Programmers Guild.
My web page [geocities.com] discusses these topics in more depth.
How it works (Score:3, Insightful)
They came after the web developers, but I was not a web developer, and I did not object.
They came after the Java enthusiasts, but I was not a Java enthusiast, and I did not object.
They came after the open source developers, but I was not an open source developer, and I did not object.
Then they came after the ordinary, decent programmer, and there was no-one left to object for me.
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:2)
The article didn't say there were no tech jobs left, just that they decreased. I used to get a lot more then 3 a week from headhunters trying to lure me away from where I am now. I'm still here, and quite happy, but if I wasn't that 3+/wk headhunters have definitely decreased.
There are jobs out there, but nothing at all near the level they used to be. It used to be if you could spell "computer" with a spell-check, you were hired. Now there is not only competition, but it's against other folks who are also good. Makes it a lot toughter to get a position.
Companies don't have to spend the buck$ to try and catch the eyes of good talent - it's more readily available. Not that we're cheap now, simply supply and demand - when available techies were scarce, market price went up.
=Blue(23)
Admins better off than developers (Score:2, Interesting)
Developers seem to be much worse off. It's a lot easier to cancel new development, so new development has been cut down to the bone.
Maintenance programming is still going on, but if you're a developer in new software and you're out of work, things are very very tough right now. There are still some jobs of course, but the competition is very intense.
Re:Hoopla and losers (Score:2)
I'm hopeful that another 6-12 months of economic downturn will clear most of the cruft out. However, as I'm seeing in my own place of employment, the same management that put those people into their jobs is also the same management that is willing to retain some losers due to the usual PHB way of looking at the world.
I'd personally like to see a slow expansion of the economy so that new people could be brought into the industry at a pace where there could be some sane considerations in hiring.
I do think that development has been nailed much, much harder than admin. In the admin world you have to kind of keep people to keep systems running. In the development world you can cancel all but maintenance development and kill a lot of jobs, including bright people who "belong" there.
Oh yeah? (Score:2)
But I know several Indians at work in the U.S.
Why am I here, and they're there?
Talisman
Re:Oh yeah? (Score:2)
We're not talking about 5-10% of the workforce being Indian either, we're talking a good 50% or more in my area. You get on a bus in the morning and you can see every seat on it filled with Indians. It's crazy.
IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:2, Funny)
Savings: $10 M in reduced workforce costs.
Additional losses: $50 M spent in hunting all the bugs from the software with your own workforce.
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:3, Insightful)
All this, and now they are getting rid of most of their overseas contractors and staffing up a bit. They have found that the work is just not up to par. You spend more time cleaning up after these people than you save.
And some of these people are better than others, but you have to pay more to get more. After you pay for better contractors, as it turns out, you can hire americans for not much more and get better software.
This type of thing might happen a bit, but I don't forsee a large turn to overseas IT work.
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:2)
IT requires, in many cases, a team and team mentality. It requires contact with design teams, marketing, etc. Just tossing it to someone else won't work.
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:3, Interesting)
I'm part of the Sun Certified J2EE Architect Yahoo Group email list preparing for the 3 SCEA exams and I'd say that 50% or more of the people posting are from India judging by their names (which really signifies little, I know) and the constant requests for where to find specific books in differing parts of India... And these guys know a TON.
A country like that with low wages, super-high education and English speaking is perfect for a world connected by the Internet. I've read that there are still a lot of problems with managing a team in another country, but I think those problems will go away quickly because the rewards for making it work are so huge.
It's pretty obvious to me too that we're going to see a LOT of work moving overseas soon.
-Russ
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:2)
Nah, I've seen the same thing several others here have already mentioned. Offshore development seems to fail in a large majority of the cases. Think of the "offshore boom" as the next "dot com bust."
Right now, some companies may be trying to save every penny and may look at offshore development as a solution. The majority will more than likely get burned.
I know of several companies that have been in the same boat. They got lured by very attractive proposals from India. "3 months and $300k". They said, "Fsck yeah!" 3 months later they were told, "It's a little more work than we thought. It's going to be at least another 6 months and we need to hire another 50 programmers, and it's going to cost 1.5 mil." The companies, having already invested time and money and believing they were now seeing the light at the end of the tunnel, go ahead and do it.
Offshore programming is not practical. Developing usually requires "close interface" with non-programmers and leads that intimately know the project including (ahem) salespeople. It's not easy to have this close interface when the developers don't speak English fluently, don't even share the same culture or underlying business knowledge, are 12 hours out of phase requiring that $1.50/minute conference call to be specially scheduled at 6am or 7am or so, and doing "on-site" requires the purchase of a $3k-$8k plane ticket and consumes at least 3 or 4 days when you consider the time zone differences, jet lag, etc.
The failures of offshore development are demonstrated daily. And, as others have also mentioned, they will only be willing to work for $10/hour so long. As their salary increases the demand for their work from the U.S. will decrease even more--if the whole "offshore bust" doesn't kill that industry first.
Programmers of Asian origin (Score:3, Insightful)
As a programmer of Indian origin, I feel somewhat qualified to comment. Before I get to my main point, I need to provide a bit of a preface. Programmers from India that come with an engineering degree typically are much better at the problem solving and analysis that are required in IT than are folks from a sciences and the arts. The reason for this is that engineering and medicine are typically the higher (far higher in the case of compute related stuff) paying professions and the competition for admissions to these courses are fierce. In a process of evolutionary selection, typically the candidates better suited to problem solving and analysis are the ones that make it through to even getting admission to the professional schools.
Granted, as in every other field, a percentage of those admitted to egineering are duds. But statistically speaking, the odds are really good that someone from an engineering background in India is Good at IT. Conversely, the people who dont get into engineering and medicine are typically less suited to IT.
And now onto my point....
Coming from an enginering background myself, and having worked for one of the companies that do offshore development, I noticed a curious phenomenon amongst my (then) colleagues. The vast majority of them had scorn for the skills and capabilities of the average IT worker. I didnt understand this until I came to the US myself. Then I realized that the average IT worker in the US is more likely to be a former third grade teacher who sought a better paying profession than a graduate of engineering. My (then) colleagues were falling into the trap of comparing apples to oranges. They were comparing themselves and their colleagues (who were mainly with engineering backgrounds) to people who werent, and of course, in that comparison, the US worker came out short.
The correct way of comparing things would have been to look at where the people with engineering backgrounds (and in the US, this is only a rough indicator of problem solving and analytical skills, I know) went, and then, comparing themselves to the skill and efficiency of those workers. When I did that comparison myself, I found that there really was no inequity between the US and the Indian worker.
You (and many others) seem to have fallen into a similar trap : you are equating all Indian offshore companies without recognizing quality differences. This would be something like comparing IBM to Poppa and Momma IT Inc. The company that I had worked for hired really good people. There are companies from India in the same field that hire predominantly from the Arts and Sciences fields and because of the competition I mentioned before, the people that they get arent (statistically speaking) as good as the really good ones. So, the conclusion is, you can get really good work done at really cheap prices, provided you pick the right company!
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:2)
When that happens, the industry will search for coders elsewhere, like they do in other businesses (Flextronics anyone?, or Nike...)
As long as there are differences in living standards to be exploited companies will do just that.
As long as companies and money move freely over borders and people do not this situation will exist.
And, yes, in the long run us wages will probably drop.
I wish min would go up instead (and it probably will, a bit... i make 50%, tops of what an us programmer makes).
And this is in europe, not India.
Re:IT Jobs Farmed out Overseas (Score:3, Insightful)
Of COURSE.. (Score:3, Insightful)
I really wish I could run into a good NT guy, just to change my perception.
The last guy would reboot the NT server, because the mmc was crashing (He was installing a new Server App), and he didn't know how to kill it or something... "Umm that's the MMC crashing, why don't we just kill it instead of rebooting the server in the middle of the day?"
The 2nd to last guy I worked with spent who-knows-how-long screwing with 3Com diags on an NT box, before I plugged the network cable in for him.
Really fucking pitiful... And I don't even like NT. (I'm fucking cheap, but NT makes me want to run out and buy Netware)
Re:Of COURSE.. (Score:3, Interesting)
That's why you can't find any good NT guys. They're all working here at my corp, with 1800 NT4/W2K servers to support. There are 12 of us doing (internal) client consultation, need analysis, installation, config, app loads, support, patching, and monitoring.
I just joined this group from a different area of the bank where I was the "NT guy" and we had 5 serves, All I wanted was a chance to get Win2000 MCP-test training. They said "not in the budget." New group says "MCP within a year is a requirement on your perf review." I am a happy man!
And by the way, if you know what you're doing, and you have a group of solid people behind you, the environment stays stable. Security oversight is handled by our own security division, but we make sure everything is test and configured as it should be. We only see about 3 bluescreens / ASRs per month. Most from NT4 Compaq boxes slated for replacement anyway.
So your yokel "NT guy" is the guy who applied for my job and said "I like to reboot servers when the MMC crashes." I don't profess to know everything, but I take the time to learn when I don't know how to do something, and I work with like-minded people.
Re:3 bluescreens on compaqs? (Score:2)
Trollbutt.
Re:Of COURSE.. (Score:2)
As for MCSE's: I am a windows admin by trade. I've interviewed everyone coming into IT since my hire (except for my boss of course, who was just let go). Ironically enough, every MCSE that we've interviewed, we've not hired (except for my boss, who was just let go). They generally understand how to do things (think procedurally) not how things work (think reason-based).
Simply put: people that can only think procedurally, and do not understand *how things work* do not make good sysadmins. The problem with windows, is it's very hard to find out how things work. Even then it's a pretty vague understanding, and spotty because of Microsoft's kludges and tinkering.
This is why there are few good windows admins, and even then they will never be as good as the best *nix admin. [This is also why I've got 3 BSD machines at home, and also admin 2 solaris boxen at work]
Re:Of COURSE.. (Score:2)
Ouch. IRC is more like the local bar where people hang out and heckle the newcomers for a good joke. IRC may sometimes be useful for keeping up on current events, but I'd say its more for entertainment.
Ask your question in the local LUG mailing list. You will get about ten answers to the original question, followed by a "discussion" of the best way, while covering other most interesting facts along the way.
Re:Of COURSE.. (Score:2)
Oh sure, I believe it. I would just like to run in to one of them once in a while. :P)
(Or maybe I'm really just that good
Re:Of COURSE.. (Score:2)
Oh sure, I believe that. Maybe I should have been more specific, these guys I ran into while consulting (on the side, I AM an 'IT Manager', but it's just me in a small company.). Not my choice, but I've said, "Hey, that's not my area of expertise, you should get someone else who's done that before."
And they were the result.
And they're cheaper.
It just turned into a rant because I don't want to be cleaning up after someone else, where I'm not the expert in the first place - therefore, it makes sense to me that salaries have gone down. :)
Java developers buck this trend. (Score:3, Interesting)
I'd say the IT world is shedding the cruft. I hope I'm not cruft.
Re:Java developers buck this trend. (Score:2)
Re:Java developers buck this trend. (Score:2)
Magazine surveys, such as this one, are crap. I have yet to see one that normalizes the data based on cost-of-living indexes, years experience, or class of position. Just that simple step would make the data infinitely more useful. But the magazine people are lazy, stupid, and don't care; they just want to put out the numbers, even if they are wrong.
$88K in the South...yeah, right. Who?? College graduate or senior manager??
Re:I am a Java developer, however.... (Score:3, Interesting)
1994-95: $20/hour working contract for a small ISP doing sales & support.
1995-1996: $13.50 an hour, but full-time work, with a small screwdriver shop in Las Vegas doing UNIX (my first experiences), Windows, and Netware support. We were heavy into Netware.
1996-1999: $37,000/year plus bonusses. (Note that this equates to roughly $18 an hour). Was a unix/linux/windows/netware network admin for a now out-of-business computer game company called Singletrac. They were the ones that did the original Twisted Metal series for the Playstation. Unfortunately, they over-expanded, sought a buyer, lost major talent, dried up. The usual "game house that gets too big for their britches" syndrome.
1999-2001: $55,000 a year. Shot the moon in the interview and they gave it to me; I thought I had won the lottery!. Was doing UNIX support exclusively, and got to run the systems administration team (that was fun!). Got regular raises up to $77,000 a year by the time I left for the next big thing. The company was thirty seconds from doom anyway, but many got ticked off that I jumped out of the tub while they were circling the drain
2001: $85,000 a year. Telecommuted to a small Silicon Valley company. I was all fired up about it, but I discovered that telecommuting is not really for me.
2001-2002: $85,000 a year. Worked for a tech startup here in Salt Lake City, Utah. They were still coasting off the dot-com boom, but just barely shut down. Did UNIX and Cisco support mostly.
At this point, I almost consider my salary history a liability. Realistically, my family would get along just fine on US $45,000 a year. More money than that is really nice, but it's gravy beyond our expenses. We're a typical middle-America family, three kids, no car payments, house payment, student loans, etc. I expect at my next job that I'll get somewhere between $65,000 to $75,000, and that will be just fine. The ride was nice while it lasted, but with my experience, I was overpaid.
Java Programmers (Score:2)
However, I'm a Java programmer and I don't have a job so you can't rely on everything you read.
-Russ
I agree IT doesn't equal engineering/programming (Score:4, Insightful)
to me IT isn't even programing, its the guys who do server/pc support maintenance, upgrades etc. Skills like that are more of a commodity, being a good programmer/engineer is not. For every design engineer you have several test/systems engineers who test their work(design engineers get paid more in general).
When did IT equate engineering and programing? They are not the same! Repeat again! They are not the same!
Article Summary (Score:2, Informative)
Here're the main points:-
The number of U.S. technology workers plunged by nearly 530,000 in the past year according to a The Information Technology Association of America survey.
The survey projects that employers will fill about 570,000 technology positions this year, based on interviews with 532 hiring managers.
a research director at Gartner Inc., predicts that technology spending will grow by 2 percent to 4 percent this year, and increase more rapidly in 2003
A separate study released last week by Information Week magazine said that tech workers' pay had dipped by 11 percent, to $63,000, compared with a median compensation package of $71,000 last year
Ironically, unemployment -- and employee uneasiness -- often rises even as the economy begins to regain its footing, because cautious firms are loath to make commitments in the form of full-time jobs.
Nationally, the most attractive job candidates are proficient in the C++ or Java computer languages, or they are familiar with Oracle database technology, according to the information technology group's survey.
Employee referrals and the Internet continue to provide employers with a large chunk of their workforce, according to a recent report by the MMC Group,
Things are still rough up here in Northern Ohio (Score:2)
Or to paraphrase... (Score:2)
Problems with the inflated wage numbers (Score:2)
we can expect to see IT wages to further drop on average to the $60- $62K with the bottom being around $38K and the top at $80K with some bizzare exceptions to the rule... (public Schol IT way underpaid with a few overpaid employees in the valley)
I highly doubt the "explosion" in IT jobs though.. I see a higher demand for really-good and expierienced It people and much less for MCSE's or other certs. time in the field is starting to have much more weight, as you are expected to run a department and be a tech at the same time. (3 offices, 200 workstations and 8 servers... I am the ONLY IT person/manager. God help the poor soul that tries to fill my shoes if I leave.... as management will say, "what do you mean you need help? the last guy did it by himself for 5 years!")
bling bling (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:bling bling (Score:5, Informative)
I work for a a fortune 500 , she works for the county of a fairly well known city.
I make a little under 70k a year
I did the math once on how 'valuable' she was to society.
she has about 300 students a day:
and for argument
that makes her monthly (pre tax) salery about 2,583 - $646 a week - $129 a day [this is pre tax mind you] for a 5 day work week. that means she is paid $0.40 cents a student per day.
she has 7 classes that are 50 mins long
lets for argument say
I can hire my 13 year old neigebor as a baby sitter for the premium price of $1.50 an hour.
kids used to get $1 an hour when i was 13ish
so
NOW lets talk about her budget.
She has an annual budget of $1000 for art supplies. thats $3.33 (ish) cents per child
so far
Add into this the job descriptions of
- must argue with irate parents over their failing kids
- must 'teach' class-sizes of 35+ students
- must contact parents 2 times verbally and 1 time in writing before failing a child. [regardless of their performance , or even ATTENDANCE]
- must police halls
- must immediatly report any child on 'agressive profile' list (a-la colembine)
- must pay for extra art supplies out of her own pocket or explain to children why they are drawing with water on bathroom tissue AGAIN.
- must not call on 2 boys in a row, or two girls, or two children of the same nationality, may not correct a student's answer when they answer a question wrong. [ever notice how your teachers always asked at least 3 kids before correcting 'all of you?' they get in trouble if they dont.]
- must not ever touch a child in any way. [a teacher in our county was sued by a family because she tried to catch a child who was falling (due to ironically , her twin brother tripping her) the child suffered a sprained arm where the teacher grabbed her as her head was rushing towards teh concreate)
these are only the tip of the iceberg.
I on the otherhand
are IT professionals overpaid compared to people who do other 'necessairy' jobs ? yeh . I have to say that we are.
Its just a personal pet peve of mine that teachers, the folks who are RESPONSABLE for us being smart enough to do this work . get shafted
Baltimore County cant seem to find any $$ when her school's heaters break, but they found enough $$ to build a by-way that allowed a contracter to build 4,500 townhouses in a previously unreachable tract of land.
to really throw injury on insult, they predict that the community raised by at least 6000 familys this year, and her school cut 7 positions.
how's that for efficiency ?
From the field . . . (Score:5, Insightful)
First, even with the job cuts, IT is a huge and unavoidable part of the economy. It will inevitably recover because IT is too important. It will expand because IT has definitely not met the limits of what it can do.
Second, some of the cuts done were extremely unwise and are backfiring on companies already. I hear stories of patches not being released, remaining staff members working on maintenance instead of improvement or expansion, etc.
Third, one of the biggest barriers to hiring now is the HR department. Consulting companies, recruiters, and potential employees are confronted with slow processes, poor interviews, and HR departments that do not know what they're talking about technology-wise. Nothing like having someone ask you if you have two years of Windows 2000 or
Fourth, as the article notes, many companies have largely screwed themselves in their approach to IT. IT, in my experience, has a high turnover rate, and these recent activities only encourage people to leave IT and avoid IT. Without training, their employees won't have skills (while some of us hardcores will practice our code while we flip burgers or cash our unemployment checks). They'll have to break down and hire knowledgeable people.
In my experience, the market has already started opening up, especially for people with 3+ years of experience. Give it another year and IT will be back to where it was and then some - because, even if people don't like it, they need us.
Re:From the field . . . (Score:2)
That's a pretty twisted attitude to take. Yes, we do more with computers than we did ten or twenty years ago, but are we really doing it any more efficiently? IT staffing and spending had ballooned by a factor of 100 over twenty years; are we really delivering that much more value? Computers are thousands of times more powerful than they were twenty years ago; do we really need more computers than we did back then?
Armies of IT workers to run around and reboot machines continually is *not* progress. Unfortunately in many organizations the "strength" of an IT department is measured by the number of IT staffers - and not by the value actually delivered.
That's the IT lifecycle for you (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:From the field . . . (Score:2)
I just spend the last year looking for work. I was in a pretty bad situation, no HS diploma, only 2 years experience and 2 kids to support.
I found the exact same results as you. It seems to be the HR people who make things difficult. Every company exec that I spoke to seemed to be really impressed with what I've done in my 2 years "industry experience" but all the HR people are like "Well your resume doesn't say development tool design and implementation" even though it lists "Designed and implemented scripting language interpreter, debugger, pre-parser" etc. It's a sad situtation.
And I am also one of the people who are thinking of leaving IT. Not necessarily because of IT itself. I love coding but I've gotten a very bad taste of corporate america, new laws regarding computing and copyright etc. It's just not as fun as it was going into it.
I do have a plan that's being implemented right now for finishing school so I think I'll choose a different degree and going into something different.
--
Garett
ITAA, huh? (Score:4, Funny)
And, why, exactly, should we trust an entity with an acronym like ITAA?
I think it's just a ploy by the RIAA and MPAA to get geeks to stop downloading music and movies and go back to looking for jobs, using the Internet for what it was designed for, like spamming resumes...
Those are complaining?!? (Score:5, Insightful)
I hope those in this situation have enough decency to shut up. 63K US is kind of just a dream to me, I'm making 42K CAN and I think I am making good money. Hey, I'm making more then both my parents together! I have a little car, a digicam, my good ol' computer, what can I ask more?!? Yeah, I used to dream of making 1K US a week, driving an Audi TT and living in a big house. And I was mad that I was not earning enough, fast enough. Then, recently, things went bad around the world, I kept reading about unemployement. One of my cousin lost it's job last year and he is still searching a new one. He got nothing more then a few little contract of 2-3 weeks. It change my mind, that is the only good thing about all this (for me). Now I'm placing some money, I enjoy what I actually have because tomorrow it could all change. Honestly, I would accept 63K US any day, but I really don't need it...
Average??? (Score:2)
Bl$$dy hell, I'm the best paid programmer in the company and I'm only on 2/3rds of that.
I'd love to know where these 'average' jobs are available...
Where are you? (Score:2)
Hmmm, My Certification Mill is Promising Me $90K (Score:2, Insightful)
That's a real problem -- too many unskilled entry-level folks are flooding the job pool. And most certifications are as useless as used Kleenex.
Can always hope... (Score:2)
Still hot... (Score:2)
While the market is certainly not as hot as a year and a half ago, when we were making $120K offers to some star candidates, the number of resumes we get for open position is still on the low side and quite often not one of them is qualified for the position.
This in contrast with eight years ago, when you had your choice of which expert to hire at a very affordable $50-60K per head...
Something has to give (Score:2)
I understand getting Java certified or MSCE to get through the door but at the end of the day you have to deliver, you have to stay current and from the software side of things, this industry is about solving problems.
I can't blame anyone for taking advantage of the last few years, more power to them but there are a lot of people who are going to make a lot less money in their new, non-IT, jobs and that's a bitter pill to swallow.
Moore's law is a bitch. You think you can get a certificate, get a high paying job doing nothing and keep it? I'm a developer with a real degree and I feel like I need to put a huge effort into staying on top of everything and do my job. I enjoy it and that's why I do it but don't think it's just a cake walk or something. It's definitely more than 40hours a week.
One hard truth in the job market (Score:2, Insightful)
Many IT jobs moved offshore ... (Score:5, Interesting)
... at least for applications development and support ... American workers are being replaced with H1-B visa imports. It's more commonplace, and it's happened at the last 3 shops I've worked at, and in once case my position was replaced with an H1-B visa holder - the firm there doesn't like to use the term "outsourcing", they prefer to term it out-tasking. The bulk of the programmer team resides offshore (in India, or Maylaysia, or Indonesia, or Mexico ...), while a few business analysts and lead level (which are mostly staffed by H1-B visa workers employed by the contracted offshore firm).
Here's a list of prominent Fortune 500 companies that have moved all or a significant portion of their application support and development programmer staff offshore, that I and/or friends have had firsthand experience with:
The trend seems to be to move data center and system programming operations to the likes of IBM but to move the application coding development and support to offshore vendors. I can't speak for smaller/medium sized firms, but at the big corporate shops, this is a certainly a constant for contemporary times.
Sorry if it appears that I'm ranting, as this issue has affected me personally and it sucks watching friends and colleagues struggle to find work, unemployed for entirely too long now, about to lose their house if their wife/husband don't have a good income and they can go back to school to learn another craft. It's really disguisting to see foreign labor still imported and populate the workplace when these experienced individuals go hurting. Especially when those brought in or those who work in foreign centers aren't even close as qualified - with unverifiable references and doctored qualifications. Yes, it's gets personal when you study and work hard to put bread on the table for your family and you are powerless to stop the curtailment of opportunity. Being programmers, it's our nature to be independent and introverted, and that works against us - as I couldn't conjure up a scenario where this would occur with um, let's say truck drivers. There'd be blood in the streets.
But to hear all of the politicos du jour speak, it's simply a matter of education! Poppycock. In the new paradigms of globalization, it really doesn't matter, as "knowledge" jobs can be moved just as easy, if not easier, than manufacturing jobs. There's some deeper questions that need to be asked and answered in the new century. Else we end up in a universally feudalistic model, with a small fortunate few and the the rest of us left to fend off eachother for the few morsels tossed our way ...
And the ITAA are nothing more than tech industry lobbyist shrills, who have only the interest of employers at hand, and care not for the tech worker.
Here is an open letter to Mr. Harris Miller of the ITAA [optimizemag.com], in response to blatant misinformation propagated by him and other lobbyist shills [optimizemag.com].
It Works Both Ways (Score:5, Insightful)
While you bemoan the growing dominance of foreign programmers, note that foreigners bemoan the dominance of American IT. "All these American computers when we could build our own, slap restrictions on their import!" America makes a lot of money exporting IT products abroad.
So if we make money selling products and services abroad, is it so terrible that other countries do the same? That's the way the global free market works. If we try to restrict foreign programmers, you can be sure they will slap tarrifs back on our products.
In general, I find most people have a very naive idea of the way things work: they assume America is God's Country (TM) and so we will always make tons of money and all the other nations will always be reduced to begging for scraps. The reality is that the rise of America coincided with a very strange period for others: colonization and WWII. As countries have rebuilt after the devastation of colonization and WWII, expect more competition for America and a more even distribution of capabilities and wealth.
Re:It Works Both Ways (Score:3, Insightful)
There is so much wrong with this statement that it is hard to know where to begin. The whole arguement is appallingly bad economics. Maybe it is a troll, but I doubt it, so I'll respond to it. This is a big myth that it is going to be bad for the United States (or whatever other country is dominant) if countries that are currently mired in all kinds of third world problems manage to pull themselves out of that mire and join the "first world." This is completely wrong, in fact, if we look at the objections to the H-1B program, we see that what is causing the problem is that people are exploiting the disparity of wages between the United States and the third world. The reality is that the temporary immigrant labor situation is caused by this disparity of wages. If India becomes an economic powerhouse it will be good for everyone in the world, including the United States.
This goes back to the old myth that the Japanese auto industry was harming Americans. In fact it was the corrupt and inneficient American auto industry that was harming Americans, the rise of the Japanese auto industry was good for Americans in general. (The same can be said of the video game industry, where would that industry be today if not for Nintendo. How many Americans does that industry employ? I don't think the Nintendo of America headquaters in Washington state is empty, now is it?)
In fact, the best way to end the H-1B program would be for wages in India to improve enough that people there decided that the expense and hardship of coming to the US was not worth it when they could get a well paying job locally. (I'd prefer to see the H-1B program reformed before then, but it makes me fairly happy to know that eventually it will become economically unviable.)
Re:Many IT jobs moved offshore ... (Score:2)
Re:Many IT jobs moved offshore ... (Score:2)
[ucdavis.edu]
"Debunking the Myth of a Software Labor Shortage", I'll just cut and paste from that -
Question: The industry claims that if it cannot bring H-1B workers to the U.S., it will be forced to move software operations to where the workers are overseas. Is this true?
This is a bogus threat, an obvious contradiction: Why does the industry want to bring Indian programmers to the U.S. as H-1Bs in the first place? Why not just employ those programmers in India? The answer is that it is not feasible to do so.
The fact is that, although a small amount of work is done abroad (largely old mainframe software), this will not escalate to become the major mode of operation of the industry. The misunderstandings caused by long-distance communication, the problems of highly-disparate time zones and so on result in major headaches, unmet deadlines and a general loss of productivity.
Just look at Silicon Valley. This is the most ``wired'' place in the world, yet those massive Silicon Valley freeway traffic jams arise because very few programmers telecommute. They know that face-to-face interaction is crucial to the success of a software project.
See [ucdavis.edu]
Section 9.5 for a more indepth answer.
Last week: "Industry Standard" Paycuts in IT? (Score:2)
"Industry Standard" Paycuts in IT? [slashdot.org] makes good companion reading here.
Sig: What Happened To The Censorware Project (censorware.org) [sethf.com]
Yeah, but... (Score:2)
Yeah but my old company (IT Consulting) is cutting all the people with degrees, and keeping all the losers who'll never be able to get another job like it. Granted, they'll be closing their doors by the end of the year with that strategy - but that's what they're doing.
ITAA has been telling lies for a long time (Score:5, Insightful)
These are the same people who said that 450,000 jobs went >unfilled [itaa.org] last year because there were not enough qualified technical people. Let's get some truth on the scene [ucdavis.edu] here (previously linked from slashdot here [slashdot.org], here [slashdot.org], and here [slashdot.org]). The ITAA is an industry spokes-puppet which is trying to spread a misconception that there is no jobs shortage, and that there is no unemployment, so that the industry can beg Congress for more slave labor force called H-1B. And I'm not referring to merely having more people than there are jobs. The real danger of the H-1B program the ITAA is constantly promoting is the fact that employees under this program:
That last one is especially sinister because it means that the usual market forces, supply and demand, and competition for skills, is NOT allowed to function for H-1B workers, giving employers a windfall of what is essentially cheap slave labor. They are hired into jobs the employers claim require extended skills, and paid only the average programmer salary (not the near double amounts such skills would normally draw) because the H-1B law only requires the average to be paid based on all programmers (not specifically those with the required skills).
In other words, what the ITAA is spouting is a bunch of crock.
The IT biz has been in a classic "bubble" (Score:2)
After all, they're called bubbles at least partly because they pop at some point.
Supply and Demand (Score:2)
There's no grand conspiracy here.
What about the pay cuts? (Score:5, Insightful)
As far as the ITAA report which said IT jobs will grow - bullshit! The ITAA is the *enemy* folks, they're the ones who lobbied to bring in hundreds of thousands of H1B's, they're the ones that did away with overtime laws for "computer operators", they're the one fighting to keep section 1706 in tax code (which drives independent consultants into body shops) and so forth. The ITAA is lying - the ITAA is who was talking about shortages for years before the current glut. Don't you people see the commercials on TV talking about a technical career while everyone is being laid off or getting pay cuts? Don't you all realize there is a massive deception going on - wonderful careers in IT are being advertised for while things for the profession get worse and worse?
I can't believe that the same BULLSHIT that that the ITAA has been saying for the past several years has made it to the front page of Slashdot. I know it is on dice.com's front page and other places - they made their bullshit report recently to counter things like Representative Tancredo's legislation that would tie H1B caps to the unemployment rate (which is the highest in 8 years).
So you morons who think you're some kind of programming super-genius who is a "hard worker" and is some kind of socially retarted dork who puts all his self-value in how much computer skills he has - can you please explain why not only jobs are being cut but why salaries are being cut? It's called supply and demand, folks, and the ITAA has been at the forefront of raising the supply of workers, hours worked by them, and their mobility (especially that of H1Bs or those who would like to be independent consultants).
Now, most IT professionals I talk to don't want to form a union (collective bargaining association) which leaves us with one solution - a professional association, just like the doctors (AMA) and lawyers (ABA) have. No, not the IEEE, they've sold out to corporate sponsors when they had efforts to lower the H1-B cap killed. The Programmers Guild is the best organization I've seen of this type. Joining together and fighting for our profession against the ITAA is the only solution.
My web page, the Oncall Guild [geocities.com], has more information about all of this, mostly links to good sources of information about non-technically related things to our profession. If you want to be part of a million individual super-genius hard-working dork programmer lemmings headed off a cliff, be my guest, if you want to join together with other engineers and fight the employer-financed ITAA in a non-union association, join the Programmers Guild and read the information on my web site.
Re:What about the pay cuts? (Score:3, Informative)
Never Again... (Score:5, Informative)
Never forget that:
The Horrors of Unemployment (Score:2)
From the other side of the fence (Score:4, Interesting)
Personally, I have never enrolled into college. However that does not mean that I have no spent the last three years of my life trying to read/learn/expirement with everything and anything I can.
I feel that for someone with 5 years of Tech backround, three in unix, I have learned a lot. I usually have no troubles holding my own against a college graduate. But in the general sense, I fall into this "under brush" category.
Think about this, people like myself, we do truly do this for the love of labor. There was no driving force of college, just myself and a box. My own internal drive to learn and educate myself. To me these are sometimes more often the people that will really excel due to the motivation it took to get this far in the first place and the remaining drive of learning everything you can in an industry that advances as quickly as this one.
I just think that perhaps before you stand on your Berkely soap box, that sometimes you should appreciate there are more important things in knowledge/skill/education than college.
Re:Sure, (Score:4, Insightful)
The problem is that it's all crap. There's still a skills shortage, but now it's less pronounced salaries are beginning to get closer to decent levels, as a smaller choice means technical people are willing to take on jobs they weren't before.
With the exception of certain areas of the country where the dot-com boom and bust hit hard leaving a localised clump of highly skilled people, it's not difficult to get a job in programming, and you'll still earn a tremendous amount of money. Compare these "dreadful" $63,000 salaries to those of your non technical friends and family - unless you're living amongst lawyers and executives you're not likely to meet that many people on that kind of money.
Last In, Wins (Score:2)
Re:Hard to believe (Score:2)
Re:Hard to believe (Score:2, Interesting)
Why do you think that employment will return to the Y2K-Elevated pre-2001 levels? Seems like the over-investment in Y2K IT fallout is what we're dealing with here, and I'd be suprised if we don't end up with 1998 employment levels. (with some upward adjustment for the honest to goodness benefits that can come from automation and improved communication).
Re:Pointy Haired Bosses (Score:2)
In my job search, which has finally paid off nicely (with a contract and an almost guaranteed hire after that), I did my research on what I was worth and what I knew, and slightly lowballed myself. End result was some great responses - for only about 3-5% less than I was making before I was downsized, I get a lot more attention.
The folks who have 5+ years experience will be on top again. We know the market, we know what's going on, and we're not some starry-eyed greed-head right out of college. I've had interviews where, out of tons of applicants, I was one of two or one of four that made the final cut - because I know the market and I know what I'm doing.
Re:DC (Score:2)
From my view, things got bad in early 2001 in general in DC. (And they had gone bad up and down the east coast in mid-2000 for the manufacturing sector that I used to work in.) They are turning upwards; the various on-line job site (like DC.Techies.Com [techies.com]) are now consistently turning up a dozen or two jobs consistent with my profile every week, a big boost over what it was a year ago.
Re:Compare IT workers to other technical fields (Score:3, Insightful)
The $15,000 chemical engineer. *sigh*