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Comment Re:Niche energy (Score 1) 90

Who cares about efficiency? The only things that are relevant are: cost, space, amount of energy/power produced.

I'd say the guy performing the cost estimate, because efficiency at extraction is a key indicator to how much space you'll need to produce your target amount of power(or how much power your limited space can produce), which determines how much equipment you need to do it, which drives cost. That's without considering that if you need to purchase/lease/rent land or area rights there can be a cost there as well.

But as an executive deciding between different options, you're right.

Comment Re:Mass produce! (Score 1) 194

Electricity is fungible - IE most people don't care where it comes from, so any one kWh is equivalent to any other.

Consider if Biodiesel is $3.50 and fossil diesel is $3. You're going to sell vastly more diesel than biodiesel. Make Biodiesel 22% cheaper and it's now $2.73. The situation will reverse practically overnight. More realistically what will happen is that investments in BD would languish until diesel hit $3.50, then plants would be built right and left, pushing down the price of both, but as process improvements decrease the cost of BD and capacity is increased even as fossil oil becomes harder to extract, that more and more BD would be sold even as FD sales decrease. Eventually FD would occupy more or less the same position as BD now.

To put it another way - alternative energy is very cliff-like - you don't notice much change until you actually fall of the cliff, then change happens very quickly. We're relatively close to the cliff right now. Hawaii is holding onto the old production model by it's fingernails. It's possible that very soon daytime electricity will be cheaper there than nighttime.

Submission + - Antarctic ice sheet thicker than expected

An anonymous reader writes: The uncertainty of science: New measurements of the Antarctic ice sheets using an unmanned underwater drone have found them to be much thicker than expected.

Risky robotic exploration of the vast expanse of sea ice around Antarctica has revealed it to be far thicker in many places than previously measured. “The conventional picture of Antarctic sea ice being a thin veneer over the ocean is probably only true for some portion of it,” says Ted Maksym, an ice researcher at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts (WHOI). “We need to do a better job of surveying the overall ice cover.”

Previous observations of the thickness of Antarctic sea ice produced a mean draught — the depth between the waterline and the bottom of the ice sheet— of around 1 metre; the new work gives a mean draught of over 3 metres. And a previous maximum recorded ice-sheet thickness of 10 metres has now been increased to 16 metres.

Near the end of the article there is also this:

The more data scientists can gather about Antarctic sea ice, the more they can unpick why climate models struggle to accurately predict its extent. Although researchers have been generally successful at modelling the huge declines in Arctic sea ice, the extent of Antarctic sea ice has actually increased in recent years, contrary to the predictions of models.

Actually, the Antarctic sea ice has grown to record size in recent years, and the Arctic sea ice has significantly recovered in the past two years, all contrary to all climate models.

Submission + - FAA moves to regulate and thus destroy drone use 2

schwit1 writes: The proposed rules would require that a drone owner would have to get certified as a pilot, “certification that can cost $10,000 and demand many hours flying aircraft that control nothing like a little drone.”

“Knowing the proper flap setting on a short runway approach for a Cessna 172 doesn’t do any good for a DJI Phantom [an inexpensive and popular commercial drone],” said Matt Waite, a University of Nebraska professor and founder of the Drone Journalism Lab. “A lot of people out there already running businesses in conflict with FAA policy, who don’t have pilot licenses, are probably looking at this like, ‘You’ve got to be kidding me.'”

Gee, here we have a new industry that is growing and prosperous, with many people coming up with creative ideas for using drones that none of its inventors ever dreamed of, and the government wants to step in and control it, regulating it to a point where it can’t even exist legally. Isn’t that nice of them?

Comment Re:I always insist on paper for vote (Score 1) 127

To avoid the chads problem I think we should stick with the 'fill in the bubble' or 'finish this line' type optical scanning ballots. Easier to write what counts and what doesn't, as well as easy for verification/counting by hand if necessary.

It's less about absolute accuracy than it is about being auditable.

Comment Re:Deliberate (Score 1) 652

Except you can't much go beyond 25% solar+wind with current tech.

Why not? Also, keep in mind that I'm talking about shutting down every single fossil fuel power plant, though some would be converted to biomatter plants. That's a massive game changer right there.

The idea is that at 20% solar covers the daytime increase in power usage. It should be installed such that, normally speaking, it only covers 50% of daytime usage. 20% wind is within reach without massive grid modification. My peaking/windless generators are the hydro and biomass plants. I would encourage the use of thermal storage systems though - bigger water heaters that operate only when electricity is at it's cheapest(most plentiful).

As for transmitting electricity for thousands of miles, at least in the USA you wouldn't have to. You would just 'trade off' production towards the area having a shortfall.

Comment Re:Deliberate (Score 1) 652

I think you are ignoring the fact that many countries have lots of hydro, like Brazil (70-80% of our electricity is hydro). Many other countries have over 50% hydro. The US alone about just as much hydro as nuclear (around 15%). Canada is close to 2/3 hydro.

Well, yes, I keep forgetting to put 'for the USA' into my statement. It also averages out to the world. Specific countries have different ideal setups. Brazil and Canada can keep using it's hydro and neglect solar in favor of wind. Hawaii and other equatorial islands can go nearly all solar. Alaska would probably end up being more nuclear(as I understand it our hydro prospects aren't that great).

Finally, I'll say there's a reason I said 'roughly'.

But then there is this other argument that somehow big reservoir hydro is bad. It takes too much land.

There's a lot more wrong with hydro than just 'takes too much land'. There's lots of ecological issues, which is why the USA is considered pretty much maxed out on hydro. It' also not zero CO2, it's really low, but making all that concrete does produce it. Plus you eventually have to dredge the lake to get rid of sediment build up.

It produces methane, the same stuff natural gas is made of.

For some reason this irks me. It's the same chemical as the majority of natural gas, IE CH4. NG tends to be a bit dirtier depending on how well they've filtered/cleaned it.

The big Germany solar push is a really stupid idea compared to a big solar push in South/Central America / Africa / Portugal / Spain / Middle East.

Southern half of the USA for that matter.

But much like big pharma isn't interested in cheap medicine, biomass doesn't have the billions in costs (hence doesn't have high profits). Its not a matter of national pride.

I think you're glossing over a number of issues. There are real-world concerns with the growth, harvest, processing(moisture removal), and delivery of biomass to the plants. There are also serious pollution concerns when you do a lot of it. Mostly fine particulates and NOx compounds. You have a very interesting outlook if you think that 'high costs' = 'high profits'. You get the highest net profits from high-gross profits combined with low costs - IE cheap to produced, sold high. Electricity is normally a standard in fungible goods - if you can produce it a cheaper way, that's the way to make a profit.

Comment Re:Is Nuclear going to be acknowledged? (Score 1) 652

Huh, that made total sense when I wrote the post. What's captured? Costs. 'externalities' are costs that are not directly paid for by the company. Pollution is normally an externality because while it causes harm(which is a cost), it's imposed on others. Such as the population as a whole for air pollution, those downstream for water pollution, etc...

There's not a lot of external costs with nuclear power - the waste isn't going up the smokestack.

Power

Jackie Chan Discs Help Boost Solar Panel Efficiency 194

wbr1 writes Apparently the pit pattern on a blu-ray disk is great at helping trap photons, rather than reflecting them. Applying this pattern to the glass in a solar panel can boost efficiency by 22%. Researchers at Northwestern tested this system with Jackie Chan discs. From the article: "To increase the efficiency of a solar panel by 22%, the researchers at Northwestern bought a copy of Police Story 3: Supercop on Blu-ray; removed the top plastic layer, exposing the recording medium beneath; cast a mold of the quasi-random pattern; and then used the mold to create a photovoltaic cell with the same pattern....The end result is a solar panel that has a quantum efficiency of around 40% — up about 22% from the non-patterned solar panel."

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