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Comment Re:Wut? (Score 1) 27

If the government is doing something illegal, they just stop.

No they don't, who's gonna stop 'em?

So your thesis is that injunctions against the government are simply ignored?

Ignored... not so far, not quite. Stretched right to the limit, and maybe a bit beyond ("The plane was already in the air, we didn't know that verbal court orders had to be obeyed"), then emergency-appealed direct to SCOTUS, which quickly stays the injunction and then sits on the case for 6-9 months and then often rules that the issue is now moot... that has happened. A lot.

And "simply ignored" could very well still happen if Trump thinks it's important enough. He'll just issue an order (an official act, for which he has full immunity) and pre-emptively pardon the people who carry it out. So far the administration has decided not to cross that line, but if/when it happens, the only people who will be surprised are the ones who aren't paying attention.

Then there are the other cases where there is no injunction because the courts have ruled that only Congress has standing to sue (impoundment, emoluments, etc.), and the bootlicking GOP has declined. In those cases, the government can just violate the law with impunity until/unless Congress grows a spine.

Plus there are the cases where the government has committed outright crimes which only the DoJ is in a position to prosecute, and they're just declining. In the case of the Venezuelan boats the DoJ's inaction gives the International Criminal Court jurisdiction, and they could prosecute (including prosecuting Trump), but the Trump administration is already enacting sanctions against ICC judges and prosecutors and if push comes to shove there's the Hague Invasion Act which would authorize Trump to invade the Netherlands to retrieve US personnel held by the ICC. So, the ICC isn't going to do anything.

"Who's gonna stop 'em?" is a legitimate question.

Comment Re:A Real Emergency? Prove it. (Score 1) 126

Do you think when a Democrat President is elected again and declares a National Emergency immediately halting the import of critical grid infrastructure, it might actually be believable because of the 5th SCIF meeting of the day just ended debriefing POTUS on the most heinous actions of traitorous trade activity going on beneath a Top Secret cover letter presented to a President about every 97 minutes as they consume the Shit du jour..

If any president, regardless of party, declares a national emergency and that the only way to stop it is to block imports of something that we critically must have and cannot produce in adequate quantities for our country to not fall apart horribly, we will question that president's judgment, intellect, and/or character, because at least one of the three almost certainly must be compromised in some way to reach such a flawed decision.

Look, it's really simple. The word emergency means that something A. is sudden and unexpected, and B. must be dealt with right now, or else the consequences will be immediate and severe. This is not an emergency.

The U.S. power grid requires large quantities this hardware continually, both for expansion and repairs, on an ongoing basis. Not having adequate quantities is a national emergency with immediate implications for the country. Not having the manufacturing infrastructure to build critical power infrastructure hardware in this country could *eventually* be a national emergency if, for example, China decides to declare war on the U.S., but right now, it is just a long-term *risk* of *future* national emergency, not an actual emergency, because doing nothing will not necessarily cause immediate harm to the country.

You can't solve a long-term and likely mostly hypothetical risk to the country by creating an *immediate* national emergency. You can't put the entire country in *more* short-term, medium-term, and potentially long-term peril in the hopes that it somehow causes people to reduce some future risk that might never even materialize.

Basically, this policy is the import/export equivalent of saying, "My neighbor might steal my car someday, so I'm going to push my car off a cliff so he can't take it away from me in the future. Sure, I'll lose my job because I can't get to work, but having a car that he can steal is an emergency." See how stupid that is?

Worse, if this were an actual emergency (e.g. if China invaded Taiwan and the U.S. decided to shut down all imports from China in retaliation), there would still be a bigger problem, which is that it will take years to build the infrastructure to make the hardware needed in the United States.

What this means is that unless the emergency is so severe that every party agrees to maintain the ban, the minute the next president takes office, the policy will immediately be overturned in the name of national security, and it will no longer be financially viable to keep building those plants, and they won't ever get finished. Moreover, in the absence of such an exigent threat, the companies know that this is the case, and will drag their heels as much as possible before they even start building anything, so at best, all he will get in the next two years are a bunch of promises that will be soon broken.

So a policy like this cannot realistically have a positive impact on anything. If he had done it in the first year of his first term in office, it might have produced some success, but at this point, it's almost a decade too late.

That said, if he doesn't stop those imports, then companies might build wind turbines off the coast that he'll have to look at, so I can see why banning those imports could be an emergency for the president, and thus a "national emergency". [rolls eyes]

Comment Re: The long-term impact of this on the US (Score 2) 172

Scientists are fallible humans the way everyone else is. And my personal observation is that academic science is a magnet for several particular human failings.

It is also a sanctuary that supports many people with unique talents, and reduces distraction from profit-motives. Things get done at academic institutions that couldn't be done elsewhere. And they are much more cost-effective at research than most overhead-burdened companies.

At its best, the intentionally adversarial nature of the scientific process (in experiment, nature is your adversary; in publication your peers are your adversary) separates the wheat from the chaff.

Nature is not an adversary, it is the thing being studied by science. Nor are your peers adversaries. They're more like a "loyal opposition." The real adversary is ignorance.

At its worst (when money and personal reputation and prestige are on the line), it's far easier to go along to get along, get the grant, get the publication, get the recommendation letter. And bad ideas fester.

That's not academic science. That's politics. Which takes place in science, alas.

Comment Re:except we see who you cheer... (Score 1) 172

It's not the right cheering Lindsay Clancy for killing her 3 kids

It's not the left either. Those who support Lindsay Clancy are not doing so because they're cool with her allegedly killing her 3 kids. They're trying to draw attention to the fact that she did not receive help for her severe postpardum psychosis despite begging for it.

It wasn't the right coming out cheering in support for Karmelo Anthony killing that white guy.

Again, it's not the left either. Those who support Karmelo Anthony do so because they think he acted in self-defense, after being bullied and confonted physically.

Comment Re:Anti-capitalist shmucks (Score 1) 107

Private criticism is by definition ineffective. It is designed to inform without punish. It is in reality folding, letting Trump win.

Trump is doing a performance. He does everything as a performance without understanding the real life consequences of things.

He insults NATO publicly and wonders why they don't support his war. Why? Because he expects that only the MAGA idiots will observe the performance and is shocked that everyone else observes it and believes it.

The thing is, NATO spend decades learning that the performance IS reality. NATO saw Hitler, thought it was a performance, then paid the cost for thinking that. They saw Stalin and went on guard, finding him to be a real threat based on his words. Same with Khrushchev and Brezhnev.

Europe learned long ago NOT to trust the shmucks that claim they do not really mean their public words. Those words are believed by their own people so it does not matter if the leader was lying, the words they spoke become the truth, if they can push them hard enough.

The GOP used to not be pleased. They have driven out almost every trustworthy Republican, leaving a bunch of toadies in place. No one cares that the toadies secretly know Trump is a shmuck.

The toadies will be punished in November BECAUSE they did not fight back publicly. They could have impeached, they chose not to. Now they will be removed from office because they did not attack Trump.

Comment Re:As expected (Score 1) 11

Yeah but Federal regulations override state regulations. Supremacy clause which is what they're relying on. They have control of the supreme Court thanks to decades of bribes and so here we are..

Even if you're not stupid enough to gamble because you know you have to lose because of course you do you're going to be negatively affected by this because tens of millions of young men will gamble with money they don't have to lose and that will increase crime and cause a ton of other problems.

This is a classic chesterton's fence where you don't take the fence down without understanding why the fuck it was put up. Gambling is highly addictive so it needs to be carefully regulated. Criminalizing it isn't a good idea either keeping it locked away to one state and then heavily regulating it in that state more or less seem to be working. And we just pissed that all away.

Comment Supreme Court will overturn it (Score 1) 11

Six of nine judges are completely on the take. Google the phrase luxury motor Coach sometime.

It should be a bigger deal that the Chief Justice of the supreme Court is a corrupt sellout but well here we are. Half the country is quaking in their boots because 34 trans girls might play sports and one of the most powerful men on the planet is openly taking bribes and they shrug their shoulders.

I don't know how a species like that survives the next 50 years let alone the next millennia.

Comment Re: The long-term impact of this on the US (Score 2) 172

Sure scientists are fallible, but nonetheless it still grinds forwards to the truth about reality. And that is now the anathema to the right where ideology trumps reality. See, for example, the rights general opinion on binary "biological sex" which appears to miss out on all sorts of interesting bits of reality like XY-CAIS, XXXY mosaicism, Swyer syndrome and so many more.

You can kill Lysenko's opponents but you can't make Lysenkoism reality.

Comment Re:Dude is gonna induce a depression (Score 1) 126

Remind me how your whataboutism changes any damn thing ever?

${PAST_PERSON} did a thing in the past I don't like, so therefore ${PRESENT_PERSON} can do even worse shit, right?

This makes you unbelievably stupid. Stop making excuses for bad behavior, just because ${PRESENT_PERSON} is in your political tribe.

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