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Comment Re:This is insane (Score 1) 93

2. No, the US will not "win". Not being able to buy Chinese goods will alone already destroy the US economy. Nothing to "win" left after that.

The second the shelves at Walmart are empty, people will be pissed. Like vote out the current president pissed.

Never underestimate the ability of Republicans to propose something they know the Democrats are stupid enough to go along with, and the Democrats will be the ones taking the bulk of the blame. I'm fairly certain that was their plan with TikTok, too.

Comment Re:Less "Worked-Hard" (Score 3, Insightful) 164

Except as labor standards drop, your choice is another job that does the same thing. About 17% of American workers don't have fixed hours or guaranteed workdays, which makes planning for work/life balance a farce, and the old standby of getting a second job to make ends meet is impossible.

73% of young Americans live paycheck to paycheck, 20% of whom have no savings at all and many of them have to spend 50% of their income on housing. This means they don't really have the ability to quit their job and look for another job where working conditions exceed the minimum legally allowable standards. Which is why legally enforced minimum standards are important. We need those young people to step up and start making babies.

Fertility rates have dropped in the US from roughly replacement (2.1 children/woman) to a catstrophically low 1.6. The US population would already be contracting were it not for immigration. Now a lot of this is social changes -- women choosing to delay childbearing to start a career. But consider South Korea, which has the lowest fertility rate in the world at 0.8. They're a much more conservative society than we are so it's not changes in attitudes that's driving that. The reason their fertility rate is so low is that they take people in their prime childbearing years and work them like dogs, in return for little prospect of economic security.

Don't you think if those young Koreans would quit their job and choose a higher paying job that gives them more leisure time if they could?

When I started working in the 1980s, getting your first job was like stepping onto an escalator that would carry you up to higher economic status. It's not like that now for the youngest generation of workers; it's more like stepping onto a treadmill. When we start to look to that generation to replenish the US population, our fertility rate is going to sink like a rock. The only way to keep the country running will be to open the immigration floodgates.

Comment Re:This is insane (Score 1) 93

I can't help thinking about a hidden agenda.

The hidden agenda is that the government hates hobbyist photography drone pilots. Part of it is because a handful of morons do stupid things with them (disrupting flights and sportsball games, and crashing them in inaccessible places then leaving them as e-litter), and the other part is likely that commercial drone delivery companies want exclusive access to the airspace and have been lobbying to that effect.

DJI more-or-less has a monopoly over the consumer photography drone market, so a ban essentially ends most hobby flights.

Comment Re:This is insane (Score 2) 93

Apparently they're not THAT smart...to date, pretty much all they've done (with our blessing) is steal our US tech and use it against us....

Spoken like someone who has not flown a DJI drone. Their consumer products are way ahead of anything any US manufacturer is offering at the same price point.

Back in the day, the opening scene in The Birdcage required a helicopter and expensive camera equipment, and today that expensive rig is arguably inferior to what you'd get from a DJI Mini 3 Pro. Hell, trying to recreate the helicopter portion of that opening scene with my Mavic Air is still on my bucket list of things to do next time I make a trip to Miami. Even though it's older and less fancy than what that YouTuber has, it still holds its own quite well.

Comment Smarter (Score 2) 164

the word you were looking for is "smarter". They smell your bullshit and they're not buying it.

As a kid I could be tricked into working *really* fucking hard for *really* low pay. Took a long time to grow out of that. My kid fell into it too, really pissed me off.

As an American you're taught from day 1 that your life isn't valuable and the only thing that makes it valuable is hard work.

Comment We're just moving it to India (Score 0) 93

so that we can start a cold war. Russia has dropped off as a threat now that they can't take a nation the size of California and the GDP of Mississippi. EVs will gradually make the middle east irrelevant too.

Without a threat they'll be a winding down our military spending, so China's on tap. For their part I'm sure they could use a little of the old MIC to keep their economy going. Not the best way to do socialism but I guess it works after a fashion.

Comment Re: Multimillionaire complains ... (Score 1) 164

There needs to be a way for the average American to become a shareholder so they can benefit from the business too.

There is. It's called buying stock in a company. No one says you have to buy 100 shares of a company in one shot. You can buy 1 or 2 each month and make sure to reinvest any dividends.

Comment Re:Putting numbers into perspective (Score 1) 125

This is all to produce a peak of 240k EVs per year. Production "starts" in 2028. It takes years for a factory to hit full production. Let's be generous and say 2030.

Honda sold 1,3 million vehicles in the US alone last year - let alone all of North America, including both Canada and Mexico. If all those EVs were just for the US it'd be 18% of their sales, but for all of North America, significantly less.

In short, Honda thinks that in 2030 only maybe 1/7th to 1/8th of its North American sales will be EVs. This is a very pessimistic game plan.

Possibly. But I expect I suspect they can convert existing plants to EV or plug-in hybrids, so this could instead be an indication that they expect sales to grow by 240k vehicles, and all that growth is to be represented by EVs.

In the short term it seems like plug-in hybrids will win the day. For city driving with home charging they're almost as good as an EV (you just need to plug in a bit more). And for highway driving they're as good as an ICE. The full scale EV transition will probably only come when range + charging speed + infrastructure is sufficient so ICE's no longer have a big highway advantage.

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