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Halloween VII
Posted by
michael
on Wed Nov 06, 2002 12:32 PM
from the sequels-galore dept.
from the sequels-galore dept.
mjh writes "ESR has reviewed the latest Microsoft leaked Linux strategy document. A very interesting read. Summary: OSS is winning some battles, but Microsoft is poised to bring out bigger and nastier guns." To the extent that people read it and gain some insight into what Microsoft is actually thinking about Linux and Open Source Software, it's useful. To the extent that anyone draws a conclusion from this document like "we've got Microsoft on the run", that's just idiotic.
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I hope Judge Kollar-Kotelly reads it! (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:cost (Score:5, Insightful)
Try that with Micro$hit, where, after upgrading the OS, you have to shell out $$$$ for software upgrades 'cause your current apps break
Parent
Re:Unlikely! (Score:5, Insightful)
That's funny, I upgraded from Mandrake 8.2 to 9.0 (for free, I might add; I typically buy boxed sets at every other release, which is obviously not a legal option with Windows). I didn't loose (let go of, release) any configuration, nor did I lose (fail to keep possession of) any configuration.
Also I should point out that if you update every "four to six mouth", you might have problems keeping track of time. The rest of us count months, not mouths. Or is it just that your N key is umop apisdn?
Parent
Re:Unlikely! (Score:4, Informative)
> Since W3.1, you can upgrade to the next/ more
> recent version without a problem. (except of
> course the problem caused by the bsod) !
Obviously, you didn't try to upgrade to Windows 95 when it first came out. Took me eleven months of reformats and reinstalls, corrupted registry, and a near useless (and getting worse) computer before I gave up. I reformatted, reinstalled Windows 3.1, swore eternal hatred towards the Microsoft I once loved, and started looking for alternatives. Why did this take eleven months? Because I loved the concept and GUI of Windows 95 and really wanted it to work. I had been looking forward to it coming out, and had even preordered it.
In the late 90's, I experimented with various Linux distributions, built my own Linux server, etc. I eventually settled on Suse. Installation was fairly easy even then (a breeze compared to Windows 95), and I handled the lack of distribution "upgrades" by upgrading my hard drive at the same time. I'd install the new version on the new hard drive, then just copy my files and stuff over. Upgrades were fun, gave me more room, and I'd spend an hour or more carefully selecting what packages I wanted. I still have fond feelings for Linux, and I currently own the Linux based Zaurus PDA.
In the fall of 2000, thanks to the coming of OS X and some prodding by Godzilla (courtesy of the extremely pro-Apple movie "Godzilla 2000"), I took a look at Apple's Macs for the first time since a chance encounter in a college book store back in 1985. This time I appreciated what I saw, and fell in love. I bought an iMac, and when OS X first released, I installed it without any headaches.
Exactly seven years after my Windows 95 nightmare began, Apple released OS X Jaguar. Again I brought an OS of great promise home to install it. This time, though, the results were very different: everything I'd hoped for for the past seven years came true.
On December 14, 1996, Mothra resurrected a charred Apple sapling ("Mosura" 1996).
On December 14, 2001, Mothra returned to see its fruit ("Gojira, Mosura, Kingu Ghidora: Daikaiju Soukougeki").
OS X Jaguar: truly the Apple of Mothra's Aqua eye.
Parent
Re:Unlikely! (Score:4, Insightful)
And it also includes Office, right?
Parent
Looking for proof. (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Looking for proof. (Score:3, Insightful)
It's unlikely that we will ever see proof. The documents always come from 'a confidential source'.
If the confidential source is exposed, some poor MS employees will be fired, sued, and probably dumped into Puget Sound with a lead weight around their ankles.
Re:Looking for proof. (Score:5, Informative)
Here is a Web Archive link [archive.org] to the MS document that *somewhat* validates the first set of Halloween documents, obtained from the Haloween FAQ [opensource.org].
Parent
Uh, no. (Score:5, Informative)
They have since pulled the press release from their site but Microsoft did admit it was authentic document. I've read it myself from the horse's mouth on Microsoft's site.
Here is the Wayback Machine's archive:
http://web.archive.org/web/19990117031504/http:
Is this proof enough?
Parent
Re:Looking for proof. (Score:3, Interesting)
Would that be Michael Meyers? (Score:3, Funny)
Cheers
-b
Is this some sort of a MS tradition? (Score:5, Funny)
Has there really been 7 of these things already?
Re:Is this some sort of a MS tradition? (Score:5, Interesting)
Bruce
Parent
Re:Is this some sort of a MS tradition? (Score:4, Insightful)
except for the twisted logic, everything in the document appears true (what marketing tactics fail, etc).
winning the TCO argument is not just something mentioned in this document, it's what MS is really trying to do right now.
the TCO argument is a win/win for MS if they can pull it off.
Parent
Re:Is this some sort of a MS tradition? (Score:4, Interesting)
Today I offer a consulting service to companies that want to use or produce Free Software. In order to do this, I enter into non-disclosure agreements with the companies, so that they can discuss possibilities with me without them ending up on Slashdot. Often I ask for the right to talk about things after they are released, if they are released, and sometimes I get it. The companies simply will not talk to me otherwise. So, I had to balance the cost of having information that I could not divulge against the benefit of being able to get some additional companies to participate in Free Software. Guess which one won?
And yes, some stuff I do simply ask them not to show me, and there are some people in the world with whom I would not enter into an NDA.
They can't pay me to change my mind or to shut up. They can pay me to honor their secrets, and once I take that payment, I'm honor-bound much as it might irk me. The point is not to take it from someone who would be hostile to us.
Bruce
Parent
Yeah, MS is thinking about OS... (Score:5, Insightful)
Remember a lie repeated 1000 times can become truth
Reportedly (Score:5, Funny)
The executive summary (Score:4, Insightful)
The Germans, French and Japanese are tending towards Open Source Software.
We can share some of our source code and make inroads on Open Source software.
All in all, a rather vapid document, but at least ESR restrained himself on the asides. Funny how losing 99% of your paper wealth can make one more humble.
Anyone think this may not be a "Leak" (Score:5, Insightful)
Attention please! (Score:3, Funny)
Ah, gain value? They mean *head-shaking* or *laughing* geeks? Oh, well
On the Run (Score:3, Funny)
Why negative attacks don't work for MSoft (Score:5, Insightful)
Notice that, for the most part, the exact opposite strategy works for Linux advocates.
This is because Microsoft, as the dominant player, has to justify it's own existence again and again, whereas Linux as the (initial) underdg, had nothing to lose by tearing down its rival. After all, as a multi-billion $$$ company, everyone knows that Microsoft can financially dominate the PR world to badmouth its competitors.
Does this spell the end of "Linux is Bad/The GPL is unAmerican" propaganda from Microsoft? That coul dbe a disaster, because then we wouldn't have anything to flame about on slashdot anymore!
Re:Why negative attacks don't work for MSoft (Score:5, Insightful)
Parent
Are you kidding? (Score:5, Insightful)
The MS linux strategy document is probably 1000 pages and is divided into three huge camps:
1. enterprize server market (.net)
2. deparment server market (win2k server)
3. desktop OS
They are probably closlely looking into the latest desktop linux distros from red hat and ximian and shitting their pants.
They are still trying to figure out how to roll out
They are maintaining share in the department server market, but are aware that the eventual TOC issue is going to hand them their lunch soon.
A company with 40 billion in cash and a 20 billion/year business doesn't write 2 page strategy documents.
Re:Are you kidding? (Score:3, Insightful)
Do you want to bet? It wouldn't surprise me if they have a LOT of people working on knowing everything there is to know about Linux, it's only smart considering that it's the only real competition.
This document is nothing special, in fact it's so boring I'd be surprised if it was faked. Maybe it was leaked intentionaly, maybe not. I dunno. What I do know is that it's quite likely they do multi-national surveys on Linux awareness/favourability quite regularly. In fact, one thing that puzzles me is that the tone of the document is one of "we haven't done this before", and this line:
"The study fielded between late-July and September 2001"
makes me think huh?? Who the hell waits a year before presenting a 2 page document like this? It can't possibly have taken a year to analyse a survey like that.
Anyway, don't have any doubt that they know all about Linux. They have some people monitoring the wine-devel lists as it is, and apparently a large number of their senior tech guys are well briefed about it. I know one of the Passport heads is familiar with WineX :) I expect they have people who's job actually involves reading slashdot. Funny in a way, but why wouldn't they? Easiest place to get news on open source happenings.
Re:Are you kidding? (Score:3, Funny)
The second part explains the first part.
If you had been using linux for any length of time you would recognize Redhat 8 as the breakthrough distro that it is. Sure we've had distros like Corel who showed that you could make the linux desktop workable. But now with Redhat 8 you have the leading distro putting out a release that's usuable right NOW by any small business who just needs access to the basics like web, email, and an office suite. Its also their first real attempt at making a linux desktop.
So while its still not eveyones cup of tea, especially home users, you need some perspecive on why the rest of the IT commuity and well rounded linux users see what's right about it.
Re:Are you kidding? (Score:5, Interesting)
First of all, what is the total cost of the software you run?
If you built your own PC out of parts, you have to purchase your operating system, office, development tools, etc. Lets do a ballpark on just those 3 things (from Microsoft.com). Microsoft Windows 2000 Pro (319), Microsoft Office XP Pro (579), Microsoft
You could probably easily spend another 5 grand on other useful tools (depending on your trade) such as Oracle, ESRI, and much much more...
Do you steal software? That is illegal, and to some people that is unacceptable, so they use linux, rather than simply stealing what they want.
The interesting thing is that "Warez" is probably helping Microsoft by adding to network effect. If everyone had to purchase all the software they used their would be a much faster migration to linux (I believe).
Despite your personal beliefs, I think that linux is becoming a contender on the business desktop. For an array of reasons. The most important of these reasons is cost. Google(run on linux) for information about successful linux deployments, lots of big companies are starting todo it.
Parent
Making Linux A REAL Alternative (Score:3, Interesting)
While respondents cited OSS's 'low Total Cost of Ownership (TCO)' as one of the best reasons to support OSS, an 'alternative to Microsoft' did not lag far behind. A plurality (40%) of all respondents felt that a low TCO was the best reason to support OSS. One-third of all respondents cited 'an alternative to Microsoft' as one of the best reasons to support OSS.
I think that yearning among home and business users for, quite simply, "an alternative to Microsoft," is one of the strongest cards we have to play. Unfortunately, Linux is only really an alternative in the server markte at the moment. In the desktop market it's still not quite there. And that's where we need to put our efforts.
I can hear the preview now... (Score:5, Funny)
Deep voice: Just whn you thought it was safe to turn off your computer..
Someone in a Bill Gates mask jumps out from behind the desk and starts chasing the user while brandishing a giant paperclip.
Paperclip: You look like you're being hunted by a madman in a Bill Gates mask. Do you need any help?
Survey data is from 2001 (Score:3, Interesting)
Linux needs a more professional evangelist (Score:5, Insightful)
I'm sorry, but if I was an IT manager of a corporation and if I was reading this commentary I would assume no credibility to ESR after this comment. Grow Up.
Re:Linux needs a more professional evangelist (Score:4, Insightful)
Perhaps I've been lucky thus far, but most of the upper-management types I've known thus far either were once hackerly types themselves (particularly in the case of tech companies) or rely heavily on their (current or former) hackerly types to provide advice on related issues. Hence, I see this not as so serious an issue as you paint it to be.
Parent
FUD is bad for them, and bad for OSS too! (Score:5, Insightful)
Messages that criticize OSS, Linux, & the GPL are NOT effective. Messaging that discusses possible Linux patent violations, pings the OSS development process for lacking accountability, attempts to call out the 'viral' aspect of the GPL, and the like are only marginally effective in driving unfavorable opinions around OSS, Linux, and the GPL, and in some cases backfire. On the other hand 'positive' OSS, Linux, and GPL messages are very effective - both across geographies and audiences.
(reviewer's comment):
{I've suspected for a while that the anti-Linux, anti-GPL FUD campaign was actually rebounding on Microsoft. This seems to confirm it.}
I think this speaks also to the fact that WE should not be anti-Microsoft, but be pro-OSS. Being positive does a lot more than being negative. I find that this is a challenge for me personally, but I am working on it.
Top countries looking on Linux with favor: (Score:3, Funny)
What? No Finns? How terribly unpatriotic of them!
Not strategy, just an attitude survey (Score:3, Insightful)
The high rate of acceptance of Linux in Japan is significant. Be thinking about the implications of that.
What happens if you submit a good kernel patch in Japanese?
Re:Not strategy, just an attitude survey (Score:4, Funny)
I imagine it wouldn't work too well. The patches I've seen have mostly been in C.
Parent
Free software, like sex, is better without ESR (Score:3, Insightful)
64% say they like Linux because it's "Not Microsoft" -- some obvious discontent!
30% of French, 27% of German, and 23% of Brazilian respondents believe that a Linux solution offers a lower TCO than proprietary software -- obviously, they know about administration costs.
Linux favorability among the Linux familiar was 95% -- looks like it has some diehard fans
93% of Swedes, 84% of the French, and 75% of Germans and said that messages that rely on an abstract discussion of intellectual property rights are effective -- obviously the product of socialism, but it nevertheless shows that open source philosophy may have a chance.
We are emotional and not rational??!!! (Score:4, Insightful)
Closing, those who are familiar with OSS and Linux are favorably predisposed towards them. Linking this work with other on-point research, we can assume that in the majority of cases this reported 'favorability' is more emotional than it is rational. Given this context, we should not expect rational arguments focused on undermining support for OSS, Linux and the GPL to perform well. In the short term, then, Microsoft should avoid criticizing OSS and Linux directly, continue to develop and aim to eventually win the TCO argument, and focus on delivering positive Shared Source messages that contain transparent, audience specific proof points.
Excuse me? Because people in Microsoft's survey were supportive of OSS, that means that they were predisposed to like it, and therefore is based on emotion and not rationality?! This doesn't make any sense. What is this trying to say, that people who like OSS are simply using it to make a statement, and not becaue they legitimately prefer it? That is a pretty arrogant assessment of the FACTS if you ask me. I use OSS because I find it to be a better product, for several different practical reasons. And since when is it a rule that you can't be rational AND emotional about something?
Definition of Developer (Score:5, Insightful)
Developer: A non-manager. In this survey, a disjoint category from "IT Pro'. Therefore, it probably means anybody with a technical clue.
In fact by 'Developer' Microsoft means: 'person who writes software'. Its really interesting (in a good way) that ESR makes no mental distinction between a user and someone who can contribute, whereas for MS they are totally different categories.
Aren't APPS the real issue? (Score:5, Insightful)
Most people that buy a Windows computer with Windows preinstalled aren't going to switch, or at least most will be absolutely intimidated by the idea, so you have to get them when they purchase the computer. Get Linux boxes into stores and available through the channels people buy through online, if somebody is looking at two identical computers that have the same stats, can run the "same" programs, and one of them costs $300 less because it doesn't have to bother with MS, then you have a winner.
The real issue isn't what MS does to combat open source, the only people who understand the arguments about OSS are people already involved. The average computer user just wants something to run Office and get on the web...
Re:Aren't APPS the real issue? (Score:5, Insightful)
You know, I can't figure this out at all. Here we have the Linux community who, in large part, is not being compensated for their contributions. Therefore they are free to make whatever sort of contribution they want. And you know what sort of alternative to Microsoft platform they come up with? Something that attempts to look and feel identical to its Microsoft counterpart!
Why? Why, why, why? We have the freedom to explore completely different paradigms in computing and user-interaction, and we insist on just writing open-source applications that clone their MS-equivalents. So the best that anyone can do, on any platform of their choice, is the Microsoft vision.
"But we have to clone MS so that we can get Mom and Dad, and Pointy-Haired Boss, to switch to Linux!"
-- Why?
"Well, duh, so that we can kill Microsoft!"
-- Why?
"Because Microsoft is Evil, like the Nazis!"
-- You lose.
Why are we competing with MS on MS's own ground? When did Linux shift from being an alternative to being a clone? When did we stop being a bunch of people that wanted an OS that did what we wanted it to, and start being a bunch of people whose only driving goal is to kick MS off the desktop? What do we have to gain from that? I understand that RedHat has a financial interest in making software that looks and feels like Redmond's - they want enterprises to switch, so that they can sell systems, and enterprises will switch if it's not hard. Simple. But why does everyone else, that doesn't have a financial incentive, jump on that wagon? Why do people invest their limited time and energy, not to writing better software, but writing same software? Why do people in the Slashdot community constantly talk about how much better the world will be when there's no difference between Linux and Windows?
The best software on *nix does it differently. Look at Apache. Anyone who wants it can figure out how to edit an httpd.conf file. It's not terribly hard. Why would anyone want to give it an IIS-like interface?
I like linux because all the security tools are written for it, they're free, and I have the source to them. It's a hacker's playground. These tools don't have GUIs, let alone ones that look like they came from MS. Doesn't bother me. I'm going to use Linux so that I can use these tools, and when I write tools, I'm going to build them from the ones that are already successful at what they do.
As an aside, anyone notice how much better the command-line paradigm deals with chaining/piping programs together? When something terminates at the GUI, it's really hard to make use of it without rewriting it. Maybe if everyone on Windows started using COM and
Those are my questions. If you have answers, I'm all ears.
Parent
Wake-up Call for OSS (Score:4, Insightful)
This is wrong. The leaked document does show that OSS is winning. The same document also shows that Microsoft knows that OSS is winning, and now Microsoft will changes it's strategy, possibly to something far more effective than it has used before.
The author of the article, who I quoted above, is wrong. Now is not the time for OSS to rest on it's laurels. Now that MS has realized it's blunders, you can bet they will be doing something about it. MS ain't stoopid, and they've got lots of money to power any initive they can dream up.
OSS projects should redouble their efforts. The community needs stable, useful technology now more than ever to battle MS with.
Hmm.. (Score:3, Insightful)
Thanks for clearing that up for us. I suppose we can now just do away with the comments section of
(From m-w.com)
Editor: 1 : someone who edits especially as an occupation
Edit: 1 a : to prepare (as literary material) for publication or public presentation
I suppose it just bothers me when those we expect to be acting at least semi-impartially while in a professional capacity (an editor for instance) decide to arbitrarily prescribe what shall be orthodox in matters of opinion. Editors often add extra information or links (when publishing online) before publishing in addition to the usual typo/spelling-corrections and such, but I suppose I'm just not too thrilled seeing opinions cut down as "idiotic" within the posting of news. To the best of my knowledge, editors are allowed to post in the comments section, and I certainly wouldn't complain about seeing the above statement there, where I believe it belongs.
Just my opinion, I could be wrong.
After my last month with RH8 M$ has no worries (Score:3, Insightful)
So I downloaded the new redhat Iso's when they came out, burned them, and wiped my system for redhat. To summarize that last month, let me just say I think having my balls cinched in a vice may be more pleasurable than trying to be productive with linux as a desktop.
Now my system is not some weak POS. It's a p4 with ultra 160, so it's very nice. The first thing I had to do was install the drivers for my nvidia card, oops that don't work, docs don't say anything, read the nvnews forums, oh ok gotta
rpmbuild --rebuild NVIDIA*.src.rpm
Ok it works.
Then it was onto my CDBurner. Again, not crappy hardware, brand spankin new Plextor dvd/cdr. ide-scsi emulator? WTF is that? Ok, I read some more, I know what it is, ok great, it's working.
Repeat process for my bt878 card and firewire.
So at this point, I pretty much had my hardware working as best it could under linux. I started setting out to get some applications going under linux. I needed some audio editing, video editing I started poking around and found some stuff that looks sweet.
tar xfzv reallysweetproggy.tar.gz
**Exit error 2**
you need to install some library.so
So i'd dig around, find the library, then find out that library wanted this library and ect and so on. Some of the stuff i'd click on the page to download it and the page would be gone, making the software I wanted to try useless.
I thought it would be cool to burn some homemmade karaoke VCD's. Previously I had used a screencapture to avi program in windows coupled with powerpoint, or a karaoke plugin with winamp and AVS.
Well, open offices impress sucked dog balls compared to powerpoint, and when it came time to burn a VCD again, the howto was linked to dependancies that returned a 404 instead of what I needed.
So with the help of a friend I gave up on linux on the desktop. Yeah it runs nice, but not nowhere near as good as how windows runs. I can tell a big difference in how UT2003 runs under XP compared to linux, and sorry but the penguin is slow here too.
I hope linux gets over these problems on the desktop, it would be cool if it actually were an freely availiable OS for download, but linux just isn't that right now.
And if you don't believe I use linux, click the link on my sig. All PHP/postnuke/MySQL goodness runnin on linux, not my desktop. For now that's how it has to be.
I'm an idiot (Score:3, Insightful)
Why, exactly? If genuine (and I expect it probably is, since I can't see any benefit to Microsoft of leaking this), this document highlights what many of us already thought - Microsoft is having a tough time coming up with an effective response to Linux and OSS.
The strategies it suggests (making more noise about Shared Source, trying to win the TCO argument) aren't really hard hitting, but then, what else can MS do? People suggest that it will start using patents and IP law to get heavy with OSS projects, but I doubt it - it's too important for them to improve their image and stop being peceived as the bad guy, because that is why many people are considering OSS and Linux in the first place.
It suggests we're got Microsoft on the run to me, it basically says they recognise Linux/OSS as a strong competitor, and most of their weapons are blunt.
biz dev definition (Score:4, Informative)
Biz dev and sales are quite different. Think strategy (biz dev) vs tactics (sales). Business development, well, develops new business. New markets, possibly new products, new partnerships. Sales executes, possibly getting into new markets but not on the level of biz dev.
Re:biz dev definition (Score:5, Insightful)
Parent
Why so OS centric? (Score:5, Interesting)
Office account for 60%+ of MS' profit and they are so far up the diminishing return curve that this is where the attack should be. There is a Office 11 beta review [pcmag.com]today that pretty much says that the user benefits of upgrading is small and more geared at developers and requires total MS on the backend. This is excellent as they are playing right into Open Source's strength: The backend. Foil this and Office 11 will have little to offer over OpenOffice et al.
what are you doing? (Score:4, Interesting)
how do i do it?
i give every customer a free 1/2 hour of consulting to bring them up to speed on the state of the computer industry. all of my customers love getting the free 1/2 hour. after the talk they feel empowered to make informed decisions about the computing technology upon which they rely.
what do i tell them?
just the same stuff most folks on slashdot already know. some details about Microsoft's focus on customer lock-in. details about long-term computing reliability via the GPL (since most folks have experienced a forced Microsoft upgrade cycle, this is music to their ears). i note that large reputable corporations are switching to GNU/Linux (IBM's seal of approval carries a lot of weight). also, i use simple analogies like Microsoft products being automobiles with the hoods welded shut.
after that 1/2 hour talk my customers usually want to make the switch immediately.
Re:its bogus (Score:5, Informative)
Tom.
Parent