Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment Re:perceived (Score 1) 150

And yes, the tools are changing. Learn to use the new tools, alongside your old ones.

Make sure to stay good with the old tools. With the abysmally bad business numbers that the "new" tools have almost 4 years (!) in, they will not be around much longer. They would have to increase profits 10x (with constant cost) to even break even now and that is not going to happen.

We can expect to have small, specialist LLMs around in the future, but nowhere near with the power (and the problems, hopefully) of current mainstream LLMs. But that is is. Essentially better search, better autocomplete, but nothing that will write a whole real program for you. And efficiency gains? Expect less than 5% long-term.

Comment Re:Yes but they shouldn't (Score 1) 150

which can just be highly marketable bullshit

That describes LLM-type AI very nicely. To a lesser degree, it did also describes the 5GL project (which aimed to replace programmers some 40 years ago and which had just resoundingly failed when I studied CS) and most other AI hypes. This one will not be different. Yes, something useful always comes out, but maybe 5% of what gets promised and sold.

Comment Re:Welcome to the age of precarity (Score 1) 150

I think nothing like that will happen. More likely
1. General LLMs will go away because they never reached profitability.
2. Some big names in IT will vanish or become irrelevant because they fired to many people and lost too much institutional knowledge.
3. Those that made sure they have real skills will have no trouble finding good employment. But they will remember who sacked too many people before, see 2.
4. But something will need to be done about the mid and lower skilled. "Work" as wealth distributor will stop working.

Without a solution to (4), society will collapse.

Incidentally, people working 60 hours or more per week produce significantly less value overall than those working 40 hours. In fact, for mental workers peak absolute (not per hour) performance is known to be at around 32h/week or work. These are very old and very reliable numbers. Too many "managers" just do not even know the very basics of their jobs though.

Slashdot Top Deals

You know you've landed gear-up when it takes full power to taxi.

Working...