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Comment I think they can easily do it (Score 0) 44

The splicing isn't the problem rather companies are letting people block ads if they put the work in.

Google could definitely win that arms race if they wanted to. They have vastly more resources after all. But at the same time I don't think they want to risk losing the users. Or worse have them go to a competitor.

That's probably the real issue. There is still the possibility of competition however remote.

Comment Re:Solar fricken roadways all over again (Score 2) 61

It's because they think they can launch capacity faster than they can built it on Earth. Instead of dealing with local government, grid energy supply availability, water and so on, they can just launch it into orbit. It's all about being the first to deploy the compute capacity and cornering the market.

Of course it also creates lots of business for SpaceX, so a lot of it could be a Hyperloop-style scam.

Thing is they need to deal with the pollution it will create (stuff burning up on re-entry doesn't just vanish), frequency allocations for the comms, and the fact that now everyone wants their own 50,000 satellite constellation in those prime orbits.

The technical hurdles are relatively trivial in comparison.

Comment Re:Sunlight on the dark side (Score 1) 65

Closest I could find to the nub of the problem. Whether this is going to work would depend on very accurate weather AND climate modeling and I don't think we are anywhere close at this time. Due to butterfly effects, the prediction problem is probably unsolvable, so I think that means we would need a control system with extra capability that is constantly compensating for prior interventions. It reminds me of the fly-by-wire problem for aircraft with negative dynamic stability. Not even theoretically possible for a human to fly the thing if the computer burps.

Comment Big donor charity model fails again (Score 1) 17

I still don't know what AC was mumbling about, but the few posts on this story say all that needs to be said about the relevance of the EFF now.

Not worth much, but I do have a couple of takes on the topic. Main one in my Subject, but that's part of a general problem of broken economic models. The big donor may mean well, but the model only works until the donor starts calling bad shots, which is what always happens. But now I think even the "aligned business model" solution angle fails on the dimensional collapse problem, and we humans are NOT going to stop collapsing the dimensions. We're intrinsically simpleminded and will insist on more simplicity than reality involves.

Time for a "discussion" on building "trust" with Claude?

Comment Re:phrasing, subby. (Score 1) 32

Sure, but thinking further ahead, e.g. the plan for Starship is to land vertically on the moon and then lift off again. The renders they have produced show landing struts, presumably derived from the booster ones.

The Chinese lander shown off a few years ago looks to be more like the Apollo LM and planned Soviet LK, so they don't need that capability to hit their "before 2030" goal.

Comment Re:Monopoly is inevitable (Score 3, Insightful) 41

Do they retain all their training data? can they store all that? - i thought they were using all the internet and massive piracy?

The web is being polluted with slop so.... I would think China could get around all copy-protection and have an advantage in data collection outside of the slop invested parts of the web. If the USA AI corps were not violating the law, they'd be trying to scrape from China's bots who don't have their legal limitations... Is the old web even that valuable to mine in the 1st place? From what I've read these AI are pretty amazing when reduced to a relatively small domain data set; like all journals and books on 1 topic. Have you not tried to research something in depth on the web and found it to be severely lacking compared to books and journals?? Even online lectures are just highlights from textbooks... Well, when you look to the book... I've spent years reading on the web on a topic for entertainment then tried a book only to find it had everything I learned all in 1 concise place that would have taken a fraction of the time and effort... and without all the filtering and correcting of know-it-all blowhard slop and that was before we automated windbags with AI.

Tech makes things worse. It's like a drug. Opioid... It has targeted controlled good use cases but outside of that it's bad stuff. Everybody's answer to the problems it creates is to get more tech...at at least suffer until the next update/version... People were already getting more stupid, especially in the USA now we have AI and already we have studies showing it does just that... If you think things are stupid now...

With a 15% drop in PhDs ,science going down hill , and CS people leaving or souring on the evil of the corps here... I think these tech bros are quite self inflated as to their importance and how close they are to the end game. They are not going to get their huge break-thru monopoly they are racing towards like mad which looks more like a cover for a Ponzi scheme hoping to become a real business before it collapses. 80% of the effort is for the last 20%. They are probably not even at the last 20% and even then, their "AGI" could take centuries to get the last 5% of it (if you can even measure it well enough know when you are at 95%... or even at 80% progress. Assuming, you know what 100% even is!)

Comment Yes but actually, no. (Score 3, Insightful) 32

A reusable rocket without an asshole.

It's a state-owned company. Have you forgotten what's still going on in China? In the Xinjiang region, over a million Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities have been in "vocational education and training centers" since 2017. If you think that carrying out a genocide doesn't make you an asshole then you are an asshole.

Comment Monopoly is inevitable (Score 1, Insightful) 41

The Bonanza of free training data is over and done with. Sites are locking down and blocking scraping bots. They have to or they get overwhelmed by the cost of the traffic.

That means only the big platform holders are going to be able to keep their models fed and current.

So facebook, microsoft, maybe Apple and that's about it. In the past I would include Twitter but I think it's mostly politics bots and pussy pics in bio posts.

AI is a technology that by its very nature becomes a monopoly.

Comment I don't care where things are made anymore (Score 2, Insightful) 41

Everything is automated so we don't get any job creation and all the money just goes up to the top anyway. What the fuck do I care if it's a Chinese billionaire getting all the money or an American billionaire and getting all the money?

It's 2026 is there anyone naive enough to believe that there's some magical world where jobs come back? Half of people under 30 are living with their parents and no it's not because of cell phones and avocado toast...

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