Gemini's new discounted Flash pricing is still ~3x the price of GPT Luna, and that was released a week or two ago.

Everyone's hemorrhaging money here, but Google feeling they can't match or undercut isn't a great sign for them. And Gemini is flagging in intelligence too, which would be a strong reason to underprice if they could. Gemini Flash used to be your cheapest option. I'd say structural advantage still puts the odds in Google's favor in the long run, but has to be a worse situation than they ever expected to be in.

Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.

Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.

If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.

Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."

I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.

The entire concept of national borders is stupid. It plays the human race against each other as a lottery of where you born, as if there isn't enough inequality in the world.
Oh you're one of those "magic soil" retards. If you don't believe in national borders, then you don't believe in Nations, which raises several questions including how do you feel large groups of people should govern themselves, and how does one interact with said government?
Sincerely: "an immigrant" (just one of those lucky enough to have a shade of skin colour to be welcomed in western countries).
Again why do you think those Western Countries are desirable? It's b/c of a history that includes the formation of nation-states with, wait for it ... borders!

You Right Wing Liar #1 in poverty is Louisiana - followed by Mississippi - BOTH RED STATES https://worldpopulationreview.... #1 in taxes is Hawaii - a RED STATE https://wallethub.com/edu/stat... #1 in illiteracy is New Mexico - followed by Louisiana & Mississippi. Again, RED STATES. https://usafacts.org/articles/... This is tied to poverty - see 1st point Get your head off Phaux Noise and look at facts.. oh, i guess your "dear leader" doesn't look a facts so your ignorance is par.
ooooh, so close, but after your self righteous chest beating about facts and all that, you then said Hawaii, a state that hasn't voted Republican since 1984! Was a red state. Yikes! Hell it's been ~55% for Democrats since 1988(with giant margins for home town candidate Obama), That's not just a slight mistake, that's in the not even wrong territory. So maybe chill and do some research first.

Maybe this info needs to be stored in some kind of encrypted escrow format. The database, instead of having an address, would have a blob that decrypts to the address in the shipper's system. And maybe not the full address, but only just enough information for routing - when the shipper picks it up, if its local they get the full address, if its across the country they just get enough to get the nearest distribution center, which has a key to decrypt the recipient's distribution center, and so on. at each stage only enough information so that it doesn't prevent routing optimization.

but in places like New Mexico and Texas, they're building these data centers in deserts. If you evaporate a gigaliter of water in these areas, it's not staying in your watershed. It's going to move at least 300~500 miles, in regions where cattle ranchers and farmers have been struggling with water already for decades.
Counter point, maybe don't farm in a desert or grow almonds there.
You can eat what comes out of a farm. You can't eat what comes out of a data center.I can live without almonds, thanks.

Why did you bring this into the conversation? Did someone say it was bad everywhere but it was ok on Jan 6th?
Probably b/c Jan 6th, and a persons reaction to it is highly indicative of one's political bias. All those people screaming ACAB, were eerily silent about Ashley Babbitt. Heck, there's still normies convinced a dozen Capital police were beaten to death by angry mobs on that day. So when the people screech about the "carceral state", yet say nothing about Jan 6er's sitting in jail awaiting trial/charging, a person's reaction to Jan 6 proves as a barometer of their particular level of political hypocrisy.

Now complete with garbage misogyny, antisemitic genocidal nutbaggery, and the rest of the horrible baggage of the Saudi Terrorist Crime Family.

Precisely. Fuckerberg is a nazi who bans people for posting links to the British Holocaust Memorial Day Fund, he's a Nazi and his whole fakeass trash site needs to die. I'm 100% sure that they're actually going to USE these videos to train their shitty AI products.

Just delete yourself, PDFile Trash Fred.

The reason Anthropic settled is to avoid setting a court precedent. That's the answer. "Pay some money, cost of doing business" while everyone's rights die.

Wow, I did not think blue no matter who individuals still existed. It will be interesting to peer into the mind of one such as yourself.
The Republicans absolutely need to be sat in the naughty-boy corner for a bunch of election cycles till they flush the whackos that have commandeered the party. But its not enough Part of the problem is that the Democrats also need to think long and hard about who they serve. Trump should have been *impossible*. In a healthy country nobody would have voted for a raging whackadoodle like him.
Oh we're getting close to taking some accountability for creating an environment where Trump could win. Shows promise.
Then you throw in a pandemic that utterly upended everyones lives and left the economy a lot more precarious,
Now you've missed the plot. The lack of trust in govt. and institutions? That was fueled by the constant streams of lies, "2 weeks to flatten the curve, 2 months and then everything will return to normal. Lock downs have 0 negative effects. Falling off a roof while testing positive for COVID equals another COVID death, etc."
Then get some constitutional ammendments to ensure that the executive will never ever ever be capable of corrupting democracy, justice, the public service, and the rule of law ever again.
Don't worry your DSA brethren will get rid of all of that and create a unicameral legislative committee.
It NEEDS to be a party OF the people FOR the people and BY the people
Don't worry Tovarish, we will root out the kulaks!

Like a broken clock, you are partially correct. The people should be afraid of anyone trying to dismiss political thought they don't like as mental illness. That is a cheap and easy way to stifle debate. Unfortunately, your assertion that social justice is an automatic good, has not been proven. As C.S. Lewis once wrote. "Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience."

Free speech includes lying.

The difference was almost entirely to FORCIBLY OBSOLETE a ton of perfectly serviceable machines merely because they came with TPM 1.2 or less from the manufacturer, or they had a CPU "not quite new enough," because OEMs were screaming "we need to force people to trash computers and spend money buying new hardware from us."

OEMs started salivating at Apple's "3 year old hardware? Fuck you, throw it in the trash and buy something new" sales model and demanded MS start doing the same thing.