Comment Re:Let's think about this for a moment... (Score 3, Interesting) 31
To borrow a quote from the post below, "as the pace of change keeps accelerating, peoples' ability to predict the future gets compressed into a shorter and shorter time-window,"
Building a new plant to produce polysilicon for solar panels took three years after two years of planning and design. The current RAM shortage is from a sudden change in demand. Assume it takes three years to build another one of them. Do you build it? Will the demand last or will the bubble burst and leave your investment stranded?
There is the uncertainty. Business hates uncertainty. Even the Chinese messed up their housing plans and created a giant boom and bust they are still trying to recover from.
The AI software could become an exponential growth situation leading to nirvana, or it could implode tomorrow when an AI gets control of something, screws it up and kills a bunch of people and the Butlerian Jihad comes early. Which way do you bet? The physical world has a lot longer time constants than the digital world which is a continuing problem with process control, That problem is generalizing to society in general.