The rapid expansion of the population seems to have been largely due to economic factors specifically the need to have a lot of kids on a farm for labor combined with the requirement for a lot of kids to take care of the parents in their old age.

Also the lack of birth control but that's believe it or not a lesser effect. Japan's birth rate dropped below sustainability even before they had the birth control pill available. Also Japan didn't legalize birth control until 1995 go figure...

Basically polls show women want 2.6 kids however it looks like maintaining the population requires 2.7 kids. So without economic and social pressure to force women into having more kids than they want the human population actually starts to decline.

Now there are a bunch of religious wackadoodles and psychopaths that want to turn women back into property and bring back stuff like marital rape in order to boost birth rates. Not sure that'll work though without the need for a shitload of farm workers and we just don't need that many Farm workers.

It is possible that the billionaire class will dismantle capitalism and our modern technological society bringing back a twisted form of feudalism but if they do that the lower cast will almost certainly lose access to reliable food and medicine that allowed the population explosion in the last hundred years or so. And that's without talking about things like world wars brought on by mass unemployment and stuff like that...

Assuming our species doesn't wipe itself out we are probably going to plateau and start to decline in population.

On the other hand ask any expert in foreign policy and they will tell you that at any given time the world is a couple of mistakes away from a large war and this time we have nuclear weapons. I could very easily see us putting crazies in charge of the arsenal too

Which is not the worst thing. Als much more in line to where the US is heading economically.

Exactly. The US has stopped being reliable and if there is a "bully" these days in international trade, it is the US. An irrational, unsophisticated bully at that, neither suitable as a market nor as a supplier.

But always fascinating seeing that the MAGAs do not even understand the most simple things.

I see some stupid people got mod-points. Here is why it is impossible. Pay attention, you may lern something: Rebuilding a supply chain like that is a 20-30 year endeavor. So unless you think Trump will be in charge for that long ...

Modern models will take into account statistical biases in lotteries. For example, here's ChatGPT:

Pick good lottery numbers for the Virginia powerball lottery

Good question. First, a reality check: Powerball is pure chance — there’s no “good” numbers that are more likely to win. Every set of 5 white balls (1–69) + 1 Powerball (1–26) has exactly the same probability.
wwwuat.valottery.com
+1

That said, I can give you a few tips + a sample “random but balanced” pick, if you’d like to pick your own numbers rather than use Quick Pick.

Some tips when choosing your Powerball numbers

Spread your numbers
Try to pick a mix across the range (low, mid, high). According to lottery-strategy advice, not clustering all your numbers in one group is better.
samlotto.com

Avoid patterns
Many people pick birthdays, anniversaries, or sequential numbers. That’s fine—but if you win, you might have to share with more people because these are popular picks.
lotteryvalley.com

Use “due” or “hot” numbers carefully
Some sites (like lottery-analysis tools) track which numbers are “hot” (drawn recently) or “overdue” (haven’t appeared in a while). But remember: past draws don’t change future odds.
m.lottostrategies.com

Mix even and odd
According to some statistical analyses, it’s less likely to draw all odd or all even numbers.
samlotto.com

Play responsibly
Odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are extremely long: 1 in ~292 million.
lotterycritic.com

Sample “balanced” Powerball pick

Here’s a random-but-balanced combination you could use just for fun (or as a basis to tweak):

White balls: 8, 23, 41, 57, 65

Powerball: 12

If you like, I can generate 5 different “smart random” picks for the next Virginia Powerball draw (balanced by probability and number distribution). Do you want me to do that?

It's a damned shame '99942 Apothis' will miss us in a few years

It's not too late to fix that.

The thing is, it very much *won't* be random numbers. It's about as far from a random number generator as you can get.

In a really bad model, one would expect it to likely be "numbers it's seen the most in the context of a lottery". But in a good model, esp. a thinking model, one would expect it to think over which sorts of numbers are statistically over-chosen (birthdates, etc) and avoid them in giving its answers.

The funny thing is, think of how this woman will interact with ChatGPT from now on. ChatGPT could say "Abraham Lincoln was married to John Wilkes Booth", and she'd be thinking, "Okay, that sounds really, really wrong, but on the other hand, it picked the right lottery numbers, so..."

In either a great way or a horrifying dystopian way.

Either we get rid of billionaires and ruling classes and we rule together without demanding leaders control us or we let the billionaires take over and become trillionaires and then completely dismantle capitalism. Once that happens the economy collapses, all of us basically regress into feudal poverty and about 1% of the population will still have modern technological civilization and the other 99% will have basically nothing.

That's the plan anyway. People keep asking if none of us have any money who's going to buy the billionaires' products?

You think they haven't asked that same thing? You don't think Elon Musk and Bill Gates have noticed that they are completely dependent on you and your filthy little consumers and worker bees in order to have their wealth and prestige and power?

Of course they've noticed it and of course they don't like it. They are taking steps to eliminate the dependency.

That said I don't think they're clever enough to pull it off completely and I think eventually they will start world wars and go nuclear but time will tell.

Maybe when the raccoons take over as the next dominant species they'll be better off than we were. Or it could be beavers. They're pretty close to having opposable thumbs with a few mutations.

Ford made the news because they were complaining about not being able to find 5,000 Machinists but it turns out the reason they can't get those workers is they built the factory in the middle of nowhere and nobody wants to live out in the middle of nowhere for a job where they can be laid off at any time without any other jobs around. It's basically a company town at that point and you're fucked if you live there because it's only a matter of time.

Meanwhile even if the factories come back the jobs don't because the vast majority of the other work is automated. 5,000 machinists sounds great but that's for auto work. Most of the stuff we make these days as a species can be made by robots and machines. So you can do all the tariffs you want and you might get the factories back here but you aren't getting the jobs.

The only reason you see so many people in factories overseas is there paid slave labor wages and if they try to unionize their fascist government just kills them and harvests their organs.

They're all good reasons to use tariffs to force industries to come back even if we don't get the jobs. Not having semiconductors built here as a national security concern.

But we need to stop talking about bringing back jobs with tariffs because that's just not going to happen.

So the trouble is that they aren't really quite becoming Banks. Like the article says they aren't becoming consumer Banks like we are used to seeing they're becoming trust Banks which aren't regulated like you would expect.

However you can bet your ass that they are going to advertise that they are banks and heavily imply that your deposits are FDIC insured.

If a Democrat is in the White House at the time they implode some of them might go to jail but you're still not going to get your money back.

And eventually a republican will get control of the White House and pardon them so they'll do a few years in jail and walk away with hundreds of millions of dollars.

Since it is also an impossible outcome, there is not even a need to discuss it.

These days, getting along with China is much easier than getting along with the US.

But I guess the average US household is really rich and can easily afford much more expensive cars.

But everything I said was a fact. If that makes you uncomfortable what the hell does that say about you?

Because at this time nobody knows how far off this is or whether it is even possible. LLMs are certainly not the way there.