Comment Re:I wouldn't be so sure they go rogue (Score 1) 19
Lazy, ignoring explicit instructions and hiding it, possibly blackmailers and unionizers... sounds like they're already direct replacements for people.
Lazy, ignoring explicit instructions and hiding it, possibly blackmailers and unionizers... sounds like they're already direct replacements for people.
If I find out somebody is using wearables to archive anything that includes me without my direct permission at a dinner party I attend - video, audio, or stills - it'll be the last time I ever speak to them.
Almost precisely nothing that happens at these sorts of things needs to be preserved - in fact, it should specifically be fleeting. Experienced, then gone. This desire to preserve everything is a sickness.
That's not how tariffs work. He'd have to collect from crewmen at the bases that got bombed. You know, the importers.
A 100% tariff does nothing related to national security.
But at this point I don't understand why any explanation needs to be offered for any tariff. They do what they want and the Supreme Court has been revealed as a toothless, sycophantic shell company owned outright by the republicans. Whatever losses they hand the right are performative.
Just don't say why. Follow any objections up with, "See you in court... eventually..."
I suppose when the automatic urge is dishonesty it's hard to override it and say nothing.
Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.
Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.
If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.
Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."
I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.
That "reality" bubble. You should check it out sometime.
Source: Guy who lives in and around immigrants and actually knows what he's talking about in real life.
This may be okay, depending on the subject. Soft fields like arts and humanities? Okay. Engineering? Not so much.
This bullshit is a modern problem though. The comparatively ruthless past didn't seem to struggle in producing relatively competent graduates in sufficient numbers. Now you can layer many things on why that may be changing. The unbelievable increase in the cost of education is an excellent starting point. That in itself is massively stressful.
But lowering the bar in the name of coping with fragility is bonkers to me. Save it for fields of low consequence. I want the guy designing bridges to have been graded thoroughly.
Have you checked the iPhone prices recently?
Have you seen who owns Apple?
Still doesn't invalidate his point.
Pixels are google's flagship devices, so naturally they'll have flagship prices. Fortunately, unlike the Apple cago-o-system you've a choice. If you just want a cheap, quality phone I'd suggest a Motorola as they seem to have the best cheap hardware at the moment. Other brands are available.
Wait... after reading the article, replace India with Morocco.
Replace former English colonies with former French colonies. Much of West Africa is French speaking.
...still get serveral unsolicited phone calls every day. This will only get worse as AI drives the cost of phone harrassment to zero. Tell me again how passing laws is gonna stop them... it gets funnier every time! How does France plan on enforcing those laws against bots calling from another country over the internet?
I get almost no spam calls... Last one I got was to a number I use exclusively for data on overseas travel (free data roaming in 72 countries for just £10 PAYG/Prepaid so I only put money on there when I'm travelling). My main UK number gets nothing any more, it's been years since I even got a "so we's heard you was in an accident" call. So you can do something about it.
That something is punishing telcos that allow spammers/scammers to operate. It's relatively cheap to set up a VOIP/PABX setup however if you want to phone people on a phone number you still need to link to a network which means the telco's can be gate keepers and should be. They can easily spot someone making a dozen phone calls a minute and just as easily cross reference that with a legitimate business like a well known insurance company. Totally Legit Call Company PLC with one director listed in Companies House should set off a huge red alarm bell.
I'm guessing you're American... the problem you've got is that the telcos are making money off that and none of your spineless leaders have the stones to tell them to stop. It's not that they cant, it's not impossible to action against, it's just that they wont.
no they are calling with personal looking numbers so it increase chances people pick up phone. it is such a pain, almost nobody answer a normal phone call if they dont know your number
Which means the calls are originating inside the country. This means someone is paying for a connection even if it's a VOIP/PABX that connects to a foreign site... this means the Telcos can be held responsible for activities that are now illegal.
You might not be able to fine or imprison people in another country but you can do that to telcos operating in your country and you can bet your arse that the telcos can tell who is making dozens of calls per minute on their networks (clue... they'll be taking money from them).
I cant imagine it would be cheap to dial in internationally and caller ID would put the country code in front of it. Definitely not profitable on the return you get from spam/scam calls.
Let's see if other countries can push these problems down faster than the US can bring old ones out of retirement. I'm betting American ingenuity prevails.
Don't steal; thou'lt never thus compete successfully in business. Cheat. -- Ambrose Bierce