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Comment Re:Open Source Wins Again (Score 4, Insightful) 35

To be fair, you need at least 256GB of RAM just to run the 2-bit version of this model. Most people aren't going to be able to do that at home.

But yeah, the Chinese government is willing to throw lots of money at building AI models and giving them away, so Western companies are screwed.

Another way of looking at this if western companies are screwed.. hardware prices return to planet earth where more people are able to run this stuff at home. Three years ago the cost of 512GB DDR5 was less than the cost of a single 4090 GPU today.

Comment Re:It doesn't (Score 2) 35

I like free and local LLM, but they do not match the Frontier models of Antropic, OpenAI or Google yet.
The take here is either uninformed, sensationalist or fear mongering (possibly to ban Chinese LLM). GLM is good, but nowhere near Mythos/Fable or even latest Opus.

What is the objective basis of your statement? Do you reject benchmark results? If so what have you used in their place to make such a determination?

Comment Re:Next bubble (Score 1) 63

You cannot pick a handful of data points and then choose the type of curve to fit them, and that's especially a problem when you have only a few data points. You are using literally three data point. For any tech thing, if you ended up with a curve that shows negative progress, that should be a problem with your model. This is essentially the same thing the Trump people tried to do when they tried to do a cubic fit for covid deaths to argue that deaths would soon drop to zero https://www.vox.com/2020/5/8/2.... But since you don't see where the exponential estimate is coming from, you could take the step of clicking through the link I gave which discussed it. But if you want here are other sources. For example, https://physics.aps.org/articl... discusses how decoherence times have gone up at an exponential rate, increasing by roughly a factor of 10 every 3 years. You are correct that successful use of Shor's algorithm has not gone up but that also shouldn't be surprising. Shor's algorithm has a pretty big jump in the number of logical qubits needed when you increase from very small n to medium sized n. Using those two data points to conclude anything about what is going on right now isn't useful. Once it does hit even n around 105 or so, we should expect then quick improvement from there.

What data points do you have to support exponential growth of logical qubit count with time?

Comment Re:China massively increasing coal usage (Score 1) 50

Did you know that critical awareness is a sign of intelligence?

As in being aware that the GP's link was to a subpage of a larger article, a subpage with just an out of context graph. And if one reads the full article with the actual information and data one finds out the GP was misrepresenting things.

Comment China uses 11 times the coal the USA uses (Score 2) 50

Nope. You misrepresent your own link. It's a subpage of a larger article. If you look at the larger article you will find it discussing coal used in power generation, which is only one of many industries using coal.

In 2025 China used 5 billion tons of coal, the USA 0.44. China is burning 11 times the amount of coal the USA does. Hence the long term trend of increasing CO2 emissions by 38% in the same time period the USA reduced emissions by 13%.

Comment Re:Really? (Score -1, Offtopic) 99

The US - within living memory - used to be a high trust society.

Of course, no, it wasn't perfect but I grew up in MN. You could leave your car running outside a Target on a bitterly cold January day and it wouldn't get stolen. In the small town I grew up in, it was pretty common to 'run a tab' at the local grocery so if you needed to stop and get stuff but turned out you forgot your wallet, etc they'd just note your name and the amount and you'd come back in (usually as soon as you could, as it was embarrassing) and pay off your tab.

Comment Re: "Powerful" quantum computer (Score 1) 63

No need to feel ashamed. If you want, I can teach you the difference between the two. I can also provide English language services to assist you as well.

Please yes, I would love an explanation how your reference is responsive to "Wake me up when they create one with even 100 reliable logical qubits." given the experimental device you referenced did no such thing.

Comment Re:Flock Cameras? (Score 2) 14

Can be banned from use as evidence at the state and local level if it's acquired without a warrant. At the federal level, not so much.

The big stink over Flock cameras has been local police department contracts where the local police have partnered with federal agencies to share data.

Two problems with federal use: First, they might not be using it in a court case, but for intelligence purposes. Second, they can install their own cameras. No local permission needed.

Comment Re:Let me guess (Score 1) 105

another DEI/SJW film, and the people involved are baffled about why it failed?

My initial knee-jerk reaction is that it isn't woke enough which is why woke outfits like the bulwark are calling it boring. These are the same people who called the everything everywhere random AI slop movie "profoundly moving" and "great".

Keep in mind I have zero clue what is actually in this movie and most probably will never see it.

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