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Comment Kewl insults, but you fail to make your case (Score 1) 46

You can google that.

Seriously?

Why ask me who "inserted" AI into dating for example? There are "new" dating platforms that support AI matching. Funny, that you are smart enough to come to the idea, but to stupid to google it.

Who is a household name leveraging AI to upend an established market Every company. Are you stupid or what? They are automating their processes with AI.

No idea what you mean with "household", kitchenware? How the funk should I know anything about kitchenware/households?

Do you know Zeiss? The secret company behind ASLM? They subscribed 35k Gemini accounts.

And: that company is basically the sole single one company that produces the products they sell to ASLM.

In other words: they do not even have a competitor.

Nice insults, bud. So your point is people are using AI, but you can't name a famous example of a household name company that is upending established non-tech markets through AI? "Household name" means it's known by ordinary people. Tinder is a household name. Cloudflare isn't, despite having a 10x valuation. However, it's safe to say few outside of IT or investors who target technology could explain what CloudFlare does. And you name Zeiss...an optics manufacturer who is arugably a household name for expensive lenses...although they largely failed in their original market and pivoted towards industrial products....Also ASLM???...who the fuck is that?...you mean ASML? Did you bother Googling?...

However, Zeiss and ASML are pick and shovel manufacturers. They're selling products to chip makers to pump into this circular economy.....no....ASML doesn't count (assuming that's who you meant), nor does nVidia. They're not disrupting markets, just selling chips and chip making equipment to support this bubble.

Every technology revolution we've had has been used to disrupt existing markets...not create them or just support people who enjoy playing with technology. The internet, after it's initial research days, was a place for nerds to have fun...it was a revolutionary technology once you could order books and games and pizzas off it. It killed Blockbuster. It killed Sam Goody and every major music chain. The majority of customers prefer to order online today, even for basics like toothpaste or fruit. However, the internet didn't just sell goods and services to internet fans...it disrupted real, established markets.

AI will be a serious technology revolution once it actually SUCCESSFULLY disrupts and existing market to become a household name. No, not some company we've never heard of that I have to google who "promises" they're using AI. Netflix didn't have to "promise" they were using the internet...Grindr/Tinder didn't have to "promise" they were leveraging mobile app technology...the results spoke for themselves. People saw it with their own eyes. All we have today is companies promising to investors that AI is making them more efficient...with no evidence...no reduction in cost...no tangible boost in service...nothing other than promises.

I use Claude daily...it's nice. Sometimes it's even helpful. I am glad I have it available, but my tickets don't get closed much faster...it's no revolution. At best, it's current impact is similar to the Spring Framework 20 years ago....helpful...but not enough that outsiders could notice.

It's foolish to think that AI won't someday bring about a revolution. I do believe I'll see it in my lifetime, but no...it hasn't happened yet and there's no sign it'll happen within a year. The shit has been out for 4 years now...If it was going to set the world on fire, we'd be smelling the smoke already...not just hearing promises from tech vendors that someday this will pay off!

Like the article said...most of us who actually professionally use these AI tools are unsure if there's really a tangible benefit. I think there's some...but not enough you'd know from actual output...other than it gets shittier the more you vibe-code.

Comment Name a household name!!!! (Score 1) 46

smaller companies would come out of nowhere and eat the lunch of more established players by out-innovating them. That is actually what is happening right now. You are just to blind to see it.

Citation? Who is a household name leveraging AI to upend an established market...who isn't merely just reselling AI, like Claude/Cursor/etc. Has anyone disrupted a non-pure-technology business? entertainment? logistics? retail? transportation? dating?

Who is the grindr/tinder/uber/salesforce/netflix/amazon of the AI age?

All I know of are pick and shovel vendors. People selling AI to you so you can figure out how to make money with them.

Comment There are only bad options and worse options. (Score 1) 75

"We know what it looks like when a country's population no longer grows. It's not pretty"

If your economy depends on infinite population growth it's not an economy, it's a Ponzi scheme. I don't know what a practical upper limit for Switzerland is but there is one.

There are only bad options and worse options, depending on your world view. If you're an arrogant asshole with a cushy life, then small population growth is a terrible idea because of climate change or whatever bullshit ideology you embrace without thinking of the consequences. Reduced population means your economy either finds a way to mass murder the elderly or the functioning economy can barely function with all the load caring for the elders. If you're rich and comfortable and far removed, this seems like a great option: reduce climate change by reducing the population...and completely ignoring the impact to the people running things day to day.

What rich assholes fail to see is that it's very demoralizing and demotivating to work your ass off for a lower middle class existence. Many of us go to college, get good jobs, make all the right decisions, but still can't feed our kids as well as we were fed as children. When I was a kid, beef was a staple....now it's a rare treat because it's so expensive. It was like this with eggs for many years recently. I bring in a lot of money...and I spend very little....only to see very low growth in savings because costs have risen so much, especially in the Trump years. I realize the Bush/Clinton/Obama years were economic anomalies...but I thought with the income I have today, I'd be living a luxurious life...but with 2 kids, we're living the same lower middle class existence my parents provided for us...and they had more kids. So limiting taxpapers means we're paying even more in taxes for barely enough to live off while our elders enjoy an earlier retirement age than we could have dreamed of and keep voting for entitlement increases for themselves while ensuring their assets don't get taxed the way my income does. This leads to quite a bit of resentment and negative energy that tends to support politicians that flirt with fascism...or openly embrace it as MAGA seems to today.

If you're less concerned with climate change, we can increase the population via immigration as well as modest incentives so that having children is less economically impactful. History has shown, you can't make people become new parents with incentives, but you can bribe someone to have a 3rd kid or more...unfortunately, that's EXPENSIVE. People with many kids are usually not swimming in money. You can fix this with universal childcare, like we have with education...but....then you deal with the racists complaining that immigrants are moving there for subsidized childcare. From a climate perspective, those people would be consuming resources whether they were in their home country or not. However, adding productive workers reduces some of the pressure on those of us actually keeping the world running.

Unfortunately, there's no simple answer. The best I can see is to try to keep things just under replacement level. It's a burden on the people making the world work, but at least it means resource utilization is slowing. I think most don't appreciate how important it is to keep the economy running. It's not just about making the rich richer...it's about producing goods and services needed at prices people can afford. Once your economy breaks down, food and absolutely necessary goods become scarcer. It's not just about ensuring rich kids have the latest iPhones, but that all households can have a working refrigerator and that if one fails, replacing it is not a massive life-changing economic burden.

Comment Re:Can we at least agree (Score 1) 25

Can we at least agree there is far too much money being thrown at AI and disproportionately allocating resources and priorities in favor of this anyways to the detriment of other markets and businesses that are useful to more people than AI is right now?

Maybe that will get better but optimization and refinement, and process and results should be a focus before massive scaling up

Yes and no. I've seen the same sht happen twice, in the same year.

First in the telco crash of early 2001, when telco shares collapsed, in no small part dues to the backbone fiber rollouts done for the nascent internet (as well as many telco customers became illiquid bidding for 3G spectrum), said backbone sat unussed for years (and the spectrum too), but, at least, the fiber did not depreciate at an alarming rate...

But then, by the middle of that same year 2001, the Internet bubble bust. Untold ammounts of datacenter capacity went unused, cooling and motorgenerators dimensioned for big loads faced significantly smaller loads, racks upon racks of rapidly depreciating servers went unused, and untold ammounts of warehouses and perishable inventory (think pets.com 's pet food) sat there, again, unused.

Well, the world recovered, the internet provet to be worthy, the telco fiber and spectrum saw a lot of use latter on...

The same will happen with AI... just pray the AI bubble deflates, and does not POP! (Pop! goes the world).

Comment Definitely #2 (Score 4, Interesting) 46

Of your options, if #1 was the correct answer, we'd see a gap between those who have experience and mastery and those who don't. Sure...some suck at AI...but not everyone would...unless it was the AI that sucked. Like all tools/frameworks...if they're valuable, those who embrace it well reap the benefits, outpacing those who don't. A great example was cloud or big data. Startups came out of nowhere to overtake established players by leveraging these technologies.

To date, there's no AI success story, outside of pick and shovel vendors. No startup has leveraged AI to disrupt an existing market and become a household name. Netflix famously leveraged the internet to disrupt Blockbuster's stranglehold on home movies....first with DVD by mail and then with streaming. Salesforce, love them or hate them, disrupted many established players.

If AI ACTUALLY improved productivity, smaller companies would come out of nowhere and eat the lunch of more established players by out-innovating them. Some obvious examples are entertainment. Some game studio from some surprising location would come out with AMAZING AAA games at twice the speed and half the cost. Various business platforms would take on the many fat targets: Microsoft, SAP, Oracle, etc...leveraging AI to out-innovate larger competitors.

You and I may suck at AI and improve with experience...but someone out there is waaaay ahead of us....waaaay more gifted and would theoretically be leveraging AI to build massive projects with tiny teams. But for now, the only people making money are selling tools or computer chips or building data centers for this circular AI economic bubble.

Comment AI has no value my ass!!! (Score 5, Interesting) 25

Linus Torvalds, Greg H-K and the Mozilla team are singign the praises on AI for software maintenance. And now a 19 year old FOSS grapghics driver is still getting software improvements thanks to AI!

And yet some zealots are saying that AI has no use whatsoever...

You know what? More than one thing can be true at once.

Yes, is true that AI is not a panacea that will replace every single coder/white collar job.

Yes, is true that judiciously used, AI can be extremely useful for many task inside many a job description, including sw development.

The world is not black and white, or even shades of gray, at least for an electronics engineer like me is not only in technocolor, but in even more wavelenghts, and polarized horizontally, vertically and elliptically to boot :-P

Comment Murdoch is a US citizen (Score 3, Informative) 54

Murdoch became a US citizen four decades ago (in 1985) so he could expand his media presence in the US. He's been one of you since long before this site existed. The most recent iteration of the media conglomerate News Corporation (since 2004) was incorporated in Delaware with headquarters in New York, with the US media assets becoming 21st Century Fox in 2013 (the Australian media assets were spun off as News Corp, but they don't have significant US presence). You can't complain about Fox being "foreign" at this point.

Comment Because MacOS isn't designed for touch (Score 3, Interesting) 80

MacOS has a ton of tiny widgets...good luck pressing the red vs yellow button in the upper left corner reliably....same thing with the extensive use of right click. The desktop OS is heavily optimized for precise pointers. A tablet OS is designed for fat sausage fingers and fudging. MacOS is great for creation: IDEs, Office software, writing, creative arts. IPadOS is a consumption-optimized platform that "can" do things like compose e-mails or write code, but it's just not as good. It might be Good Enough for your needs, but even something like Lightroom or Photomator...with a tablet, they have to use huge widgets spread apart. With a desktop OS, you can cram the controls in nice and tighly so you have more monitor real estate to look at the images.

Phones, Tablets, and Computers are distinct devices..akin to motorcycles, passenger sedans, and pickup trucks. Each is optimized for a specific subset of use cases. Yes, you can haul lumber in a prius...I have many times...and it suuucks...it's much better to haul large goods in a van or truck. It's much nicer to do a family road trip on in a minivan than a harley or F150. It's much nicer to navigate small streets on a Harley than a cargo van. No one wants a prius optimized to haul lumber. They want it to be a family car.

I can't think of a single good reason to make a laptop act like a tablet. I know many people with windows touchscreen laptops. I've NEVER seen any good use case for them. In fact, I've never actually seen someone use the touchscreen on theirs. The pointer is just so much better and more convenient...and then your screen is cleaner and your flow is not interrupted.

Comment Re:The papers suggest ARC could produce more energ (Score 0) 89

It's more just a case of Rei frequently talking about things she only has the most superficial knowledge of as though she's an expert, then somehow getting multiple comments modded up, presumably because people trust the confidence. But it's just Dunning-Kruger effect in action.

Comment Did dropping intel help the performance? (Score 1, Offtopic) 122

Apple says there are very significant performance boosts. I wonder...did they just finally prioritize performance on their roadmap (the performance has been going SEVERELY downhill on my macbook each year)? Were they able to get performance gains by dropping Intel support? Was it something else?...maybe just getting better at AI tooling?...I have been saying all along that AI will no longer be a bullshit technology when all the major companies use the AI tools to find performance efficiencies...and suddenly everyone will be flooding /. and other outlets with announcements of faster tools and software that ship with smaller runtimes, etc.

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