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Comment Re: Yeah, right... (Score 1) 22

And here in the USA, you have the right to an attorney, and if you can't afford one, one will be provided at government expense. Judging only by what I've seen on various TV programs produced in England, you don't have that right in Blighty. Do you have it in Germany? I'm not trying to put you down, I'm just looking for information here.

Comment Re:Someone should really start killing these AI CE (Score 1) 31

This is the cycle of capitalism.

I think we've all seen that script about hard times creating strong men creating good times creating weak men. What the nitwits who think it's the ultimate aphorism don't understand is a) what either of those words mean or b) that this applies just as much to nepo babies like the CEOs they worship.

Comment Re:You don't have a choice (Score 1) 165

I predict that 3 years from now, the current DRAM shortage will turn into a glut.

Depends on how long it takes for the new fabs to come online. As of right now, there's about the right amount of capacity to supply the pre AI bubble world with DRAM.

Unfortunately unsold stock will be less useful because it's the wrong type for many consumer things. Though NVidia could rerelease some of the Quadro cards as consumer ones to make use spare HBM.

Comment Re:The next AI Winter will be spectacular (Score 1) 60

Robotics dweebs also deserve it, especially if their creations are used to (1) turf people out of jobs or (2) kill people - i.e. military purposes.

Meh. Firstly, I believe one of my creations is used to kill people, or as an important part of devices that do. But it's also used in a ton of other things. It makes as much sense to say steel is a bad creation because it's used to make guns.

Secondly, I'm not a pacifist. If someone's trying to kill me, I firmly believe in killing them first and I also do not think there is any such thing a a fair fight. Likewise I do not think it is evil of Ukraine to massively develop their arms industry and methods of killing people when it's in service of not getting killed or ending up in the dominion of Putin.

And if the world is going to develop weapons I really don't want it to be the sole preserve of the kind of dictatorial scumbags who don't jut not have your ethics, but positively revel in not having them.

Comment Re:The next AI Winter will be spectacular (Score 1) 60

The next AI Winter will be spectacular

One thing I am 100% confident in is that the that the AI winter following the oncoming crash will be every bit as bad as the internet winter following the dotcom crash.

Which is to say: not.

For a lot of things it works way too well and is way too effective to disappear. Sure we won't get frontier model inference for 1/5th of the cost. Some of the "growth at all costs" behemoths might crash as hard as webvan. But you know, online shopping and deliveries didn't die with them.

I mean take my futurology prediction with as much or little salt as you choose. But I'll lord it over you if I'm right and you can lord it over me if I'm wrong. Isn't that the true point of the internet?

Comment Re:Make sense (Score 4, Informative) 72

While LLMs will probably make that worse

Why though? I'm not saying LLMs will not write security holes, they definitely will if you don't very explicitly tell them not to. But even the nerfed public ones are not bad at spotting security holes compared to people. Most people are notoriously bad at this, but there have also been enough that a huge number of CVEs have been well documented. These are all in the training data and LLMs can absolutely spot these patterns. And they can do it without getting bored on software that was written before those CVEs were found anyway.

Comment Re:Damned if they do... (Score 1) 96

The "not innovating" claim every iterative phone release is also kinda silly, since the "slab of glass with some cameras" thing is largely a solved problem

That and also Apple has not had a record of being a particularly innovative company. What they've always been much better at is finding ideas that they can now implement well and polishing them. The iPhone wasn't a particularly innovative device, but prior devices sucked or were curiosities because the tech wasn't quite ready, and the software was too clunky.

And we all know about the iPod here. No wireless.Less space than a Nomad. Lame. And good gried those early devices had excrable UIs.

Comment Re:Might be good news for open source (Score 1) 72

2) contribute slop patches to existing open source

And open source projects are increasingly disallowing AI generated code due to copyright problems. Ie ai generated code cannot be copyrighted, and copyright is critical to open source.

Which part of this slop is teaching the grads some experience in coding

Again, the open source project that does NOT allow AI agent use.

Comment Re:So why do they want to rewrite legacy code? (Score 2) 72

From what I can tell most middle managers hate their employees - especially those who are smarter and more skilled - and can't wait to replace them.

They all probably think they'll be one of the last humans at the company.

It'll be funny when AI supplants middle management.

The right way is for a manager to be the advocate and ally of his subordinates. It can work really well but there's little place for ego and envy.

Comment Might be good news for open source (Score 1) 72

Entry-level jobs are vanishing; some 40% of bosses say they plan to hire fewer grads because AI can do the job cheape

A consequence of this corporate policy might be recent grads spending some time contributing to open source to get some real world experience. Which would in turn be good for the recent grad in the sense that they will learn more in an environment that cannot rely on agentic coding for copyright reasons. They'll get past that inexperienced phase much quicker as a result.

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