AI is different. When machines started to replace manual labour, people moved into clerical jobs where machines couldn't replicate human thinking. Computers came along and some of those went away, starting with low level accounting jobs like payroll processing. But there were always other jobs to move to, things that could not be automated.

We are now getting to the stage where AI can replace a lot of human thinking. At some point there just aren't going to be enough jobs that can't be automated left.

We have to decide. One option is we move to to low employment economy, ideally something like Star Trek's fully automated luxury communism where all the basics are provided and opportunities to develop one's self are abundant, rather than UBI and people with a lot of time and little to fill it with.

Another is that we just decide not to automate a lot of stuff, and have humans do it. That does mean a lot of pointless work, although arguably that's not so different to how things are today.

Depends on the exact wording, but Android Open Source Project (ASOP) is not shipped on many devices. Most ship with Android, which includes Google Play Services and a load of other proprietary, closed source stuff. So presumably they would need to implement these controls, and I'm sure Google will oblige by offering them to vendors. In fact even if they were not mandatory, I expect vendors will market it as a feature and want to include it anyway.

I wonder how practical this is. It appears that the surface features need to be so small that they couldn't be painted over, for example. Paint adds significant weight to an airliner, but is worth it for the protection and performance it provides.

On the basis that all major games get tested on their hardware extensively, because they have in excess of 90% of the market.

They have a card that is competitive with the most common gaming systems in use today. They are improving rapidly. They have a lot of pre-orders because it runs the games that are popular in China well enough, and is competitively priced.

The company that makes it isn't a genocidal totalitarian dictatorship. And even if it was, that isn't an excuse to let them take market share from Western companies.

Given the reference list, I suspect not ChatGPT, but rather https://magisterium.com/

Gamers Nexus will probably test it soon.

The issue tends to be compatibility with games that aren't popular in China. Basically everyone except Nvidia has compatibility problems to some extent.

News today that a Chinese company has released a GPU that benchmarks similarly to an Nvidia RTX 3060. Coincidentally, the 3060 is the most popular GPU in the Steam charts.

It's designed and manufactured domestically. The rate at which they are catching up is impressive.

And the same thing is true of space. Even disadvantaged by geography.

It's Musk though, so is just as likely to be an excuse for his hilariously optimistic claims about how easy and quick it would be to get to Mars.

He seems to have realized, over a decade later, and is now talking about a moon base. Wait till he discovers what a shit-show that is.

Perhaps, but I suspect Starlink (etc) already fills most of that use-case, and for the rest, they'll want that compute to be physically located inside the drones themselves, because otherwise the drones will be susceptible to jamming or spoofing.

There will be jobs that AI can't do. How many? Enough to keep 5-10 billion humans employed? What makes you so sure there will be?

Clearly AI has progressed considerably over the last 5-10 years. It's anyone's guess how much further it will progress -- maybe it'll plateau right where it is now, or maybe it will keep becoming more powerful as better algorithms are discovered. I'm not qualified to predict that, and neither are you, but the AI people certainly seem bullish about it.

Sorry, I thought you would understand that I meant that the resources that money represents appear, once you've solved the automation problems that currently make mass-production difficult. That's why you can buy a pocket computer today for $300 that would have your cost you billions of dollars twenty years ago, if you could have obtained it at all.

I bet you'd have more interesting conversations if you made a good-faith effort to understand what the other person was saying, rather than just jumping straight to the part where you get to throw insults at them and tell them how dumb they are. Doesn't that get boring?

I have yet to hear of a remotely plausible business case for putting data centers into space. The only benefit is 24/7 solar power, but that benefit is more than offset by the cost of launching everything into orbit, plus the cost of keeping everything properly cooled, plus the cost of radiation-hardening everything, and finally the cost of maintaining hardware in space (or, more likely, the cost of periodically having to write off the entire investment and build and launch new replacement hardware).

Unless Musk is trying to corner the market for AI-generated kiddie-porn (or something similarly illegal that needs to be operated beyond the reach of Earthly authorities), his ground-based competitors will undercut his pricing by a factor of 100, and he therefore won't have a viable product to sell.

Certainly new categories of work will emerge. The question is, will hiring and paying human beings be the most economically efficient way to fill those new positions, or will those jobs be done by AIs instead?

Previous waves of automation allowed people to move "up the food chain" and do jobs the machines still couldn't do, which was fine (at least, for the people capable of doing the new jobs), but if we get to the stage where there aren't many jobs left that the machines can't do, then we're out of luck -- it's unlikely that our tech-bro overlords are going to hire people simply on humanitarian grounds, if they can get an unquestioning machine to do the same work cheaper.

I agree that UBI is unlikely, but only because the billionaires don't like sharing and therefore won't support it. The money does "just appear" when you have mass automation doing the work to make it appear, but it will go into Bezos' checking account, not to the general public.

and radio ads that claim such should be sued to Pluto.

There was a tech slump around 1983 due to the video game crash, and again in 1992 due to mass "Glasnost" aerospace layoffs. There probably would have been one around 2009, but mobile devices were booming, taking up the slack.

Save up, the "business cycle" ain't going away.

I mean you are cherry-picking experts' opinions of that time after you know the outcome. Let's say there were 100 experts with an opinion back then. Let's say 20 predicted it was not transitory. You now quote the 20, pretending the 80 didn't exist. A propaganda trick.