So the "hype" was real (news flash ... if it was real it wasn't hype) but now ... Just a few months ago ... this year ... much more capable models didn't get released? That's an absurd claim. It sounds like you simply didn't know what the word capable means, and think it is about improvement in a single domain. Capability is about models used across domains. If a model doesn't improve at all in a single application domain (say code generation) the capability still improves dramatically if it improves in multiple other domains. You are also still making the same mistake they are making by equating the LLM with the model. They are talking about scaling, which has to do with model training time ... not capability ... then concluding that because scaling doesn't reduce training time exponentially that scaling doesn't improve model capability exponentially. Again, nobody ever claimed that it does.

There can't possibly be enough miniature human beings to make this research worthwhile. I mean besides Mark Rubio who is this even for?

We're not talking about building up the military we're talking about using the military we built for more than just soft power and occasionally murdering some brown people for oil.

Trump is openly discussing invading other countries. This is a classic right wing tactic where you have someone in a safe position say something crazy in order to introduce the idea into the public conscious. It works because when people see people talking about someone they assume that it must be a legitimate debate and then they start considering both sides of a crazy ass issue where there isn't both sides to consider.

More importantly it shows that the ruling elite of America are already thinking about invading weaker countries to take their stuff.

You have not seen an America that is on an actual War footing. If we simply collapse all of the aspects of the economy like we did during world War II you would be horrified just how much more military we can produce and how quickly we can produce it. And once you can put boots on the ground and do a draft because you're already invading sovereign Nations so what the hell then you're not in the situation Trump finds himself in where he tried to do regime change with a air War.

Honestly I think you're just coping. You can see it coming any fool could but you don't know what to do about it so you just put it out of your mind and tell yourself that America isn't a problem.

You can't keep doing that though and you're going to find out that a hard way

You're skipping the step where the failing empire undergoes a period of rapid military expansionism in order to fill its coffers by looting other countries.

America can easily take all of Canada and Mexico and South America and everything of value in it. We can then use that along with the local labor force pressed into slave labor to build a massive war machine and then we can take Greenland and use that to launch offensive into europe.

That is the current plan for the lunatics people keep putting in charge around here and the rest of the world is cheerfully allowing those lunatics to gain power unopposed with the clear help of Russia because they're hoping America will become weaker making them stronger.

Mostly their version of the Epstein class is hoping to be trillionaires instead of America's Epstein class getting to be trillionaires.

The problem is they are figuring that their nuclear weapons will keep them safe because who would be crazy enough to invade a country that has nuclear weapons.

We would. America would. My country is batshit insane and you're about to find out just how fucking crazy we are unless we get very very lucky and the Democrats save us all again.

The thing is people keep rolling those Dice and eventually they're going to come up snake eyes

They're not scaling back because they want to Trump has completely wrecked America on the international stage and it's taking everything American down with it.

Intelligent people warned us however nobody listens to them because to be blunt they're kind of insufferable. On the other hand we probably should not have had to be warned that unknown rapist, pedophile and convicted felon with ties to the Russian mafia shouldn't have been president.

Of Windows CE, Windows ME and Windows NT.

It is a structured system for looting 10 trillion dollars in 401K money. That is more than just a regular pump and dump.

They are tired of being dependent on our labor and our existence as consumers for their wealth and power. They're tired of being the merchant class that's not enough for them. They want to go back to being Kings and emperors and God Kings.

To do that they need to break that dependency because otherwise we can do things like boycotts and strikes or we can just plain not have any money and if we don't have money they don't have money because that's how the system was set up.

AI breaks that system. It's a huge automation push that gets controlled by five or six people in the entire planet. It's an entirely new form of capital for producing work that's going to be in the hands of literally less than 10 people.

We used to say it's a big club and you ain't in it. It's not a big club anymore even. You don't even get to pretend that you're going to be hobnobbing with Jeff bezos and Elon musk. I don't want to even hear people suggesting that.

So to get back to the article this is why these companies can be so ridiculously overvalued and it's why none of them have to turn a profit.

Because in the world that these psychopaths are planning there is no profit. There is no capitalism. They own everything and you have to go through them to get it. They decide if you live or die they decide if you have food or water let alone transportation and education. You are as dependent on them as a baby chick is its mother. And let's not forget, they hate you.

And I have no idea how we do anything else but what they want us to do. Because they say dance and we dance. They say jump and we say how high on the way up.

Not quite but I don't know the actual term for a market that is completely controlled by two or three players.

Basically the major platform holders are going to be the only ones who can differentiate between human beings and AI slop and without the ability to do that any up and coming AI product is going to be trained on freely available data on the internet which is so completely full of slop that the end result is going to be garbage.

AI was a one-time Gold Rush for a couple of companies and everyone else is going to be either microsoft, google, Amazon because they own twitch and then a handful of people like Twitter and Reddit will have half-assed systems that don't work except for specialized use cases like how Twitter will let you undress people you shouldn't be undressing and we let it do that because the owner is above the law...

I've said it before and I will say it again AI is a antisocial technology. It will do nothing but eat jobs and water and electricity while putting a handful of psychopaths in a position of even more power over you. We already had machine learning models for the actual useful scientific stuff. When folks say AI what they mean is something that can replace people that work for a living at enormous cost to society.

And as usual the people getting the benefit won't pay that cost, you will.

Trump doesn't know what day of the week it is. This is all just project 2025. Steve Miller and Peter thiel.

As if millions of baby boomers cried out in unison but weren't silenced because they never shut up.

This is the fallout from not properly supporting students during the pandemic. And from allowing the pandemic to happen in the first place when every single expert was warning politicians it was going to happen.

I wonder who was in charge when all this was going down? And I wonder who was in control of Congress for two years leading up to that and if they were engaging in the same obstructionist policies pioneer in the mid 1990s in order to cause chaos and encourage voters to do dumb things at the polls.

Look all I'm saying is elections have consequences

I need idiots to stop voting for pedophile rapists who make my life harder.

Oh there's plenty of other reasons. Trump is gradually building a private army for his own personal use. Assuming that the Democrats don't win in 2026 and 2028 it will probably become entrenched and it's likely that'll be the end of our democracy.

Young men will lose billions on it. Billions they don't have to lose. It will put them in a increasingly desperate situation when we are already putting them in a desperate situation because we have automated away the jobs they traditionally do.

Short-term crime will go up. Long term those young men will be organized into gestapos and secret police and pointed at you with guns.

Whatever else you think about ICE you need to realize that from Donald Trump's perspective they are his personal army at his beck and call. Now that is currently not true but there is work being done to fix that...

If you don't understand why that's a bad situation for you to be in I'm not sure what to tell you. But what I am trying to get across is that you can't just abandon large swaths of the population to be exploited. No matter how many guns you stockpile sooner or later you're going to run out of bullets before the world runs out of desperate people with nothing to lose.

First of all you don't know what they are doing. Secondly, you failed to grasp the major failure in your reasoning again. If the way they do it is inaccurate that in no way accounts for any aberration in the data.