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Comment Re:You're shitting me! (Score 3, Informative) 137

Nazi are still the bad guys. They're only "evergreen" because we failed to get rid of all of them. Damn things are like roaches.

Well, they were. They don't scatter when you shine a light on them anymore. On the plus side, that should make them easier to eradicate next time we get the chance.

Comment Re:Autonomy and Automation (Score 2) 72

In other words, autonomy is not merely the ability to act without a human in the loop. It is the ability to exercise useful judgment when the correct action is not already specified.

Then you are using the wrong tool for the job. Whatever AI is right now, it can not judge. It can simulate judging, but it can not actually judge. You are asking too much of AI.

To be honest, the stench of magical thinking is strong here. AI is a semi-random output of what has gone before. No actual judging is possible.

Comment More than once a generation (Score 4, Interesting) 72

Perhaps some people are too young to remember the dot-com hype. We had so many businesses back then who had the "idea" that putting your business on a website was sufficient for wild success. Many of the businesses were just half-baked ideas. Some were precursors to services we have to today, but done too soon, expanded too fast, got unlucky, or too the wrong approach: Webvan (30 minute delivery guarantee was bonkers though), Pets.com, Flooz, eToys, Go.com, Kozmo, Garden.com, Furniture.com, etc. While other dot-coms just hemorrhaged money with no clear way out; basically businesses with no credible standalone monetization model. Maybe Kozmo (deliver anything from a convenience store to you in 1 hour) seems stupid (it did at the time), but that's exactly what the rideshare and food delivery services offer on the side. And Pets.com basically works as a model as Chewy and others have shown, through more careful cost control.

Comment Re:So now keeping the lights on (Score 1) 184

This is America, if we're ever in a situation where we have to choose between a business or data center having power 24/7 with 99.99% reliability (1 hour or less) and residential customers having some reduced level like 99.9% (8 hours of outage a year) then you can be certain that's how it's going to play out.

Where we draw the line is really the only debate. Like 95% is more like having 36 hours a month with an outage. Maybe even rolling blackouts every week, so some people don't have power on the same day every week. If that is what is necessary to keep datacenters running, you can bet that the tech billionaires and their buddies in the government would find a way to keep their lights on, at the expense of keeping the lights off with regular people. (who are voters - which ought to be a serious political issue, but I don't think it is an issue anymore)

Comment Re:Lifespan? (Score 1) 184

They're typically Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP), good for 5000+ cycles before they degrade enough to be a problem. So charging every day they're good for about 10 to 15 years.

In practice, they'll have a site with multiple generations of batteries. So they're always extending their capacity and keeping old batteries in service. Eventually replacing degraded packs with new equipment when it is cheaper (in terms of storage capacity vs cost) to swap out the equipment than to simply add new.

Comment Re:Weird California Metric (Score 1) 184

US DoE averted rolling blackouts for 17 states back in July. (California not on that list)

Texas had a rolling blackout back in 2021, which I believe was the last rolling blackout in the continental US.

And there was an unplanned multi-state blackout in the Northeast way back in 2003 due to software+human error. I'm a bit surprised with all the cyber security issues we have today that these kinds of blackouts aren't happening every year.

Comment Re:powerline fires (Score 1) 184

Public Safety Power Shutoff (PSPS), there is one going on almost every week in some part of the state. I get maybe two a year, if it is going to be a windy day and it is fairly dry they'll cut my power for 6-12 hours typically.
There's several PSPS going on in the Sacramento valley and northern Sierra because it's dry and windy right now. (September 9th to 14th). PG&E has about 1000 people working on it right now.

Comment Re:It more smart thermostats than battery backup (Score 1) 184

The way brownouts are evaluated is quite broken. There is little logged with regulatory agencies on sags unless a customer complaint has been filed. If that isn't working for you then escalate to CPUC's Consumer Information Management System (CIMS). This is the route you can go if you have reported brownouts or sags or other service issues and there appears to have been no action taken by SCE.

Comment Re: Summer vs Winter (Score 2) 184

Last week it was high-90's and low 100's along the central coast (Santa Cruz & Monterey). It cooled down at night, but I also don't have A/C because I almost never need it, maybe for 3-5 days every 3-4 years it would be appreciated.

San Francisco is its own particularly bizarre climate compared to the rest of California or even the Bay Area. Just going from the tip of the peninsula to the South Bay can add +20F degrees to the temperature. It can be 75F in SF and 95F-105F in San Jose. Sometimes SF gets to 90F weather most years, specially downtown, even while the Outer Sunset is buried in fog by the next morning.

But last week had some parts hitting high 90's in most of the City, and it was 100F in The Castro and Corona Heights I am told. Very few residential buildings have A/C in SF. Not central air and not even a window unit. With mini-splits getting cheaper and easy to retrofit to old buildings, we're going to see more SF residence adopt A/C to deal with the hotter weather that has become more frequent.

Comment Re:Summer vs Winter (Score 2) 184

Current battery capacity only last a few hours after sunset, and starts charging at sunrise. There's a nice graph in this article that shows about a 4 hour coverage with batteries.

Better than nothing, but the shorter daylight hours of winter tends to highlight the limitations we currently have with our battery capacity.

Comment Re:I had similar. (Score 1) 4

I feel like I should ask for insider details about what is going over there, but I'm going to focus on the bugs around the Submit button. Most of those links seem to work badly or not at all. However in this particular case I also got a notification that the topic had been front-paged when there was nothing on the front page. On one hand, I figured it must have been a slow news day in the first place to consider the story, but on the other hand, WTF?

Pretty sure it isn't funny, but here's a bit from another website. These days I write less and less in the Slashdot direction...

I voted for funny, but for "Very sad" values of funny. Just had another discussion about AI with an actual human. In that part of the discussion I predicted that most people are going to be stupefied by the AIs, but a few people will seize the opportunity by "winning" the battle to understand and control the biggest and strongest AI. You know, like Dr Faust.

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