Comment 3rd industrial revolution (Score 1) 40
If you look at the through line between the first two industrial revolutions you're going to find massive technological unemployment that we all just gloss over in the history books. You don't even begin to get a discussion of it until 200 level history courses.
I've forgotten most of it but I briefly dabbled with being a historian in college so I took a few of those courses.
And yeah we have massive amounts of technological unemployment until the two world wars killed enough people and blew up enough stuff that we got back to full employment.
At the time we only had about 3 billion people so there was quite a bit of land to expand into. We've used up that land. There is still plenty of space but not the super cheap readily available resources that the greatest generation and boomers were able to expand into in order to maintain full employment.
And we certainly do not have the government programs and spending needed to maintain that expansion even if we had the space. Because that's communisms.
So yeah we are about to have another round of massive technological unemployment and that's going to create a massive amount of social unrest. On top of that climate change is causing droughts which will put pressure on the food supply.
You can already see the cracks forming with democracy's collapsing around the world. Wars are starting back up with Russia doing the first major land grab war in decades. And the rest of the world just kind of let them do it. Because we're busy with our own fascists.
Eventually the social unrest will bubble over and fascists will get put in charge because they will promise simple solutions to complex problems.
That will result in an economic collapse because fascists are as bad at running countries and they will conduct wars to loot other nations in order to fill their coffers and keep their citizens under control.
Only this time we've got nukes.
The fact that folks don't know history and haven't bothered to look into what llms can actually do isn't going to stop any of the above from happening. No matter how far you put your head in the sand it's still going to get lopped off