Tracking Satellites That Aren't There 66
stacybro writes "Wired is running an interesting article about amateur astronomers tracking "black" satellites." From the article: "The observers, who congregate on a Web site called Heavens-Above and a mailing list called SeeSat-L, have amassed an impressive collection of information and expertise. For two decades, they have played a high tech game of hide-and-seek with the US's National Reconnaissance Office, a secretive satellite agency. By coordinating their efforts, amateur observers in Europe, North America, and South Africa monitor satellites at different phases of their journeys and extrapolate the precise dimensions of their orbits." This is in addition to the ones we know about and even the ones we think we know about.
Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:5, Insightful)
If these guys can do it in their spare time with binoculars and phone calls, so can anyone else.
Time and time again security through obscurity has proven to be a fallacy.
And if this group has increased the awareness of that fact to the US military then they are indeed performing a valuable service.
The apparent fact that they forced a step-function change in satellite stealth technology (Misty, Misty2) offers convincing proof.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:1, Insightful)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:5, Interesting)
Knowing where spy satellites are is vital if you're trying to hide something. Since even the US doesn't have and can't afford a globe covering spy satellite system a la Iridium, the eye in the sky can't be watching you every minute of the day. Thus if you know the orbits of the spy satellites you can time things to keep your unpleasant business a secret. Even if you don't know where *all* of the satellites are, knowing where some of them are is better than nothing.
Consider the situation where you want to move a pile of refined weapon-grade plutonium out of your nuclear power station reactor. It's not something you're supposed to be doing, since that reactor is ostensibly for power generation, not for armament production. You don't exactly want to do this when people are watching because it's rather obvious when you park a big shielded truck outside your reactor and load the plutonium onto it. So you want to pick a time that the bird's eye won't be watching, or at least when it won't get a good view of what's going on. This will keep you from having to answer to the IAEA or the UN or any other nuclear busybodies. This worked pretty well for India.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:3, Insightful)
You don't appear to understand the point I made.
Knowing where spy satellites are is vital if you're trying to hide something.
Yes. You are correct about that. I understand that.
So my question to you is: How does stopping the amateurs mentioned in the article prevent any of that from ocurring?
Bzzzzt. Time's up.
It doesn't. Which was my whole point. If friendly smiley people can do it, then not-so-friendly-crazed-dictators-with-nuclear-amb i tions
Bad example (Score:2)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:3, Interesting)
Well, it did slow the process down by a pretty long time. For the military, that's often a very important advantage.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
Which is why I'm glad the NRO stepped up their game and actually developed (apparently) a satellite that actively positions in an orientation that makes it difficult to impossible for known, targeted observers to actually know that they are being targeted.
In the end, it's still security through obscurity, but it's a hell of a lot better effort at the obscurity part.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
Did it?
We'll never know if the "bad guys" have been plotting these orbits since day-2.
The problem with any 'secret' is that it can leave you with a false sense of security - and that's often far more dangerous than knowing that the original information was public knowledge.
Organisations who rely on secrets that can be easily observed or discovered are setting themselves up for failure. So what decisions are/were made based on the assumption tha
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:1)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:5, Informative)
Well...most satellites have limited propellant onboard to do anything more except adjust their orbit to maintain its intended design, whether it is a geostationary orbit or a "normal" orbiting orbit. They do not carry sufficient propellant to move from a polar orbit to a less inclined orbit, a high apogee orbit to low apogee orbit, etc. Orbital mechanics are pretty straight forward, and it only takes a few observations of some object to figure out its orbit. If they do, they have a very finite amount, and any large scale manouvering is not undertaken lightly, as it directly affects the lifetime of the satellite.
the obscurity required in this case isn't information about the orbit, nor should anyone really care, but on the use and purpose of the satellite. Is that "black" satellite a RORSAT? LIDAR? SIGINT? Keyhole? VESTA? THAT part about the satellite and its mission is the real secret. Orbital information has been published in astronomy magazines for some time anyways.
If you've read any tom clancy novels, you would understand that most of the baddies already know when the intelligence satellites are going to be overhead, and adjust their activities accordingly if they don't want to be directly observed.
If they are observed, either they don't know (hardly likely these days) or they DO want us to know.
Even the civilian LANDSAT and other geo-observational satellites could be determined to be "spy" satellites. Want to see how Iran's economy is doing? Use LANDSAT to monitor over time their agricultural lands. If the measured land isn't "right", then their crops have failed, which means more instabilit.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
I can't seem to find those books in the non-fiction section.
Arthur C. Clarke also wrote a lot of fiction based on the real world, and Clancy has also written non-fiction works. Just because someone writes novels doesn't mean they don't know their field of interest.
Propellant not the only way of moving a satellite (Score:3, Informative)
-JT
Re:Propellant not the only way of moving a satelli (Score:3, Informative)
Yes, I've heard of them... even saw them being manufactured once at a Honeywell plant. But the poster did not say that propellant was the *only* way to move a satellite. The discussion was about hiding satellites and changing their orbits to avoid detection. That's not something you're going to do without propellant (and a lot of it).
Reaction wheels are great, but they only have a few real uses. One is to orient the satellite for communicating with Earth, or aiming a telescope at a star, etc. Anothe
Re:Propellant not the only way of moving a satelli (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
Well then what we should do is send up a bunch of fake satellites, reflective balloons, spaced out so that one is always overhead in every hostile country in the world. Every rocket that sends up a real satellite could have 2 or 3 balloons too. Maybe throw a thruster on the balloons to shuffle them around like a shell game to th
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2, Insightful)
Define "Bad", please! (Score:5, Insightful)
Because there is evidence that the same organizations whose purpose is going after what you call "bad" people are increasingly turning their weapons against us. When agents from a bureau whose self-stated mission is "to protect and defend the United States against terrorist and foreign intelligence threats and to enforce the criminal laws of the United States" [fbi.gov] come to believe they have the right to collect any data at all about you, even library cards, without any valid search warrant, you should better start worrying. In my dictionary, an officer of the government who feels no need to respect the Constitution is as "Bad" as it gets.
Amassing as much data as we can about the methods and equipment those secret agencies have that they could use against us is an act of collective self-defense. It goes in the same spirit as the freedom to "keep and bear arms" against an opressive government.
Re:Define "Bad", please! (Score:2)
Also, for me it would be a question of curiousity. I like to know about things. Last year I went stargazing with some friends, and we spotted a formation of three satellites moving across the sky. I thought that was unbelievably weird, and I wanted to know what they were.
Fortunately, the kind of hobbyists depicted in the article had already done the hard work for me, and I was able to find out that they belong to the US Navy, although their purpose seems uncertain.
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
Re:Security Through Obscurity Fails Yet Again (Score:2)
An impossibility, one might say, but certainly not a fallacy [tri-bit.com]. Fallacies are invalid supporting logic.
Nothing There (Score:5, Funny)
Never has it been so relevant.
Re:Nothing There (Score:1)
(Insert semi-plausible cover-up here.)
Heavens-Above (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Heavens-Above (Score:2)
Just about the time my daughter turned two, one of her favorite things to do was to go outside when the ISS was flying overhead and wave furiously and yell "Hi" as loud as she could because I told her there were people living on ISS.
Misunderestimated? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Misunderestimated? (Score:5, Funny)
"Hey, Bob, did you see that? It looked like a satellite going the wrong way. Have you been drinking hard cider again Henry? You know they always travel over the shed in the backyard toward the school house... that's the only way they can go! I've been drinking beer and tracking these things for damn near 20 years and I ain't once seen one come from that direction..."
Re:Misunderestimated? (Score:2, Interesting)
If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:4, Funny)
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:1)
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2, Funny)
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2)
Can a satellite be parked so that it is always "in the sun" (sol-synchronous?)? That way only chromosphere observers would see it.
Just off the cuff, a reversed geosynchronous orbit at a slightly different speed/orbit to match the sun's relative position would seem possible, but that wouldn't keep observers at high or low latitudes from being able to spot the satellite. And it certainly wouldn't be a good orbit for Earth observation.
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2)
Do You mean an L1 orbit? That's faaar to away from Earth to be useful, 1.5 million km opposed to around 300km for LEO. That fa
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2)
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:3, Interesting)
> in the opposite direction should keep you close to permanent
> daylight if the satellite starts in the proper position, yes?
What you describe won't work. Your satellite would orbit Earth once a day, backwards.
What you are looking for is to position your satellite at the Earth-Sun Lagrange point [everything2.org] (hard-core space geeks will gripe that it should be orbiting L1, but let's keep it simple). That's much further away than geo-sync, so
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2)
My mistake; twice a day (plus 1/365ths of an orbit). It would also be a huge menace since it would be plowing through the geosync belt, crashing into the world's most densely packed satellite constalations. Once it hit one unlucky bird, the debris from the collision would polute the entire belt with high speed projectiles, causing further destruction. Potentially ending in a chain reaction [surrey.ac.uk] which leaves the entire orbit unusable for thousands o [aero.org]
Re:If people are not careful they might go blind (Score:2)
What you describe won't work. Your satellite would orbit Earth once a day, backwards.
That's what would be needed, so I think your corrected numbers are correct - it would take one orbit per "day". Of course it is not a "good idea", it was an answer to a ridiculous question. Nor am I going to "do this". Surprisingly, I am not allowed to build, launch, or run the MOC on satellites at my whim, even though I am allowed to post on Slashdot - who can figure?
What you are looking for is to position your sat
How to see a black satellite... (Score:2, Funny)
It's on fire?
Yes, actually. (Score:2)
Feel like Rummy (Score:2, Funny)
What about the ones that we don't know that we don't know?
Oh-oh Slashdot is supporting terrorists (Score:1, Funny)
Re:Oh-oh Slashdot is supporting terrorists (Score:2)
Locations of All US Spy Satellites and Names (Score:2, Interesting)
Freq Az Dir Velocity Alt
[Edited by NSA]
[Edited by NSA]
[Edited by NSA]
[Edited by NSA]
[Edited by NSA]
[Edited by NSA]
Maybe it's one thing to find this stuff out for yourself, but posting it online?
Thats just giving away information. Of course, there are some 8,000 man made objects in orbit right now that are tracked by our government... most of it is just trash though.
http://www.stratcom.mil/fact_sheets/fact_spc.html [stratcom.mil]
Re:Locations of All US Spy Satellites and Names (Score:1)
Re:Locations of All US Spy Satellites and Names (Score:2)
This is where the concept of "Security through obscurity" is proven wrong yet again. If the NRO believed that these satellites were somehow "secr
Re:Locations of All US Spy Satellites and Names (Score:2)
Trying to stop people from A.Looking at what is in the sky and B.Tracking where it goes and its orbital pattern is futile, anyone with some skills can figure this out.
What might be a concern is if, somehow, these people are able to identify exactly what sattelite it is. (for the classified sattelites anyway)
Re:Locations of All US Spy Satellites and Names (Score:1)
Um, yes. So what?
Indeed, it's not even giving away information - the satellites themselves go that by being visible. The site merely collects and passes along information.
If you want to keep stuff secret, you have to put it where nobody (except those sworn to be your loyal thralls) can see it. If anyone can look up and see it, it's not secret, and pointing guns at people who talk about
Be Afraid. (Score:1)
The "bad guys" use radar. (Score:2, Interesting)
Here's a report [globalsecurity.org] on the NOSS sattelites with a wealth of information about the sats that no amateur could ever get.
While individual terrorists probably don't have the resources (beyond heavens-above) to track sattelites, they probably aren't moving things obvious enough to matter anyway.
An extra iridium or two (Score:3, Interesting)
-russ
Fill the sky with dummies (Score:1)
Shouldn't we just fill the sky with enough dummies mixed with the "real" spys so that no-one can tell the difference? Dummy survelance cameras at Walmart are almost as effective as the real thing. Just move around which are the real, and which are the bogus. Imagine you had concentric rings of satellites with every other ring in retrograde.
How to find Misty (Score:1)