Fiber Optics Lines Can Offer Much More 154
XEpsilon writes: "According to this article, the current usage of fiber optics lines is only .5% of the capacity fiber optics lines offer. The internet is also slowed down by old copper lines that are still being used -- converting from light impulses to electric signals is the major slow-down. A certain company, Cogent Communications, is offering unshared 100Mbps internet access for $1000, which is $500 less than the price of a T1." Interesting to note that Cogent bought just two strands of pre-existing inter-city fiber to re-sell the bandwidth. I'd easily pay $100 a month for far less than a tenth of the bandwidth they're promising -- let's hear it for economies of scale!
adsl will be the standard, however (Score:1)
Superior technology doesn't make a standard. One just needs to look at the windows install base to see that. Consider dtv will require at least a 600megahertz, this alone means everyone will have to updgrade their system. What's that, the closed source dtv software uses up 60% of your system's memory, prepare to buy more memory.
consider this instead. adsl driver included in the linux kernel to be distributed with all cheap linux boxes. Freenet nodes housing gigabytes of divX+ programming [projectmayo.com] along with a freenet client built inside your mozilla browser. your tivo(tm) style freenet content listing guide will pop up in a separte browser window and when you click on the link, it'll launch the divX+ plugin to play the mulitmedia within your mozilla browser.
don't through intel out of the picture yet folks, the cost of a digital telivision expierence will be cheap, and you can use low end intel commodity parts to build the future divX/freenet/mozilla telivsions. Yes we will be watching television on our telivsions, but it's not going to be dtv technology.
Very impressive... (Score:1)
Re:5% (Score:1)
:)=
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:1)
Wonder what their peering arrangement is (Score:1)
100mbits/sec to the backbone is nice. I could see a vastly profitable market for coloc data centers. With a monthly operating capital of around $100K, and charging $500/month for 40-50GB of transfer a month (some places I've seen charge thousands for rates of transfer that aren't even a tenth of that), building to a median of about 350 clients you could hit break-even after about 8 months and become fully profitable in just under a year. And still have spare capacity.
Again, the problem is, what's Cogent's peering setup look like? Without multiple, fairly fast peerings (at least OC3, if not more high capacity fiber links), anything that's NOT on the Cogent backbone could choke heavily at the gateway.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Re:Chicago! (Score:1)
Could you provide a link to them?
I'm moving in a couple months here and I'm looking for decent places with high speed access around the Chicagoland area.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Re:There are A LOT of copper backbones (Score:1)
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:1)
I think your assumption is wrong. I live in Bowling Green, OH. No where near a top 25 metro area. We have fiber running in town here. I also know that in Clarks Summit, PA we have fiber running along the railroad tracks behind our house... These are two VERY small towns that have direct access to large data pipes. I am not saying that we are able to access it (in BG we are, I know that they were talking about some ISP's getting a portion of the fiber) but it is none-the-less there and could be readily available.
- Bill
Fits the model about right for outbound. (Score:1)
Yeah, but that's outgoing traffic, and I'm guessing it means "going outside the University network", not just other machines on campus. Why would you need to serve RedHat to the world at large from your dorm room?
--Joe--
Re:Moore's Law (Score:1)
Re:Minor correction..... (Score:1)
Re:What about apartment complexes? (Score:1)
Chicago! (Score:1)
TELCOS and innovation (Score:1)
This article is heartning and pisses me off at the same time. I SHOULD have this innovation in my house right now. Oh well. Hopefully these guys get a TON of business and make all the T1 installations obsolete, before the telcos know what hit them.
My future net:
All fiber data net spanning the globe, with lines to every house
Voice is done over data lines, with higher quality, and less cost.
There is more bandwidth then anyone knows what do do with, thus allowing 'cable' television, video phones, and more, to utilize the network.
This future is not technically unfeasable. Everything exists to make it reality, except for backward thinking bean-counters at major corperations who currently control the net stifling rapid forward progress.
Hopefully, operations such as this startup will accelerate the goal. Can only hope.
But will they actually provide it for $1k... (Score:1)
Got me there... (Score:1)
...I'm much more familiar with the Telco's infrastructure, where they've been busily replacing long-distance trunks with fiber for quite some time.
A silly question, though: Are DS3 lines necessarily copper? I was under the impression (possibly wrong) that they could be either copper or fiber, depending on the local equipment.
Oh, and UUNET doesn't own 50%. More line 30% (in the USA). Sprint, MCI (now Cable&Wireless), ATT, and BBN (now Verizon) are now the "big 5" in the US - they each run between 10 and 25% of the network. And in Europe, the national telephone monopolies own huge percentages of the local backbones. I'd estimate that no company owns more than 10% of the total world-wide Internet backbone capacity.
-Erik
Ahhh, but the plot thickens... (Score:1)
Once there was UUNET, and MCI.
Then Worldcomm bought UUNET.
Then Worldcomm bought MCI.
However, as part of the deal to buy MCI, Worldcomm had to sell the Internet backbone and ISP side of MCI to a third party. It ended up with Britain's Cable and Wireless.
So: Worldcom/MCI now has UUNET's ISP business, while the old MCI ISP is sitting with C&W.
Confusing, eh?
Just remember that GTE bought BBN, and Bell Atlantic bought Nynex (which had bought New England Telephone), and now B.A. and GTE have merged, but they've spun off the ISP stuff as Verizon. And of course Qwest now owns USWest, while SBC owns Pac Bell, Ameritec, SWBell, Prodigy, and CellularOne. And of course AT&T has spun off Lucent now. About the only people I think that are still intact and haven't bought (or been bought) by another large player is Sprint.
I loooooovvvvve the Telecommunications Act of 1996, don't you?
;-)
-Erik
What exactly is "internet access" (Score:1)
The normal ratio of commerical over commit is 10:1 not 200:1
"Now, I hope and pray that I will, but, today I am still just a bill"
Re:Chicago! (Score:1)
These guys strung a fiber backbone along the North/South Elevated railway tracks in Chicago and then out into the neighborhoods from there. I talked to the techs when they were installing the service and apparently the fiber runs to access boxes in the neighborhood. Unfortunately though this is all shared bandwidth, so I get about T1 speeds at best, though the service is nominally 10mbps.
Now I don't want to move for fear that the building I move to won't have 21stcentury
-josh
The death of all intellectual property rights? (Score:1)
Unlimited bandwidth...until now piracy has only been limited by the amount of resources available, not anymore. Look at a cable user's mp3 collection compared to the guy with a 56k. When bandwith expands in the near future to make movies download like mp3s today, ALL intellectual property will be in danger. The government and others would like to think people have respect for intellectual property but they do not. Look at napster, look at the bandwidth coming; its going to happen. The internet is here, now what can we download for free?
Re:Big gun - for DDoS (Score:1)
> *easy* to stop.
agreed - but individual hosts on a cable modem typically have a 128 kbps on shared bandwidth.
100 Mbps of dedicated bandwidth could devastate lots of targets at once - the term MIRV comes to mind.
so if you have a distributed attack from lots of these hosts
Re:Amen. Meatspace reality blows (Score:1)
Re:What about apartment complexes? (Score:1)
Re:Practical? (Score:1)
Re:I've actually signed up for Cogent's service. (Score:1)
Re:$1500?! (Score:1)
Re:Routing is a major bottleneck... (Score:1)
The really large firms (IBM, GM/EDS/Hughes, maybe CSC) already did this years ago, but have since subleased and/or sold their internal networks (IBM GlobalNet is now owned by AT&T, for example). Now they're free to hitch onto faster, newer networks such as the ones Cogent and others are building.
The point is, this is about high speed _private_ nets, not fiber-to-the-curb or replacing xDSL and cable. Sure, there will be peering, but that will depend on the speed of those interfaces - the real speed advantages will obtain within their network.
Fibre length (Score:1)
I imagine the comment in the article about only
Re:Moore's Law (Score:1)
Lucent,Alcatel, and Nortel should have 40 Gbs systems out in the next year or so. This does not necessarily mean that it will run at 160 x 40 Gbs, I actually highly doubt that will happen. Maybe 40 or so at first.
This stuff just doesn't scale up any more is the problem. 10 Gbs will only work on 60% or so of installed fiber spans today and 40 Gbs is like 25% or so.
Its fairly easy to make conservative engineering arguemnts in the case where the physics isn't well understood. This is the problem here.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:1)
As I said you can buy today a 160 wavelength 10 Gig system, but I doubt they have sold any.
I'm biased too, I am working on solving phase problems with high speed systems and I think it's a bloody hard problem.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
Re:this doesn't help me. =( (Score:1)
Re:Web site? (Score:1)
Metromedia Fiber Networks makes this possible (Score:1)
past 18 months, but nobody seemed interested
You can find info about them here [mmfn.com]
Metro is primarily in the business of leasing
dark fiber in the local loop, but they will also
provide the services to light it, as well as
long haul connections. While not economical
for the individual, for businesses this is the
way to go.
disclaimer - i do own their stock
Re:$1000 (Score:1)
gilder's law? (Score:1)
Read the article.... (Score:1)
Re:Price of T1 (Score:1)
I just signed up with UU, and am paying around $1500/mo. I could get a cheaper connection, but you have to understand QoS ismuch more important than price when it comes right down to it for most companies with a reasonable cashflow.
The most useful use for this tech (Score:1)
But, let's say I run a small-ish company with, say, 3 locations in office buildings in major cities- let's say NYC, SF, and Atlanta. At each location I have, say, 300 employees. For 3k a month I can now connect all my locations with a very high speed WAN, since they are all on the "same" backbone (and probably running some sort of VPN on top of this backbone to minimize the effect of connecting your lans over a public backbone), and I have all the bandwidth I need for running public internet servers to boot. Sounds like a good deal to me. =)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:1)
Yes there is. Just take a look at a chart of bandwidth price versus time(just like CPU price versus time for Moore's law) and you'll see that the exact same trend, except the slope is about 2-3 times that of Moore's law for CPU's. That means that the price of bandwidth is halving at twice the rate that cpu prices are halving, or, taken another way, bandwidth is doubling at twice the rate that CPU's are doubling.
Now I'm not talking about how much you can get a T1 from your local Telco, I'm talking about how much it actually costs to deploy a network given current tech.
-----
"People who bite the hand that feeds them usually lick the boot that kicks them"
Web site? (Score:1)
Re:college (Score:1)
Re: Got me there... (Score:1)
UUNET is owned by MCI.
From the t-shirt I'm wearing right now... UUNET: Am MCI/Worldcom Company
Of course that doesn't change the fact that it's MCI who ownes more backbone, not UUNET.
--
Turn on, log in, burn out...
Hmmmm..... (Score:1)
Data only? 100 Mbps? Sounds like I'll have to start using DialPad.
Dear Mrs. Katz (Score:1)
Re:There is a difference between bits and bytes (Score:1)
University life (Score:1)
At my school, they actually have all the 100Mbps switches toggled down to 10Mbps to prevent burying the internet link.
If they could get a few 100Mbps links, that'd make life a lot easier for the peeps in the server room.
================
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:1)
$1000 (Score:1)
What!!! I'm not paying that!!! Common K-Tel Gigabit TokenRing for $49.95 is where it's at!
Seriously what good is 100Mb (unshared) gonna give you when the rest of the internet is bottle-necked in the first place? If you have good evidence against this statement please let me know.
Re: As "Bob" puts it.. (Score:1)
$1500?! (Score:1)
Connah
More than just bandwith to succeed (Score:1)
The big difference is that these guys are offering TV and cheap long distance on their wire as well. I can't wait for them to get to my building!
Re:5% (Score:1)
I'm so sorry to hear that you have only 20% of the brain capacity that everyone else has. Poor kid. It must be tough to only use 10% of the 20% you had from the start.
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:1)
Re:Two strands (Score:1)
http://www.cisco.com/warp/public/cc/pd/rt/12000
The interesting part is where you use dark fibre and use cisco's packet over SONET and forget about tons of SDH equipment. This can make things significantly less expensive (I can't bring myself to say cheaper
In Cogent's case they probably would still use WDM sort of stuff because 2.5 Gbps per fibre is rather measly for USA
Cheerio,
Link.
Re: (Score:1)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:1)
Nielsen's Law of Internet Bandwidth (Score:2)
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:2)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
Even if everyone in the world is using modems based on J.S. Bell's theorem (letting, in theory, communications to travel instantantously [and yes, I realize the theorem is still controversial, but that's not the pint]), we would still be limited by how fast we can interpret the data on the two ends. I think the max speed for fiber is something like 50-60GB/sec.
What last mile? (Score:2)
Re:college (Score:2)
- Bill
Bandwidth of fiber and of optics in general. (Score:2)
The gain-bandwidth product of the erbium lasers used for repeaters is something like 1.0e11, if I remember correctly (could be way off on this). This gives a practical limit of between 1.0e11 and 1.0e12 bps without materials improvements.
The theoretical bandwidth limit for optical carriers of any kind is the frequency of the carrier itself - somewhere in the realm of 5.0e14 Hz (for visible-light carriers). This gives a maximum theoretical data rate somewhere between 5.0e14 and (roughly) 3.0e15 bps, depending on how much power you want to dump in and how much noise is present.
Re:Big gun - for DDoS (Score:2)
And where is it that cable hosts typically have 128kbps? I have several times that, as do many I have met... and what is shared bandwidth? The internet is packet switched.....
?Unshared? (Score:2)
100Mbps back to their private network, then out to wherever? What real good is '100Mbps unshared' access to the internet, when the gateway is only a few hundred megabit at most? "Yes, we have a hundred customers on 100Mbps dedicated bandwidth".
I know I'm nit picking.... it's just that somehow, 'unshared' and 'shared' have become buzzwords. For Christ sakes. It's a packet switched medium in the first place!
Re:Big gun - for DDoS (Score:2)
The important part about DDoS is the first big D, standing for 'Distributed'.
All traffic coming from one network would be *easy* to stop.
It's when it's coming from everywhere that it's an effective attack;
Big gun - for DDoS (Score:2)
The ISP should not issue 100 Mbps connections to anyone not running a seriously hardened firewall.
They should bundle one in - or have the site sign off that they have a serious solution deployed.
www.cogentco.com (Score:2)
Cogent Communications [cogentco.com]
Practical? (Score:2)
Fiber to the home in Palo Alto (Somewhat OT) (Score:2)
Can you imagine receiving a letter which says you can get a 100Mbit/sec Fiber link straight to your house for $190,-?
You can read more about it here: http://www.city.palo-alto.ca.us/u til ities/fth/ [palo-alto.ca.us]
However unfortunately my area was not selected for the trail, and the project seems to be delayed (what a surprise).
Re:Some corrections and additional info... (Score:2)
By now, the vast majority of telco central offices, even rural ones, have fiber optic connectivity. I think even hapless old VeriZontal/New England Tel has glass to their COs everywhere. BUT it rarely goes any farther. It's the local loop, to the subscriber, that's always copper. Sure, glass loops exist for businesses that require DS3+ (45Mbps) or multiple T1s, but the entry cost is indeed high.
"Fiber to the home" was a big catch phrase a decade ago, but almost dead now. They're trying to make DSL do the job, which it often can't (because the old copper was installed for voice and more often than not can't carry DSL).
But even then, the Cogent analysis is wrong: Telcos will bring you T1 for under $150/mo (from their CO), often much less. Its ISP fees that are higher, charges that are <i>above</i> the loop cost, and ISPs lose money as it is.
Re:What about apartment complexes? (Score:2)
To date, I haven't seen much progress. I've only seen one complex that boldly offered high speed Internet as part of the benefits of living there. When I was apartment hunting last Spring, the best I could do was to get (false) assurances that we could get DSL if we moved in -- not as part of the contract, but that the site was presumably ready. (After we moved in to the apartment we selected, we found out we couldn't get DSL after all... but I digress.)
I have also tried to convince my father, who owns a rental property site with lower population density, to consider some high-tech improvements -- to no avail. He barely listens; he's already made up his mind. And from a purely economic perspective, I suppose it makes sense -- he has virtually zero vacancies and regular payments, so he doesn't "need" to offer more. I would even say he doesn't care all that much about the property, so as long as it provides an income and few enough hassles, he's not going to make any changes.
I look forward to the day -- which may never arrive -- when rental property owners/managers do try hard to cater to technology interests. If you want to see it happen, do some "shopping around" and always ask, "Does high-speed Internet come with the apartment as part of the rental price?" As soon as they say it doesn't, respond "Ok, I'm not interested" and hang up or walk out. Note that you don't have to be really looking for a new place to live, the idea is to get them thinking.
If we don't demonstrate the demand -- i.e., if we don't make the demand for this support -- don't expect to see it anytime soon, if ever.
Two strands (Score:2)
And for correction's sake: they bought two strands running cross-country (for starters), and another strand elsewhere.
Those two strands across the country, according to the article, are hooked up to Internet-only switches. That means they're not sharing voice or other data, so they can handle huge amounts of theoretical bandwidth (current use is gigabits/sec per strand, and they're claiming we're under half a percent of their possible use).
That would let you sell 100Mb a shot pretty comfortably. Who needs more than two strands of something that carries thousands of copper lines worth of data?
Re:It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:2)
<P>That's what we're using at <a href="http://www.fibrespeed.net">FibreSpeed</a> for our new line of integrated web application services. Gotta love those strands in that metal pipe on the ceiling.</P>
In Canada at least ... we're getting there (Score:2)
Within Ontario, Canada, ICS [icsnetworks.com] is helping the local Public Utilities companies to set up fibre optic networks to the door of businesses in most cities. The PUCs are laying fibre in the ground all over in those cities (Sudbury, Ottawa, Peterborough, Toronto, London, etc.) and they're able to get you high-speed Internet access where you are with very little effort.
That's what we're using at FibreSpeed [fibrespeed.net] for our new line of integrated web application services. Gotta love those strands in that metal pipe on the ceiling.
Wrong - it's Never copper except short-haul (Score:2)
There is real copper T1 in the phone networks, out in the last-few-miles side of things, as well as analog voice, though much of that is also carried on fiber loop carrier equipment or voice muxed onto T1s. The wires that have been used for analog phones can often be cranked up for DSL, so carry higher-speed signals on the same old crappy wire, but it's T1 or below, not T3.
The interesting new copper out there isn't backbones, it's cable TV, which typically does hybrid fiber-coax systems - copper coax down your block, fiber networks feeding the copper, and subdividing the networks any time there's enough load to make it worth adding more fiber. On the other hand, there's also a lot of fiber direct to businesses, some of it run by cable TV companies, and some by access providers (including telcos and competitors.)
There's already a Cogent Communications (Score:2)
Cogent seems to be vapor ware (Score:2)
I had heard about them, and wanted to find out more when I was at interop. I have worked with ISPs and especially "last-mile" ISP's long enought to be excited by what they said they could offer. I am also able to ask some insightful questions from the practicial perspective.
In speaking with them and some of thier chief officers, it became clear to me that they are a combination of a nifty business plan and cisco money.
It could work, but at this point in time, their real business is raising capitial. They want to be first with their business model, which, BTW, didn't seem to include peering agreements. IMHO, the $100/month is just theoreticial marketing numbers.
My bet is that they will charge $100/month for circuit, and bill for internet bandwidth usage, or maybe even a reasonable
Re:Cogent seems to be vapor ware (Score:2)
This Cisco [cisco.com] press release points out how Cisco has $260 million dollars worth of faith in them.
The Cogent founder has had 4 'successful' startups, (4 for 4, and success means they were bought by someone else), they have a group of digex staffers, have hired away Bell Labs employees (upper level lab rats) to research the preformance of the fiber eq, etc.
(All of this is findable in public records...so no NDA's were harmed in the making of this post)
Failure won't be because of lack of capitolization or a lack of talent. They may not be able to deliver 100 M to your doorstep. This *lack* of ability to deliver on a promise may not kill them either. Look at the promise that is Microsoft software, and the inability of M$ to deliver...it hasn't killed M$.
Odds are, they will suffer the fate of nap.net. Built out a network, were bought out, and there they are....the network growth is stalled. They buy bigger pipes, but no longer have the growth rate they used to have.
Price of T1 (Score:2)
My place of work pays about $800/mo for a full, dedicated T1 from @work. You're crazy if you're paying $1500+.
Re:college (Score:2)
`ø,,ø`ø,,ø!
Re:What about apartment complexes? (Score:2)
`ø,,ø`ø,,ø!
Re:$1000 (Score:2)
This sounds alot like the argument that people used when DSL lines were brand new! The fact is, if enough people get faster connections, then the major backbones are going to have to work harder(and R&D alot more) to develop faster routing.. if you build it, they will come!!
Look at it from an apartment building's perspective. One 100MB connection is awfully fast, and if you give each tennant >=T1 speeds from their apartment, you could make quite a profit off of it.. Who wouldn't mind paying $35 a month for their share of one of these lines...
If this was in my neighborhood, I know many other college students living near me would subscribe. Screw the rest of the internet, I don't care if pages load in .005 seconds, as opposed to .006 seconds, but if me and my friends were all in the same area, all connected to the 100MB fibers, Gaming would really kick ass. And then we wouldn't have to worry about trying to string cat5 all over the neighborhood very discreetly!!!
------------------------------------------
If God Droppd Acid, Would he see People???
Re:5% (Score:2)
Moore's Law is for switches (Score:2)
Re:Minor correction..... (Score:2)
Maybe you are talking about those "raw" terminators (which you stick in the end of a fibre to the connector), which is not so good. Good terminators should come with its own "tail" fibre properly terminated to the SC/FC-PC connector, and the splicer's job is to splice the "tail" fibre to the incoming fibre. This way, the splice loss/reflection loss is much less.
As an individual, you call in the cavalry! (i.e.your evil local service provider)
Some facts. (Score:2)
More facts :
(a) Fibre optics is CHEAPER than copper. Why? Fiber optics is silicon (i.e. sand), copper is metal. Production of fibre is a well-developed process.
(b) Besides, most of the Capital in installing a urban COMMs network is not in cables, but what the industry jargon call "OSP", Outside-plant. Which is just plain old digging up roads, putting in ducts and manholes, and the putting the road back in pristine condition (NOT easy) again.
(c) Secondary cost is building repeater stations for long-haul FO cable trunks.
(d) The reason FO has not penetrated to the "last mile" (i.e. a fibre each into each home) is because the cost of fibre modems are prohibitively expensive. (Unlikes copper network, which works off electricity, FO works off light, which means a fast-repeating laser at both ends, which means pricey electronics.)
(e) One advantage of FO is that it enables implementation of SDH networks, where capacity is shared in a ring instead of wasted in a tree like PDH networks most POTS now run on.
Routing is a major bottleneck... (Score:2)
Denser fiber is way cool for more or less local operations (think Video on Demand), but for what I use bandwidth for, there already is plenty to go around and the cables no longer are the bottleneck.
Personally I'm very happy with the personal E1 I have outside of office hours. Every time I tried to assess why I wasn't maxing out the line I found it was because of poor routing (i.e., poor peering on my providers part).
Watch for the buyout (Score:2)
What about apartment complexes? (Score:2)
Come to think of it, i'm going to graduate from college soon, anyone know where i could possibly find some apartments that are wired with T1's or T3's? I've heard of those before.
theoretical bandwidth indeed (Score:2)
5% (Score:2)
I bet it only lights up 5% of the room =)
Re:What about apartment complexes? (Score:2)
In a building already wired for ethernet, you could provide SDSL T1 for a couple hundred bucks a month, then distribute via 24-port ethernet hub. Together the DSL router and the hub would cost under $1000 a month. All the users would require is an ethernet adapter. But that's about as cheap as you can get it.
If your building is cabled with regular CAT3 phone lines, you could still provide broadband access using DSL within the building. The problem here is a higher cost per-user because now each requires a DSL modem or router plus ethernet card and the building requires a DSL mux. Also, now you must provide a T1 to uplink the mini-DSLAM back to your backbone router. This will drive recurring costs to $1000 a month or so depending on mileage to your POP.
AccessLan claims to have an SDSL mini-DSLAM which could uplink via SDSL. Unfortunately, it's proprietary and only supports their DSLAM's.
I'm working with a property manager who wants to run ethernet for his tenants to a DSL uplink. He has about 100 tenants in his building. Each tenant owns their unit, not one cost less than a million. He's having a tough time convincing his board that he can find enough interested tenants to fill a 24-port hub. He's also trying to get the cost closer to what AOL costs. (seems to be what is considered the threshold for what an average user will pay for internet)
The majority of the population is not connected to the internet. The majority of those who are connected, do so via analog modems. And they are unwilling to pay any more for internet access. Then there is a small minority who would like to share the cost of a 100Mbps pipe. (and others who would rather have the whole thing for themselves)
The telephone network was built on peoples need for telephones. The internet is being built on peoples need for email. Unfortunately, that need is being met in most cases by the telephone network and analog modems.
This is inevitable, but not the ultimate solution. (Score:3)
Even if fiber deployment is on the way to solving the last mile problem (at least for business), it still doesn't solve the problem that really impacts the speed and reliability of internet service for most people: lack of fast, highly-distributed peering between networks. The speed of your backbone and tail circuits matters little if only a certain percentage of the entire internet is directly connected to them, unless you also have fast peering with other networks wherever possible. If there are dozens of "OC-192-or-greater-per-wavelength on DWDM on dark fiber" backbones, with Ethernet (regular, Fast and Gigabit) tails, each of which has only maybe a handful of OC-3 or even OC-12 peering connections to most of the others, the problem will still not be solved. If anything, it will get worse, because the users with faster last miles attached to faster backbones will expect proportionally faster service, and they won't get it.
There are people working to solve this problem, in various ways - running neutral peering facilities, aggressively seeking peering arrangements (although mostly in a few locations, unfortunately), buying lots of transit bandwidth from major providers (again, mostly in a few locations), etc. There are only a few who are truly solving the distribution aspect of the problem, though, by obtaining peering and transit connections to other networks in many locations evenly distributed around the country, in a mostly rational and consistent manner based on traffic analysis and other factors.
This is only one step in building a public internet infrastructure we can all depend on, but it is a crucial one.
fnord.
soon we'll have hundreds of metalab mirrors (Score:3)
100 Mbps / 8 bits/byte / 1024/1024 = 11.9 MB/sec
so for 50% utilization - figure 6 MB/sec
654 MB
------ = 109 seconds.
6 MB/sec
I'm going to need a faster CDROM burner.
Seriously - I still think that snail-mailing the latest Linux distro is a more efficient use of (very limited) resources than each person downloading their own
BUT - (Anne Marie) - its not up to me (or anyone else) to determine how people use THEIR Internet connection. The ISP can certainly cache content locally, thus only impacting other users on that part of the network when they access something that's bandwidth intensive. If the user is complying with the TERMS OF SERVICE of their user agreement, then it doesn't matter if they look at goat pr0n 24 x 7 x 365 - as long as it isn't kiddie goat pr0n.
Don't impose your morals on something that is Amoral - how people user their Internet connection.
this doesn't help me. =( (Score:3)
Some people say that this will never happen because there isn't enough people living out here to make it economically viable, but I disagree. One satellite dish or something set on a mountain nearby could connect people within a 30 mile radius of me. That is a lot of people...and I know most of them would jump at the chance of getting high speed internet access. I would be willing to pay more than $100 a month for a good connection. Trout Run Pennsylvania needs broadband.
Some corrections and additional info... (Score:4)
After looking at all these replies, I thought I'd reply myself.
Some notes:
If you live near one of these trunks, well, happy for you. However, remember than less than 50% of the US population lives inside one of the top 100 urban areas.
The real challenge is not the big urban areas - they can (and probably will) get fiber-to-the-curb within 10 years at the worst case. The challenge is getting it to the 30-40% of the USA that live in sub-100,000 urban areas, and even worse, the 10% or so that are classified rural.
It's the same problem the USA faced with electrification in the 1920s and 1930s. Only now, it's worse, since a far, far smaller percentage of the population lives in the harder-to-wire areas, there is even less of an incentive to fiber them up.
I can use my home town as an example: Meadville,PA [meadville.com], population 15,000. It's easily 40 miles to the nearest city which would have a fiber trunk into it, and while the town might eventually have fiber as part of the Cable Modem rollout, it's certainly not going to be fiber-to-the-curb, and the cable modem rollout will miss the other 70,000 people who live in the county (which is rather rural). Population density for my county: 82 people/sq mile.
-Erik
It's the "last mile" problem, stupid.... (Score:5)
(to paraphase the old "it's the economy, stupid" catchphrase of the last election...)
The article is plain wrong on several points, and makes naive and/or inane assumptions on several others.
First off, virtually all the long-distance communication wires in the US & Canada are fibre. Both voice and data travel over fiber (NOT copper) for about 99% of all inter-metropolitan traffic. Yet that fibre represents less than 10% (I forget the exact number, but it's less than 10%) of the entire physical communications plant in North America. The reason this is all fiber now is that it was by far the cheapest, easiest, and quickest return on investment portion of the network to upgrade. The article completely ignores the fact that the other 90+% of the network is extremely costly and time-consuming to replace with fiber and has a much, much, much longer ROI.
In places like Manhattan, where there is extremely high population density and communications demand, yes, fiber has been laid along (some) streets, and it is possible to put out a direct fiber lead to a large building that goes directly to a fiber line. If you're in on of the top 25 Metropolitan Areas in N.A., you might have a fiber line within a mile or so. Outside there, well, if you've got one within 10 miles, consider yourself lucky.
The problem still remains getting high-speed communications to places that don't astronomical population density. It's a hard problem, and condemning companies that provide more-or-less universal access for using copper is moronic. Cogent might be able to offer access to what, maybe 5% of the population? Compare this with WorldCom, the ILECs, MCI, and Earthlink, and all the other big ISPs, who can probably get between 95 and 99% of the entire population.
I also love the part where they seem to think that building their own long-distance backbone instead of using others is a panacea for network conjestion. Someone need to explain the concept of Peering and Wide-Area routing to these folks. Sure, it's nice if both the source and destination are plugged directly into your backbone, but the odds of this are what, virtually nill? If you want some real benefit from your own backbone, you have to connect directly with the majority of sites people want to access. In this case, you better beg Above.Net, Exodus, GlobalCenter, Genuity, et al. (all the big co-lo people) to allow you to run a line into all their co-lo sites. Oh, and since you're a small player, don't think that these folks aren't going to charge you for the privilege of hooking into their co-lo.
The other thing I find stupid is the implication that only Cogent has a "data-optimized" network. What a load of Marketing BS. If I'm running a packet-switched network, can I tell what I'm running on top of it (well, with ATM technically you can, but it's really all data)? Data? Voice-over-IP? Streaming Video? The article seems to confuse the concepts of packet-switched vs. circuit-switched with "data-optimized" vs. "voice-optimized".
Anyway, I'm sure others are going to point the myriad of crap in this article, so I'll stop here.
Cogent is offering a nice service, and has some interesting features that may point the way to how communications are done in the future. They're not really innovative in any sense, and I certainly wouldn't think of them as the greatest thing since sliced bread. It's an interesting company, and I wish them will. But the hype level is just a tad too high here.
-Erik
Moore's Law (Score:5)
And saying we are at
I'd put my money into optical parts being made cheaper. I wouldn't put my money on the amount of data through a fiber doubling every 10 months.