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Comment Re: Is there even a veneer of plausibility here? (Score 1) 25

Yeah the prices have gone up. But thats due to input tarifs. The thing thats squeezing US farmers, other than losing all their export markets, is that all their machinery and fertilizer costs have skyrocketed. A combine harvester is a huge investment, not just in initial outlay but continued maintainence. Couple that with fertilizer costs soaring (some of that is due to the ukraine invasion but most of its tarifs) and the loss of an affordable workforce due to ICEs rampage, and its really bad days for farmers.

 

Comment Re: Is there even a veneer of plausibility here? (Score 1) 25

"Rabo cites a new trade war with China would drop soybean prices $1.50 to $2 a bushel and reduce soybean planting by as many as 5 million acres." - Jan 7 2025

Does the higher price per bushel of soybeans now contradict that narrative?

And, even if 5 million acres were not planted due to lack of demand, if that represents only $3 billion, at most, by how much will Trump's $12 billion exceed losses from tariffs?

Comment Re:Wayland? Who cares. (Score -1, Flamebait) 23

Well, I am still on fvwm and I have been for the last 30 years. I see not need to go to any other desktop as it works perfectly well and is customized to exactly hat I want. There are tons of other good and sane window-managers out there.

KDE? Gnome? I could not care less. This is not Windows, where you can be forced to use a specific broken desktop.

Comment Re:And the stupid doubles down (Score 1) 31

There are a number of problems with LLM-type AI being rushed in this fast. It can take jobs where the occasional massive screw-up does not matter much. Callcenters are probably one of those. The second one is that there are still not enough real applications that would generate profit and the number of failures is rising, while the number of successes is not. Hence this thing has gotten way too large and basically must collapse and the only question is when. Also, many are in denial and think they have a success, when really, they have a failure.

This could, for example, lead to a scenario where a lot of the workforce gets replaced (10% would be a lot) and then LLMs go away or become massively more expensive because the flood of investor money has run dry. Another one is LLMs finally find enough useful use-cases to justify the expenses of running and maintaining them, but the mistakes they make eliminate all profits by expensive lawsuits being won. And some more like that.

 

Comment Re:Ransomware Payments (Score 1) 87

Yep, that is part of the money-laundering. The only reason ransomware payments went up dramatically is that with crapto you could finally launder large amounts of money. Before they were laughably low, like the $200 demand a person I know got. On that you cannot grow a larger criminal enterprise.

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