Comment Re:200 Economists (Score 1) 37
If all the economists in the world were laid end to end, they wouldn't reach a conclusion.
Nope, 200 economists will produce 300 conclusions.
If all the economists in the world were laid end to end, they wouldn't reach a conclusion.
Nope, 200 economists will produce 300 conclusions.
I think most people can get behind the sentiment. The tricky part is what should be done. We could argue about that for eternity.
Or we could ask an AI what is going to go wrong and get a quicker answer.
What will happen first, Iran launches nukes or China invades Taiwan? I've been hearing about both for decades.
So what, the US began suspecting Imperial Japan may become an enemy over a decade before Pearl Harbor.
The are to bigger points.
None of these points have anything to do with what he said. You are introducing strawman arguments.
Nope. The straw man is that US jobs are the only concern.
Also you falsely act as if step 1, fabs, is somehow inherently the end of the process. That too is wrong.
If you've dealt with an incident, then you'll know the biggest impediment to recovery is the cyber insurance company forced on you. As soon as you declare an incident, your computers belong to them.
Personally I'd say the biggest impediment is not replacing the computers than are now forensic evidence. Is their some reason they could not get new systems to replaced the affected systems, to restore backups too?
I think I have a funny angle on this branch, but I think it's an expired discussion anyway...
The problem is that the AIs are better at social chatting than many, probably most, of the random identities you encounter on "social media" websites. So from that perspective, the algorithm is mostly sabotaging the competition.
And counter-evidence from discussions with AI "support" chatbots be darned.
Pretty weak FP there, but the vacuous Subject worked well enough to apparently span half of the large discussion. I'm also struggling to see the funny.
But I've realized that my latest "Adventures with Claude" have "promoted" me to project manager. Short summary might be funny?
As regards the project, I have done the programming many times over many years in various languages. Call it a "Hello 2-table Relational Database World" exercise? C 0 (Claude Zero) was "hired" a couple of years ago and bombed so badly the project got suspended. About two months ago I was talked into trying again and C 1 turned out to be quite a good performer who produced some nice code. But then he/it started trying to scare me with talk about needing more tokens. At that point he/it had already created a pretty good JavaScript replacement for a large PERL system. I didn't measure precisely, but I think that C 1 plus PM (me) was at least 10 times more productive than me alone. So C 1 "suggested" creating a fresh session and even prepared a hand-off document for his/its successor of the new session. I read the document and it seemed to cover most of what we had "done". (Together?)
But C 2 turned out to be a much inferior coworker. Seemed to know as much about JavaScript, but really bad at communication in both directions. My theory is that there are some implicit "personality" variables that got created as I started working with C 1 and C 2 didn't have any of those "nice" attributes beyond the hard-coded politeness and sycophancy. Eventually managed to salvage things and produce some minor cosmetic improvements, but trust in Claude and the code were greatly harmed.
Decided to put C 2 on ice and just "hired" C 3 for a much simpler project. But the real objective is trust building? Or should I think of it as my training in how to train genAIs?
Returning (at last) to the original story, I suspect genAI is not going to solve the shortage of project managers. Citation of Microsoft Secrets on the same shortage circa 1996.
NT4 wasn't a consumer OS though. So of course they didn't care.
I was using "consumer" in both the home and business user sense. Windows NT 4 CDs were available on retail store shelves back in the day, These retail CDs included x86, Alpha, MIPS, and PowerPC support. I recall Byte magazine offering comparisons of Intel and PowerPC based Windows NT 4 systems.
Smells like someone who is trying to think of or prepare for an extra hypothetical defense of the YOB.
But I'm scoring it as more evidence of the virtues of spending time "talking" to genAIs over typical identities on today's Slashdot. Terrible conversationalists and frequently idiotic, but at least they are consistently polite about it.
But poster's point is still valid. Making the chips here only to ship them overseas for the device to be assembled.
The are to bigger points. (1) The most critical component is made in the USA. (2) We are less vulnerable to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan so we are more likely to help Taiwan. (3) His point is a temporary and volatile one.
The only difference is assembled in Vietnam or India instead of China. Not much difference when it comes to US jobs assembling those phones.
Actually a huge difference, we are not funding Chinese military expansion and bullying of the region. We funding those who need assistance defending against China.
I think you're missing the point. If you have to hide your identity to make a joke, then it ain't funny.
Okay, that is an absolute statement and I'm pert' shure you should be able to come up with a counterexample. In the case of humor, I think there is even a particular class of joke that actually hinges on the anonymity of the person making the joke. I haven't seen any examples in a long time, but I think I have some sort of vague memory of such.
Yet my fundamental position remains that freedom of speech should not grant freedom from consequences. There is such a thing as harmful speech and the people who hurt other people, by speech or otherwise, should be liable for the harms. Careless People
spent a LOT of time describing such situations, especially in Myanmar. Just because they did it for money doesn't make it better. Lies are especially bad when anonymized because the normal penalty for lying is a loss of credibility that reduces the effectiveness of the next lies, but if you've heard one AC, you've never been sure it wasn't a fresh liar with a bigger lie.
There actually are some people who might be able to get away with this joke, but I think it's a really small set. Perhaps only the Venn diagram overlap of people at Brown University who have distinctly brown skin and who are also named Brown. While wearing brown clothes? I would wager at high odds against AC being in that intersection, but since it's AC we can never know. But if I was a professional and real comedian I might be able to come up with a scenario with a character that could use some form of the joke?
I'm realizing that talking with genAIs has passed the point of being a better use of time than talking with many, perhaps most, people. AC people least of all? (Oh wait. What about ACs that are genAIs? That's a Turing test long passed.)
this is a focused disinformation campaign being targeted through western communication channels
Much like the 1960s/70s Soviet disinformation campaign regarding nuclear energy. Even some Greenpeace founders now admit that Nuclear should have been part of the CO2 reduction movement, that their opposition was counterproductive. The German Green Party even admits they were successfully infiltrated and influenced by the Soviets working through the East German Stasi.
Social media has made such efforts easier and more effective. For example, TikTok disproportionately promoting CCP aligned content.
promising is they keyword here. Fabs take years to build and the USA isn't exactly a reliable trading partner.
I think "current status" is the key phrase here. From Google:
"TSMC’s massive $65 billion Phoenix, Arizona, project is rapidly expanding into a "gigafab" cluster. The first fab has been in production since late 2024 using 4nm process technology. Construction on the second fab is complete, with equipment installation underway ahead of an accelerated 2027 production target for 3nm chips
Fab 1: High-volume production of 4-nanometer (N4) chips is actively supplying major U.S. customers like Apple and NVIDIA.
Fab 2: The physical building structure is complete. Equipment installation is slated for 2026, with high-volume production of 3-nanometer (N3) chips targeted for the second half of 2027.
Fab 3: Groundbreaking and structural topping ceremonies are complete, with this facility slated to utilize even more advanced 2nm and A16 process technologies.
Future Expansion: TSMC has acquired additional land and laid the groundwork for up to six fabs plus research and development facilities"
Arm on Intel silicon... that has got to sting a bit for Intel...
Feeling a sting is a good thing, it means you are still alive.
To be fair, moving away from x86 is something intel wanted. The market said no. The market said no to Intel Itanium, Apple IBM Motorola Power PC, Dec Alpha, etc. x86, MIPS, PowerPC, and Alpha were all available for Windows NT 4; consumers largely did not care.
Nothing ever becomes real until it is experienced. - John Keats