Comment Re:Credit to Iron Mountain, and WTF for PBS (Score 1) 85
So surely companies are going to line up and donate right . . . . right?
So surely companies are going to line up and donate right . . . . right?
It always sounds like a lot of money to the bean counters until you explain to them the station probably spent tens of millions of dollars producing that content, and all it takes is a corporate meltdown or technical SNAFU and all of it is gone.
lol, do you not know how public broadcasting works?
Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.
Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.
If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.
Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."
I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.
The other problem is that while its revenue is high, its expenses are higher. The more it earns, the more it loses.
Thats not a trillion dollar company, thats an economy crashing Chapter 7 bankruptcy.
In a decade folks will get their pass/fail participation trophy by correctly answering questions like, "Should Americans be more thankful to Jesus or Don Trump for their record breaking average salaries of $16000/year for only 72 hours labor per week?"
It will qualify them to whip productivity out of their inferiors so long as the report enough subversives each week.
They shouldn't be trying such a desperate solution without trying chlorox and ivermectin first.
Spain's politicians did indeed tacitly invite illegal immigrants. Heck, maybe not so tacitly.
Like all of that ilk, they want it both ways - they want to say all the shibboleths, to sound oh so welcoming, blah blah. But they don't want to take responsibility when the "migrants" actually take them up on it. Must be social media's fault!
Just don't leave the country after you participate.
For that matter, you may suffer remote retaliation even if you stay home. I would leave this to the military or other government branch.
Also there is the question of legality, government operation or not. It sounds to me like vigilante justice. And countries who like their anti-American cybercriminals will certainly treat it as illegal. (Hence the advice not to leave the country.)
We certainly need a way to stop cybercrime, international or otherwise. But this doesn't strike me as a good way to go about it.
Finally a prediction: in the not too distant future, one or more offshoots from this will turn into unmanageable domestic criminal organizations.
I don't wish harm on anyone. But I hope Karma comes and bites them on the arse bigtime.
The problem is people vote emotionally not rationally. (The quicker we get rid of this stupid myth of the rational actor, the better off we'll be) Trump is "owning the libs" and by that I mean "scientists" and "people who disagree with me" or whatever the fuck. Its so far beyond responsible governance at this point. In any country with a less robust economy and without miles deep instutions, they would be spiraling into developing world status, the way its being run right now. Eventually the bill will be due. And the best you'll be able to do is say "I told you so" for whatever faint comfort that'll be.
Unfortunately there is a large number of film crew workers in LA that have been pushed beyond the point of breaking by the parlorous state of the film industry since the pandemic more or less destroyed the film theatre economy. Though there have been some signs of it picking back up again.
The reality is, if the market regulators hadn't been completely gutted by special interests this merger would never have gotten this far. Between FCC market concentration laws and anti monopolization laws, this was never a good idea.
So the states have to act to enforce the laws the fed refuses to enforce (Despite constitutional dictates that the administration *must* enforce the laws congress passes, we all know washington is currently lawless)
And here we are. Multinationals can just venue shop and place themselves higher than the law. Welcome to Oligopoly, America. Next stop: People falling out of windows.
#4 in economy. Thats pretty good.
CA is also:
#1 in homelessness AND #1 in per capita homeless spending!
#1 in poverty.
#1 in highest taxes (excluding property tax the only tax stat they are middle-of-the-road)
#1 in lowest in adult literacy rates
But hey! California's overall high school graduation rate grown over the last 20 years to north of 87%! Something we can be PROUD OF! Too bad only ~37% can perform math at the expected levels. But we are AWSOME with reading skills! Just under 50% can read at expected levels!
I live in CA. We hide failed education programs by elevating grades such less than a whopping 25% of high school grads are ready for college. Third to last! Thank god for West Virginia and New Mexico!
Damn shame we don't fix our problems with that "boast" of a California economy.
... watching modern slashbots worship the government.
I remember when DeCSS t-shirts were all the rage here. But that was a long time ago.
Ah well, mod me to oblivion. But I am going to say the obvious - one of the beautiful things about our federal system is that companies can flee overreaching states.
Sigmund Freud is alleged to have said that in the last analysis the entire field of psychology may reduce to biological electrochemistry.