Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment Re:Win the battle, lose the war (Score 1) 17

I fully expect Amazon to close this warehouse, maybe it will be contaminated with something radioactive for example, to make things easier and then it will shut down. Personally I root for the anarcho capitalist solution and wish Amazon to win this battle for its private property rights.

Comment Re: Thoughts and prayers (Score 1, Insightful) 81

This is FUBAR, and something I can speak to with plenty of experience. FSD is good enough that insurance companies are offering discounts to use it. It has a lower crash statistic than a human driver, thats not fucked up reporting, that data submitted to the DMVs which involves mandatory collection. Personally, I have used FSD for over 90k miles on two Model X vehicles. It works, and it works. well.

But to imagine that Elon Musk doesnt deliver:
1. His rockets land.
2. His space internet has 10,000,000 subscribers and climbing.
3. His brain implant has give multiple paraplegics abilities.
4. His home battery created an industry of solar batteries at scale, and they contribute to keeping peaker plants offline.
5. He has the worlds largest EV charging network.
6. Tesla is profitable and out-producing big-auto on EVs. A "Tesla Killer" is now the same thing as an "iPhone Killer".
7. FSD works, and you can have multiple end-to-end autonomous drives yourself, if you rent or buy a Tesla.
8. Elon made SpaceX profitable to the point it no longer needs NASA / US Government.
9. His companies have paid back all the loans and grants the government afforded it.

To your point:

Robotaxis...have directly caused a crash on average once every 45k-65k miles.

Citation needed. But let's give you the benefit of the doubt. Even if that were true, this is like saying stop pursuing the automobile because it will never be faster than a horse. With all things tech related, the incremental ratcheting improvement will make alternatives (human drivers in this case) eventually seem silly for how incapable we are at driving. 50K road deaths in America will be a thing of the past, sooner or later, and it will be Tesla that delivers that, because they're the ones pushing the envelope.


The guy is off on timelines, but the proof is in the pudding. Maybe you just dont like that a guy who has different politics than you is vastly more capable?

Comment Re:Go watch Patrick Boyle's video on YouTube (Score 1) 81

Amazon's valuation was insane back then, their potential for growth was anything but certain (or even likely) at the time. And the SpaceX valuation seems to have been inflated by buying the similarly overvalued xAI company, and doing a stock swap to cement those valuations. I'm sure plenty of people will jump at the chance of owning SpaceX stock at whatever price (I would have when it was just SpaceX), but in the long run?
Well, maybe. Maybe lower launch costs will open up new markets for launches. Maybe they'll get their space-based data centers to work. Maybe xAI's AI will amount to something some day. Maybe there's a vast market for sat based cellular service. Not something I'm going to bet my money on... $1.75T seems high even if they manage to achieve one or all of those things.

Comment Re:God forbid Accountability come into play. (Score 1) 162

Basic epidemiology: when a vampire feeds on a person, that person also becomes a vampire, and vampires are immortal. So it won't be long before everyone's a vampire. Can vampires feed on each other? (According to Blade, there are second-level vampires who feed on other vampires.)

As I've read the books and seen the movies...NOT every victim becomes a vampire too.

Only if the vampire wants to turn a victim....they drain most of the blood to almost point of death and then have the still alive victim drink blood from them......then they turn into one.

Comment Re:Eventual merger (Score 2, Insightful) 81

Neither of his two major companies receive their entire income from the US Government. This is an old lie. 60% of SpaceX revenue today comes from Starlink, about 35% comes from Rocket Launches not related to NASA, and about 5% comes from NASA.

Tesla... well they sell cars and battery packs and solar panels, and charging sessions. So.. no.

Comment Re: Thoughts and prayers (Score 2, Funny) 81

Maybe they are just looking at the Model Y and thinking Tesla can do it again, and hit a sweet spot of price / value like they have there.

Let's look at the Chinese market in particular. The Model Y is the best selling new-energy vehicle (Chinese auto-industry breakdown) SUV and the #3 best selling overall. It dominates its price point, and has the absolute highest customer satisfaction in china (2.2 complaints per 10,000 vehicles vs an industry average of 19/10000).

There are cheaper products, there always will be. But buying the cheapest isn't always the best value, and Tesla hit the mark on that sweet spot.

To put it another way: You need internet and you are remote. You can buy Hughes Net for $70 or Starlink for $120. Starlink has 10,000,000 subscribers, while Hughesnet has under a million. The same thing in space access is true. Falcon 9 is more expensive than an Electron rocket launch, but not quite big enough for the Artemis launches. But for most consumers of space launches with most payload sizes, the value proposition is again, best to be had. Even Amazon is using it for project Kuiper.

Optimus aims to be the Starlink / Falcon 9 / Model Y of humanoid robotic assistants. Good enough for most people and useful to everyone, while maybe not the best for industry specific applications, the best general purpose. Can you buy a mannequin with actuators for less? Sure. But why would you? Unless you want a Roomba that only vacuums, you'll want an Optimus. That is where the optimism comes from.

Comment Re: Thoughts and prayers (Score 3, Informative) 81

Boston Dynamics is not angling for the same market as Tesla Optimus. Whether you believe the hype or not (as it has yet to be released as a product), the attack angle of each of these products if very different. Optimus has the aspirational price of $25k which makes it close to a middle-upper income household appliance and something companies can procure to do tasks with that are basic. Boston Dynamics sells Spot, the robotic dog for 3x that price. The Atlas will be well into 6 figures. It will be a highly capable platform but without much of the AI that will enable it to be a prosumer product. It will be used in heavy industry or dangerous places where extreme capability and agility matter more than dynamic every day tasks. Tesla approached Optimus from the software angle at the same time. They have their Tesla Vision system from the vehicles that they plan to make recognize all sorts of every day objects. Atlas and Optimus are as different as that drill kit you can buy at Home Depot for $499 vs a tunnel boring machine. You wont buy an Atlas. It will be too expensive and limited for what you need and highly capable in ways you dont need. Optimus will fold your laundry, make you coffee, and retrieve a delivered package from your front door for you. More mundane, but more useful in general purpose assistance roles. Whether Tesla delivers on capability, or price is another topic of conversation entirely, Iâ(TM)m just merely saying their approaches are very different.

Comment Re:Physical books good (Score 2) 67

I love my e-ink reader. I can read anything anywhere, and when my last book is finished, the next read is just a tap away. But that's just for linear reading. When I'm studying, I might be flipping back and forth through a syllabus, or have several of them open side by side. That works poorly on a tablet. On the plus side, with a tablet or latop, students no longer have to carry an unhealthy amount of heavy books to school.

As for using a laptop for taking notes, I find that to be way more distracting than taking notes on paper, whether it's me taking the notes or someone next to me.

Comment This affects every future NDA... (Score 1) 69

... that any future Anthropic employee ever signs. The sourcecode contains trade secrets. Everybody who worked for Anthropic at the time of the leak is enjoined from talking publicly about those trade secrets. But consider the programmer they hire tomorrow, who has already read the leaked sourcecode. He already knows these trade secrets by virtue of their publication (no matter how inadvertent). So his NDA is inherently flimsier - Anthropic can't restrict him from talking about stuff he already knew about before he joined them.

Comment Re:The God-fearing and the Accountants (Score 1) 162

You don't get to create and then destroy life just to prolong yours

Why?

I made it to earth and processing oxygen...why should I not make and have the opportunity to extend my run for as long as possible?

I guess my innate sense of self preservation is much higher than yours.

I really love my life and I love being me and there's not much I'd not do to keep that going.

Why would I not?

Slashdot Top Deals

"Virtual" means never knowing where your next byte is coming from.

Working...