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Comment Europe is free to rearm and STAY armed. (Score 1) 109

Feasting on the sugar teat of US military welfare has consequences like voluntary national weakness. Europe is amply wealthy enough to afford rearmament (and free to cut spending wasted on anything which does not benefit European security).

Trump did the EU an unwitting favor. So did Putin. What it does with that teachable moment is a matter of choice.

Comment Re:Does Anyone Know? (Score 1) 69

Radar altimeters on satellites are accurate to about 25 mm for a single measurement. They make a lot of measurements, and averaging them gives much better accuracy.

Tide gauges are very accurate but sample more sparsely in space. Even so, we have a lot of them spread around the world and you can correct them with e.g. GPS for changes in the land.

Both types of measurement are averaged over many many measurements over both space and time. Averaging smooths out both technical measurement error and short term or local variations like wind.

Comment Re:Is anyone really surprised? (Score 1) 109

Sure. The US government's first thought when they put up the GPS constellation was how to keep others from using it. Their second thought was shit, this thing is pretty easy to jam, how do we stop other people from preventing us from using it? They and the Russians were thinking up and testing anti-satellite weapons long before that.

I also don't think it's likely this is purposely a jamming system. You don't test your secret weapon by pressing the button a couple times every Wednesday year after year until someone notices.

Comment Doom (Score 4, Interesting) 69

Super El Niño, AMOC shutting down. Mauna Loa CO2 shutting down reporting 432 PPM before we shut them up. The mighty Colorado river died. We drank it up. India has been over 95F for months, and parts are becoming uninhabitable reaching 114F.

Dinosaurs had 165 million years. Sea turtles 260 million. Genus Homo, 2 million. Sentience may be self defeating, which solves the Fermi Paradox.

Comment Re:No jurisdiction (Score 5, Informative) 32

Incorrect. Computer misuse within the US, regardless of where the individuals who are doing the misusing are located, is under US jurisdiction. This is long-established. Laws dealing with multi-jurisdictional issues (such as patents/copyrights, illicit interstate commerce, sex tourism, computer misuse) are old-hat.

Attacking US servers located in US territory is an attack carried out within the US, regardless of where the keyboard warrior is.

Now, if the servers attacked are in Ireland, then they're also covered by EU jurisdiction (no matter what the US likes to think).

The law is the law, and nobody, in any nation, is immune. A fact a lot of nations like to pretend they're somehow immune to. They aren't and there will always be a price to pay for such cavalier attitudes.

Comment Re:Brains are a lot more efficient (Score 1) 185

"Lots" and "one that is widely accepted" are not the same thing at all,

Which is why I specifically said "There are widely accepted ones too."

There's no point in discussing intelligence without first nailing down which definition the interlocutors are using.

Absolutely.

There is value in recognizing the problem, not dismissing it. There are lots of defnitions, many of which are fuzzy, because people who want to argue that humans (or specific groups of humans) are "intelligent" while others are not generally have to define intelligence in a very ad hoc way to support their argument. People who are interested in studying the subject generally have reasonable definitions. The former don't like the latter's definitions because they fail to provide the desired absolute threshold they desire.

Comment Re:Brain architecture (Score 1) 185

My point was that the LLMs claim to know everything but when they don't know something they just make things up where a human is likely to say "sorry, don't know,"

me pointing out that much of that "knowledge" is garbage. That's it.

Hm. Those don't quite sound like the same thing. It's like you've been caught saying something silly and you're engaging in a bit of revisionism. On a public, threaded message board with no edit button, no less. If one were being uncharitable one might point out that the quite human phenomenon of "digging yourself in deeper" often follows the one of making shit up rather than saying you don't know.

Comment Re:We already know it (Score 1) 185

That's not entirely true. We don't have a good idea of how biological brains (simple or complicated) learn. There are some hints of how they might feed back error signals but we don't know in detail. There is the possibility, and people love to latch onto it, that brains are doing something that works better than gradient descent. There isn't really a good reason to believe that, and quite a few not to, except for handwavy comparisons like the summary makes.

Certainly the hardware is different, and that's where the obvious differences originate. The brain isn't really any more analog than your laptop though.

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