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Comment Re:Every Bubble Pops (Score 2) 69

I just asked ChatGPT "Is AI creating a market bubble? yes or no", it responded:

It's not a clear-cut yes or no answer, but if I had to choose based on the current market trends and speculative investment behavior, I'd lean toward "yes, there are bubble-like conditions," but not necessarily a full-blown bubble yet.

Comment Re:Tyler Cowen is an AI fanboi (Score 3, Insightful) 69

It's currently all true. AI is based on the scrape of hundreds of thousands of books (the subject of much litigation), web archives, web archives of paywalled sources obtained surrepticiously, and the delta of what happens with each new scrape.

I portend that humans already write for AI, and some might get paid.

Comment Re: EV sales in *USA* plummet (Score 4, Interesting) 312

This is mainly due to inflation and to some extent a move to bigger luxury cars. Apples to apples it's not so bad.

The typical well-equipped Civic from the early '90s (EX or Si in the $11kâ"$12k range) would be around $26,000â"$28,000 in inflation-adjusted dollars today.

The 2025 Honda Civic starts around $24,250 for the LX trim, with better-equipped versions reaching $30,000 or more. Not only is this roughly the same price, but you're also getting a bigger and drastically safer car for the money today, even before considering the extra features standard on cars now.

Comment Re:Hmm (Score 1) 174

This is mainly because institutions and systems that used to teach people how to do wisdom are lost. Modern age has information and tools to process it, but not the methods and practices to deal with bias and self-delusion,

Perhaps those railing against high schools, colleges, and even post-graduate education, need to go back and deal with their *own* biases and self-delusions. The institutions and systems are there.

Comment Re:is it "the decline of smart homes" (Score 1) 155

This industry is starved of common sense.

The standards are weird, and poorly implemented.

Everyone wants to monetize, rather than simply enable astute appliance and home device use.

The haptic interface, where humans use things through a human feel, is great in some places, and entirely nonsensical in others.

No one wants your stupid browser ads, we want functionality. I paid for the fridge, if you show me ads on it, I'm going to toss you.

More features, product managers, are not better. We want long life from our investments in your stuff. People revert to the KISS principle because proprietary features break and cost money-- if the parts can be found by your insane service networks at all.

Your stuff has to work in harmony with our current investments. One maestro works, not a hundred musicians trying to play different music in our homes simultaneously; there are no good or empirical home control UIs that are consistent and thoughtful.

Smart home remains, therefore, an oxymoron unless you buy it from one vendor who doesn't stop supporting their stuff/versions after just three years.

Bottom line: Vendors have done this to themselves, forcing people back to the KISS principle-- keep it simple, stupid-- and stop adding so many features. Easy. But no product manager wants to think like this.

Comment Re:DST is a trade off. Not having it isn't 'free'. (Score 4, Informative) 160

>DST means that in the norther US, children can go to and from school in daylight which has public safety benefits.

You're obviously not clear on how it works. We just left DST and went to standard time. It varies by district, but around here, school hours range from 730 AM earliest start - 330 PM latest end. If kids leave for school at 7 AM, the shift to standard time means that today they're going in what was the 8 AM morning light of yesterday. It's DST which makes it darker in the mornings, and there's plenty of light in the afternoon whether DST or not.

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