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Comment Cheap AI is here to stay (Score 3, Interesting) 112

I disagree completely with the premise. Prices don't necessarily have to increase. We have yet to reach maturity of chips optimized for inference, in addition to the regular old factor of computing work per dollar going up over time. Moore's law might be "slowing down" but we aren't at the end of the road yet. Keeping today's features running will cost less to deliver in both infrastructure and electricity in the future.

What will more likely happen is that features and functionality will keep expanding to use more processing power. But where is the limit? I say that comes when we can render at near-realtime 8k/240hz a video (or video game if you prefer) with procedurally generated world, characters, and storyline based on the users input via whatever real-world data, UI or sensors you want to use. This might even be possible now if you are a billionaire with access to million dollar server farms. Probably my imagination isn't broad enough in estimating the limit of "personal computing" but additional computing power beyond that seems pointless for any one individual.

In any case the price of an ai product will depend on the features offered and how much hardware is needed. Probably you can run a 500 billion parameter LLM on a smart watch in 2055 but if you want that power today it seems to cost about $20 a month. I doubt anyone will try to ever charge more for today's $20 featureset. The price of this stuff will absolutely decrease, the only unknown is how companies will roll out new functionality and how specific future features fit into the pricing tiers over time.

Comment Re: Slashdot method (Score 1) 39

It's somewhat understandable though. The $5 contributors waited this long, they can wait a little longer for things to be fixed. If that is possible. Ultimately though they may need to verify identity or at least a domestic phone number within the user's region, which may not be what the users were looking for.

Comment this bubble sucks on both ends (Score 4, Informative) 50

This is the worst tech bubble I've experienced. Not only is it driving up prices for consumer goods now, but data centers these days have such integrated and specialized stuff that hobbyists won't be able to make much use of it when it goes to auction. The chances of picking up some 4U servers at a decent price when the bubble pops are not good due to the data centers the hyperscalers are building not using much of them. Plus, the limited number of jobs and extensive working from home culture now means that aeron chairs won't be dumped onto your local buy/sell/swap place either. I just want cheap tulips but they shan't be had. Worst bubble ever.

Comment Re: Technically true. (Score 1) 39

The process is broken. I just voted in the Texas primary, which is the only election that matters here. And the Republican primary is the only primary that matters, so I vote in that regardless of my personal alignment. It ran over 100 races. Yes really. For the important races, there were a handful of choices, which I researched in advanced. Invariably the incumbent was polling overwhelmingly, most of the challengers were even more extreme, and maybe one with no hope of success seemed like a reasonable person. Then there were dozens and dozens of unopposed judges (why do we vote judges anyway?). It's completely rigged from before the start. The only reasonable nonbinding resolution was for term limits, which I expect leadership will promptly ignore.

Comment no way to make a double blind trial (Score 5, Interesting) 75

The problem with studying drugs like these is that the effects are so profound that there's no way to achieve a proper double blind trial. It looks like they went through the motions but it would be staggeringly obvious to anyone in the room whether DMT or placebo was given.

Comment Re: AI is great at dystopia, any utopia out there? (Score 1) 53

I write technical reports for a living. I am very careful how I use the new tools, since AI language and formatting is easy to identify. It would erode trust in my work if it appeared a computer wrote it.

That said, I have found it very useful in other areas. It's good for playing "find the thing" in long documents when a straight text search might not cover all key words I'm potentially looking for. It's also excellent for recipes, especially since recipe websites became hot garbage in the last 15 years. Want a recipe for varenyky (Ukrainian dumplings) which might be served in a high end restaurant in Kyiv? Browsing recipes online would be slog (people are generally sharing home cook level recipes) but it's trivial for the generative ai.

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