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Comment incompatible mix (Score 1) 20

Even if not a guise but actually true, it's probably a bad idea for a car manufacturer to get into the auto-drive business because they are very different kinds of endeavors. Those who try to be both hardware and bot-software keep choking, including Tesla and Apple. If the top players choke at it, then a second-string like Volvo is more likely to win the lottery while getting struck by lightning while chewing gum on a unicycle than succeed.

Let bot co's build bots and car builders build cars. Instead Volvo should work to form industry standards so that a bot-kit can snapped into a physical car when ready, hedging their bot options.

Comment Re:Why older workers aren't worried (Score 2) 24

Some of that is survivorship bias though. Current workers are the people who didn't lose a job to previous hype waves or actual changing market conditions. The ones that didn't make it could be addicted to OxyContin for all we know. Some of them certainly turned out that way.

I think a lot of the concern is misplaced. I don't see my job being replaced in two years and even ten seems unlikely. The flip side is that if it can be replaced by AI, there're a lot of other jobs that got replaced before or alongside mine. If my costs decrease faster than my income, I'm still better off in the long run, as were my ancestors who were better and better off throughout the recent period of industrialization.

Be comfortable in the fact that no matter what happens in the next few decades the world will find something even madder afterwards. Can you even imagine what will drive the generation that always had AI around crazy and make them worry about the future? I can't either, but it always gets worse while it gets better.

Comment Re:Wait, (Score 1) 30

People who were happy to purchase "Bob's Research Digest & Ocean Cruise Guide" from Mr. Trenchcoat probably won't care if AI stuffs it with yet more riff-raff "research" because they probably didn't care before.

Something tells me they are buying scientific-sounding "justifications" for something else dodgy rather than genuine knowledge. RFK Jr's group is an example candidate to claim Tums causes autism or whatnot. Real journals vet submitters.

#ProveMeWrong

Comment Re:If only we had a true meritocracy (Score 1) 68

Lottery winners are another example of what you describe. People who are bad with money or future planning going broke despite having massive financial windfalls is hardly surprising when distilled down to it. I wouldn't be surprised if lottery winners do even worse because outside of very rare circumstances, gambling in any form has a negative rate of return and the people who do it are a self-selected group that make bad financial decisions.

I'm a person who's generally open to the idea of a UBI in some form, but I've yet to hear anyone who can answer how it will make life better for the sort of people described here. More money can't solve the problems of anyone whose chief problem is wasting money. That's just pouring gas on a fire.

Comment Re: "Is Enron Overpriced?" (Score 1) 43

There are only 3 viable x86 makers: Zhaoxin, Intel, and AMD. AMD also has a lot tied up in AI, so they'd take a big hit when the bubble poppage is "official". Zhaoxin is too small to matter much. Thus, Intel's minimal exposure to AI will help it survive the bubble better.

x86 chips are still a staple of almost every business. Investors love staples during bubble slumps.

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